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MTE 1904 vs Budafoki LC Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2022
Time: 13:00
Final 0-1
MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MTE 1904 win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC win✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L21W12L12L13L06L11D11D10WA·TIS31/07H·AJK07/08A·PÉC14/08H·KAZ17/08A·GYI21/08H·MTK28/08A·SZE04/09H·DOR11/09A·BEK02/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.891.891.002.500.801.40
vs Stronger (1)0.006.000.006.00--
vs Similar (8)1.001.381.331.330.801.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %11% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L22D12L00D14L11D00D10W12LA·AJK31/07H·PÉC07/08A·KAZ14/08H·GYI17/08A·MTK21/08H·SZE28/08A·DOR04/09H·BEK11/09A·SZE02/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.561.000.750.602.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.781.561.000.750.602.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.8%
Under 3.5
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
0-1 ✓
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
MTE 1904 goals ↓
Budafoki LC goals →
01234
06.7%6.1%4.7%2.1%0.7%
17.7%13%7.5%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.1%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.7%4.8%3.1%1.4%0.4%
41.5%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTE 1904 goals (down), columns = Budafoki LC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
MTE 1904 is 0.11 points worse than Budafoki LC in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
MTE 1904 is 0.16 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
MTE 1904 is 0.03 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D01L02L12L02L05L10W00D00DA·TIS31/07H·AJK07/08A·PÉC14/08H·KAZ17/08A·GYI21/08H·MTK28/08A·SZE04/09H·DOR11/09A·BEK02/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.221.330.252.000.200.80
vs Stronger (1)0.005.000.005.00--
vs Similar (8)0.250.880.331.000.200.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L21W01L00D13L11D00D10W11DA·AJK31/07H·PÉC07/08A·KAZ14/08H·GYI17/08A·MTK21/08H·SZE28/08A·DOR04/09H·BEK11/09A·SZE02/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.111.000.500.401.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.671.111.000.500.401.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W00D11D01L01L11D10WA·TIS31/07H·AJK07/08A·PÉC14/08H·KAZ17/08A·GYI21/08H·MTK28/08A·SZE04/09H·DOR11/09A·BEK02/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.560.750.500.600.60
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (8)0.750.501.000.330.600.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L11D00D01L00D00D00D01LA·AJK31/07H·PÉC07/08A·KAZ14/08H·GYI17/08A·MTK21/08H·SZE28/08A·DOR04/09H·BEK11/09A·SZE02/10
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.110.440.000.250.200.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.110.440.000.250.200.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %56% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
M1 wins
0
Draws
0
BL wins

Head-to-head

MTE 1904 vs Budafoki LC · H/A from M1
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22ABekescsaba 1912 Vs M10-1
11/09/22HM1 Vs Dorogi FC1-1
04/09/22ASzentlőrinc SE Vs M11-1
28/08/22HM1 Vs MTK Budapest0-6
21/08/22AGyirmot SE Vs M13-1
17/08/22HM1 Vs Kazincbarcikai1-2
14/08/22APécsi MFC Vs M12-1
07/08/22HM1 Vs Ajka2-1
31/07/22ATiszakecske FC Vs M11-0

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22ASzeged 2011 Vs BL2-1
11/09/22HBL Vs Bekescsaba 19121-0
04/09/22ADorogi FC Vs BL0-0
28/08/22HBL Vs Szentlőrinc SE1-1
21/08/22AMTK Budapest Vs BL4-1
17/08/22HBL Vs Gyirmot SE0-0
14/08/22AKazincbarcikai Vs BL2-1
07/08/22HBL Vs Pécsi MFC2-2
31/07/22AAjka Vs BL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW0.89
HomeWLLD1.00
AwayLLLDW0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%20%
AVG goals2.783.502.20
Over 1.5 %78%100%60%
Over 2.5 %56%75%40%
Over 3.5 %22%25%20%
Scored0.891.000.80
Conceded1.892.501.40
BTTS67%75%60%
Clean Sheet11%0%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWL0.78
HomeDDDW1.50
AwayLLLDL0.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %11%25%0%
AVG goals2.331.752.80
Over 1.5 %67%50%80%
Over 2.5 %56%25%80%
Over 3.5 %22%25%20%
Scored0.781.000.60
Conceded1.560.752.20
BTTS56%50%60%
Clean Sheet33%50%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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