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Morton vs Raith Rvs Result & Analysis

Date: 28/01/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 2-2
Morton
Morton
Vs
23%
28%
50%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Morton win✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.09
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.5%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.06
Edge
-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs win✗ Miss
49.9%
Avg Implied 39.7% · @ 2.34
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MortonMorton

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D31W02L12L22D16L12L11D50W20WH·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.331.361.790.690.94
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.000.500.501.50
vs Similar (26)1.121.381.582.000.710.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W21W00D10W01L02L00D11D12LA·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01H·ARB15/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.101.671.401.130.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.551.201.781.561.360.91
vs Weaker (10)1.100.901.501.170.500.50
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.7%
@ 2.28+6.7%
Under 2.5
52.3%
@ 1.59-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.0%
Under 3.5
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.4%
No
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
Morton goals ↓
Raith Rvs goals →
01234
08.7%11%9.5%5.0%2.0%
16.3%13%9.5%5.0%2.0%
23.7%5.9%4.7%2.5%1.0%
31.2%2.0%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.3%0.5%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Morton goals (down), columns = Raith Rvs goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kilmarnock
1.86
Arbroath
1.81
Inverness CT
1.64
Partick
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.39
Hamilton
1.17
Morton
1.11
Ayr
1.08
Dunfermline
0.97
Queen of Sth
0.92
Morton is 0.28 points worse than Raith Rvs in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.39).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Arbroath
1.50
Inverness CT
1.47
Kilmarnock
1.39
Partick
1.28
Raith Rvs
1.22
Ayr
1.08
Hamilton
1.06
Dunfermline
1.00
Queen of Sth
1.00
Morton
1.00
Morton is 0.22 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.22).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.75
Arbroath
0.78
Inverness CT
0.94
Partick
1.11
Raith Rvs
1.22
Morton
1.31
Ayr
1.44
Dunfermline
1.47
Hamilton
1.47
Queen of Sth
1.50
Morton is 0.08 goals worse than Raith Rvs in terms of goals conceded per game (1.31 vs 1.22).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MortonMorton

For 4.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.5

ðŸšĐ Corners

1604621698844745106635341031516811151287A·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

60442111113212134062215034A·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.8

⚠ïļ Fouls

290811136131112481099961311106151419192416181815241629A·AYRH·DUNA·KILA·ARBH·INVH·AYRA·RAIH·KILA·DUNH·HAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RR
Raith Rvs

For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2

ðŸšĐ Corners

15073325223924471056846105759611151410H·ARBA·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1

ðŸŸĻ Cards

802411222411142335212534515583H·ARBA·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.7 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

350147915191651591011814136910179721243520191927152716H·ARBA·INVH·DUNA·AYRA·PARH·KILA·ARBH·MORA·HAMA·QUE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MortonMorton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.910.62.92.63.220.721.420.0
vs Stronger (8)11.19.812.53.41.85.019.820.019.5
vs Similar (42)10.09.910.22.82.82.920.921.720.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line64%68%60%36%32%40%36%44%28%
% under line36%32%40%64%68%60%64%56%72%
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.910.84.24.24.322.622.622.5
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)11.211.511.04.24.14.322.622.922.4
vs Weaker (18)10.19.910.24.34.24.422.522.322.8
% over line62%68%56%70%68%72%62%56%68%
% under line38%32%44%30%32%28%38%44%32%
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dunfermline
11.0
Raith Rvs
10.8
Queen of Sth
10.6
Partick
10.3
Ayr
10.3
Morton
10.2
Hamilton
10.2
Arbroath
10.0
Kilmarnock
10.0
Inverness CT
9.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Raith Rvs
4.2
Inverness CT
3.6
Partick
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Kilmarnock
3.4
Hamilton
3.3
Queen of Sth
3.2
Ayr
3.2
Dunfermline
2.9
Morton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Kilmarnock
25.0
Hamilton
24.5
Arbroath
23.1
Inverness CT
23.1
Raith Rvs
22.6
Dunfermline
21.4
Partick
21.3
Ayr
21.1
Queen of Sth
20.9
Morton
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.7%
Under 3.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.3%
Under 21.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D02L11D10W13L00D01L30W10WH·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.570.860.250.38
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.000.500.500.50
vs Similar (26)0.420.620.670.920.210.36
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D00D00D00D01L00D10W10WA·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01H·ARB15/01
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.930.270.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.800.351.000.330.640.36
vs Weaker (10)0.700.100.830.170.500.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MortonMorton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W00D01L12L03L12L10W20W10WH·HAM30/10A·DUN06/11H·KIL13/11A·RAI20/11H·AYR04/12H·INV11/12A·ARB18/12A·KIL29/12H·DUN08/01A·AYR15/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.790.930.440.56
vs Stronger (4)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.690.770.921.080.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Raith Rvs) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RR
Raith Rvs

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D10W00D10W01L01L00D01L02LA·QUE06/11A·HAM13/11H·MOR20/11A·ARB04/12H·KIL11/12A·PAR18/12A·AYR26/12H·DUN02/01A·INV08/01H·ARB15/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.731.130.530.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.850.781.220.730.55
vs Weaker (10)0.400.800.671.000.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Morton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Morton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Morton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Raith Rvs over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls82.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.574.0%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards73.9%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners71.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (24)
€7m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (9)
€3m
DUN (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (5)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (13)
€2m
PAR (8)
€1m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
MOR wins
0
Draws
6
RR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Morton vs Raith Rvs · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
20/11/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-1
18/09/21HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
27/03/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR1-0
06/02/21HMOR Vs Raith Rvs0-1
07/11/20ARaith Rvs Vs MOR5-0
15/04/17ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-0
07/02/17ARaith Rvs Vs MOR0-1
14/01/17HMOR Vs Raith Rvs2-0

MortonMorton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22AAyr Vs MOR0-2
08/01/22HMOR Vs Dunfermline5-0
29/12/21AKilmarnock Vs MOR1-1
18/12/21AArbroath Vs MOR2-1
11/12/21HMOR Vs Inverness CT1-6
04/12/21HMOR Vs Ayr2-2
20/11/21ARaith Rvs Vs MOR2-1
13/11/21HMOR Vs Kilmarnock0-2
06/11/21ADunfermline Vs MOR1-3
30/10/21HMOR Vs Hamilton1-1

RR
Raith Rvs

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22HRR Vs Arbroath1-2
08/01/22AInverness CT Vs RR1-1
02/01/22HRR Vs Dunfermline0-0
26/12/21AAyr Vs RR2-0
18/12/21APartick Vs RR1-0
11/12/21HRR Vs Kilmarnock1-0
04/12/21AArbroath Vs RR0-0
20/11/21HRR Vs Morton2-1
13/11/21AHamilton Vs RR0-3
06/11/21AQueen of Sth Vs RR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Morton
Morton
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.00
HomeDLDLW1.04
AwayWLLDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.342.721.96
Over 1.5 %66%72%60%
Over 2.5 %38%44%32%
Over 3.5 %26%40%12%
Scored0.981.200.76
Conceded1.361.521.20
BTTS48%52%44%
Clean Sheet26%24%28%
Corners10.229.8810.56
Cards2.902.603.20
RR
Raith Rvs
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.62
HomeWWWDL1.72
AwayWDLLD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%48%40%
AVG goals2.703.042.36
Over 1.5 %70%76%64%
Over 2.5 %48%64%32%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.521.721.32
Conceded1.181.321.04
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners10.8210.8810.76
Cards4.244.164.32

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KilmarnockKilmarnock3667
56%
1.9
5027+23
2.1
67%
36%
14%
9.9
47%
3.2
36%
22.6
64%
7
3231.40.8
-
2ArbroathArbroath3665
47%
1.8
5428+26
2.3
61%
44%
22%
10.3
58%
3.3
50%
21.8
47%
1
0001.50.8
-
3Inverness CTInverness CT3659
44%
1.6
5334+19
2.4
64%
47%
22%
8.8
42%
3.3
39%
21.9
50%
1
0001.50.9
-
4PartickPartick3652
39%
1.4
4640+6
2.4
56%
44%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
20.7
44%
3
1111.31.1
-
5
RR
Raith Rvs
3650
33%
1.4
4444+0
2.4
67%
39%
22%
10.2
53%
3.7
58%
21.2
47%
0
0001.21.2
-
6
H
Hamilton
3642
28%
1.2
3853-15
2.5
69%
42%
25%
10.4
47%
3.9
56%
23.2
61%
0
0001.11.5
-
7MortonMorton3640
25%
1.1
3647-11
2.3
64%
42%
22%
10.4
61%
2.8
31%
20.1
33%
1
0001.01.3
-
8
A
Ayr
3639
25%
1.1
3952-13
2.5
81%
47%
28%
10.2
61%
3.4
53%
20.3
39%
0
0001.11.4
-
9DunfermlineDunfermline3635
19%
1.0
3653-17
2.5
72%
47%
25%
10.1
56%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
4
2021.01.5
-
10
QO
Queen of Sth
3633
22%
0.9
3654-18
2.5
67%
50%
19%
10.6
64%
2.8
28%
19.7
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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