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Morton vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 18/09/2021
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
Morton
Morton
Vs
23%
27%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
22.5%
Avg Implied 31.1% · @ 2.97
Edge
-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.38
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✓ Hit
50.6%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.23
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L11D00D11D00D22D10W23L03L01LH·INV06/04A·DUN10/04H·HEA20/04H·ALL24/04A·ARB30/04H·DUN31/07A·HAM07/08H·QUE21/08A·PAR28/08A·KIL11/09
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.371.131.530.601.20
vs Stronger (6)0.171.670.001.000.332.33
vs Similar (24)1.041.291.421.670.670.92
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W22D10W21W12L04L44D01L20W01LH·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.401.791.641.441.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.861.671.702.002.001.36
vs Weaker (9)1.000.782.000.750.200.80
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.0%
Under 1.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.2%
@ 1.95+2.1%
Under 2.5
49.8%
@ 1.81-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.2%
Under 3.5
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
0-1 ✓
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
0-2
9.3%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
6.0%
1-0
5.9%
1-3
5.3%
Morton goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
08.0%10%9.3%5.1%2.1%
15.9%13%9.6%5.3%2.2%
23.6%6.0%5.0%2.7%1.1%
31.3%2.1%1.7%0.9%0.4%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Morton is 0.28 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Morton is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Morton is 0.08 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 5.1 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.0

ðŸšĐ Corners

13047254236577394462811111769121013101012A·KILA·PARH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·ARBH·ALLH·HEAA·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802135321231131122482344130A·KILA·PARH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·ARBH·ALLH·HEAA·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 9.0 · Total 22.0

⚠ïļ Fouls

290151110101391449516131581210138131226202218142923222125A·KILA·PARH·QUEA·HAMH·DUNA·ARBH·ALLH·HEAA·DUNH·INV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

200146468935168672263264201017871498510H·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

7041222223131141214165442445357H·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.5

⚠ïļ Fouls

28013121115139121681411910121211101471625262228222022232423H·QUEA·AYRA·INVH·HAMH·HEAA·DUNA·ALLA·QUEH·ARBH·DUN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.89.73.03.03.020.020.919.2
vs Stronger (8)11.411.511.23.42.24.519.820.818.8
vs Similar (42)10.010.79.42.93.12.720.120.919.3
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line64%76%52%36%40%32%32%40%24%
% under line36%24%48%64%60%68%68%60%76%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.611.04.24.24.222.923.022.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (31)11.711.911.54.64.84.523.322.923.7
vs Weaker (19)9.48.810.03.43.23.622.323.321.1
% over line58%60%56%70%72%68%62%60%64%
% under line42%40%44%30%28%32%38%40%36%
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
10.8
Raith Rvs
10.8
Hamilton
10.6
Queen of Sth
10.4
Kilmarnock
10.3
Partick
10.3
Morton
10.2
Inverness CT
10.2
Ayr
10.0
Arbroath
9.3

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Kilmarnock
3.7
Ayr
3.4
Inverness CT
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.3
Hamilton
3.2
Arbroath
3.2
Morton
3.0
Dunfermline
3.0
Partick
3.0

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.6
Hamilton
24.6
Raith Rvs
22.9
Arbroath
22.8
Inverness CT
22.6
Ayr
21.7
Queen of Sth
20.9
Partick
20.1
Morton
20.0
Dunfermline
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
60.2%
Under 9.5
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.9%
Under 21.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D00D00D00D10W10W11D01L00DH·INV06/04A·DUN10/04H·HEA20/04H·ALL24/04A·ARB30/04H·DUN31/07A·HAM07/08H·QUE21/08A·PAR28/08A·KIL11/09
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.530.400.600.200.47
vs Stronger (6)0.000.670.000.670.000.67
vs Similar (24)0.380.500.500.580.250.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W10W10W01L02L01L20W00D20W01LH·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.710.570.620.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.760.670.700.800.820.55
vs Weaker (9)0.440.110.750.000.200.20
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L11D00D11D00D12L00D12L02L01LH·INV06/04A·DUN10/04H·HEA20/04H·ALL24/04A·ARB30/04H·DUN31/07A·HAM07/08H·QUE21/08A·PAR28/08A·KIL11/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.830.730.930.400.73
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.000.330.331.67
vs Similar (24)0.670.790.921.080.420.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W12L00D20W10W03L24L01L00D00DH·DUN30/03H·ARB10/04A·QUE13/04A·ALL17/04A·DUN24/04H·HEA30/04H·HAM31/07A·INV07/08A·AYR07/09H·QUE11/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.901.071.070.810.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.101.001.001.201.180.82
vs Weaker (9)0.560.671.250.750.000.60
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards83.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.576.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOR wins
0
Draws
5
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Raith Rvs · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR1-0
06/02/21HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
07/11/20ARaith Rvs Vs MOR5-0
15/04/17ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-0
07/02/17ARaith Rvs Vs MOR0-1
14/01/17HMOR Vs Raith Rvs2-0
01/10/16HMOR Vs Raith Rvs1-0
26/03/16HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-0
28/08/21APartick Vs MOR3-0
21/08/21HMOR Vs Queen of Sth2-3
07/08/21AHamilton Vs MOR0-1
31/07/21HMOR Vs Dunfermline2-2
30/04/21AArbroath Vs MOR0-0
24/04/21HMOR Vs Alloa1-1
20/04/21HMOR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
10/04/21ADundee Vs MOR1-1
06/04/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-4

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/09/21HRR Vs Queen of Sth0-1
07/09/21AAyr Vs RR0-2
07/08/21AInverness CT Vs RR1-0
31/07/21HRR Vs Hamilton4-4
30/04/21HRR Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-4
24/04/21ADundee Vs RR2-1
17/04/21AAlloa Vs RR1-2
13/04/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR0-1
10/04/21HRR Vs Arbroath2-2
30/03/21HRR Vs Dunfermline5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.12
HomeLDDDL1.12
AwayDDWLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%24%28%
AVG goals2.622.962.28
Over 1.5 %72%76%68%
Over 2.5 %48%52%44%
Over 3.5 %28%40%16%
Scored1.181.361.00
Conceded1.441.601.28
BTTS58%64%52%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners10.2410.809.68
Cards3.003.003.00
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWL1.62
HomeWDLDL1.72
AwayWWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.823.042.60
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %34%44%24%
Scored1.561.721.40
Conceded1.261.321.20
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.8010.6410.96
Cards4.164.164.16

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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