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Motherwell vs Dundee Utd Result & Analysis

Date: 20/09/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 2-1
Motherwell
Motherwell
Vs
54%
25%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Motherwell win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D31W00D00D12L00D31W21W12LH·EDI13/07A·MON16/07A·CLY20/07H·PAR28/07H·ROS03/08A·RAN10/08H·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.271.530.931.801.60
vs Stronger (4)1.002.000.502.501.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.671.211.580.751.751.67
vs Weaker (2)3.000.503.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %17% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L30W21W52W22D11D10W20W10W01LA·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08H·ST 18/08H·ST 24/08A·HEA01/09H·RAN15/09
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.970.831.940.622.001.07
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (24)1.920.921.920.671.921.17
vs Weaker (5)2.600.402.670.332.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.0%
Under 2.5
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1 ✓
9.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-0
9.3%
0-0
6.9%
3-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Motherwell goals ↓
Dundee Utd goals →
01234
06.9%5.0%3.2%1.1%0.3%
19.3%12%5.8%2.0%0.5%
29.3%9.8%5.2%1.8%0.5%
35.6%5.9%3.1%1.1%0.3%
42.5%2.6%1.4%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motherwell goals (down), columns = Dundee Utd goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Queen's Park
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Montrose
1.75
Partick
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Inverness CT
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Elgin
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Motherwell is 0.29 points worse than Dundee Utd in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Stranraer
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Dumbarton
1.00
Elgin
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Morton
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Brechin
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell is 0.57 goals worse than Dundee Utd in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 2.00).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Hibernian
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Montrose
1.25
Partick
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Stranraer
2.50
Brechin
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Motherwell is 0.45 goals better than Dundee Utd in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.17).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

For 6.7 · Against 6.0 · Total 12.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

170561348746937348486571011171510121012121117A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROSH·ST A·HIBA·ROSH·LIVA·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

905441422111232119452212522A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROSH·ST A·HIBA·ROSH·LIVA·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 19.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

3001614111281789511795641481214930232517161611182023A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROSH·ST A·HIBA·ROSH·LIVA·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

For 6.7 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.8

ðŸšĐ Corners

1504446265756122123111527481081211141512711H·RANA·HEAH·ST A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.7

ðŸŸĻ Cards

1104642252121412651432106732531155H·RANA·HEAH·ST A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.3

⚠ïļ Fouls

320111361514111311861095161414161611424212524141921283215H·RANA·HEAH·ST A·ROSH·DUNH·AYRA·QUEH·RAIH·QUEA·RAI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MotherwellMotherwell

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.89.412.23.53.73.422.022.021.9
vs Stronger (7)10.38.711.53.63.73.521.122.020.5
vs Similar (41)10.99.612.33.73.93.522.122.022.2
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line65%52%77%50%56%44%53%52%55%
% under line35%48%23%50%44%56%47%48%45%
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.611.91.71.91.421.521.721.3
vs Stronger (1)8.08.0-10.010.0-24.024.0-
vs Similar (39)11.310.911.91.92.11.621.321.421.3
vs Weaker (10)---0.00.00.0---
% over line69%56%86%20%23%17%50%56%43%
% under line31%44%14%80%77%83%50%44%57%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.2
Heart Of Midlothian
11.5
Dumbarton
11.4
Kilmarnock
11.3
Falkirk
11.2
Rangers
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Motherwell
11.1
Ross County
11.0
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Dundee
11.0
Morton
10.8
Arbroath
10.7
ST Mirren
10.6
Aberdeen
10.6
Dunfermline
10.5
ST Johnstone
10.4
Hibernian
10.3
Annan Athletic
10.1
Stirling
10.1
Inverness CT
10.1
Stenhousemuir
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Partick
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.9
Forfar
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Stranraer
9.9
Montrose
9.8
Livingston
9.6
Clyde
9.4
East Fife
9.3
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
8.7
Elgin
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Annan Athletic
4.7
Peterhead
4.7
Morton
4.4
Kilmarnock
4.4
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Rangers
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.2
Aberdeen
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.2
Hibernian
4.2
Dundee
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
ST Johnstone
4.1
Montrose
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Falkirk
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Dunfermline
3.9
Celtic
3.8
Ross County
3.8
Edinburgh City
3.8
Stirling
3.8
Livingston
3.7
Partick
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Elgin
3.4
ST Mirren
3.4
Arbroath
3.4
Kelty Hearts
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.3
Cove Rangers
3.1
Inverness CT
3.1

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.9
Forfar
24.1
Livingston
24.0
Aberdeen
24.0
Elgin
23.4
Kilmarnock
22.7
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Morton
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Stenhousemuir
22.3
Motherwell
22.2
Rangers
22.1
Ross County
22.0
ST Mirren
21.9
Dundee Utd
21.7
Falkirk
21.5
Hibernian
21.4
East Fife
21.4
Kelty Hearts
21.4
Edinburgh City
21.1
Arbroath
20.8
Montrose
20.7
Spartans
20.7
Annan Athletic
20.6
Stirling
20.5
Brechin
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Celtic
20.3
Dundee
20.2
Dumbarton
20.1
Stranraer
20.0
Partick
19.9
Dunfermline
19.7
Inverness CT
19.4
Airdrie United
18.8
Cove Rangers
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.6%
Under 9.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
67.7%
Under 3.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.4%
Under 21.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Motherwell or Draw✓ Hit
78.9%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Motherwell + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Motherwell or Dundee Utd✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Motherwell + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Dundee Utd✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied -
54%
25%
21%
covers Draw + Dundee Utd
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Motherwell over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
83.3%
Under
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
53.4%
Under
46.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
26.6%
Under
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.1%
Under
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Motherwell, so a minus line means Motherwell give that many goals of a start and Dundee Utd receive them. At -1, Motherwell must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Motherwell win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Motherwell)Actual: Dundee Utd
Motherwell -2
14.0%
Draw -2
16.8%
Dundee Utd +2
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Motherwell)Actual: Draw
Motherwell -1
30.8%
Draw -1
22.8%
Dundee Utd +1
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Motherwell)Actual: Motherwell
Motherwell +1
78.9%
Draw +1
12.9%
Dundee Utd -1
8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Motherwell)Actual: Motherwell
Motherwell +2
91.9%
Draw +2
5.8%
Dundee Utd -2
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W00D00D12L00D10W10W01LH·EDI13/07A·MON16/07A·CLY20/07H·PAR28/07H·ROS03/08A·RAN10/08H·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.670.800.530.800.80
vs Stronger (4)0.751.000.501.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.790.670.830.500.750.83
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W20W21W00D10W00D00D01LA·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08H·ST 18/08H·ST 24/08A·HEA01/09H·RAN15/09
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.940.380.640.43
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (24)0.710.420.920.330.500.50
vs Weaker (5)1.400.201.330.331.500.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L21W00D00D00D00D21W11D11DH·EDI13/07A·MON16/07A·CLY20/07H·PAR28/07H·ROS03/08A·RAN10/08H·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.600.730.401.000.80
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.001.500.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.880.540.750.251.000.83
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Dundee Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W11D32W01L11D00D20W10W00DA·FAL13/07H·STE16/07H·AYR20/07A·BUC23/07H·DUN04/08A·ROS10/08H·ST 18/08H·ST 24/08A·HEA01/09H·RAN15/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.431.000.251.360.64
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (24)1.210.501.000.331.420.67
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.330.001.000.50
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dundee Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.1%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap91.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals91.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals89.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.584.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards83.9%--------
Home over 0.5 goals83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.6%--------
Home or Draw78.9%-------✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap78.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals73.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals71.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.2%--------

ðŸŽ― 13. Player market rates

Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Slattery33%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos25%
Luke Armstrong21%
Tom Sparrow19%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Moses Ebiye11%
Paul McGinn10%
Zach Robinson8%
Andy Halliday8%
Dan Casey6%
Liam Gordon4%
Tony Watt4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Ewan Wilson3%
Lennon Miller3%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Shane Blaney0%
Steve Seddon0%
Harrison Paton0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Luke Plange0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Blaney27%
Callum Slattery27%
Stephen O'Donnell24%
Andy Halliday21%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos19%
Tom Sparrow19%
Jack Vale17%
Lennon Miller16%
Kofi Balmer15%
Steve Seddon14%
Harrison Paton14%
Dominic Thompson13%
Tawanda Maswanhise13%
Dan Casey12%
Davor Zdravkovski12%
Liam Gordon11%
Sam Nicholson11%
Tony Watt11%
Paul McGinn10%
Ewan Wilson10%
Zach Robinson8%
Luke Armstrong7%
Marvin Kaleta5%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Jair Tavares0%
Luke Plange0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lennon Miller22%
Harrison Paton14%
Dominic Thompson13%
Tawanda Maswanhise10%
Marvin Kaleta10%
Ellery Balcombe8%
Tony Watt7%
Callum Slattery7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos6%
Dan Casey6%
Andy Halliday5%
Kofi Balmer5%
Moses Ebiye4%
Liam Gordon4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tom Sparrow3%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Shane Blaney0%
Luke Armstrong0%
Steve Seddon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Zach Robinson0%
Luke Plange0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Slattery27%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos12%
Lennon Miller12%
Dan Casey12%
Tawanda Maswanhise10%
Moses Ebiye7%
Steve Seddon7%
Tony Watt7%
Tom Sparrow3%
Andy Halliday0%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Shane Blaney0%
Luke Armstrong0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Zach Robinson0%
Luke Plange0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Dundee Utd
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sam Dalby40%
Ross Graham27%
Samuel Cleall-Harding25%
Louis Moult16%
Kristijan Trapanovski10%
Luca Stephenson10%
Emmanuel Adegboyega10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Glenn Middleton7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Vicko Å evelj6%
David Babunski4%
Declan Gallagher3%
Ryan Strain0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Will Ferry34%
Emmanuel Adegboyega32%
Ross Docherty27%
Vicko Å evelj23%
Luca Stephenson23%
Ross Graham20%
Declan Gallagher18%
Kevin Holt17%
Louis Moult16%
Ryan Strain14%
Kristijan Trapanovski14%
David Babunski12%
Glenn Middleton10%
Jack Walton8%
Richard Odada8%
Miller Thomson7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Jort van der Sande3%
Sam Dalby3%
Allan Campbell0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Glenn Middleton14%
Ryan Strain14%
Will Ferry11%
Vicko Å evelj9%
Kristijan Trapanovski7%
Craig Sibbald6%
Declan Gallagher6%
Sam Dalby6%
Kevin Holt4%
David Babunski4%
Luca Stephenson3%
Jort van der Sande3%
Louis Moult0%
Jack Walton0%
Allan Campbell0%
Ross Graham0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Miller Thomson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sam Dalby34%
Louis Moult16%
Glenn Middleton10%
Kevin Holt9%
Miller Thomson7%
Ross Graham7%
David Babunski4%
Kristijan Trapanovski3%
Ryan Strain0%
Vicko Å evelj0%
Jack Walton0%
Jort van der Sande0%
Allan Campbell0%
Declan Gallagher0%
Craig Sibbald0%
Ross Docherty0%
Ruari Paton0%
Lewis Fiorini0%
Richard Odada0%
Will Ferry0%
Kai Fotheringham0%
Luca Stephenson0%
Samuel Cleall-Harding0%
Emmanuel Adegboyega0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Motherwell's squad is €5m more valuable than Dundee Utd's (€16m vs €11m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Motherwell's attack is €6m more valuable than Dundee Utd's (€10m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Motherwell's midfield is €1m less valuable than Dundee Utd's (€1m vs €3m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Motherwell and Dundee Utd have a similar defence value (both €5m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
MOT wins
1
Draws
4
DU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Motherwell vs Dundee Utd · H/A from MOT
DateH/AGameScore
28/05/23HMOT Vs Dundee Utd3-2
15/04/23HMOT Vs Dundee Utd1-2
29/10/22ADundee Utd Vs MOT0-1
03/09/22HMOT Vs Dundee Utd0-0
30/04/22ADundee Utd Vs MOT1-0
09/02/22ADundee Utd Vs MOT2-0
30/11/21HMOT Vs Dundee Utd1-0
23/10/21ADundee Utd Vs MOT2-1

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/09/24AAberdeen Vs MOT2-1
31/08/24AST Johnstone Vs MOT1-2
25/08/24HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian3-1
18/08/24HMOT Vs Kilmarnock0-0
10/08/24ARangers Vs MOT2-1
03/08/24HMOT Vs Ross County0-0
28/07/24HMOT Vs Partick0-0
20/07/24AClyde Vs MOT1-3
16/07/24AMontrose Vs MOT1-1
13/07/24HMOT Vs Edinburgh City3-0

Dundee UtdDundee Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/09/24HDU Vs Rangers0-1
01/09/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs DU0-1
24/08/24HDU Vs ST Johnstone2-0
18/08/24HDU Vs ST Mirren1-0
10/08/24ARoss County Vs DU1-1
04/08/24HDU Vs Dundee2-2
23/07/24ABuckie Thistle Vs DU2-5
20/07/24HDU Vs Ayr Utd2-1
16/07/24HDU Vs Stenhousemuir3-0
13/07/24AFalkirk Vs DU2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.26
HomeWDDDW1.32
AwayDWLWL1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%32%28%
AVG goals2.883.002.76
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %56%60%52%
Over 3.5 %32%36%28%
Scored1.481.641.32
Conceded1.401.361.44
BTTS66%68%64%
Clean Sheet14%20%8%
Corners10.849.4312.18
Cards4.214.603.86
Dundee Utd
Dundee Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL2.02
HomeWDWWL2.12
AwayDLWDW1.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%65%54%
AVG goals2.602.542.67
Over 1.5 %70%65%75%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %28%31%25%
Scored1.881.881.88
Conceded0.720.650.79
BTTS42%35%50%
Clean Sheet48%50%46%
Corners11.1210.5611.86
Cards5.195.564.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

← all matches