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Moss vs Skeid Result & Analysis

Date: 17/09/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Moss
Moss
Vs
51%
29%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moss win✓ Hit
51.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Skeid win✗ Miss
19.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MossMoss

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L21W21W11D01L02L41W13L03L11DH·KON25/06A·MJO01/07H·BRY09/07A·JER05/08H·KFU09/08A·SAN13/08H·MJO20/08A·BRY23/08H·KRI28/08A·RAU03/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.141.451.090.911.182.00
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (21)1.141.481.090.911.202.10
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L24L00D12L03L12L02L01L02L13LA·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08H·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.901.802.000.931.80
vs Stronger (13)1.462.152.002.140.832.17
vs Similar (17)1.291.711.621.881.001.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%12%021%128%220%311%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.6%
Under 1.5
33.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
38.7%
Under 2.5
61.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.8%
Under 3.5
81.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.0%
No
57.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
14.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
11.9%
2-0
11.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.2%
3-0 ✓
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
Moss goals ↓
Skeid goals →
01234
012%7.2%3.4%0.9%0.2%
114%13%4.8%1.3%0.3%
211%8.8%3.5%0.9%0.2%
35.4%4.2%1.7%0.4%0.1%
41.9%1.5%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moss goals (down), columns = Skeid goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Fredrikstad
2.13
KFUM Oslo
1.93
Kristiansund BK
1.69
Kongsvinger
1.68
Bryne
1.50
Start
1.48
Sogndal
1.43
Ranheim
1.33
Moss
1.27
Raufoss
1.27
Asane
1.23
Mjondalen
1.23
Sandnes ULF
1.23
hodd
1.10
jerv
1.03
Skeid
0.47
Moss is 0.80 points better than Skeid in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 0.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kristiansund BK
1.91
Kongsvinger
1.77
KFUM Oslo
1.70
Fredrikstad
1.67
Start
1.58
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.40
Bryne
1.38
Asane
1.37
jerv
1.33
Mjondalen
1.30
Moss
1.23
Ranheim
1.20
Raufoss
1.17
hodd
0.97
Skeid
0.80
Moss is 0.43 goals better than Skeid in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 0.80).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fredrikstad
0.77
KFUM Oslo
1.03
Bryne
1.16
Raufoss
1.20
Start
1.26
hodd
1.27
Kristiansund BK
1.28
Moss
1.33
Kongsvinger
1.39
Mjondalen
1.40
Asane
1.47
Sogndal
1.50
Sandnes ULF
1.50
Ranheim
1.77
jerv
1.97
Skeid
2.07
Moss is 0.73 goals better than Skeid in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.07).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MossMoss

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W01L10W00D01L21W00D02L10WH·KON25/06A·MJO01/07H·BRY09/07A·JER05/08H·KFU09/08A·SAN13/08H·MJO20/08A·BRY23/08H·KRI28/08A·RAU03/09
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.450.550.360.640.550.45
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (21)0.480.520.360.640.600.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkeidSkeid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D11D00D10W01L00D02L12LA·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08H·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.800.870.270.80
vs Stronger (13)0.690.921.001.000.330.83
vs Similar (17)0.410.760.620.750.220.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MossMoss

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D20W01L01L01L20W13L01L01LH·KON25/06A·MJO01/07H·BRY09/07A·JER05/08H·KFU09/08A·SAN13/08H·MJO20/08A·BRY23/08H·KRI28/08A·RAU03/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.680.910.730.270.641.55
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (21)0.670.950.730.270.601.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %41% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Skeid) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SkeidSkeid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D00D01L03L02L01L01L00D01LA·RAU25/06H·SOG01/07A·ASA09/07H·FRE04/08A·STA09/08H·RAU13/08A·HOD19/08H·RAN23/08A·SOG27/08H·ASA01/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.071.001.130.671.00
vs Stronger (13)0.771.231.001.140.501.33
vs Similar (17)0.880.941.001.120.780.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Moss) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Moss over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moss over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Skeid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.581.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (25)
€15m
KB (21)
€13m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
BRY (21)
€6m
KON (24)
€6m
SOG (19)
€4m
MOS (21)
€4m
RAN (22)
€4m
HOD (20)
€3m
ASA (22)
€3m
SU (21)
€3m
RAU (17)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
KON (10)
€3m
KO (8)
€3m
BRY (6)
€2m
STA (5)
€2m
MOS (6)
€2m
HOD (7)
€1m
ASA (7)
€1m
RAN (6)
€1m
SOG (6)
€1m
SU (5)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KB (6)
€4m
STA (8)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
KO (5)
€2m
BRY (5)
€1m
RAN (5)
€1m
SOG (5)
€1m
SU (7)
€1m
KON (3)
€1m
MOS (6)
€1m
HOD (4)
€1m
RAU (4)
€0m
ASA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FRE (16)
€8m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
BRY (10)
€2m
SOG (8)
€2m
KON (11)
€2m
MOS (9)
€2m
ASA (11)
€2m
RAN (11)
€2m
HOD (9)
€1m
RAU (9)
€1m
SU (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MOS wins
1
Draws
0
SKE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moss vs Skeid · H/A from MOS
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/23ASkeid Vs MOS2-2

MossMoss

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/09/23ARaufoss Vs MOS1-1
28/08/23HMOS Vs Kristiansund BK0-3
23/08/23ABryne Vs MOS3-1
20/08/23HMOS Vs Mjondalen4-1
13/08/23ASandnes ULF Vs MOS2-0
09/08/23HMOS Vs KFUM Oslo0-1
05/08/23Ajerv Vs MOS1-1
09/07/23HMOS Vs Bryne2-1
01/07/23AMjondalen Vs MOS1-2
25/06/23HMOS Vs Kongsvinger0-1

SkeidSkeid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/23HSKE Vs Asane1-3
27/08/23ASogndal Vs SKE2-0
23/08/23HSKE Vs Ranheim0-1
19/08/23Ahodd Vs SKE2-0
13/08/23HSKE Vs Raufoss1-2
09/08/23AStart Vs SKE3-0
04/08/23HSKE Vs Fredrikstad1-2
09/07/23AAsane Vs SKE0-0
01/07/23HSKE Vs Sogndal2-4
25/06/23ARaufoss Vs SKE1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moss
Moss
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.23
HomeLWLWL1.73
AwayWDLLD0.73
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%55%9%
AVG goals2.592.003.18
Over 1.5 %73%45%100%
Over 2.5 %50%45%55%
Over 3.5 %23%9%36%
Scored1.141.091.18
Conceded1.450.912.00
BTTS64%36%91%
Clean Sheet18%36%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Skeid
Skeid
Norway: 1. Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 1 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.90
HomeLLLLL1.12
AwayLDLLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%32%16%
AVG goals3.063.642.48
Over 1.5 %78%88%68%
Over 2.5 %60%72%48%
Over 3.5 %42%56%28%
Scored1.221.720.72
Conceded1.841.921.76
BTTS44%64%24%
Clean Sheet22%20%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FredrikstadFredrikstad3064
60%
2.1
5023+27
2.4
70%
53%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
5381.70.8
-
2KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo3058
57%
1.9
5131+20
2.7
67%
43%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3241.71.0
-
3Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK3254
47%
1.7
6141+20
3.2
88%
56%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
5431.91.3
-
4KongsvingerKongsvinger3152
52%
1.7
5543+12
3.2
94%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.81.4
-
5BryneBryne3248
44%
1.5
4437+7
2.5
75%
59%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.41.2
-
6StartStart3146
39%
1.5
4939+10
2.8
81%
65%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.61.3
-
7SogndalSogndal3043
40%
1.4
4545+0
3.0
83%
63%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.51.5
-
8RanheimRanheim3040
40%
1.3
3653-17
3.0
73%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.21.8
-
9RaufossRaufoss3038
33%
1.3
3536-1
2.4
63%
53%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.21.2
-
10MossMoss3038
33%
1.3
3740-3
2.6
73%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.3
-
11Sandnes ULFSandnes ULF3037
33%
1.2
4245-3
2.9
77%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.5
-
12AsaneAsane3037
30%
1.2
4144-3
2.8
77%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1021.41.5
-
13MjondalenMjondalen3037
33%
1.2
3942-3
2.7
77%
60%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
14hoddhodd3033
27%
1.1
2938-9
2.2
63%
43%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
15jervjerv3031
27%
1.0
4059-19
3.3
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
16SkeidSkeid3014
10%
0.5
2462-38
2.9
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.1
-
Norway: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: 1. Division stats & trends →

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