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Mura vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 10/12/2023
Time: 16:30
Final 1-0
Mura
Mura
Vs
29%
26%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✓ Hit
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✗ Miss
44.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L13L22D11D10W01L00D02L31WA·NK 27/09H·CEL30/09A·MAR07/10H·KOP22/10A·RAD29/10H·ALU04/11A·OLI12/11H·MAR26/11A·BRA03/12H·ROG07/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.431.251.501.141.36
vs Stronger (14)1.071.931.001.621.172.33
vs Similar (16)1.311.001.501.381.120.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L23L30W02L13L12L10W21W30W50WH·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11A·KOP11/11A·ROG25/11H·RAD02/12A·ALU06/12
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.271.471.601.40
vs Stronger (12)1.001.581.001.801.001.43
vs Similar (18)1.721.331.401.302.121.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-1
7.3%
0-1
7.3%
0-2
7.0%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
1-0 ✓
5.5%
Mura goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
06.1%7.3%7.0%3.9%1.6%
15.5%12%9.3%5.1%2.1%
24.4%7.3%6.1%3.4%1.4%
31.9%3.2%2.7%1.5%0.6%
40.6%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Mura is 0.08 points worse than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (1.11 vs 1.19).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Mura is 0.36 goals worse than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Mura is 0.08 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Mura is 2.0 percentage points better than NK Domzale in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

For 4.9 · Against 7.3 · Total 12.2

🚩 Corners

1708928897646744711254381710171310111113911A·BRAH·MARA·OLIH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK H·BRAH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

502231222413121211314424533324A·BRAH·MARA·OLIH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK H·BRAH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

290691211991217915613812712815141115231829241920192325A·BRAH·MARA·OLIH·ALUH·KOPA·MARH·CELA·NK H·BRAH·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

For 5.7 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.1

🚩 Corners

1504746531966691217668691110810121513131415A·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

90142421221215431231642333945A·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.9 · Total 25.2

⚠️ Fouls

3501891912151211891211612712231418121227312719211719353224A·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CELH·OLIA·BRAH·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.09.812.12.72.92.625.026.024.0
vs Stronger (22)11.911.412.33.33.03.624.624.924.3
vs Similar (28)9.98.411.92.32.81.925.527.023.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line65%53%76%38%46%29%76%88%65%
% under line35%47%24%62%54%71%24%12%35%
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.99.13.13.42.926.826.926.8
vs Stronger (22)9.29.29.23.54.03.226.727.126.2
vs Similar (28)9.810.88.92.82.92.727.126.627.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line47%47%47%44%52%36%78%81%75%
% under line53%53%53%56%48%64%22%19%25%
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
10.0
Aluminij
9.9
Koper
9.6
Bravo
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.6
NK Domzale
9.4
Maribor
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.2
Maribor
4.8
NK Domzale
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.5
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.2
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.9
Aluminij
26.5
Maribor
25.5
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.1
Bravo
24.9
Mura
24.9
Koper
24.9
Celje
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.9%
Under 9.5
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.8%
Under 3.5
40.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.7%
Under 21.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L10W10W00D00D00D01L11DA·NK 27/09H·CEL30/09A·MAR07/10H·KOP22/10A·RAD29/10H·ALU04/11A·OLI12/11H·MAR26/11A·BRA03/12H·ROG07/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.750.690.500.57
vs Stronger (14)0.640.790.750.500.501.17
vs Similar (16)0.620.500.750.880.500.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L22D10W00D01L11D00D00D20W20WH·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11A·KOP11/11A·ROG25/11H·RAD02/12A·ALU06/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.470.670.730.80
vs Stronger (12)0.500.580.600.600.430.57
vs Similar (18)0.670.830.400.701.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L01L12L01L10W01L00D01L20WA·NK 27/09H·CEL30/09A·MAR07/10H·KOP22/10A·RAD29/10H·ALU04/11A·OLI12/11H·MAR26/11A·BRA03/12H·ROG07/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.800.500.810.640.79
vs Stronger (14)0.431.140.251.120.671.17
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.750.500.620.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L20W02L12L01L10W21W10W30WH·MUR27/09A·BRA30/09H·ROG08/10H·OLI21/10A·CEL27/10H·MAR04/11A·KOP11/11A·ROG25/11H·RAD02/12A·ALU06/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.800.800.870.60
vs Stronger (12)0.501.000.401.200.570.86
vs Similar (18)1.060.501.000.601.120.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls86.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls75.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
MUR wins
2
Draws
2
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs NK Domzale · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
27/09/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-2
22/07/23HMUR Vs NK Domzale2-3
02/04/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-0
12/12/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
01/10/22ANK Domzale Vs MUR2-2
24/07/22HMUR Vs NK Domzale4-3

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/23HMUR Vs Rogaška3-1
03/12/23ABravo Vs MUR2-0
26/11/23HMUR Vs Maribor0-0
12/11/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR1-0
04/11/23HMUR Vs Aluminij1-0
29/10/23ARadomlje Vs MUR1-1
22/10/23HMUR Vs Koper2-2
07/10/23AMaribor Vs MUR3-1
30/09/23HMUR Vs Celje0-2
27/09/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-2

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/12/23AAluminij Vs ND0-5
02/12/23HND Vs Radomlje3-0
25/11/23ARogaška Vs ND1-2
11/11/23AKoper Vs ND0-1
04/11/23HND Vs Maribor1-2
27/10/23ACelje Vs ND3-1
21/10/23HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana0-2
08/10/23HND Vs Rogaška3-0
30/09/23ABravo Vs ND3-2
27/09/23HND Vs Mura0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.38
HomeLDWDW1.38
AwayWLDLL1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals2.502.772.21
Over 1.5 %70%77%62%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %32%35%29%
Scored1.241.421.04
Conceded1.261.351.17
BTTS50%58%42%
Clean Sheet32%19%46%
Corners10.979.8212.12
Cards4.034.413.65
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.38
HomeLWLLW1.16
AwayLLWWW1.60
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%28%48%
AVG goals2.822.762.88
Over 1.5 %84%88%80%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.501.281.72
Conceded1.321.481.16
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet26%20%32%
Corners9.509.949.06
Cards4.624.944.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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