This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.13
2.00
1.15
1.47
1.12
vs Stronger (10)
0.90
1.20
0.75
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (8)
1.75
1.62
2.33
2.00
1.40
1.40
vs Weaker (12)
2.33
0.75
2.67
0.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.4%
Under 1.5
23.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.7%
@ 1.79-1.3%
Under 2.5
49.3%
@ 1.94+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.7%
Under 3.5
71.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
0-0
7.9%
1-0
7.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-0 ✓
5.9%
Motherwell goals ↓
Hibernian goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.9%
8.0%
6.3%
2.9%
1.0%
1
7.7%
13%
8.4%
3.9%
1.3%
2
5.9%
8.1%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
3
2.6%
3.6%
2.5%
1.1%
0.4%
4
0.9%
1.2%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motherwell goals (down), columns = Hibernian goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Motherwell is 0.11 points better than Hibernian in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Motherwell is 0.03 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Motherwell is 0.21 goals better than Hibernian in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 1.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Motherwell is 11.2 percentage points better than Hibernian in terms of average possession (58% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Motherwell
For 4.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 16.2 · Total 29.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Hibernian
For 4.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Motherwell
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.2
10.8
3.8
3.5
4.0
24.9
25.8
24.3
vs Stronger (7)
11.5
11.7
11.3
3.4
3.0
4.0
22.8
20.7
25.0
vs Similar (40)
9.8
8.7
10.7
4.1
3.8
4.3
25.3
26.8
24.1
vs Weaker (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
51%
39%
61%
56%
45%
64%
71%
83%
61%
% under line
49%
61%
39%
44%
55%
36%
29%
17%
39%
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
12.8
10.5
3.9
3.6
4.1
20.8
20.8
20.7
vs Stronger (14)
13.1
14.5
11.8
3.5
4.0
3.1
19.1
21.5
16.8
vs Similar (17)
10.2
10.4
10.1
3.8
3.4
4.2
21.1
20.6
21.6
vs Weaker (19)
12.0
14.0
10.2
4.3
3.5
4.8
21.2
20.8
21.7
% over line
68%
79%
59%
56%
50%
61%
41%
42%
41%
% under line
32%
21%
41%
44%
50%
39%
59%
58%
59%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.5
Hibernian
11.3
Falkirk
11.2
Aberdeen
10.8
Dundee Utd
10.8
Rangers
10.8
Motherwell
10.5
ST Mirren
10.5
Kilmarnock
10.4
Dundee
10.3
Heart Of Midlothian
10.2
Partick
10.2
Dunfermline
10.1
Arbroath
9.8
Livingston
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
5.0
Motherwell
4.6
ST Mirren
4.5
Hibernian
4.4
Dundee Utd
4.4
Partick
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Livingston
4.1
Heart Of Midlothian
4.1
Rangers
4.1
Falkirk
3.9
Dunfermline
3.7
Dundee
3.6
Celtic
3.5
Arbroath
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Livingston
25.0
Motherwell
24.8
Aberdeen
23.8
Heart Of Midlothian
23.2
Kilmarnock
23.0
Falkirk
22.8
Rangers
22.7
Dundee Utd
21.8
ST Mirren
21.3
Hibernian
21.1
Dundee
20.9
Dunfermline
20.7
Arbroath
20.2
Partick
20.2
Celtic
20.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Motherwell
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.62
0.62
0.59
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.54
0.58
0.73
0.64
0.38
0.54
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
0.85
0.69
0.88
0.53
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.80
0.25
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Similar (8)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.33
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (12)
1.25
0.33
1.17
0.17
1.33
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Motherwell
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.73
1.23
0.54
0.71
0.88
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (24)
0.92
0.75
1.09
0.64
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
0.33
3.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hibernian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hibernian
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.53
1.15
0.46
0.59
0.59
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.40
0.50
0.50
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.88
1.33
0.67
0.80
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.42
1.50
0.33
0.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hibernian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawanda Maswanhise40%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos26%
Elijah Just20%
Emmanuel Longelo19%
Elliot Watt18%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Callum Slattery10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Ibrahim Said8%
Liam Gordon6%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Stephen Welsh4%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Slattery26%
Elliot Watt21%
Callum Hendry19%
Liam Gordon18%
Emmanuel Longelo17%
Ibrahim Said16%
Paul McGinn12%
Elijah Just11%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Sam Nicholson10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Stephen Welsh7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos5%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Oscar Priestman4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tawanda Maswanhise3%
Calum Ward3%
Jordan McGhee0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eythor Bjørgolfsson22%
Callum Slattery19%
Elijah Just17%
Emmanuel Longelo11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos11%
Elliot Watt9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Lukas Fadinger6%
Stephen O'Donnell6%
Tawanda Maswanhise6%
Stephen Welsh4%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Liam Gordon0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elijah Just26%
Tawanda Maswanhise26%
Callum Slattery23%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos16%
Callum Hendry14%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Elliot Watt0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Hibernian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Šuto29%
Kieron Bowie25%
Martin Boyle24%
Owen Elding23%
Jamie McGrath22%
Thody Elie Youan17%
Felix Passlack15%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga14%
Thibault Klidje14%
Junior Hoilett12%
Kai Andrews9%
Josh Mulligan8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Joe Newell7%
Josh Campbell7%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa7%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Obita4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Nicky Cadden0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Josh Mulligan31%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa30%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga25%
Jordan Obita25%
Josh Campbell18%
Jamie McGrath17%
Felix Passlack15%
Dane Scarlett15%
Joe Newell14%
Daniel Barlaser14%
Ante Šuto14%
Jack Iredale14%
Kieron Bowie12%
Thody Elie Youan11%
Warren O'Hora10%
Kai Andrews9%
Grant Hanley8%
Martin Boyle8%
Kanayochukwu Megwa8%
Owen Elding8%
Nicky Cadden7%
Dylan Levitt7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Raphael Sallinger6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Jordan Smith0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Felix Passlack23%
Nicky Cadden22%
Josh Mulligan19%
Jordan Obita18%
Kieron Bowie12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Josh Campbell11%
Kai Andrews9%
Daniel Barlaser9%
Martin Boyle8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Ante Šuto7%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thody Elie Youan6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga4%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Jordan Smith0%
Grant Hanley0%
Joe Newell0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Owen Elding0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kieron Bowie38%
Owen Elding23%
Thody Elie Youan22%
Martin Boyle13%
Josh Mulligan12%
Jamie McGrath11%
Felix Passlack8%
Dane Scarlett8%
Junior Hoilett6%
Thibault Klidje5%
Christopher Cadden5%
Grant Hanley4%
Nicky Cadden4%
Jordan Obita4%
Miguel Changa Chaiwa3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Rocky Bushiri Kiranga0%
Jordan Smith0%
Joe Newell0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Jack Iredale0%
Dylan Levitt0%
Josh Campbell0%
Warren O'Hora0%
Ante Šuto0%
Kanayochukwu Megwa0%
Rudi Allan Molotnikov0%
Kai Andrews0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Motherwell's squad is €4m less valuable than Hibernian's (€16m vs €20m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Motherwell's attack is €2m more valuable than Hibernian's (€10m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Motherwell's midfield is €6m less valuable than Hibernian's (€1m vs €8m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Motherwell and Hibernian have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →