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Moss vs Egersund Result & Analysis

Date: 28/06/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Moss
Moss
Vs
50%
24%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moss win✗ Miss
49.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Egersund win✓ Hit
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W03L01L20W02L21W03L22D31W12LH·STA27/04A·LIL03/05H·VIK07/05H·LYN11/05A·ODD16/05H·SKE24/05H·STA31/05A·MJO15/06H·HOD18/06A·ASA21/06
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.572.331.001.072.13
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.781.562.501.001.002.15
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D22D12L13L02L01L34L31W22DA·RAU28/04A·ODD03/05A·RAN07/05A·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.771.872.001.601.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)1.411.951.622.001.111.89
vs Weaker (8)2.621.253.502.002.331.00
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
62.8%
Under 2.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.6%
Under 3.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.1%
1-2
6.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.0%
0-0
4.9%
Moss goals ↓
Egersund goals →
01234
04.9%4.3%3.5%1.6%0.5%
16.5%11%6.7%3.0%1.0%
27.1%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.5%6.0%4.0%1.8%0.6%
42.1%2.9%1.9%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moss goals (down), columns = Egersund goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lillestrom
2.67
Brattvåg
2.25
Start
1.83
Kongsvinger
1.77
Egersund
1.75
Aalesund
1.69
Lyn
1.57
Ranheim
1.55
Sogndal
1.43
hodd
1.10
ODD Ballklubb
1.10
Asane
1.03
Stabaek
1.03
Raufoss
1.00
Moss
0.97
Mjondalen
0.83
Skeid
0.50
Grorud
0.00
Moss is 0.78 points worse than Egersund in terms of average points per game (0.97 vs 1.75).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lillestrom
2.90
Kongsvinger
2.10
Start
1.93
Aalesund
1.91
Brattvåg
1.75
Egersund
1.72
Sogndal
1.63
Ranheim
1.61
Lyn
1.60
Stabaek
1.50
Raufoss
1.43
Moss
1.38
Asane
1.27
ODD Ballklubb
1.23
Mjondalen
1.20
Skeid
1.17
hodd
1.13
Grorud
0.50
Moss is 0.34 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.72).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lillestrom
0.60
Brattvåg
1.00
Start
1.17
Lyn
1.23
Aalesund
1.25
Egersund
1.28
Kongsvinger
1.48
Sogndal
1.60
Ranheim
1.65
ODD Ballklubb
1.67
hodd
1.73
Asane
1.77
Stabaek
1.77
Raufoss
1.87
Grorud
2.00
Moss
2.12
Skeid
2.20
Mjondalen
2.37
Moss is 0.84 goals worse than Egersund in terms of goals conceded per game (2.12 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W02L00D10W00D10W00D10W20W00DH·STA27/04A·LIL03/05H·VIK07/05H·LYN11/05A·ODD16/05H·SKE24/05H·STA31/05A·MJO15/06H·HOD18/06A·ASA21/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.200.200.271.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.740.561.290.210.150.92
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L10W12L01L01L21W01L10WA·RAU28/04A·ODD03/05A·RAN07/05A·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.800.930.800.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.640.770.690.850.560.67
vs Weaker (8)1.250.881.501.501.170.67
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MossMoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L01L10W02L11D03L12L11D12LH·STA27/04A·LIL03/05H·VIK07/05H·LYN11/05A·ODD16/05H·SKE24/05H·STA31/05A·MJO15/06H·HOD18/06A·ASA21/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.971.130.800.801.13
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)1.041.001.210.790.851.23
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Egersund) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EgersundEgersund

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L21W02L01L01L00D13L30W12LA·RAU28/04A·ODD03/05A·RAN07/05A·STA16/05H·SAR20/05H·SOG25/05A·LIL31/05H·RAN15/06A·STA18/06H·KON21/06
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.971.071.070.800.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (22)0.771.180.921.150.561.22
vs Weaker (8)1.380.382.000.501.170.33
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Egersund over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
OB (25)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
Moss and Egersund have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (9)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
OB (6)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
Moss and Egersund have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
OB (7)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
Moss and Egersund have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
OB (12)
€3m
STA (10)
€3m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
Moss and Egersund have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
MOS wins
0
Draws
2
EGE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moss vs Egersund · H/A from MOS
DateH/AGameScore
26/08/24AEgersund Vs MOS3-2
27/04/24HMOS Vs Egersund1-2

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/06/25AAsane Vs MOS2-1
18/06/25HMOS Vs hodd3-1
15/06/25AMjondalen Vs MOS2-2
31/05/25HMOS Vs Start0-3
24/05/25HMOS Vs Skeid2-1
16/05/25AODD Ballklubb Vs MOS2-0
11/05/25HMOS Vs Lyn2-0
07/05/25HMOS Vs Viking0-1
03/05/25ALillestrom Vs MOS3-0
27/04/25HMOS Vs Stabaek4-2

EgersundEgersund

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/06/25HEGE Vs Kongsvinger2-2
18/06/25AStabaek Vs EGE1-3
15/06/25HEGE Vs Ranheim3-4
31/05/25ALillestrom Vs EGE1-0
25/05/25HEGE Vs Sogndal0-2
20/05/25HEGE Vs Sarpsborg 08 FF1-3
16/05/25AStart Vs EGE2-1
07/05/25ARanheim Vs EGE2-2
03/05/25AODD Ballklubb Vs EGE1-1
28/04/25ARaufoss Vs EGE0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.64
HomeLWWLW2.25
AwayWLLDL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%71%31%
AVG goals3.223.043.38
Over 1.5 %80%75%85%
Over 2.5 %64%58%69%
Over 3.5 %36%29%42%
Scored1.702.041.38
Conceded1.521.002.00
BTTS52%50%54%
Clean Sheet24%38%12%
Corners7.005.009.00
Cards4.504.005.00
Egersund
Egersund
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWD1.57
HomeWLLLD1.35
AwayDDLLW1.77
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %47%39%54%
AVG goals3.613.483.73
Over 1.5 %86%91%81%
Over 2.5 %69%65%73%
Over 3.5 %49%52%46%
Scored1.881.652.08
Conceded1.731.831.65
BTTS71%74%69%
Clean Sheet14%4%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LillestromLillestrom3080
83%
2.7
8718+69
3.5
87%
73%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
6452.90.6
-
2EgersundEgersund3256
50%
1.8
5541+14
3.0
81%
47%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.71.3
-
3StartStart3055
53%
1.8
5835+23
3.1
90%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.91.2
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3155
48%
1.8
6546+19
3.6
94%
74%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3122.11.5
-
5AalesundAalesund3254
44%
1.7
6140+21
3.2
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.91.2
-
6RanheimRanheim3148
45%
1.5
5051-1
3.3
87%
71%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
7LynLyn3047
47%
1.6
4837+11
2.8
77%
60%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.61.2
-
8SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4948+1
3.2
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.6
-
9ODD BallklubbODD Ballklubb3033
27%
1.1
3750-13
2.9
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.21.7
-
10hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
3452-18
2.9
80%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
11StabaekStabaek3031
23%
1.0
4553-8
3.3
90%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.51.8
-
12AsaneAsane3031
23%
1.0
3853-15
3.0
90%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.31.8
-
13MossMoss3231
25%
1.0
4468-24
3.5
97%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.42.1
-
14RaufossRaufoss3030
23%
1.0
4356-13
3.3
83%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.41.9
-
15MjondalenMjondalen3025
20%
0.8
3671-35
3.6
87%
67%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
16SkeidSkeid3015
7%
0.5
3566-31
3.4
93%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.2
-
17BrattvågBrattvåg49
75%
2.2
74+3
2.8
100%
75%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
18GrorudGrorud20
0%
0.0
14-3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.0
-
Norway: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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