PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Mura vs Bravo Result & Analysis

Date: 11/04/2026
Time: 15:30
Final 1-2
Mura
Mura
Vs
37%
28%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✗ Miss
37.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bravo win✓ Hit
35.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L01L20W03L15L03L31W03L20W00DA·RAD06/12A·OLI31/01A·BRA03/02H·ALU08/02A·CEL14/02A·KOP01/03H·PRI07/03A·MAR14/03H·RAD21/03H·OLI04/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.671.271.200.672.13
vs Stronger (15)0.601.931.001.430.252.38
vs Similar (15)1.331.401.501.001.141.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W26L02L23L21W02L10W31W21W11DH·OLI07/12A·KOP31/01H·MUR03/02A·PRI07/02H·ALU16/02A·MAR22/02H·CEL01/03A·RAD09/03A·OLI21/03H·KOP04/04
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.571.531.472.001.67
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.502.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.931.561.691.312.141.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.9%
No
42.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
1-2 ✓
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
Mura goals ↓
Bravo goals →
01234
07.3%7.2%5.8%2.6%0.9%
17.5%13%8.2%3.8%1.3%
26.2%8.5%5.8%2.7%0.9%
32.9%4.0%2.8%1.3%0.4%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = Bravo goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
NK Domzale
0.67
Primorje
0.64
Mura is 0.91 points worse than Bravo in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.82).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
NK Domzale
0.94
Primorje
0.86
Nafta
0.50
Mura is 0.79 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.82).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Primorje
2.08
NK Domzale
2.11
Mura is 0.12 goals worse than Bravo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (5)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (45)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.2
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Celje
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Celje
24.7
Mura
24.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.6%
Under 3.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L00D01L12L01L11D03L10W00DA·RAD06/12A·OLI31/01A·BRA03/02H·ALU08/02A·CEL14/02A·KOP01/03H·PRI07/03A·MAR14/03H·RAD21/03H·OLI04/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.930.730.800.271.07
vs Stronger (15)0.401.200.711.140.121.25
vs Similar (15)0.600.670.750.500.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W05L00D03L10W01L10W20W01L10WH·OLI07/12A·KOP31/01H·MUR03/02A·PRI07/02H·ALU16/02A·MAR22/02H·CEL01/03A·RAD09/03A·OLI21/03H·KOP04/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.731.000.600.670.87
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.502.000.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.890.671.080.380.710.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D20W02L03L02L20W00D10W00DA·RAD06/12A·OLI31/01A·BRA03/02H·ALU08/02A·CEL14/02A·KOP01/03H·PRI07/03A·MAR14/03H·RAD21/03H·OLI04/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.530.400.401.07
vs Stronger (15)0.200.730.290.290.121.12
vs Similar (15)0.730.730.750.500.711.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W02L20W11D01L00D11D20W01LH·OLI07/12A·KOP31/01H·MUR03/02A·PRI07/02H·ALU16/02A·MAR22/02H·CEL01/03A·RAD09/03A·OLI21/03H·KOP04/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.830.530.871.330.80
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.500.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.040.890.620.921.430.86
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.6%--------
Over 1.578.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards76.9%--------
Under 11.5 corners71.7%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
Mura and Bravo have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
Mura and Bravo have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
Mura and Bravo have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
Mura and Bravo have a similar defence value (both €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MUR wins
4
Draws
3
BRA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs Bravo · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/26ABravo Vs MUR0-2
04/10/25HMUR Vs Bravo1-1
26/07/25ABravo Vs MUR2-0
28/04/25ABravo Vs MUR1-1
02/03/25HMUR Vs Bravo1-1
03/11/24ABravo Vs MUR2-1
17/08/24HMUR Vs Bravo2-3
12/05/24ABravo Vs MUR1-1

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-0
21/03/26HMUR Vs Radomlje2-0
14/03/26AMaribor Vs MUR3-0
07/03/26HMUR Vs Primorje3-1
01/03/26AKoper Vs MUR3-0
14/02/26ACelje Vs MUR5-1
08/02/26HMUR Vs Aluminij0-3
03/02/26ABravo Vs MUR0-2
31/01/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR1-0
06/12/25ARadomlje Vs MUR3-1

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26HBRA Vs Koper1-1
21/03/26AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-2
09/03/26ARadomlje Vs BRA1-3
01/03/26HBRA Vs Celje1-0
22/02/26AMaribor Vs BRA2-0
16/02/26HBRA Vs Aluminij2-1
07/02/26APrimorje Vs BRA3-2
03/02/26HBRA Vs Mura0-2
31/01/26AKoper Vs BRA6-2
07/12/25HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD0.84
HomeLLWWD1.25
AwayLWLLL0.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%29%12%
AVG goals2.542.292.77
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored0.961.120.81
Conceded1.581.171.96
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet18%29%8%
Corners---
Cards---
Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.54
HomeWLWWD1.56
AwayLLLWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%40%44%
AVG goals3.102.883.32
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.601.521.68
Conceded1.501.361.64
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3474
68%
2.2
8532+53
3.4
85%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.50.9
-
2KoperKoper3467
59%
2.0
7143+28
3.4
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3232.11.3
-
3BravoBravo3462
56%
1.8
6251+11
3.3
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
4MariborMaribor3353
45%
1.6
5740+17
2.9
82%
58%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.2
-
5Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3352
45%
1.6
4740+7
2.6
79%
58%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.41.2
-
6RadomljeRadomlje3445
38%
1.3
5063-13
3.3
97%
79%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.9
-
7AluminijAluminij3436
29%
1.1
4261-19
3.0
85%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.8
-
8MuraMura3431
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
-
9PrimorjePrimorje3623
17%
0.6
3175-44
2.9
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.1
-
10NK DomzaleNK Domzale1812
17%
0.7
1738-21
3.1
89%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11NaftaNafta24
50%
2.0
10+1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.50.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches