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MTE 1904 vs Siofok Result & Analysis

Date: 14/05/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 0-1
MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Vs
31%
28%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Siofok
Siofok
Hungary: NB II
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MTE 1904 win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Siofok win✓ Hit
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L11D01L11D32W10W00D21WA·DOR12/03H·BEK19/03A·BUD02/04H·SZE09/04H·KOZ12/04A·DIO17/04H·CSA23/04A·NYI26/04H·GYO30/04A·SZO07/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.870.801.201.200.53
vs Stronger (5)0.401.000.001.500.670.67
vs Similar (25)1.120.840.921.151.330.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SiofokSiofok

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L22D10W21W21W31W11D22D21WA·TIS12/03H·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.471.071.071.381.81
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)1.281.481.151.081.381.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.3%
Under 1.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.2%
Under 2.5
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.3%
Under 3.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.6%
No
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
0-1 ✓
9.0%
1-2
8.8%
0-0
8.4%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
7.4%
0-2
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
MTE 1904 goals ↓
Siofok goals →
01234
08.4%9.0%7.3%3.5%1.3%
17.4%14%8.8%4.2%1.5%
25.2%7.5%5.3%2.6%0.9%
32.1%3.0%2.2%1.0%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MTE 1904 goals (down), columns = Siofok goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Diosgyori VTK
2.29
BVSC
2.00
MTK Budapest
1.95
Ajka
1.79
Szeged 2011
1.68
Soroksar
1.61
Gyirmot SE
1.58
Pécsi MFC
1.53
Iváncsa
1.50
Siofok
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.34
Budafoki LC
1.32
Gyori ETO FC
1.21
MTE 1904
1.21
Tiszakecske FC
1.21
Kazincbarcikai
1.18
Csakvar
1.11
Nyiregyhaza
1.05
Kozarmisleny FC
1.02
Szentlőrinc SE
1.00
Bekescsaba 1912
0.97
Dorogi FC
0.82
Veszprém
0.50
MTE 1904 is 0.26 points worse than Siofok in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
MTK Budapest
2.26
Diosgyori VTK
2.08
Gyirmot SE
1.55
Soroksar
1.50
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.42
Ajka
1.42
Szeged 2011
1.32
Bekescsaba 1912
1.24
Siofok
1.18
Nyiregyhaza
1.18
Csakvar
1.16
Kozarmisleny FC
1.15
Szentlőrinc SE
1.12
Budafoki LC
1.11
Kazincbarcikai
1.08
Tiszakecske FC
1.00
BVSC
1.00
Pécsi MFC
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
0.97
MTE 1904
0.95
Dorogi FC
0.84
Iváncsa
0.50
Veszprém
0.00
MTE 1904 is 0.24 goals worse than Siofok in terms of goals scored per game (0.95 vs 1.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Veszprém
0.50
BVSC
0.50
Pécsi MFC
0.82
Diosgyori VTK
0.95
Ajka
0.97
Szeged 2011
1.00
Gyori ETO FC
1.11
Budafoki LC
1.13
MTE 1904
1.16
Gyirmot SE
1.21
Soroksar
1.26
MTK Budapest
1.26
Csakvar
1.32
Tiszakecske FC
1.32
Siofok
1.34
Nyiregyhaza
1.38
Kazincbarcikai
1.47
Szombathelyi Haladas
1.47
Bekescsaba 1912
1.47
Iváncsa
1.50
Szentlőrinc SE
1.50
Dorogi FC
1.61
Kozarmisleny FC
1.68
MTE 1904 is 0.18 goals better than Siofok in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L00D00D00D10W00D00D20WA·DOR12/03H·BEK19/03A·BUD02/04H·SZE09/04H·KOZ12/04A·DIO17/04H·CSA23/04A·NYI26/04H·GYO30/04A·SZO07/05
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.200.270.270.470.13
vs Stronger (5)0.000.200.000.000.000.33
vs Similar (25)0.440.200.310.310.580.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %83% (+56pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SiofokSiofok

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W00D11D00D20W11D12L10WA·TIS12/03H·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.640.430.691.00
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (29)0.690.760.690.460.691.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D11D01L11D22D10W00D01LA·DOR12/03H·BEK19/03A·BUD02/04H·SZE09/04H·KOZ12/04A·DIO17/04H·CSA23/04A·NYI26/04H·GYO30/04A·SZO07/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.530.930.730.40
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.001.500.670.33
vs Similar (25)0.680.640.620.850.750.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Siofok) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SiofokSiofok

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L12L10W10W21W11D00D10W11DA·TIS12/03H·AJK19/03A·PÉC02/04H·KAZ09/04A·GYI12/04H·MTK16/04A·SZE23/04H·DOR26/04A·BEK30/04H·BUD07/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.730.430.640.690.81
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (29)0.590.720.460.620.690.81
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (MTE 1904) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MTE 1904 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MTE 1904 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Siofok over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (28)
€16m
MB (23)
€11m
NYI (29)
€7m
DV (18)
€3m
KAZ (19)
€2m
S2 (23)
€2m
BVS (17)
€2m
AJK (20)
€2m
KF (19)
€2m
TF (18)
€1m
SS (19)
€1m
SOR (17)
€1m
CSA (11)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (10)
€7m
NYI (13)
€3m
MB (9)
€2m
DV (5)
€1m
SOR (7)
€1m
TF (8)
€1m
KAZ (7)
€1m
SS (7)
€1m
AJK (5)
€1m
BVS (5)
€0m
KF (6)
€0m
S2 (6)
€0m
CSA (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MB (4)
€4m
GEF (6)
€4m
NYI (5)
€1m
DV (4)
€1m
BVS (5)
€1m
KAZ (4)
€0m
S2 (5)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
KF (4)
€0m
SOR (4)
€0m
AJK (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GEF (12)
€5m
MB (10)
€5m
NYI (11)
€3m
DV (9)
€1m
KAZ (8)
€1m
S2 (12)
€1m
AJK (13)
€1m
KF (9)
€1m
BVS (7)
€1m
SS (8)
€0m
SOR (6)
€0m
TF (5)
€0m
CSA (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
M1 wins
0
Draws
0
SIO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MTE 1904 vs Siofok · H/A from M1
DateH/AGameScore
27/11/22ASiofok Vs M10-1

MTE 1904MTE 1904

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/23ASzombathelyi Haladas Vs M11-2
30/04/23HM1 Vs Gyori ETO FC0-0
26/04/23ANyiregyhaza Vs M10-1
23/04/23HM1 Vs Csakvar3-2
17/04/23ADiosgyori VTK Vs M11-1
12/04/23HM1 Vs Kozarmisleny FC0-1
09/04/23HM1 Vs Szeged 20111-1
02/04/23ABudafoki LC Vs M11-0
19/03/23HM1 Vs Bekescsaba 19120-0
12/03/23ADorogi FC Vs M10-1

SiofokSiofok

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/23HSIO Vs Budafoki LC2-1
30/04/23ABekescsaba 1912 Vs SIO2-2
26/04/23HSIO Vs Dorogi FC1-1
23/04/23ASzentlőrinc SE Vs SIO1-3
16/04/23HSIO Vs MTK Budapest2-1
12/04/23AGyirmot SE Vs SIO1-2
09/04/23HSIO Vs Kazincbarcikai1-0
02/04/23APécsi MFC Vs SIO2-2
19/03/23HSIO Vs Ajka0-2
12/03/23ATiszakecske FC Vs SIO1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MTE 1904
MTE 1904
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDW1.28
HomeDDLWD0.89
AwayWLDWW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%17%50%
AVG goals2.112.331.89
Over 1.5 %58%67%50%
Over 2.5 %36%44%28%
Over 3.5 %14%17%11%
Scored0.970.831.11
Conceded1.141.500.78
BTTS47%56%39%
Clean Sheet31%17%44%
Corners---
Cards---
Siofok
Siofok
Hungary: NB II
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.39
HomeLWWDW1.67
AwayLDWWD1.11
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.612.063.17
Over 1.5 %72%61%83%
Over 2.5 %56%39%72%
Over 3.5 %33%17%50%
Scored1.191.111.28
Conceded1.420.941.89
BTTS61%50%72%
Clean Sheet19%33%6%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Diosgyori VTKDiosgyori VTK3887
74%
2.3
7936+43
3.0
82%
66%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.10.9
-
2MTK BudapestMTK Budapest3874
58%
1.9
8648+38
3.5
84%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
2452.31.3
-
3AjkaAjka3868
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.4
66%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.41.0
-
4Szeged 2011Szeged 20113864
47%
1.7
5038+12
2.3
66%
39%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.31.0
-
5SoroksarSoroksar3861
42%
1.6
5748+9
2.8
82%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.51.3
-
6Gyirmot SEGyirmot SE3860
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
74%
58%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
7Pécsi MFCPécsi MFC3858
37%
1.5
3831+7
1.8
50%
32%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.00.8
-
8SiofokSiofok3856
39%
1.5
4551-6
2.5
68%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
9Szombathelyi HaladasSzombathelyi Haladas3851
37%
1.3
5456-2
2.9
79%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
10Budafoki LCBudafoki LC3850
34%
1.3
4243-1
2.2
66%
53%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.1
-
11Gyori ETO FCGyori ETO FC3846
29%
1.2
3742-5
2.1
68%
29%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7451.01.1
-
12MTE 1904MTE 19043846
32%
1.2
3644-8
2.1
58%
37%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
13Tiszakecske FCTiszakecske FC3846
34%
1.2
3850-12
2.3
61%
39%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.01.3
-
14KazincbarcikaiKazincbarcikai3845
32%
1.2
4156-15
2.6
68%
42%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.5
-
15CsakvarCsakvar3842
24%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
79%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
16NyiregyhazaNyiregyhaza4042
25%
1.1
4755-8
2.5
72%
42%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3131.21.4
-
17Kozarmisleny FCKozarmisleny FC4041
28%
1.0
4667-21
2.8
72%
48%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.7
-
18Szentlőrinc SESzentlőrinc SE4040
22%
1.0
4560-15
2.6
85%
48%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.11.5
-
19Bekescsaba 1912Bekescsaba 19123837
21%
1.0
4756-9
2.7
71%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
20Dorogi FCDorogi FC3831
18%
0.8
3261-29
2.4
68%
39%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
21BVSCBVSC24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.00.5
-
22IváncsaIváncsa23
50%
1.5
13-2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.5
-
23VeszprémVeszprém21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Hungary: NB II 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →

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