Nafta vs Radomlje Prediction & Stats

Date: 04/09/2026

Time: 18:15

Nafta

37%

23%

40%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Radomlje

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Nafta’s recent run of three losses has left them vulnerable at home, while Radomlje, fresh from a draw, have shown a sharper attack on the road. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 39% chance, followed by a 38% chance of a home win and a 23% chance of a draw. The expected total goals sit at 3.8, with the single most probable scoreline 1-1, carrying a 9.1% probability. Nafta, playing against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.71 goals scored and 1.14 conceded at home, whereas Radomlje, also facing a comparable side, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded away. The model’s selections highlight a strong edge on the “Over 1.5” total, with a 89.7% probability and a 13% edge. Other picks include “Away under 2.5 HT goals” at 98.2%, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 96.6%, “Under 7.5” at 96.2%, “Away under 2.5 2H goals” at 96.0%, “Home under 2.5 2H goals” at 94.3%, “Under 6.5” at 91.4%, and “Home under 3.5 goals” at 88.2%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nafta win

36.6%

Avg Implied 42.5% · @ 2.14

Edge

-5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.22

Superbet

2.20

Dafabet

2.19

Betano

2.18

10Bet

2.16

Draw

23.1%

Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.52

Edge

-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.86

Betfair

3.60

Dafabet

3.60

Betano

3.60

10Bet

3.55

Radomlje win

40.3%

Avg Implied 31.7% · @ 2.86

Edge

+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

3.10

Dafabet

2.95

Pinnacle

2.94

Betano

2.92

10Bet

2.88

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nafta

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.87	0.97	2.07	1.27	1.67	0.67
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	2.33	1.50	3.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (16)	1.69	0.88	1.71	1.14	1.67	0.67
vs Weaker (11)	2.36	0.73	2.67	0.83	2.00	0.60
Clean sheet %	33% (+7pp vs league)

This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.47	1.73	1.19	1.81	1.79	1.64
vs Stronger (14)	1.07	1.93	0.75	1.75	1.50	2.17
vs Similar (16)	1.81	1.56	1.62	1.88	2.00	1.25
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	7% (-20pp vs league)

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).

Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

89.7%

@ 1.17+11.0%

Under 1.5

10.3%

@ 4.34-11.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.20

10Bet

1.20

Pinnacle

1.19

Betano

1.19

Betfair

1.17

Under

Betfair

5.00

Pinnacle

4.65

BetVictor

4.50

Bet365

4.33

10Bet

4.33

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

72.4%

@ 1.60+14.4%

Under 2.5

27.6%

@ 2.20-14.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

1.64

Bet365

1.62

10Bet

1.62

Pinnacle

1.61

Betano

1.60

Under

Pinnacle

2.30

Betano

2.25

Betfair

2.25

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.21

Over/Under 3.5

Over 3.5

51.7%

@ 2.49+14.6%

Under 3.5

48.3%

@ 1.47-14.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

2.63

Pinnacle

2.55

Betfair

2.55

10Bet

2.55

Bet365

2.50

Under

Betano

1.52

Pinnacle

1.51

Betfair

1.50

Bet365

1.50

BetVictor

1.49

Both teams to score

Yes

72.5%

@ 1.51+11.8%

27.5%

@ 2.34-11.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.57

Unibet

1.54

Superbet

1.52

Betano

1.52

10Bet

1.50

Betfair

2.50

William Hil

2.40

BetVictor

2.40

1xBet

2.38

Betano

2.37

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

9.1%@ 6.50+2.3%

1-2

7.9%@ 9.48+3.3%

2-1

7.6%@ 8.16+2.1%

2-2

7.3%@ 10.56+3.1%

1-3

5.1%@ 18.90+2.8%

2-3

4.7%@ 22.22+2.7%

3-1

4.6%@ 14.24+1.5%

3-2

4.4%@ 18.50+2.0%

Nafta goals ↓

	Radomlje goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	3.7%	4.3%	2.8%	1.3%
1	3.5%	9.1%	7.9%	5.1%	2.4%
2	3.9%	7.6%	7.3%	4.7%	2.2%
3	2.4%	4.6%	4.4%	2.8%	1.4%
4	1.1%	2.1%	2.0%	1.3%	0.6%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nafta goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Maribor

2.14

Celje

1.83

Koper

1.71

Bravo

1.57

Aluminij

1.14

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.14

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.14

Nafta

1.00

Mura

1.00

Radomlje

0.83

Nafta is 0.17 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.83).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Maribor

1.86

Nafta

1.71

Celje

1.67

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.57

Radomlje

1.17

Bravo

1.14

Aluminij

1.14

Mura

1.14

Koper

1.00

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.43

Nafta is 0.55 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.71 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Maribor

0.71

Koper

0.71

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.71

Bravo

1.14

Aluminij

1.14

Celje

1.33

Radomlje

1.67

Nafta

1.71

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.71

Mura

2.00

Nafta is 0.05 goals worse than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.67).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nafta

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Radomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Nafta

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (8)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (24)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (18)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radomlje

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (22)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (28)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Mura

11.1

Aluminij

10.1

Olimpija Ljubljana

9.7

Bravo

9.6

Celje

9.4

Koper

9.2

Maribor

9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Aluminij

5.0

Celje

4.9

Maribor

4.7

Olimpija Ljubljana

4.7

Mura

4.2

Koper

4.0

Bravo

3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Aluminij

27.0

Maribor

25.2

Olimpija Ljubljana

25.2

Celje

25.0

Koper

24.9

Bravo

24.7

Mura

24.2

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

51.9%

@ 1.96+4.8%

Under 9.5

48.1%

@ 1.75-4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.00

Bet365

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Pinnacle

1.95

1xBet

1.94

Under

Pinnacle

1.81

Marathonbet

1.77

1xBet

1.77

Bet365

1.73

Betano

1.72

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

58.8%

Under 3.5

41.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

71.5%

Under 21.5

28.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Nafta or Draw

59.7%

Avg Implied 68.2% · @ 1.34

Edge

-8.5%

37%

23%

40%

covers Nafta + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.40

10Bet

1.38

Bet365

1.36

Superbet

1.36

Betfair

1.36

Nafta or Radomlje

76.9%

Avg Implied 74.4% · @ 1.23

Edge

+2.5%

37%

23%

40%

covers Nafta + Radomlje

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.27

Bet365

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

William Hil

1.25

Superbet

1.23

Draw or Radomlje

63.4%

Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.60

Edge

+6.0%

37%

23%

40%

covers Draw + Radomlje

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.67

10Bet

1.62

William Hil

1.62

Unibet

1.62

BetVictor

1.60

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Nafta over/under 0.5

Over

84.0%

@ 1.18+5.2%

Under

16.0%

@ 4.35-5.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.20

Betano

1.19

10Bet

1.18

1xBet

1.17

BetVictor

1.17

Under

BetVictor

4.50

Betfair

4.50

1xBet

4.40

Bet365

4.33

10Bet

4.33

Nafta over/under 1.5

Over

54.6%

@ 1.89+5.6%

Under

45.4%

@ 1.82-5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.93

Betfair

1.91

Bet365

1.91

BetVictor

1.90

Superbet

1.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

Betano

1.87

10Bet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Nafta over/under 2.5

Over

27.8%

@ 3.78+3.4%

Under

72.2%

@ 1.22-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.00

1xBet

3.90

Pinnacle

3.86

10Bet

3.80

BetVictor

3.80

Under

Betano

1.26

Pinnacle

1.23

BetVictor

1.22

Betfair

1.22

10Bet

1.22

Nafta over/under 3.5

Over

11.4%

@ 8.18-0.0%

Under

88.6%

@ 1.05+0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.00

Betfair

8.50

Bet365

8.00

Betano

7.20

Under

Betano

1.07

Bet365

1.06

Betfair

1.05

1xBet

1.02

Radomlje over/under 0.5

Over

85.4%

@ 1.25+11.4%

Under

14.6%

@ 3.55-11.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.28

Betano

1.27

Pinnacle

1.26

10Bet

1.25

BetVictor

1.25

Under

Betfair

3.75

BetVictor

3.60

1xBet

3.56

Pinnacle

3.55

10Bet

3.55

Radomlje over/under 1.5

Over

57.3%

@ 2.26+16.3%

Under

42.7%

@ 1.57-16.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Unibet

2.40

Pinnacle

2.38

10Bet

2.25

Betano

2.25

Bet365

2.25

Under

1xBet

1.64

Betano

1.60

Superbet

1.59

Marathonbet

1.58

Betfair

1.57

Radomlje over/under 2.5

Over

30.3%

@ 4.86+11.3%

Under

69.7%

@ 1.14-11.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

5.00

10Bet

5.00

Betfair

5.00

Marathonbet

5.00

BetVictor

5.00

Under

Betano

1.17

1xBet

1.14

Bet365

1.14

Betfair

1.14

10Bet

1.13

Radomlje over/under 3.5

Over

12.9%

@ 9.62+3.2%

Under

87.1%

@ 1.03-3.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Betano

9.25

Under

Betano

1.04

Bet365

1.03

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Nafta, so a minus line means Nafta give that many goals of a start and Radomlje receive them. At -1, Nafta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nafta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Nafta)

Nafta -2

8.5%

@ 8.05-2.6%

Draw -2

11.1%

@ 6.40-2.8%

Radomlje +2

80.4%

@ 1.19+5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

8.10

Bet365

8.00

Draw

Bet365

6.50

Marathonbet

6.30

Away

Bet365

1.20

Marathonbet

1.18

Handicap -1 (Nafta)

Nafta -1

19.6%

@ 3.79-3.3%

Draw -1

17.0%

@ 3.89-5.3%

Radomlje +1

63.4%

@ 1.59+8.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Marathonbet

3.90

Unibet

3.10

Draw

Bet365

4.33

Betfair

4.00

Marathonbet

3.98

10Bet

3.95

Unibet

3.20

Away

10Bet

1.62

Unibet

1.62

Bet365

1.57

Betfair

1.57

Marathonbet

1.57

Handicap +1 (Nafta)

Nafta +1

59.7%

@ 1.36-5.5%

Draw +1

17.9%

@ 4.63-1.2%

Radomlje -1

22.4%

@ 5.63+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

1.38

Bet365

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Draw

Bet365

4.75

Marathonbet

4.65

10Bet

4.50

Away

10Bet

5.75

Marathonbet

5.65

Bet365

5.50

Handicap +2 (Nafta)

Nafta +2

77.6%

@ 1.11-3.1%

Draw +2

12.3%

@ 8.00+1.1%

Radomlje -2

10.1%

@ 11.00+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.11

Draw

Bet365

8.00

Away

Bet365

11.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nafta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.43	0.73	0.53	0.93	0.33
vs Stronger (3)	0.67	1.33	1.00	2.00	0.00	0.00
vs Similar (16)	0.75	0.44	0.57	0.43	0.89	0.44
vs Weaker (11)	1.00	0.18	0.83	0.17	1.20	0.20
Clean sheet %	67% (+40pp vs league)

This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.6

Avg scored

0.8

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.73	0.56	1.00	0.86	0.43
vs Stronger (14)	0.43	0.93	0.38	1.00	0.50	0.83
vs Similar (16)	0.94	0.56	0.75	1.00	1.12	0.12
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

72.7%

@ 1.27+0.6%

Under 0.5

27.3%

@ 3.30-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.32

Bet365

1.30

10Bet

1.28

Marathonbet

1.27

1xBet

1.27

Under

Betfair

3.50

Bet365

3.40

William Hil

3.40

10Bet

3.30

1xBet

3.25

Half Time Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

37.5%

@ 2.35-1.8%

Under 1.5

62.5%

@ 1.52+1.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.42

Betano

2.40

Betfair

2.38

Unibet

2.35

Under

Pinnacle

1.55

10Bet

1.55

William Hil

1.55

Superbet

1.54

BetVictor

1.54

Half Time Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

14.3%

@ 5.12-3.7%

Under 2.5

85.7%

@ 1.12+3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

5.50

Betfair

5.50

1xBet

5.10

William Hil

5.00

Betano

4.90

Under

Betano

1.14

Betfair

1.13

Bet365

1.12

1xBet

1.12

William Hil

1.12

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Nafta over/under 0.5 HT

Over

54.2%

@ 1.78+2.2%

Under

45.8%

@ 1.93-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.82

Pinnacle

1.80

Superbet

1.78

Marathonbet

1.77

10Bet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

2.00

1xBet

1.95

10Bet

1.93

Superbet

1.92

Betano

1.90

Nafta over/under 1.5 HT

Over

15.9%

@ 5.08-2.3%

Under

84.1%

@ 1.13+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.50

Marathonbet

5.15

10Bet

5.00

Betano

4.65

Under

Betano

1.16

10Bet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.11

1xBet

1.11

Nafta over/under 2.5 HT

Over

3.6%

@ 11.38-4.7%

Under

96.4%

@ 1.02+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

13.00

Betano

9.75

Under

Betano

1.03

10Bet

1.02

Radomlje over/under 0.5 HT

Over

43.6%

@ 1.99-2.8%

Under

56.4%

@ 1.72+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.05

Betano

2.02

10Bet

2.00

Marathonbet

1.97

Superbet

1.97

Under

Superbet

1.74

10Bet

1.73

Pinnacle

1.73

1xBet

1.73

Marathonbet

1.71

Radomlje over/under 1.5 HT

Over

12.0%

@ 5.99-3.3%

Under

88.0%

@ 1.08+3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.35

1xBet

6.00

10Bet

6.00

Betano

5.60

Under

Betano

1.11

10Bet

1.09

1xBet

1.07

Marathonbet

1.07

Radomlje over/under 2.5 HT

Over

2.5%

@ 15.88-3.5%

Under

97.5%

@ 1.01+3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

21.00

Betano

10.75

Under

Betano

1.02

10Bet

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nafta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	0.53	1.33	0.73	0.73	0.33
vs Stronger (3)	0.33	1.00	0.50	1.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (16)	0.94	0.44	1.14	0.71	0.78	0.22
vs Weaker (11)	1.36	0.55	1.83	0.67	0.80	0.40
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.77	1.00	0.62	0.81	0.93	1.21
vs Stronger (14)	0.64	1.00	0.38	0.75	1.00	1.33
vs Similar (16)	0.88	1.00	0.88	0.88	0.88	1.12
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-10pp vs league)

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5

Over 0.5

80.9%

@ 1.16+1.4%

Under 0.5

19.1%

@ 4.52-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.18

William Hil

1.18

10Bet

1.17

Betano

1.17

Superbet

1.14

Under

1xBet

4.90

William Hil

4.50

Bet365

4.50

10Bet

4.50

Betano

4.45

Second Half Over/Under 1.5

Over 1.5

51.6%

@ 1.81+0.6%

Under 1.5

48.4%

@ 1.88-0.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Superbet

1.82

1xBet

1.82

Marathonbet

1.82

10Bet

1.80

Under

Betano

1.93

10Bet

1.91

Superbet

1.90

1xBet

1.88

Marathonbet

1.88

Second Half Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

22.9%

@ 3.46-3.8%

Under 2.5

77.1%

@ 1.26+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

3.75

William Hil

3.60

1xBet

3.40

Superbet

3.35

Betano

3.20

Under

Betano

1.30

1xBet

1.26

William Hil

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Superbet

1.24

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Nafta over/under 0.5 2H

Over

57.7%

@ 1.54-2.2%

Under

42.3%

@ 2.31+2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.56

Superbet

1.55

10Bet

1.53

Betano

1.53

Under

10Bet

2.35

Betano

2.35

1xBet

2.28

Superbet

2.25

Nafta over/under 1.5 2H

Over

25.4%

@ 3.54-0.7%

Under

74.6%

@ 1.25+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.65

1xBet

3.60

10Bet

3.55

Betano

3.35

Under

Betano

1.28

10Bet

1.25

1xBet

1.23

Marathonbet

1.22

Nafta over/under 2.5 2H

Over

5.5%

@ 8.20-5.8%

Under

94.5%

@ 1.04+5.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

9.00

Betano

7.40

Under

Betano

1.06

10Bet

1.03

Radomlje over/under 0.5 2H

Over

53.2%

@ 1.68-1.7%

Under

46.8%

@ 2.05+1.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.69

Superbet

1.68

1xBet

1.67

Betano

1.67

Under

Betano

2.07

1xBet

2.07

10Bet

2.05

Superbet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.00

Radomlje over/under 1.5 2H

Over

16.6%

@ 4.31-4.7%

Under

83.4%

@ 1.17+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

4.55

10Bet

4.33

1xBet

4.30

Betano

4.05

Under

Betano

1.20

10Bet

1.18

1xBet

1.17

Marathonbet

1.14

Radomlje over/under 2.5 2H

Over

4.6%

@ 10.38-4.5%

Under

95.4%

@ 1.03+4.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

12.00

Betano

8.75

Under

Betano

1.04

10Bet

1.02

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.5%	1.01	Betano 1.02	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	+3.5%
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.4%	1.02	Betano 1.03	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	+4.7%
Under 7.5	96.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Away under 2.5 2H goals	95.4%	1.03	Betano 1.04	10Bet 1.02	-	-	-	+4.5%
Home under 2.5 2H goals	94.5%	1.04	Betano 1.06	10Bet 1.03	-	-	-	+5.8%
Under 6.5	91.3%	1.02	Betano 1.03	1xBet 1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	+0.2%
Over 1.5	89.7%	1.17	Bet365 1.20	10Bet 1.20	Pinnacle 1.19	Betano 1.19	Betfair 1.17	+11.0%
Home under 3.5 goals	88.6%	1.05	Betano 1.07	Bet365 1.06	Betfair 1.05	1xBet 1.02	-	+0.0%
Away under 1.5 HT goals	88.0%	1.08	Betano 1.11	10Bet 1.09	1xBet 1.07	Marathonbet 1.07	-	+3.3%
Away under 3.5 goals	87.1%	1.03	Betano 1.04	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-3.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.7%	1.12	Betano 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Bet365 1.12	1xBet 1.12	William Hil 1.12	+3.7%
Away over 0.5 goals	85.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.28	Betano 1.27	Pinnacle 1.26	10Bet 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	+11.4%
Home under 1.5 HT goals	84.1%	1.13	Betano 1.16	10Bet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	+2.3%
Over 19.5 fouls	84.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home over 0.5 goals	84.0%	1.18	Bet365 1.20	Betano 1.19	10Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.17	BetVictor 1.17	+5.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.4%	1.17	Betano 1.20	10Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.17	Marathonbet 1.14	-	+4.7%
Under 5.5	82.2%	1.05	Betano 1.08	Bet365 1.07	Betfair 1.06	BetVictor 1.04	Marathonbet 1.02	-6.0%
Over 0.5 2H goals	80.9%	1.16	Bet365 1.18	William Hil 1.18	10Bet 1.17	Betano 1.17	Superbet 1.14	+1.4%
Away +2 handicap	80.4%	1.19	Bet365 1.20	Marathonbet 1.18	-	-	-	+5.4%
Over 2.5 cards	77.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home +2 handicap	77.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-3.1%
Under 2.5 2H goals	77.1%	1.26	Betano 1.30	1xBet 1.26	William Hil 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Superbet 1.24	+3.8%
Home or Away	76.9%	1.23	Betano 1.27	Bet365 1.25	BetVictor 1.25	William Hil 1.25	Superbet 1.23	+2.5%
Under 5.5 cards	76.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Home under 1.5 2H goals	74.6%	1.25	Betano 1.28	10Bet 1.25	1xBet 1.23	Marathonbet 1.22	-	+0.7%
Over 0.5 HT goals	72.7%	1.27	Betano 1.32	Bet365 1.30	10Bet 1.28	Marathonbet 1.27	1xBet 1.27	+0.6%
BTTS Yes	72.5%	1.51	Bet365 1.57	Unibet 1.54	Superbet 1.52	Betano 1.52	10Bet 1.50	+11.8%
Over 2.5	72.4%	1.60	Unibet 1.64	Bet365 1.62	10Bet 1.62	Pinnacle 1.61	Betano 1.60	+14.4%
Home under 2.5 goals	72.2%	1.22	Betano 1.26	Pinnacle 1.23	BetVictor 1.22	Betfair 1.22	10Bet 1.22	-3.4%
Under 11.5 corners	71.7%	1.24	Marathonbet 1.24	1xBet 1.23	-	-	-	-1.5%
Over 21.5 fouls	71.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (31)

€14m

OL (27)

€12m

MAR (26)

€10m

KOP (27)

€8m

RAD (21)

€5m

MUR (23)

€5m

BRA (19)

€4m

ALU (24)

€4m

BRI (24)

€3m

NAF (18)

€2m

Nafta's squad is €3m less valuable than Radomlje's (€2m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (12)

€7m

OL (11)

€6m

MAR (10)

€5m

KOP (10)

€3m

RAD (7)

€2m

MUR (8)

€2m

ALU (9)

€2m

BRA (5)

€1m

NAF (8)

€1m

BRI (7)

€1m

Nafta's attack is €1m less valuable than Radomlje's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KOP (7)

€2m

MAR (6)

€2m

CEL (4)

€1m

MUR (5)

€1m

BRA (6)

€1m

BRI (7)

€1m

OL (3)

€1m

RAD (5)

€1m

ALU (5)

€1m

NAF (2)

€0m

Nafta and Radomlje have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (15)

€6m

OL (13)

€5m

MAR (10)

€3m

KOP (10)

€3m

MUR (10)

€2m

RAD (9)

€2m

BRA (8)

€2m

ALU (10)

€2m

BRI (10)

€1m

NAF (8)

€1m

Nafta's defence is €1m less valuable than Radomlje's (€1m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings

NAF wins

Draws

RAD wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nafta vs Radomlje · H/A from NAF

Date	H/A	Game	Score
08/04/25	A	Radomlje Vs NAF	4-1
07/02/25	H	NAF Vs Radomlje	2-1
04/10/24	A	Radomlje Vs NAF	2-0
26/07/24	H	NAF Vs Radomlje	2-1

Nafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
30/08/26	H	NAF Vs Maribor	2-3
21/08/26	A	Olimpija Ljubljana Vs NAF	1-0
15/08/26	H	NAF Vs Celje	1-3
09/08/26	A	Aluminij Vs NAF	1-1
01/08/26	H	NAF Vs Mura	5-2
26/07/26	A	Bravo Vs NAF	0-3
17/07/26	H	NAF Vs Koper	0-2
31/05/26	H	NAF Vs Primorje	1-0
27/05/26	A	Primorje Vs NAF	0-0
22/05/26	H	NAF Vs Triglav	1-1

Radomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
29/08/26	H	RAD Vs Olimpija Ljubljana	0-0
16/08/26	H	RAD Vs Aluminij	1-3
10/08/26	A	Mura Vs RAD	1-3
02/08/26	H	RAD Vs Bravo	1-2
26/07/26	A	Koper Vs RAD	2-2
18/07/26	H	RAD Vs Brinje-Grosuplje	0-2
22/05/26	H	RAD Vs Mura	3-2
17/05/26	A	Olimpija Ljubljana Vs RAD	2-1
09/05/26	A	Bravo Vs RAD	2-1
03/05/26	H	RAD Vs Maribor	2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nafta

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WDLLL	1.90
Home	WLWLL	1.92
Away	LDWDL	1.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	58%	54%
AVG goals	3.08	3.58	2.54
Over 1.5 %	84%	88%	79%
Over 2.5 %	48%	62%	33%
Over 3.5 %	34%	42%	25%
Scored	1.84	2.08	1.58
Conceded	1.24	1.50	0.96
BTTS	60%	77%	42%
Clean Sheet	32%	15%	50%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Radomlje

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLWLD	1.20
Home	WLLLD	1.32
Away	WLLDW	1.08

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	40%	28%
AVG goals	3.28	3.20	3.36
Over 1.5 %	94%	92%	96%
Over 2.5 %	76%	72%	80%
Over 3.5 %	44%	40%	48%
Scored	1.36	1.40	1.32
Conceded	1.92	1.80	2.04
BTTS	70%	68%	72%
Clean Sheet	10%	12%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Maribor	7	15	57%	2.1	13	5	+8	2.6	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	5	2	3	1.9	0.7	-
2	Koper	7	12	43%	1.7	7	5	+2	1.7	57%	14%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	1.0	0.7	-
3	Celje	6	11	50%	1.8	10	8	+2	3.0	83%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	14	7	1	6	1.7	1.3	-
4	Bravo	7	11	43%	1.6	8	8	+0	2.3	86%	43%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.1	1.1	-
5	Aluminij	7	8	29%	1.1	8	8	+0	2.3	57%	29%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.1	1.1	-
6	Brinje-Grosuplje	7	8	29%	1.1	11	12	-1	3.3	100%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.6	1.7	-
7	Olimpija Ljubljana	7	8	29%	1.1	3	5	-2	1.1	29%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	5	0.4	0.7	-
8	Nafta	7	7	29%	1.0	12	12	+0	3.4	86%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.7	1.7	-
9	Mura	7	7	29%	1.0	8	14	-6	3.1	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.1	2.0	-
10	Radomlje	6	5	17%	0.8	7	10	-3	2.8	83%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.2	1.7	-

Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches

Nafta vs Radomlje Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nafta

Radomlje

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Nafta

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Radomlje

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Nafta

Radomlje

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nafta

Radomlje

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nafta

Radomlje

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Nafta

Radomlje

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature