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Mura vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 22/07/2023
Time: 15:30
Final 2-3
Mura
Mura
Vs
32%
28%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✗ Miss
31.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L21W00D02L11D21W01L13L42W21WH·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03A·NK 02/04H·CEL10/04H·RAD15/04A·TAB22/04H·BRA29/04A·MAR02/05H·GOR13/05A·KOP20/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.131.561.191.001.07
vs Stronger (14)1.211.641.501.500.831.83
vs Similar (16)1.380.691.620.881.120.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D22D01L11D32W21W01L14L30WH·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05A·RAD20/05H·BAL13/07A·BAL18/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.131.331.531.600.73
vs Stronger (12)1.421.171.001.201.711.14
vs Similar (18)1.501.111.501.701.500.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.7%
No
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
0-1
8.5%
0-0
8.0%
2-1
7.6%
1-0
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
2-2
5.5%
Mura goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
08.0%8.5%7.0%3.4%1.2%
17.3%13%8.8%4.2%1.5%
25.3%7.6%5.5%2.6%0.9%
32.2%3.2%2.3%1.1%0.4%
40.7%1.0%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Mura is 0.08 points worse than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Mura is 0.36 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Mura is 0.08 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Mura is 2.0 percentage points better than NK Domzale in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

For 5.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

2109125410677476323311558721916141195141015A·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·CELA·NK H·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

80323312413326321225635338532A·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·CELA·NK H·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.9 · Total 26.9

⚠️ Fouls

350111421141091116158139191416161211121825351927232233322330A·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·CELA·NK H·OLIH·KOPA·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

1806121046235335463232261814658810558A·BALH·BALH·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

1206614244133434212621112565676382A·BALH·BALH·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 14.9 · Total 28.9

⚠️ Fouls

3401515101814612221813131914191214159171430282034313233262431H·OLIA·KOPH·GORA·MARH·BRAA·TABH·MURA·CELA·OLIH·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (40)10.910.211.62.93.32.426.326.526.2
vs Stronger (16)11.812.211.53.42.54.225.926.825.5
vs Similar (24)10.29.211.72.53.81.226.726.327.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line63%54%71%40%50%30%91%91%92%
% under line37%46%29%60%50%70%9%9%8%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (38)8.48.68.13.54.03.128.127.828.4
vs Stronger (16)7.27.37.24.15.13.029.029.328.6
vs Similar (22)9.410.28.73.13.23.127.125.828.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line24%23%25%53%68%37%91%92%91%
% under line76%77%75%47%32%63%9%8%9%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.9
Aluminij
10.5
Celje
9.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.3
Koper
9.2
Maribor
8.9
Bravo
8.7
NK Domzale
8.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
6.0
NK Domzale
5.4
Mura
4.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.5
Maribor
4.5
Celje
4.2
Koper
4.1
Bravo
3.9

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
33.5
NK Domzale
28.1
Bravo
27.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
27.0
Mura
26.3
Maribor
25.3
Celje
24.6
Koper
24.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.9%
Under 9.5
52.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
88.5%
Under 21.5
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D01L11D00D00D12L12L01LH·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03A·NK 02/04H·CEL10/04H·RAD15/04A·TAB22/04H·BRA29/04A·MAR02/05H·GOR13/05A·KOP20/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.750.690.500.57
vs Stronger (14)0.640.860.880.620.331.17
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.620.750.620.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L00D10W21W10W00D02L10WH·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05A·RAD20/05H·BAL13/07A·BAL18/07
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.330.400.470.930.20
vs Stronger (12)0.830.170.400.001.140.29
vs Similar (18)0.560.440.400.700.750.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L00D00D01L00D21W01L01L30W20WH·KOP16/03H·OLI19/03A·NK 02/04H·CEL10/04H·RAD15/04A·TAB22/04H·BRA29/04A·MAR02/05H·GOR13/05A·KOP20/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.810.500.500.50
vs Stronger (14)0.570.790.620.880.500.67
vs Similar (16)0.750.251.000.120.500.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W01L01L11D11D01L12L20WH·MUR02/04A·TAB08/04H·BRA15/04A·MAR22/04H·GOR28/04A·KOP04/05H·OLI13/05A·RAD20/05H·BAL13/07A·BAL18/07
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.931.070.670.53
vs Stronger (12)0.581.000.601.200.570.86
vs Similar (18)0.940.671.101.000.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls94.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls88.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls78.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards72.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
MUR wins
2
Draws
1
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs NK Domzale · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-0
12/12/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
01/10/22ANK Domzale Vs MUR2-2
24/07/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale4-3

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/23AKoper Vs MUR1-2
13/05/23HMUR Vs Gorica4-2
02/05/23AMaribor Vs MUR3-1
29/04/23HMUR Vs Bravo0-1
22/04/23ATabor Sežana Vs MUR1-2
15/04/23HMUR Vs Radomlje1-1
10/04/23HMUR Vs Celje0-2
02/04/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-0
19/03/23HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
16/03/23HMUR Vs Koper1-2

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/07/23ABalzan FC Vs ND0-3
13/07/23HND Vs Balzan FC1-4
20/05/23ARadomlje Vs ND1-0
13/05/23HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-1
04/05/23AKoper Vs ND2-3
28/04/23HND Vs Gorica1-1
22/04/23AMaribor Vs ND1-0
15/04/23HND Vs Bravo2-2
08/04/23ATabor Sežana Vs ND1-1
02/04/23HND Vs Mura0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.50
HomeWLDLW1.70
AwayDDWLW1.30
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%25%
AVG goals2.582.902.25
Over 1.5 %70%75%65%
Over 2.5 %52%60%45%
Over 3.5 %28%30%25%
Scored1.381.651.10
Conceded1.201.251.15
BTTS57%60%55%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners10.8910.1511.57
Cards4.565.084.00
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.45
HomeDDDWL1.26
AwayDLWLW1.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%26%47%
AVG goals2.632.742.53
Over 1.5 %74%79%68%
Over 2.5 %47%58%37%
Over 3.5 %29%37%21%
Scored1.421.261.58
Conceded1.211.470.95
BTTS53%63%42%
Clean Sheet32%21%42%
Corners8.368.628.08
Cards5.365.854.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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