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Motherwell vs Rangers Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Motherwell
Motherwell
Vs
28%
28%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rangers
Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Rangers are the clear favourite to win, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 28% chance of a Motherwell win. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals at 26%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.5% probability. Motherwell, playing at home against a stronger side, averages just 0.5 goals scored and concedes 3.0, while Rangers, on the road to a weaker opponent, average 1.3 goals scored and 1.1 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (97.1%), Under 5.5 (95.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (93.8%), Home under 2.5 goals (89.0%), Away +2 handicap (88.1%) and Under 4.5 (87.5%). Motherwell’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while Rangers come off a win.

Results analysis

The match saw Rangers extend their recent winning streak, finishing 1-2 to secure the away win that the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite was the away side, with a 43% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Under 7.5 hit with 99.4%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.2%, Home under 3.5 goals hit at 97.1%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.0%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 93.8%, Home under 2.5 goals hit at 89.0%, Away +2 handicap hit at 88.1%, and Under 4.5 hit at 87.5%. The final score of 1-2 matched the predicted outcome, confirming the model’s overall accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Motherwell win✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rangers win✓ Hit
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W21W12L21W21W21W01L03L21WH·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09H·DUN20/09H·ST 28/09A·HIB05/10H·DUN19/10H·CEL27/10A·DUN30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.301.201.071.871.53
vs Stronger (4)1.002.250.503.001.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.501.211.170.831.831.58
vs Weaker (2)3.000.503.000.003.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W30W20W10W14L20W01L40W21W12LA·DUN15/09H·DUN21/09A·MAL26/09H·HIB29/09H·LYO03/10H·ST 06/10A·KIL20/10H·FCS24/10H·ST 27/10A·ABE30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.232.441.121.211.36
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (6)1.002.501.333.000.672.00
vs Weaker (22)2.180.862.920.671.301.10
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.6%
Under 2.5
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
Under 3.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.8%
No
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
0-1
9.5%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
0-0
8.5%
0-2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
5.2%
Motherwell goals ↓
Rangers goals →
01234
08.5%9.5%7.9%3.9%1.4%
17.2%14%9.0%4.4%1.6%
24.8%7.1%5.2%2.5%0.9%
31.8%2.7%2.0%1.0%0.4%
40.5%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motherwell goals (down), columns = Rangers goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Queen's Park
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Alloa Athletic
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Montrose
1.75
Partick
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Inverness CT
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Kilmarnock
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Elgin
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Motherwell is 0.79 points worse than Rangers in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Ross County
2.00
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Stranraer
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Dumbarton
1.00
Elgin
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Morton
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Brechin
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Motherwell is 1.07 goals worse than Rangers in terms of goals scored per game (1.43 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Hibernian
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Montrose
1.25
Partick
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Stranraer
2.50
Brechin
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Motherwell is 0.29 goals better than Rangers in terms of goals conceded per game (0.71 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

For 6.2 · Against 6.8 · Total 13.0

🚩 Corners

1703113103551096561348746931413815151117151012A·DUNH·CELH·DUNA·HIBH·ST A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

100432223655544142274291094522A·DUNH·CELH·DUNA·HIBH·ST A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 22.6

⚠️ Fouls

300121111910136181213161411128178951123202324253023251716A·DUNH·CELH·DUNA·HIBH·ST A·ABEA·ST H·HEAA·RANH·ROS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RangersRangers

For 4.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.6

🚩 Corners

11064734261733247354447101067105118811A·ABEH·ST H·FCSA·KILH·ST H·LYOH·HIBA·MALA·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

1003522343121232222645484743544109A·ABEH·ST H·FCSA·KILH·ST H·LYOH·HIBA·MALA·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 10.4 · Total 24.9

⚠️ Fouls

340206109191513122212132111213131311111226193425341523262423A·ABEH·ST H·FCSA·KILH·ST H·LYOH·HIBA·MALA·DUNA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MotherwellMotherwell

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.011.73.73.63.921.521.221.8
vs Stronger (8)10.69.811.53.63.83.521.021.520.5
vs Similar (40)10.910.111.74.03.84.221.621.122.1
vs Weaker (2)---0.00.00.0---
% over line68%59%77%52%54%50%52%50%55%
% under line32%41%23%48%46%50%48%50%45%
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.011.310.63.93.54.322.221.123.3
vs Stronger (2)16.014.018.03.52.05.016.512.021.0
vs Similar (9)8.46.79.85.14.25.825.123.026.8
vs Weaker (39)11.211.910.43.73.53.922.021.322.7
% over line67%78%57%64%62%67%52%39%65%
% under line33%22%43%36%38%33%48%61%35%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
12.4
Dumbarton
11.5
Heart Of Midlothian
11.4
Motherwell
11.2
Kilmarnock
11.2
Kelty Hearts
11.2
Dundee
11.0
Rangers
11.0
Dundee Utd
10.9
Ross County
10.9
Falkirk
10.9
Morton
10.9
Arbroath
10.8
ST Johnstone
10.5
Dunfermline
10.5
ST Mirren
10.5
Aberdeen
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Stenhousemuir
10.2
Hibernian
10.2
Airdrie United
10.2
Montrose
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Partick
10.0
Edinburgh City
9.9
Inverness CT
9.8
Forfar
9.8
Cove Rangers
9.8
Annan Athletic
9.8
Stranraer
9.7
Livingston
9.6
East Fife
9.5
Clyde
9.4
Spartans
9.3
Peterhead
8.9
Elgin
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.9
Annan Athletic
4.6
Morton
4.6
Rangers
4.5
Heart Of Midlothian
4.4
Stenhousemuir
4.4
Motherwell
4.4
Aberdeen
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.3
Dundee Utd
4.3
Hibernian
4.3
Dundee
4.2
ST Johnstone
4.2
Edinburgh City
4.1
Falkirk
4.0
Ross County
3.9
Montrose
3.9
Dunfermline
3.9
Stirling
3.8
Livingston
3.8
Stranraer
3.8
Dumbarton
3.8
East Fife
3.8
Elgin
3.8
Celtic
3.7
Clyde
3.7
ST Mirren
3.7
Forfar
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
Partick
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Spartans
3.4
Airdrie United
3.4
Inverness CT
3.1
Cove Rangers
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Elgin
24.5
Forfar
24.4
Aberdeen
24.1
Livingston
23.8
Stenhousemuir
22.8
Morton
22.6
Kilmarnock
22.5
ST Johnstone
22.2
Falkirk
22.2
Motherwell
22.1
Rangers
22.0
East Fife
22.0
Ross County
21.9
Heart Of Midlothian
21.9
Edinburgh City
21.9
ST Mirren
21.6
Spartans
21.6
Dundee Utd
21.6
Kelty Hearts
21.5
Hibernian
21.5
Clyde
21.3
Annan Athletic
21.0
Stirling
20.9
Montrose
20.8
Arbroath
20.5
Brechin
20.4
Stranraer
20.1
Celtic
20.0
Dundee
19.9
Partick
19.7
Dunfermline
19.6
Dumbarton
19.6
Inverness CT
19.4
Airdrie United
19.2
Cove Rangers
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.5%
Under 9.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Motherwell or Draw✗ Miss
56.7%
Avg Implied -
28%
28%
43%
covers Motherwell + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Motherwell or Rangers✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied -
28%
28%
43%
covers Motherwell + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rangers✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied -
28%
28%
43%
covers Draw + Rangers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Motherwell over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
68.3%
Under
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.0%
Under
89.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.0%
Under
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
43.1%
Under
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.3%
Under
81.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Motherwell, so a minus line means Motherwell give that many goals of a start and Rangers receive them. At -1, Motherwell must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Motherwell win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Motherwell)Actual: Rangers
Motherwell -2
3.7%
Draw -2
8.2%
Rangers +2
88.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Motherwell)Actual: Rangers
Motherwell -1
11.9%
Draw -1
16.5%
Rangers +1
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Motherwell)Actual: Draw
Motherwell +1
56.7%
Draw +1
21.5%
Rangers -1
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Motherwell)Actual: Motherwell
Motherwell +2
78.2%
Draw +2
13.3%
Rangers -2
8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W01L10W21W00D01L01L11DH·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09H·DUN20/09H·ST 28/09A·HIB05/10H·DUN19/10H·CEL27/10A·DUN30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.530.470.730.73
vs Stronger (4)0.750.750.500.501.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.580.620.500.500.670.75
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W10W10W13L10W00D20W11D01LA·DUN15/09H·DUN21/09A·MAL26/09H·HIB29/09H·LYO03/10H·ST 06/10A·KIL20/10H·FCS24/10H·ST 27/10A·ABE30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.940.750.500.71
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.331.670.331.670.331.67
vs Weaker (22)0.820.501.170.580.400.40
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W11D11D11D00D21W00D02L10WH·KIL18/08H·HEA25/08A·ST 31/08A·ABE14/09H·DUN20/09H·ST 28/09A·HIB05/10H·DUN19/10H·CEL27/10A·DUN30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.700.670.601.130.80
vs Stronger (4)0.251.500.002.500.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.920.580.670.331.170.83
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rangers) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RangersRangers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W10W00D01L10W01L20W10W11DA·DUN15/09H·DUN21/09A·MAL26/09H·HIB29/09H·LYO03/10H·ST 06/10A·KIL20/10H·FCS24/10H·ST 27/10A·ABE30/10← PremiershipLeague Cup →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.501.500.380.710.64
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (6)0.670.831.001.330.330.33
vs Weaker (22)1.360.361.750.080.900.70
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rangers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.2%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals89.0%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap88.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.587.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.8%--------
Over 19.5 fouls83.1%--------
Away under 2.5 goals81.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap78.2%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals77.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.9%--------
Over 3.5 cards72.3%--------
Home or Away71.6%-------✓ Hit
Draw or Away71.6%-------✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap71.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.1%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Slattery33%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos25%
Luke Armstrong21%
Tom Sparrow19%
Tawanda Maswanhise17%
Moses Ebiye11%
Paul McGinn10%
Zach Robinson8%
Andy Halliday8%
Dan Casey6%
Liam Gordon4%
Tony Watt4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Ewan Wilson3%
Lennon Miller3%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Shane Blaney0%
Steve Seddon0%
Harrison Paton0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Luke Plange0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Shane Blaney27%
Callum Slattery27%
Stephen O'Donnell24%
Andy Halliday21%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos19%
Tom Sparrow19%
Jack Vale17%
Lennon Miller16%
Kofi Balmer15%
Steve Seddon14%
Harrison Paton14%
Dominic Thompson13%
Tawanda Maswanhise13%
Dan Casey12%
Davor Zdravkovski12%
Liam Gordon11%
Sam Nicholson11%
Tony Watt11%
Paul McGinn10%
Ewan Wilson10%
Zach Robinson8%
Luke Armstrong7%
Marvin Kaleta5%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Moses Ebiye0%
Jair Tavares0%
Luke Plange0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lennon Miller22%
Harrison Paton14%
Dominic Thompson13%
Tawanda Maswanhise10%
Marvin Kaleta10%
Ellery Balcombe8%
Tony Watt7%
Callum Slattery7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos6%
Dan Casey6%
Andy Halliday5%
Kofi Balmer5%
Moses Ebiye4%
Liam Gordon4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tom Sparrow3%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Shane Blaney0%
Luke Armstrong0%
Steve Seddon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Zach Robinson0%
Luke Plange0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Slattery27%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos12%
Lennon Miller12%
Dan Casey12%
Tawanda Maswanhise10%
Moses Ebiye7%
Steve Seddon7%
Tony Watt7%
Tom Sparrow3%
Andy Halliday0%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Davor Zdravkovski0%
Aston Oxborough0%
Ellery Balcombe0%
Shane Blaney0%
Luke Armstrong0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Harrison Paton0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Dominic Thompson0%
Jair Tavares0%
Jack Vale0%
Zach Robinson0%
Luke Plange0%
Marvin Kaleta0%
Ewan Wilson0%
Will Dickson0%
Kai Andrews0%
Rangers
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Cyriel Dessers36%
Václav Černý33%
Hamza Igamane28%
Tom Lawrence26%
Danilo21%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Nicolas Raskin11%
Mohammed Diomande11%
Ianis Hagi11%
James Tavernier9%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Robin Pröpper5%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
John Souttar3%
Jefté2%
Rıdvan Yılmaz0%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
Dujon Sterling0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Robin Pröpper24%
Mohammed Diomande24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Dujon Sterling21%
Ianis Hagi21%
Jefté20%
Ross McCausland20%
Bailey Rice20%
Tom Lawrence17%
James Tavernier13%
John Souttar12%
Leon Balogun11%
Cyriel Dessers11%
Hamza Igamane9%
Václav Černý9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Jack Butland8%
Kieran Dowell8%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo8%
Nedim Bajrami5%
Connor Barron5%
Rabbi Matondo0%
Danilo0%
Liam Kelly0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Zak Lovelace33%
Findlay Curtis25%
James Tavernier24%
Nicolas Raskin22%
Mohammed Diomande17%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
Václav Černý13%
Jefté9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Cyriel Dessers9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Clinton Nsiala8%
Ross McCausland5%
Hamza Igamane5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Jack Butland3%
Nedim Bajrami3%
Connor Barron3%
Kieran Dowell0%
Robin Pröpper0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Leon King0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Bailey Rice0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Václav Černý31%
Hamza Igamane26%
Cyriel Dessers23%
Rabbi Matondo17%
Danilo17%
Ianis Hagi14%
James Tavernier11%
Nicolas Raskin9%
Tom Lawrence9%
Rıdvan Yılmaz8%
Nedim Bajrami8%
Mohammed Diomande7%
Ross McCausland5%
Leon Balogun4%
Dujon Sterling4%
Robin Pröpper3%
Jack Butland0%
Kieran Dowell0%
John Souttar0%
Liam Kelly0%
Neraysho Kasanwirjo0%
Connor Barron0%
Leon King0%
Jefté0%
Robbie Fraser0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Clinton Nsiala0%
Bailey Rice0%
Zak Lovelace0%
Oscar Cortés0%
Findlay Curtis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Motherwell's squad is €120m less valuable than Rangers's (€16m vs €136m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Motherwell's attack is €29m less valuable than Rangers's (€10m vs €38m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Motherwell's midfield is €43m less valuable than Rangers's (€1m vs €44m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Motherwell's defence is €49m less valuable than Rangers's (€5m vs €54m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MOT wins
0
Draws
7
RAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Motherwell vs Rangers · H/A from MOT
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/24ARangers Vs MOT2-1
02/03/24ARangers Vs MOT1-2
24/12/23HMOT Vs Rangers0-2
24/09/23ARangers Vs MOT1-0
18/03/23HMOT Vs Rangers2-4
28/12/22ARangers Vs MOT3-0
16/10/22HMOT Vs Rangers1-2
23/04/22HMOT Vs Rangers1-3

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/24ADundee Utd Vs MOT1-2
27/10/24HMOT Vs Celtic0-3
19/10/24HMOT Vs Dundee0-1
05/10/24AHibernian Vs MOT1-2
28/09/24HMOT Vs ST Mirren2-1
20/09/24HMOT Vs Dundee Utd2-1
14/09/24AAberdeen Vs MOT2-1
31/08/24AST Johnstone Vs MOT1-2
25/08/24HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian3-1
18/08/24HMOT Vs Kilmarnock0-0

RangersRangers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/24AAberdeen Vs RAN2-1
27/10/24HRAN Vs ST Mirren2-1
24/10/24HRAN Vs FCSB4-0
20/10/24AKilmarnock Vs RAN1-0
06/10/24HRAN Vs ST Johnstone2-0
03/10/24HRAN Vs Lyon1-4
29/09/24HRAN Vs Hibernian1-0
26/09/24AMalmo FF Vs RAN0-2
21/09/24HRAN Vs Dundee3-0
15/09/24ADundee Utd Vs RAN0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.22
HomeWWWLL1.15
AwayLWLWW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%27%33%
AVG goals2.882.852.92
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.441.461.42
Conceded1.441.381.50
BTTS64%62%67%
Clean Sheet12%19%4%
Corners10.8410.0011.68
Cards4.354.484.23
Rangers
Rangers
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL2.08
HomeWLWWW2.38
AwayLWWLL1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%77%50%
AVG goals3.043.422.62
Over 1.5 %84%92%75%
Over 2.5 %62%69%54%
Over 3.5 %32%42%21%
Scored2.082.501.62
Conceded0.960.921.00
BTTS50%54%46%
Clean Sheet42%38%46%
Corners10.9611.3010.61
Cards4.454.384.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3892
76%
2.4
11226+86
3.6
92%
74%
47%
11.8
71%
3.5
41%
18.7
29%
116
5620412.90.7
74%
2RangersRangers3875
58%
2.0
8041+39
3.2
82%
66%
42%
11.1
71%
4.0
65%
20.9
53%
136
3844542.11.1
63%
3HibernianHibernian3858
39%
1.5
6250+12
2.9
87%
61%
37%
11.5
71%
4.4
70%
20.6
45%
20
7851.61.3
45%
4Dundee UtdDundee Utd3853
39%
1.4
4554-9
2.6
66%
45%
29%
10.9
71%
4.2
50%
20.9
39%
11
4341.21.4
44%
5AberdeenAberdeen3853
39%
1.4
4861-13
2.9
74%
61%
34%
11.9
74%
4.9
78%
22.8
61%
15
4471.31.6
53%
6Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3852
39%
1.4
5247+5
2.6
71%
55%
29%
10.8
58%
4.2
59%
21.2
50%
22
12461.41.2
54%
7ST MirrenST Mirren3850
37%
1.3
5359-6
2.9
82%
66%
34%
10.1
61%
4.6
61%
21.7
55%
8
1331.41.6
42%
8MotherwellMotherwell3849
37%
1.3
4663-17
2.9
82%
71%
26%
11.2
61%
4.5
65%
23.4
66%
16
10151.21.7
42%
9KilmarnockKilmarnock3844
32%
1.2
4564-19
2.9
74%
45%
34%
10.4
63%
4.0
54%
22.2
53%
7
3231.21.7
44%
10DundeeDundee3841
29%
1.1
5777-20
3.5
92%
68%
47%
10.4
63%
3.7
50%
20.3
34%
5
1221.52.0
44%
11Ross CountyRoss County4038
22%
0.9
4070-30
2.8
78%
55%
28%
11.8
74%
3.2
41%
20.9
50%
1
0011.01.8
40%
12ST JohnstoneST Johnstone3832
24%
0.8
3868-30
2.8
82%
61%
24%
10.6
53%
4.2
58%
22.8
61%
5
2121.01.8
53%
13LivingstonLivingston410
75%
2.5
93+6
3.0
100%
25%
25%
-
0%
0.0
0%
-
0%
4
1112.20.8
-
14Ayr UtdAyr Utd23
50%
1.5
12-1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
9.0
100%
-
0%
2
1010.51.0
-
15PartickPartick43
25%
0.8
25-3
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.5
50%
-
0%
3
1110.51.2
-
Scotland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

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