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MVV vs Vitesse Prediction & Stats

Date: 15/11/2026
Time: 13:30
MVV
MVV
Vs
31%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vitesse
Vitesse
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance for Vitesse, 31% for MVV and 27% for a draw. The expected total is 2.9 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% probability. MVV, playing at home against a similar-strength side, averages 1.17 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Vitesse, on the road, has a stronger attack, scoring 1.62 and conceding 1.23 against comparable opponents. The suggested picks are: Under 7.5 goals, 98.2%; Under 6.5 goals, 95.3%; Home under 3.5 goals, 94.8%; Under 5.5 goals, 89.1%; Away under 3.5 goals, 88.3%; Away +2 handicap, 87.3%; Under 5.5 cards, 84.8%; and Away over 0.5 goals, 84.3%. MVV is on a four-game winning streak, having beaten Jong AZ 2-1, while Vitesse comes off a 4-1 victory over Den Bosch.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

MVV win
31.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vitesse win
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MVVMVV

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L13L12L00D00D02L21W32W10W21WH·WIL22/03H·WAA03/04A·EMM06/04H·HEL10/04A·VIT17/04H·FC 24/04H·JON09/08A·FC 14/08H·FC 21/08A·JON28/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.971.331.801.002.13
vs Stronger (6)1.502.172.002.671.001.67
vs Similar (24)1.081.921.171.581.002.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VitesseVitesse

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W33D61W30W00D12L11D31W03L41WA·JON20/03H·EMM03/04H·JON06/04A·JON13/04H·MVV17/04A·CAM24/04H·WAA07/08A·JON17/08H·ALM21/08A·DEN28/08
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.371.561.561.641.14
vs Stronger (3)2.330.332.500.502.000.00
vs Similar (27)1.521.481.431.711.621.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
56.1%
Under 2.5
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.4%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
MVV goals ↓
Vitesse goals →
01234
06.5%7.4%6.8%3.6%1.4%
16.0%13%9.0%4.8%1.9%
24.8%7.6%6.1%3.2%1.3%
32.1%3.4%2.7%1.4%0.6%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MVV goals (down), columns = Vitesse goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
De Graafschap
1.60
Almere City FC
1.55
Heracles
1.53
NAC Breda
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Jong PSV U21
1.47
Vitesse
1.47
Waalwijk
1.45
Roda
1.43
Den Bosch
1.27
Dordrecht
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.24
Jong Utrecht
1.21
Emmen
1.18
VVV Venlo
1.18
FC OSS
1.16
Jong AZ
1.05
Helmond Sport
1.03
MVV
1.00
Jong Ajax
0.92
MVV is 0.47 points worse than Vitesse in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Almere City FC
2.02
De Graafschap
1.93
Waalwijk
1.76
Heracles
1.74
Jong PSV U21
1.74
NAC Breda
1.71
Vitesse
1.68
Den Bosch
1.68
Jong AZ
1.61
Emmen
1.53
Jong Utrecht
1.53
Roda
1.52
FC Volendam
1.50
FC OSS
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.32
Jong Ajax
1.32
Dordrecht
1.26
Helmond Sport
1.11
MVV
1.08
MVV is 0.61 goals worse than Vitesse in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.68).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Roda
1.40
Heracles
1.44
Vitesse
1.45
NAC Breda
1.47
Dordrecht
1.47
FC Volendam
1.50
Waalwijk
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
De Graafschap
1.57
Almere City FC
1.61
Jong Utrecht
1.63
Helmond Sport
1.63
Jong PSV U21
1.68
FC OSS
1.68
FC Eindhoven
1.82
Den Bosch
1.88
Emmen
1.89
MVV
1.92
Jong Ajax
1.92
Jong AZ
2.00
MVV is 0.47 goals worse than Vitesse in terms of goals conceded per game (1.92 vs 1.45).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
De Graafschap
56%
Jong AZ
54%
Roda
52%
Emmen
52%
Jong PSV U21
52%
Jong Ajax
52%
Waalwijk
50%
VVV Venlo
49%
Helmond Sport
49%
Dordrecht
48%
Almere City FC
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
Den Bosch
47%
Vitesse
46%
FC Eindhoven
44%
MVV
44%
FC OSS
43%
MVV is 2.8 percentage points worse than Vitesse in terms of average possession (44% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MVVMVV

For 3.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 9.1

🚩 Corners

1504552263583191739781297881110812153A·JONH·FC A·FC H·JONH·FC A·VITH·HELA·EMMH·WAAH·WIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

7024111344215431246127615446H·FC A·FC H·JONH·FC A·VITH·HELA·EMMH·WAAH·WILH·VVV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

29011914157912121412171115951516128620291624262824202814A·JONH·FC A·FC H·JONH·FC A·VITH·HELA·EMMH·WAAH·WIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VitesseVitesse

For 4.8 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

16016733362299145529235161068111097118A·DENH·ALMA·JONH·WAAA·CAMH·MVVA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

8024213362241112412436861261A·DENH·ALMA·JONH·WAAA·CAMH·MVVA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 13.1 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

300168912715914161311171012611102011924212223292822173020A·DENH·ALMA·JONH·WAAA·CAMH·MVVA·JONH·JONH·EMMA·JON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MVVMVV

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.72.42.62.322.622.922.4
vs Stronger (7)10.37.712.22.02.31.819.420.718.5
vs Similar (43)10.19.810.32.52.62.423.323.223.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line57%45%70%32%36%28%60%70%50%
% under line43%55%30%68%64%72%40%30%50%
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VitesseVitesse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.49.73.64.13.226.827.426.2
vs Stronger (4)8.79.08.02.83.31.024.026.020.0
vs Similar (45)9.89.510.13.74.23.327.427.627.1
vs Weaker (1)4.0-4.03.0-3.016.0-16.0
% over line55%60%50%52%64%40%90%90%90%
% under line45%40%50%48%36%60%10%10%10%
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Den Bosch
12.2
FC OSS
11.9
De Graafschap
11.9
Dordrecht
11.3
VVV Venlo
11.2
Almere City FC
11.0
Heracles
10.9
Helmond Sport
10.7
Jong PSV U21
10.6
Jong AZ
10.6
FC Eindhoven
10.6
Jong Ajax
10.5
Emmen
10.3
FC Volendam
10.3
MVV
10.2
Vitesse
10.0
Waalwijk
10.0
Roda
9.9
NAC Breda
9.8
Jong Utrecht
9.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Vitesse
4.5
Dordrecht
4.3
FC OSS
4.1
Emmen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Jong Ajax
3.8
Den Bosch
3.7
VVV Venlo
3.5
Heracles
3.5
Jong AZ
3.5
FC Volendam
3.4
Roda
3.3
Helmond Sport
3.3
Waalwijk
3.3
De Graafschap
3.3
Jong PSV U21
3.2
MVV
3.2
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Jong Utrecht
3.0
Almere City FC
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
29.0
Vitesse
26.7
Dordrecht
25.8
Emmen
25.7
Jong Utrecht
25.5
Helmond Sport
25.4
Jong Ajax
25.0
Roda
24.8
Heracles
24.1
Jong PSV U21
23.8
VVV Venlo
23.7
Jong AZ
23.4
Den Bosch
23.3
NAC Breda
22.9
FC Eindhoven
22.9
De Graafschap
22.7
MVV
22.5
Waalwijk
22.4
FC Volendam
22.3
Almere City FC
20.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.1%
Under 9.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
48.0%
Under 3.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
71.4%
Under 21.5
28.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MVV or Draw
53.9%
Avg Implied -
31%
27%
42%
covers MVV + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MVV or Vitesse
75.2%
Avg Implied -
31%
27%
42%
covers MVV + Vitesse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Vitesse
70.9%
Avg Implied -
31%
27%
42%
covers Draw + Vitesse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MVV over/under 0.5
Over
75.8%
Under
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5
Over
41.4%
Under
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5
Over
83.8%
Under
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5
Over
54.3%
Under
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5
Over
27.5%
Under
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 3.5
Over
11.2%
Under
88.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to MVV, so a minus line means MVV give that many goals of a start and Vitesse receive them. At -1, MVV must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MVV win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MVV)
MVV -2
4.9%
Draw -2
8.6%
Vitesse +2
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (MVV)
MVV -1
13.5%
Draw -1
15.6%
Vitesse +1
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (MVV)
MVV +1
53.9%
Draw +1
20.3%
Vitesse -1
25.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (MVV)
MVV +2
74.2%
Draw +2
14.2%
Vitesse -2
11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MVVMVV

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L02L11D00D00D00D11D11D00D10WH·WIL22/03H·WAA03/04A·EMM06/04H·HEL10/04A·VIT17/04H·FC 24/04H·JON09/08A·FC 14/08H·FC 21/08A·JON28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.400.800.470.93
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.671.330.330.33
vs Similar (24)0.420.880.330.670.501.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VitesseVitesse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W31W20W20W00D10W10W11D00D30WA·JON20/03H·EMM03/04H·JON06/04A·JON13/04H·MVV17/04A·CAM24/04H·WAA07/08A·JON17/08H·ALM21/08A·DEN28/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.571.060.500.860.64
vs Stronger (3)1.330.331.500.501.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.930.591.000.500.850.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MVVMVV

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D01L00D00D02L10W21W10W11DH·WIL22/03H·WAA03/04A·EMM06/04H·HEL10/04A·VIT17/04H·FC 24/04H·JON09/08A·FC 14/08H·FC 21/08A·JON28/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.100.931.000.531.20
vs Stronger (6)1.001.331.331.330.671.33
vs Similar (24)0.671.040.830.920.501.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VitesseVitesse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W02L41W10W00D02L01L20W03L11DA·JON20/03H·EMM03/04H·JON06/04A·JON13/04H·MVV17/04A·CAM24/04H·WAA07/08A·JON17/08H·ALM21/08A·DEN28/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.800.501.060.790.50
vs Stronger (3)1.000.001.000.001.000.00
vs Similar (27)0.590.890.431.210.770.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.2%-------
Under 6.595.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%-------
Under 5.589.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals88.8%-------
Away +2 handicap86.5%-------
Under 5.5 cards84.7%-------
Over 19.5 fouls84.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals83.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.9%-------
Over 1.580.2%-------
Under 4.577.4%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.8%-------
Home or Away75.2%-------
Home +2 handicap74.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals72.5%-------
Over 21.5 fouls71.4%-------
Under 4.5 cards71.1%-------
Draw or Away70.9%-------
Away +1 handicap70.9%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

MVV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olivier Dumont50%
Jael Pawaridihadjo33%
Noa el Hamdaoui33%
Stan Van Dessel25%
Elias Sierra25%
Lennerd Daneels0%
Delano Asante0%
Hugo Wentges0%
Finn Dicke0%
Milan Hofland0%
Sil van der Wegen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lennerd Daneels25%
Delano Asante25%
Milan Hofland25%
Sil van der Wegen25%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Elias Sierra0%
Hugo Wentges0%
Olivier Dumont0%
Finn Dicke0%
Jael Pawaridihadjo0%
Noa el Hamdaoui0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lennerd Daneels25%
Delano Asante25%
Olivier Dumont25%
Finn Dicke25%
Milan Hofland25%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Elias Sierra0%
Hugo Wentges0%
Sil van der Wegen0%
Jael Pawaridihadjo0%
Noa el Hamdaoui0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Noa el Hamdaoui33%
Lennerd Daneels25%
Olivier Dumont25%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Delano Asante0%
Elias Sierra0%
Hugo Wentges0%
Finn Dicke0%
Milan Hofland0%
Sil van der Wegen0%
Jael Pawaridihadjo0%
Vitesse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Filipe de Ferreira25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chiel Olde Keizer50%
Nino Zonneveld33%
Mathijs Marschalk33%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz25%
Naoufal Bannis0%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filipe de Ferreira50%
Naoufal Bannis25%
Marco Schikora25%
Omar Achouitar25%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Chiel Olde Keizer25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
MVV's squad is €3m less valuable than Vitesse's (€4m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACF (10)
€5m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
MVV's attack is €2m less valuable than Vitesse's (€1m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
MVV and Vitesse have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
MVV and Vitesse have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
MVV wins
2
Draws
1
VIT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

MVV vs Vitesse · H/A from MVV
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/26AVitesse Vs MVV0-0
21/10/25HMVV Vs Vitesse3-2
01/03/25AVitesse Vs MVV1-0
06/12/24HMVV Vs Vitesse2-2

MVVMVV

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AJong AZ Vs MVV1-2
21/08/26HMVV Vs FC Volendam1-0
14/08/26AFC Eindhoven Vs MVV2-3
09/08/26HMVV Vs Jong Utrecht2-1
24/04/26HMVV Vs FC OSS0-2
17/04/26AVitesse Vs MVV0-0
10/04/26HMVV Vs Helmond Sport0-0
06/04/26AEmmen Vs MVV2-1
03/04/26HMVV Vs Waalwijk1-3
22/03/26HMVV Vs Willem II0-5

VitesseVitesse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ADen Bosch Vs VIT1-4
21/08/26HVIT Vs Almere City FC0-3
17/08/26AJong Utrecht Vs VIT1-3
07/08/26HVIT Vs Waalwijk1-1
24/04/26ACambuur Vs VIT2-1
17/04/26HVIT Vs MVV0-0
13/04/26AJong Utrecht Vs VIT0-3
06/04/26HVIT Vs Jong Ajax6-1
03/04/26HVIT Vs Emmen3-3
20/03/26AJong PSV U21 Vs VIT0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

MVV
MVV
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWW1.12
HomeLDLWW1.40
AwayDLDWW0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%40%20%
AVG goals3.023.082.96
Over 1.5 %74%72%76%
Over 2.5 %64%64%64%
Over 3.5 %42%40%44%
Scored1.201.480.92
Conceded1.821.602.04
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners10.209.8010.60
Cards3.203.083.32
Vitesse
Vitesse
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLW1.46
HomeDWDDL1.46
AwayWWLWW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%38%38%
AVG goals3.123.213.04
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %68%75%62%
Over 3.5 %40%42%38%
Scored1.701.751.65
Conceded1.421.461.38
BTTS66%71%62%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners9.989.7910.15
Cards4.484.834.15

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1HeraclesHeracles412
100%
3.0
167+9
5.8
100%
100%
100%
13.0
75%
1.8
0%
26.8
100%
8
4134.01.8
-
2MVVMVV412
100%
3.0
84+4
3.0
75%
75%
25%
8.0
0%
3.0
33%
22.2
50%
4
1122.01.0
44%
3Almere City FCAlmere City FC410
75%
2.5
113+8
3.5
100%
75%
50%
11.5
100%
2.2
25%
18.0
0%
10
5232.80.8
48%
4VVV VenloVVV Venlo49
75%
2.2
115+6
4.0
100%
75%
50%
10.5
75%
4.5
50%
24.0
75%
4
1022.81.2
49%
5EmmenEmmen49
75%
2.2
109+1
4.8
75%
75%
75%
8.2
50%
4.0
50%
26.8
50%
5
1212.52.2
52%
6Jong PSV U21Jong PSV U2158
40%
1.6
88+0
3.2
80%
60%
60%
9.0
40%
2.0
20%
19.6
20%
7
1331.61.6
52%
7VitesseVitesse47
50%
1.8
86+2
3.5
100%
75%
50%
10.0
50%
3.8
50%
22.5
75%
7
4122.01.5
46%
8RodaRoda47
50%
1.8
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
7.2
25%
4.0
75%
27.5
75%
8
4221.21.0
52%
9NAC BredaNAC Breda47
50%
1.8
77+0
3.5
100%
75%
50%
10.0
75%
4.5
75%
24.2
75%
10
4241.81.8
-
10FC VolendamFC Volendam46
50%
1.5
115+6
4.0
75%
75%
50%
10.5
25%
3.0
25%
24.5
75%
6
2132.81.2
-
11Jong AZJong AZ56
40%
1.2
99+0
3.6
80%
80%
40%
8.8
20%
4.0
50%
22.8
60%
5
2121.81.8
54%
12WaalwijkWaalwijk44
0%
1.0
66+0
3.0
100%
50%
50%
7.8
0%
4.0
75%
22.8
75%
8
3131.51.5
50%
13Den BoschDen Bosch44
25%
1.0
910-1
4.8
100%
75%
75%
13.0
75%
1.2
0%
21.0
50%
5
3112.22.5
47%
14Jong AjaxJong Ajax54
20%
0.8
1114-3
5.0
100%
80%
60%
11.4
80%
4.2
60%
27.8
100%
19
43122.22.8
52%
15DordrechtDordrecht44
25%
1.0
510-5
3.8
75%
75%
50%
9.8
50%
4.5
75%
26.8
100%
6
2221.22.5
48%
16FC OSSFC OSS43
25%
0.8
37-4
2.5
75%
75%
0%
11.8
75%
2.2
0%
23.8
75%
4
1120.81.8
43%
17FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven43
25%
0.8
611-5
4.2
75%
75%
75%
9.8
25%
1.5
0%
23.0
50%
3
2011.52.8
44%
18Helmond SportHelmond Sport42
0%
0.5
57-2
3.0
100%
50%
25%
10.2
50%
3.2
50%
26.0
100%
4
2121.21.8
49%
19De GraafschapDe Graafschap41
0%
0.2
512-7
4.2
100%
75%
50%
10.0
50%
4.0
50%
23.5
75%
6
2221.23.0
56%
20Jong UtrechtJong Utrecht50
0%
0.0
515-10
4.0
100%
100%
40%
9.0
20%
2.4
20%
24.8
100%
2
1111.03.0
48%
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →

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