Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MVV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.87
0.71
0.71
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.67
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.80
0.73
0.55
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.31
0.44
0.29
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
0.83
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.33
0.54
0.42
0.25
0.25
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MVV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.07
0.93
1.00
0.44
1.12
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
1.40
1.33
1.33
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.60
1.00
0.82
0.91
0.43
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.93
0.75
1.06
1.07
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.25
1.75
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.88
0.92
0.83
1.17
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 4.5 cards
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 8.5 corners
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
MVV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Camil Mmaee33%
Camil Mmaee25%
Sven Braken17%
Jael Pawaridihadjo17%
Stan Van Dessel16%
Ilano Silva Timas11%
Thijme Verheijen8%
Luca Foubert8%
Travis de Jong8%
Nabil El Basri7%
Delano Asante6%
Mats Kuipers6%
Ilias Breugelmans6%
Marko Kleinen4%
Robert Klaasen0%
Sem Westerveld0%
Lars Schenk0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Finn Dicke0%
Wout Coomans0%
Kanou Sy0%
Simon Francis0%
Lirim Jashari0%
Mitch van Kempen0%
Djairo Tehubyuluw0%
Amine Amgar0%
Lenn-Minh Tran0%
Adam Zaian0%
Antoine Beydts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Camil Mmaee33%
Wout Coomans31%
Ilias Breugelmans24%
Kanou Sy24%
Lars Schenk18%
Djairo Tehubyuluw18%
Camil Mmaee17%
Simon Francis17%
Jael Pawaridihadjo17%
Adam Zaian16%
Marko Kleinen15%
Sven Braken11%
Ilano Silva Timas11%
Nabil El Basri11%
Stan Van Dessel11%
Finn Dicke10%
Travis de Jong8%
Robert Klaasen6%
Lenn-Minh Tran6%
Thijme Verheijen4%
Delano Asante3%
Sem Westerveld0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Luca Foubert0%
Lirim Jashari0%
Mitch van Kempen0%
Mats Kuipers0%
Amine Amgar0%
Antoine Beydts0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Camil Mmaee33%
Ilano Silva Timas17%
Stan Van Dessel13%
Lars Schenk9%
Djairo Tehubyuluw9%
Sven Braken9%
Jael Pawaridihadjo8%
Delano Asante6%
Robert Klaasen6%
Nabil El Basri4%
Ilias Breugelmans3%
Lenn-Minh Tran3%
Sem Westerveld3%
Marko Kleinen0%
Thijme Verheijen0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Finn Dicke0%
Wout Coomans0%
Luca Foubert0%
Kanou Sy0%
Simon Francis0%
Lirim Jashari0%
Travis de Jong0%
Mitch van Kempen0%
Mats Kuipers0%
Amine Amgar0%
Adam Zaian0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Antoine Beydts0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Camil Mmaee42%
Sven Braken26%
Ilano Silva Timas22%
Nabil El Basri14%
Thijme Verheijen12%
Stan Van Dessel8%
Travis de Jong8%
Mats Kuipers6%
Luca Foubert4%
Robert Klaasen0%
Delano Asante0%
Marko Kleinen0%
Sem Westerveld0%
Lars Schenk0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Ilias Breugelmans0%
Finn Dicke0%
Wout Coomans0%
Kanou Sy0%
Simon Francis0%
Lirim Jashari0%
Mitch van Kempen0%
Djairo Tehubyuluw0%
Amine Amgar0%
Lenn-Minh Tran0%
Adam Zaian0%
Jael Pawaridihadjo0%
Camil Mmaee0%
Antoine Beydts0%
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bjorn van Zijl27%
Dean Zandbergen23%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou11%
Philip Heise10%
Gabin Blancquart9%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Sylian Mokono8%
Lars de Blok6%
Navarone Foor6%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Davis25%
Nassim Ait Mouhou19%
Gabin Blancquart19%
Yousri Sbai18%
Joshua Eijgenraam16%
Tijn Joosten16%
Sylian Mokono15%
Thomas Reinders14%
Navarone Foor14%
Mohammed Odriss13%
Dries Saddiki12%
Lars de Blok12%
Diego van Oorschot12%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Layee Kromah11%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Luuk Verheij7%
Bjorn van Zijl7%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Philip Heise3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Jorn Triep0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok15%
Navarone Foor14%
Bjorn van Zijl13%
Jorn Triep9%
Dean Zandbergen9%
Philip Heise7%
Mohammed Odriss4%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Diego van Oorschot4%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Nassim Ait Mouhou3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen34%
Layee Kromah15%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou14%
Bjorn van Zijl10%
Diego van Oorschot8%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Philip Heise0%
Dries Saddiki0%
Navarone Foor0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Luuk Verheij0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
ACF (27)
€10m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
MVV and VVV Venlo have a similar squad value (both €4m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
MVV and VVV Venlo have a similar attack value (both €1m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
MVV's midfield is €1m more valuable than VVV Venlo's (€1m vs €0m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
MVV and VVV Venlo have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →