Mura vs Aluminij Result & Analysis

Mura are tipped to win this encounter, with a 42% chance of taking the match home, a 27% chance of a draw and a 31% chance of Al Aluminij triumphing. The model expects a total of 2.8 goals, most likely a 2-goal match, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 13%. Mura, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, average 1.17 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Al Aluminij, away from home, average 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.3% (hit), Over 2.5 cards at 78.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 76.3% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.4%. The home win probability is 42%, the draw probability 27%, and the away win probability 31%.

The upset came as Mura failed to extend their recent winless run, falling 0-3 to Aluminij. The model had tipped a home win with a 42% chance, but the prediction was wrong. The only other selection the model made was Over 1.5 goals, which hit with a 78.3% probability. Mura’s home form had been shaky, with two straight defeats, while Aluminij, despite a recent loss, had a stronger away record. The final score of 0-3 confirmed the away side’s superiority, leaving the model’s favourite out of the picture.