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Moss vs Levanger Result & Analysis

Date: 21/10/2024
Time: 17:00
Final 5-1
Moss
Moss
Vs
53%
26%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Levanger
Levanger
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moss win✓ Hit
52.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Levanger win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L01L30W23L10W00D01L61W03L11DH·VAL03/08A·AAL10/08H·SOG19/08A·EGE26/08H·MJO01/09A·KON16/09A·RAN21/09H·SAN25/09A·BRY28/09H·ASA06/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.371.930.931.501.75
vs Stronger (3)1.003.001.002.001.005.00
vs Similar (26)1.731.232.080.751.431.64
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Levanger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LevangerLevanger

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D14L02L21W11D01L13L11D12L02LH·MJO14/08H·VAL18/08A·MJO26/08H·EGE02/09A·STA16/09H·RAU21/09H·LYN25/09A·RAN28/09H·STA02/10A·SAN05/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.471.331.401.40
vs Stronger (2)1.501.001.501.00--
vs Similar (27)1.331.441.461.381.211.50
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.6%
Under 1.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.1%
Under 2.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.0%
Under 3.5
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.2%
No
46.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
9.6%
0-0
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-1
5.5%
0-1
5.5%
Moss goals ↓
Levanger goals →
01234
07.7%5.5%3.4%1.1%0.3%
110%13%5.7%1.9%0.5%
29.6%9.7%4.9%1.7%0.4%
35.5%5.5%2.8%0.9%0.2%
42.3%2.4%1.2%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moss goals (down), columns = Levanger goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Valerenga
2.30
Bryne
1.93
Moss
1.81
Lyn
1.52
Egersund
1.52
Kongsvinger
1.45
Stabaek
1.40
Raufoss
1.37
Aalesund
1.33
Ranheim
1.30
Asane
1.23
Start
1.17
Sogndal
1.13
Mjondalen
1.07
Levanger
0.97
Sandnes ULF
0.57
Moss is 0.84 points better than Levanger in terms of average points per game (1.81 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Valerenga
2.73
Stabaek
1.90
Egersund
1.87
Lyn
1.84
Moss
1.84
Bryne
1.67
Ranheim
1.60
Kongsvinger
1.58
Levanger
1.57
Asane
1.53
Start
1.50
Aalesund
1.50
Mjondalen
1.27
Sogndal
1.13
Raufoss
1.13
Sandnes ULF
0.87
Moss is 0.27 goals better than Levanger in terms of goals scored per game (1.84 vs 1.57).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Bryne
0.97
Valerenga
1.03
Raufoss
1.17
Lyn
1.32
Sogndal
1.33
Moss
1.39
Ranheim
1.53
Aalesund
1.63
Kongsvinger
1.67
Mjondalen
1.67
Levanger
1.70
Asane
1.73
Egersund
1.87
Start
1.90
Stabaek
1.97
Sandnes ULF
2.67
Moss is 0.31 goals better than Levanger in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.70).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W01L00D00D01L21W02L10WH·VAL03/08A·AAL10/08H·SOG19/08A·EGE26/08H·MJO01/09A·KON16/09A·RAN21/09H·SAN25/09A·BRY28/09H·ASA06/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.570.290.690.75
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.500.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.650.540.670.250.640.79
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Levanger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LevangerLevanger

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D02L01L11D00D00D12L00D01L01LH·MJO14/08H·VAL18/08A·MJO26/08H·EGE02/09A·STA16/09H·RAU21/09H·LYN25/09A·RAN28/09H·STA02/10A·SAN05/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.930.800.670.53
vs Stronger (2)1.000.501.000.50--
vs Similar (27)0.740.700.920.850.570.57
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MossMoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D20W22D10W00D00D40W01L01LH·VAL03/08A·AAL10/08H·SOG19/08A·EGE26/08H·MJO01/09A·KON16/09A·RAN21/09H·SAN25/09A·BRY28/09H·ASA06/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.831.360.640.811.00
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.001.501.004.00
vs Similar (26)1.080.691.420.500.790.86
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Levanger) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LevangerLevanger

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L10W11D01L01L11D11D01LH·MJO14/08H·VAL18/08A·MJO26/08H·EGE02/09A·STA16/09H·RAU21/09H·LYN25/09A·RAN28/09H·STA02/10A·SAN05/10
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.530.530.730.87
vs Stronger (2)0.500.500.500.50--
vs Similar (27)0.590.740.540.540.640.93
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Levanger over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (22)
€16m
AAL (25)
€13m
STA (24)
€9m
STA (25)
€9m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
EGE (25)
€5m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
LYN (23)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (7)
€6m
STA (9)
€5m
AAL (7)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
EGE (5)
€1m
LYN (5)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (6)
€5m
AAL (8)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
LYN (9)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
EGE (8)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VAL (9)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
STA (10)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
EGE (12)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
LYN (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MOS wins
0
Draws
1
LEV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moss vs Levanger · H/A from MOS
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24ALevanger Vs MOS5-0

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HMOS Vs Asane1-1
28/09/24ABryne Vs MOS3-0
25/09/24HMOS Vs Sandnes ULF6-1
21/09/24ARanheim Vs MOS1-0
16/09/24AKongsvinger Vs MOS0-0
01/09/24HMOS Vs Mjondalen1-0
26/08/24AEgersund Vs MOS3-2
19/08/24HMOS Vs Sogndal3-0
10/08/24AAalesund Vs MOS1-0
03/08/24HMOS Vs Valerenga0-2

LevangerLevanger

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/24ASandnes ULF Vs LEV2-0
02/10/24HLEV Vs Stabaek1-2
28/09/24ARanheim Vs LEV1-1
25/09/24HLEV Vs Lyn1-3
21/09/24HLEV Vs Raufoss0-1
16/09/24AStart Vs LEV1-1
02/09/24HLEV Vs Egersund2-1
26/08/24AMjondalen Vs LEV2-0
18/08/24HLEV Vs Valerenga1-4
14/08/24HLEV Vs Mjondalen1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.42
HomeLWWWD1.96
AwayLLDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%61%26%
AVG goals2.922.653.15
Over 1.5 %74%65%81%
Over 2.5 %62%57%67%
Over 3.5 %26%17%33%
Scored1.501.741.30
Conceded1.420.911.85
BTTS52%39%63%
Clean Sheet26%39%15%
Corners---
Cards---
Levanger
Levanger
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL1.16
HomeLWLLL1.13
AwayDLDDL1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%27%25%
AVG goals2.842.802.88
Over 1.5 %77%73%81%
Over 2.5 %55%60%50%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.451.471.44
Conceded1.391.331.44
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet26%27%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ValerengaValerenga3069
70%
2.3
8231+51
3.8
97%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
6552.71.0
-
2BryneBryne3058
60%
1.9
5029+21
2.6
63%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.71.0
-
3MossMoss3156
55%
1.8
5743+14
3.2
74%
61%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.81.4
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3348
36%
1.5
5255-3
3.2
85%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.61.7
-
5LynLyn3147
39%
1.5
5741+16
3.2
84%
58%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.81.3
-
6EgersundEgersund3147
45%
1.5
5858+0
3.7
94%
77%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.91.9
-
7StabaekStabaek3042
40%
1.4
5759-2
3.9
90%
80%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5231.92.0
-
8RaufossRaufoss3041
37%
1.4
3435-1
2.3
70%
40%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.2
-
9AalesundAalesund3040
40%
1.3
4549-4
3.1
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5441.51.6
-
10RanheimRanheim3039
33%
1.3
4846+2
3.1
83%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.61.5
-
11AsaneAsane3037
33%
1.2
4652-6
3.3
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.51.7
-
12StartStart3035
30%
1.2
4557-12
3.4
90%
70%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.51.9
-
13SogndalSogndal3034
30%
1.1
3440-6
2.5
73%
40%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.11.3
-
14MjondalenMjondalen3032
27%
1.1
3850-12
2.9
73%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
15LevangerLevanger3029
20%
1.0
4751-4
3.3
83%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.7
-
16Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3017
13%
0.6
2680-54
3.5
83%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.92.7
-
Norway: 1. Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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