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Mura vs NK Domzale Result & Analysis

Date: 16/08/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 3-0
Mura
Mura
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Mura win✓ Hit
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale win✗ Miss
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MuraMura

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D02L11D02L13L01L02L11D03LH·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.600.861.210.881.94
vs Stronger (14)0.711.860.711.570.712.14
vs Similar (16)1.001.381.000.861.001.78
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W22D11D13L41W23L12L02L13LA·KOP04/05H·NAF11/05H·BRA18/05A·CEL25/05H·TRI29/05A·TRI01/06A·PRI19/07H·MAR27/07A·RAD01/08H·OLI10/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.771.271.531.202.00
vs Stronger (13)0.922.081.331.670.572.43
vs Similar (17)1.471.531.221.441.751.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.7%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-1
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
Mura goals ↓
NK Domzale goals →
01234
08.0%7.1%5.1%2.1%0.6%
18.7%13%7.5%3.1%0.9%
27.3%8.9%5.5%2.2%0.7%
33.5%4.3%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.3%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mura goals (down), columns = NK Domzale goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.18
Nafta
2.00
Koper
1.97
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.61
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.58
Radomlje
1.32
Aluminij
1.06
Mura
0.91
NK Domzale
0.67
Primorje
0.64
Mura is 0.25 points better than NK Domzale in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 0.67).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.50
Koper
2.09
Bravo
1.82
Maribor
1.73
Radomlje
1.47
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.42
Aluminij
1.24
Mura
1.03
NK Domzale
0.94
Primorje
0.86
Nafta
0.50
Mura is 0.08 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nafta
0.00
Celje
0.94
Maribor
1.21
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.21
Koper
1.26
Bravo
1.50
Mura
1.62
Aluminij
1.79
Radomlje
1.85
Primorje
2.08
NK Domzale
2.11
Mura is 0.49 goals better than NK Domzale in terms of goals conceded per game (1.62 vs 2.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MuraMura

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

ðŸšĐ Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

ðŸŸĻ Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠ïļ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

MuraMura

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (23)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Aluminij
10.1
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Bravo
9.6
NK Domzale
9.6
Celje
9.3
Koper
9.2
Maribor
9.0

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.0
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
NK Domzale
4.7
Celje
4.5
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.0
NK Domzale
26.4
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.2
Koper
24.9
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.2
Celje
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.1%
Under 3.5
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
69.5%
Under 21.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MuraMura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D11D01L12L00D01L11D01LH·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.640.570.440.62
vs Stronger (14)0.430.710.570.710.290.71
vs Similar (16)0.620.500.710.430.560.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W00D30W10W11D01L00DA·KOP04/05H·NAF11/05H·BRA18/05A·CEL25/05H·TRI29/05A·TRI01/06A·PRI19/07H·MAR27/07A·RAD01/08H·OLI10/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.330.670.670.73
vs Stronger (13)0.380.690.500.670.290.71
vs Similar (17)0.590.710.220.671.000.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MuraMura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L02L00D01L01L01L01L00D02LH·MAR21/04A·BRA28/04A·RAD03/05H·OLI10/05A·PRI17/05H·KOP25/05A·OLI19/07A·BRA26/07H·ALU02/08A·CEL10/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.000.210.640.441.31
vs Stronger (14)0.291.140.140.860.431.43
vs Similar (16)0.380.880.290.430.441.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Domzale) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W21W01L13L11D13L01L01L13LA·KOP04/05H·NAF11/05H·BRA18/05A·CEL25/05H·TRI29/05A·TRI01/06A·PRI19/07H·MAR27/07A·RAD01/08H·OLI10/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.070.930.870.531.27
vs Stronger (13)0.541.380.831.000.291.71
vs Similar (17)0.880.821.000.780.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Domzale over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls82.6%--------
Under 5.5 cards77.3%--------
Over 2.5 cards77.3%--------
Over 1.576.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
PRI (10)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (3)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
PRI (2)
€0m
NAF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
PRI (5)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MUR wins
0
Draws
3
ND wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mura vs NK Domzale · H/A from MUR
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/25HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-2
08/02/25ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-1
05/10/24HMUR Vs NK Domzale0-1
27/07/24ANK Domzale Vs MUR1-2
29/03/24ANK Domzale Vs MUR3-5
10/12/23HMUR Vs NK Domzale1-0
27/09/23ANK Domzale Vs MUR0-2
22/07/23HMUR Vs NK Domzale2-3

MuraMura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25ACelje Vs MUR3-0
02/08/25HMUR Vs Aluminij1-1
26/07/25ABravo Vs MUR2-0
19/07/25AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs MUR1-0
25/05/25HMUR Vs Koper1-3
17/05/25APrimorje Vs MUR2-0
10/05/25HMUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-1
03/05/25ARadomlje Vs MUR2-0
28/04/25ABravo Vs MUR1-1
21/04/25HMUR Vs Maribor1-2

NK DomzaleNK Domzale

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/25HND Vs Olimpija Ljubljana1-3
01/08/25ARadomlje Vs ND2-0
27/07/25HND Vs Maribor1-2
19/07/25APrimorje Vs ND3-2
01/06/25ATriglav Vs ND1-4
29/05/25HND Vs Triglav1-3
25/05/25ACelje Vs ND1-1
18/05/25HND Vs Bravo2-2
11/05/25HND Vs Nafta2-0
04/05/25AKoper Vs ND3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mura
Mura
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 0 Wins / 3 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL0.96
HomeLLDLD1.22
AwayLLLLL0.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%30%19%
AVG goals2.602.352.81
Over 1.5 %72%70%74%
Over 2.5 %46%39%52%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored1.061.170.96
Conceded1.541.171.85
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet22%30%15%
Corners---
Cards---
NK Domzale
NK Domzale
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.86
HomeWDLLL0.81
AwayLDWLL0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.942.653.25
Over 1.5 %76%73%79%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %38%31%46%
Scored1.100.961.25
Conceded1.841.692.00
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3474
68%
2.2
8532+53
3.4
85%
71%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
14
7162.50.9
-
2KoperKoper3467
59%
2.0
7143+28
3.4
82%
68%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3232.11.3
-
3BravoBravo3462
56%
1.8
6251+11
3.3
88%
71%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.5
-
4MariborMaribor3353
45%
1.6
5740+17
2.9
82%
58%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
5231.71.2
-
5Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3352
45%
1.6
4740+7
2.6
79%
58%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6151.41.2
-
6RadomljeRadomlje3445
38%
1.3
5063-13
3.3
97%
79%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.9
-
7AluminijAluminij3436
29%
1.1
4261-19
3.0
85%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.8
-
8MuraMura3431
24%
0.9
3555-20
2.6
76%
53%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
-
9PrimorjePrimorje3623
17%
0.6
3175-44
2.9
83%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.1
-
10NK DomzaleNK Domzale1812
17%
0.7
1738-21
3.1
89%
61%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11NaftaNafta24
50%
2.0
10+1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.50.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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