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MTE 1904 vs Budafoki LC Result & Analysis

Date: 12/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Vs
27%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MTE 1904 win✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC win✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D01L01L12L03L10W02L10W05L43WH·GYI25/02A·BVS03/03H·CSA10/03A·KOZ17/03H·NYI30/03A·TIS07/04H·BUD14/04A·SZO21/04H·GYO28/04A·SOR05/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.832.030.602.131.071.93
vs Stronger (4)0.504.250.504.000.504.50
vs Similar (26)0.881.690.621.851.151.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %7% (-21pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L02L32W22D10W02L21W13L10W10WH·CSA25/02A·KOZ03/03H·NYI10/03A·TIS17/03H·BUD31/03A·SZO07/04H·GYO14/04A·SOR21/04H·SIO28/04H·SZE05/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.401.310.880.792.00
vs Stronger (2)1.502.502.001.001.004.00
vs Similar (28)1.041.321.270.870.771.85
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.7%
Under 1.5
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.6%
Under 2.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.4%
Under 3.5
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.4%
No
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.9%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.8%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.7%
MTE 1904 goals ↓
Budafoki LC goals →
01234
09.8%11%8.4%4.0%1.4%
17.7%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
24.7%6.7%4.7%2.2%0.8%
31.7%2.3%1.6%0.8%0.3%
40.4%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTE 1904 goals (down), columns = Budafoki LC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nyiregyhaza
2.32
Gyori ETO FC
2.03
Vasas
1.97
Szeged 2011
1.76
Kozarmisleny FC
1.53
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Soroksar
1.32
Kazincbarcikai
1.29
Budafoki LC
1.29
Budapest Honved
1.29
Csakvar
1.26
Ajka
1.26
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.12
BVSC
1.12
Pécsi MFC
1.06
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
Siofok
0.91
MTE 1904
0.62
MTE 1904 is 0.68 points worse than Budafoki LC in terms of average points per game (0.62 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vasas
2.12
Nyiregyhaza
2.03
Gyori ETO FC
1.91
Kozarmisleny FC
1.62
Gyirmot SE
1.44
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.24
Csakvar
1.15
Soroksar
1.15
Budapest Honved
1.15
Kazincbarcikai
1.09
Budafoki LC
1.09
Siofok
1.06
Szeged 2011
1.03
Tiszakecske FC
0.97
Ajka
0.88
MTE 1904
0.85
BVSC
0.79
Pécsi MFC
0.59
MTE 1904 is 0.24 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.09).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Szeged 2011
0.68
Nyiregyhaza
0.79
Vasas
0.97
Ajka
0.97
Budapest Honved
1.06
Gyori ETO FC
1.09
Pécsi MFC
1.15
Tiszakecske FC
1.18
BVSC
1.18
Kazincbarcikai
1.21
Budafoki LC
1.29
Soroksar
1.29
Gyirmot SE
1.32
Csakvar
1.32
Kozarmisleny FC
1.32
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.53
Siofok
1.76
MTE 1904
2.03
MTE 1904 is 0.74 goals worse than Budafoki LC in terms of goals conceded per game (2.03 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L01L01L03L10W01L00D04L21WH·GYI25/02A·BVS03/03H·CSA10/03A·KOZ17/03H·NYI30/03A·TIS07/04H·BUD14/04A·SZO21/04H·GYO28/04A·SOR05/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.170.271.400.530.93
vs Stronger (4)0.003.000.002.500.003.50
vs Similar (26)0.460.880.311.230.620.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L22D01L00D00D00D13L10W10WH·CSA25/02A·KOZ03/03H·NYI10/03A·TIS17/03H·BUD31/03A·SZO07/04H·GYO14/04A·SOR21/04H·SIO28/04H·SZE05/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.670.620.380.291.00
vs Stronger (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (28)0.460.710.670.400.231.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D11D00D00D01L10W01L22DH·GYI25/02A·BVS03/03H·CSA10/03A·KOZ17/03H·NYI30/03A·TIS07/04H·BUD14/04A·SZO21/04H·GYO28/04A·SOR05/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.330.730.531.00
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.501.500.501.00
vs Similar (26)0.420.810.310.620.541.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Budafoki LC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L10W21W10W02L21W00D00D00DH·CSA25/02A·KOZ03/03H·NYI10/03A·TIS17/03H·BUD31/03A·SZO07/04H·GYO14/04A·SOR21/04H·SIO28/04H·SZE05/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.690.500.501.00
vs Stronger (2)1.002.502.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (28)0.570.610.600.470.540.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Budafoki LC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.576.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
NYI (29)
€7m
VAS (28)
€7m
BH (25)
€5m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
VAS (11)
€3m
BH (6)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (6)
€4m
VAS (7)
€2m
NYI (5)
€1m
BH (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
BH (14)
€3m
VAS (10)
€2m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
M1 wins
1
Draws
2
BL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MTE 1904 vs Budafoki LC · H/A from M1
DateH/AGameScore
12/11/23ABudafoki LC Vs M12-2
02/04/23ABudafoki LC Vs M11-0
05/10/22HM1 Vs Budafoki LC0-1

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24ASoroksar Vs M13-4
28/04/24HM1 Vs Gyori ETO FC0-5
21/04/24ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs M10-1
14/04/24HM1 Vs Budapest Honved0-2
07/04/24ATiszakecske FC Vs M10-1
30/03/24HM1 Vs Nyiregyhaza0-3
17/03/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs M12-1
10/03/24HM1 Vs Csakvar0-1
03/03/24ABVSC Vs M11-0
25/02/24HM1 Vs Gyirmot SE2-2

Budafoki LCBudafoki LC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/05/24HBL Vs Szeged 20111-0
28/04/24HBL Vs Siofok1-0
21/04/24ASoroksar Vs BL3-1
14/04/24HBL Vs Gyori ETO FC2-1
07/04/24ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs BL2-0
31/03/24HBL Vs Budapest Honved1-0
17/03/24ATiszakecske FC Vs BL2-2
10/03/24HBL Vs Nyiregyhaza3-2
03/03/24AKozarmisleny FC Vs BL2-0
25/02/24HBL Vs Csakvar1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLW0.82
HomeDLLLL0.52
AwayLLWWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%8%32%
AVG goals2.422.362.48
Over 1.5 %64%68%60%
Over 2.5 %40%40%40%
Over 3.5 %24%20%28%
Scored0.820.641.00
Conceded1.601.721.48
BTTS42%40%44%
Clean Sheet14%8%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Budafoki LC
Budafoki LC
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW1.28
HomeWWWWW1.69
AwayLLDLL0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%50%21%
AVG goals2.242.002.50
Over 1.5 %62%54%71%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %22%15%29%
Scored1.041.190.88
Conceded1.200.811.62
BTTS46%38%54%
Clean Sheet36%54%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza3479
71%
2.3
6927+42
2.8
82%
50%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3132.00.8
-
2Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3469
65%
2.0
6537+28
3.0
71%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.91.1
-
3VasasVasas3467
56%
2.0
7233+39
3.1
79%
59%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.11.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113460
44%
1.8
3523+12
1.7
53%
15%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.00.7
-
5Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC3452
44%
1.5
5545+10
2.9
85%
56%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.61.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3449
35%
1.4
4945+4
2.8
74%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7SoroksarSoroksar3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.3
-
8Budapest HonvedBudapest Honved3444
32%
1.3
3936+3
2.2
65%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.11.1
-
9KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3444
32%
1.3
3741-4
2.3
65%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.2
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3444
35%
1.3
3744-7
2.4
71%
41%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
11AjkaAjka3443
38%
1.3
3033-3
1.9
53%
26%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.91.0
-
12CsakvarCsakvar3443
35%
1.3
3945-6
2.5
68%
44%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.3
-
13Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3438
26%
1.1
4252-10
2.8
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
14BVSCBVSC3438
29%
1.1
2740-13
2.0
62%
29%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.81.2
-
15Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3436
24%
1.1
2039-19
1.7
44%
29%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.1
-
16Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3434
21%
1.0
3340-7
2.1
71%
35%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.2
-
17SiofokSiofok3431
24%
0.9
3660-24
2.8
74%
47%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
18MTE 1904MTE 19043421
15%
0.6
2969-40
2.9
74%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
Hungary: NB II 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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