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Naestved vs B 93 Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 0-1
Naestved
Naestved
Vs
28%
21%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
B 93
B 93
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Naestved winâś— Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
B 93 winâś“ Hit
51.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

NaestvedNaestved

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W23L13L33D32W12L23L14L12L11DH·FC 07/05H·VEN14/05A·VEJ21/05H·SON28/05A·HVI04/06A·FC 23/07A·HOB28/07H·SON06/08H·KOL13/08A·AAL18/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.701.871.671.271.73
vs Stronger (9)1.331.671.671.670.671.67
vs Similar (17)1.711.651.861.711.601.60
vs Weaker (4)1.502.002.501.500.502.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (B 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B 93B 93

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-703L02L11D71W05LH·AAL22/07A·FC 30/07H·KOL05/08A·HB 11/08H·FC 18/08
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.602.400.333.003.501.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.602.400.333.003.501.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%21%3%06%116%220%320%416%521%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
91.4%
Under 1.5
8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
75.9%
Under 2.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
56.3%
Under 3.5
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
73.9%
No
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
8.3%
1-1
8.0%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
2-3
5.3%
0-2
4.9%
3-2
3.9%
Naestved goals ↓
B 93 goals →
01234
02.6%3.6%4.9%3.8%2.2%
12.4%8.0%8.3%6.4%3.7%
22.6%6.1%7.0%5.3%3.1%
31.5%3.4%3.9%3.0%1.7%
40.6%1.4%1.6%1.3%0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Naestved goals (down), columns = B 93 goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
AC Horsens
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
Naestved is 0.38 points worse than B 93 in terms of average points per game (0.84 vs 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
B 93
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
Naestved is 0.38 goals worse than B 93 in terms of goals scored per game (1.03 vs 1.41).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
Naestved is 0.06 goals better than B 93 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.66 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NaestvedNaestved

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L21W22D02L10W03L01L11DH·FC 07/05H·VEN14/05A·VEJ21/05H·SON28/05A·HVI04/06A·FC 23/07A·HOB28/07H·SON06/08H·KOL13/08A·AAL18/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.800.870.470.80
vs Stronger (9)0.780.671.000.670.330.67
vs Similar (17)0.590.880.571.140.600.70
vs Weaker (4)0.501.001.000.500.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (B 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B 93B 93

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L21W00DH·AAL22/07A·FC 30/07H·KOL05/08A·HB 11/08H·FC 18/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.400.000.331.000.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.400.400.000.331.000.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Naestved over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NaestvedNaestved

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L12L12L10W10W13L11D11D00DH·FC 07/05H·VEN14/05A·VEJ21/05H·SON28/05A·HVI04/06A·FC 23/07A·HOB28/07H·SON06/08H·KOL13/08A·AAL18/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.871.070.800.800.93
vs Stronger (9)0.561.000.671.000.331.00
vs Similar (17)1.120.761.290.571.000.90
vs Weaker (4)1.001.001.501.000.501.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (B 93) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

B 93B 93

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L02L10W50W05LH·AAL22/07A·FC 30/07H·KOL05/08A·HB 11/08H·FC 18/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.000.332.672.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.202.000.332.672.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Naestved) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Naestved over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naestved over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B 93 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.4%-------âś— Miss
Over 2.575.9%-------âś— Miss
BTTS Yes73.9%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

đź§  Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NAE wins
0
Draws
0
B9 wins

Head-to-head

Naestved vs B 93 · H/A from NAE
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NaestvedNaestved

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/23AAalborg Vs NAE1-1
13/08/23HNAE Vs Kolding IF1-2
06/08/23HNAE Vs Sonderjyske1-4
28/07/23AHobro Vs NAE3-2
23/07/23AFC Helsingor Vs NAE2-1
04/06/23AHvidovre Vs NAE2-3
28/05/23HNAE Vs Sonderjyske3-3
21/05/23AVejle Vs NAE3-1
14/05/23HNAE Vs Vendsyssel FF2-3
07/05/23HNAE Vs FC Helsingor2-1

B 93B 93

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/08/23HB9 Vs FC Fredericia0-5
11/08/23AHB Koge Vs B91-7
05/08/23HB9 Vs Kolding IF1-1
30/07/23AFC Helsingor Vs B92-0
22/07/23HB9 Vs Aalborg0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Naestved
Naestved
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.19
HomeWLDLL1.44
AwayLWLLD0.95
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%39%21%
AVG goals3.143.442.84
Over 1.5 %86%94%79%
Over 2.5 %59%67%53%
Over 3.5 %38%44%32%
Scored1.511.941.11
Conceded1.621.501.74
BTTS59%61%58%
Clean Sheet27%33%21%
Corners---
Cards---
B 93
B 93
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWL0.80
HomeLDL0.33
AwayLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%50%
AVG goals4.003.335.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %60%67%50%
Over 3.5 %40%33%50%
Scored1.600.333.50
Conceded2.403.001.50
BTTS40%33%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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