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Naftan vs FC Minsk Prediction & Stats

Date: 06/09/2026
Time: 10:00
Naftan
Naftan
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Minsk
FC Minsk
Belarus: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Naftan and FC Minsk is a tight one, with the model pointing to an away win as the most likely outcome. Home win odds sit at 34%, a draw at 27%, and an away win at 40%. The expected total of goals is 3.0, yet the most probable total is two, with a 24% chance. The single score the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 12.4% probability.

Naftan, playing at home, averages 2.44 goals scored and 1.11 conceded against similarly ranked opponents, while FC Minsk, on the road, averages 1.79 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. Both sides have recently struggled, each losing three in a row before their last matches, 0-2 to FC Vitebsk for Naftan and 1-2 to Bate Borisov for Minsk.

The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (98.9%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 (96.7%), Under 5.5 cards (95.8%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.4%), and Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.0%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Naftan win
33.5%
Avg Implied 18.3% · @ 5.09
Edge
+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.70
1xBet
5.20
Dafabet
4.80
Superbet
4.65
Draw
26.6%
Avg Implied 25.9% · @ 3.60
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.70
Superbet
3.60
Dafabet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.54
FC Minsk win
39.9%
Avg Implied 55.8% · @ 1.67
Edge
-15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.70
Dafabet
1.69
1xBet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NaftanNaftan

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-602L12L05L20W33D30W06L02L02L15LA·SLA01/11H·FC 08/11A·BAT23/11H·ARS29/11A·FC 31/07H·ARS07/08A·FC 15/08H·NEM22/08A·FC 28/08A·DIN02/09
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.172.031.791.710.622.31
vs Stronger (12)0.752.751.002.500.503.00
vs Similar (18)1.441.562.381.120.701.90
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC MinskFC Minsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W14L32W20W21W21W10W12L01L12LA·TOR02/11H·NEM08/11A·SLA23/11H·BAT30/11A·FC 10/07A·ARS01/08A·FC 09/08A·NEM15/08H·FC 21/08A·BAT30/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.471.421.671.611.33
vs Stronger (8)1.122.501.253.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.681.091.501.001.791.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
80.9%
@ 1.19+3.7%
Under 1.5
19.1%
@ 4.02-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
Under
Marathonbet
4.05
1xBet
4.00
Superbet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
57.2%
@ 1.68+1.5%
Under 2.5
42.8%
@ 2.11-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
1xBet
1.67
Under
Marathonbet
2.13
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.07
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
@ 2.53-1.4%
Under 3.5
65.2%
@ 1.44+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.48
1xBet
2.47
Under
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.43
Superbet
1.42
Both teams to score
Yes
61.0%
@ 1.68+5.8%
No
39.0%
@ 2.06-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Superbet
1.67
No
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.07
Marathonbet
2.05

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.4%@ 6.65+5.9%
1-2
8.8%@ 8.20+3.6%
2-1
8.0%@ 16.12+5.3%
0-1
6.8%@ 7.95+1.4%
2-2
6.2%@ 12.00+2.6%
0-0
6.2%@ 11.00+2.3%
0-2
6.2%@ 8.35+1.1%
1-0
6.1%@ 15.88+3.4%
Naftan goals ↓
FC Minsk goals →
01234
06.2%6.8%6.2%3.2%1.3%
16.1%12%8.8%4.6%1.8%
25.1%8.0%6.2%3.2%1.3%
32.4%3.8%2.9%1.5%0.6%
40.9%1.3%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Naftan goals (down), columns = FC Minsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Naftan is 0.83 points worse than FC Minsk in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Naftan and FC Minsk are level in goals scored per game (both 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Naftan is 1.83 goals worse than FC Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Naftan is 5.0 percentage points worse than FC Minsk in terms of average possession (43% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NaftanNaftan

For 4.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1406535554106211810148A·DINA·FC H·NEMH·ARSA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.3

🟨 Cards

40111211221211113112301333242A·DINA·FC H·NEMH·ARSA·FC H·ARSA·BATH·FC A·SLAH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.4

⚠️ Fouls

25081312991210910152121211925A·DINA·FC H·NEMH·ARSA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

FC MinskFC Minsk

For 5.7 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

150961141654642151579102A·BATH·FC A·FC A·ARSA·FC A·NEM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

6021112331224142222203636164H·FC A·FC A·ARSA·FC H·BATA·SLAH·NEMA·TORH·SMOH·DIN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 7.7 · Total 17.3

⚠️ Fouls

29012611415146810114318152914217A·BATH·FC A·FC A·ARSA·FC A·NEM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NaftanNaftan

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.212.09.02.52.42.721.420.022.3
vs Stronger (18)10.510.011.02.01.82.221.021.021.0
vs Similar (32)10.014.08.02.82.72.921.719.023.0
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%100%33%26%28%24%20%0%33%
% under line40%0%67%74%72%76%80%100%67%
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC MinskFC Minsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.715.08.62.52.62.417.315.017.8
vs Stronger (12)2.0-2.01.72.51.27.0-7.0
vs Similar (38)11.215.010.22.72.72.819.415.020.5
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line50%100%40%24%32%18%17%0%20%
% under line50%0%60%76%68%82%83%100%80%
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Bate Borisov
11.8
Baranovichi
11.8
FC Gomel
11.8
ML Vitebsk
11.7
FC Isloch Minsk R.
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.9
Slavia Mozyr
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.2
Naftan
10.2
FC Dnepr Mogilev
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Minsk
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
Neman
8.6

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.3
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
Neman
3.1
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.0
FC Minsk
2.9
Dinamo Brest
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
31.5
Torpedo Zhodino
30.5
FC Gomel
28.7
Baranovichi
28.2
Dinamo Brest
27.8
Slavia Mozyr
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.2
Dinamo Minsk
26.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
25.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Neman
21.8
Belshina
21.8
Arsenal (Belarus)
21.4
Naftan
21.4
FC Vitebsk
20.2
FC Minsk
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
70.0%
Under 9.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
62.6%
Under 21.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Naftan or Draw
60.1%
Avg Implied 43.9% · @ 2.12
Edge
+16.2%
33%
27%
40%
covers Naftan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.16
Superbet
2.02
Naftan or FC Minsk
73.4%
Avg Implied 74.1% · @ 1.26
Edge
-0.7%
33%
27%
40%
covers Naftan + FC Minsk
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Draw or FC Minsk
66.5%
Avg Implied 82.0% · @ 1.14
Edge
-15.5%
33%
27%
40%
covers Draw + FC Minsk
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Naftan over/under 0.5
Over
75.7%
@ 1.46+12.5%
Under
24.3%
@ 2.52-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.44
Under
Superbet
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Marathonbet
2.43
Naftan over/under 1.5
Over
41.4%
@ 3.19+12.4%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.31-12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.00
Under
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Naftan over/under 2.5
Over
17.1%
@ 9.02+6.8%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.03-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
8.90
Superbet
7.90
Under
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
Naftan over/under 3.5
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5
Over
79.0%
@ 1.10-4.7%
Under
21.0%
@ 5.67+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
Under
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.35
FC Minsk over/under 1.5
Over
46.3%
@ 1.63-10.7%
Under
53.7%
@ 2.16+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.59
Under
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
Superbet
2.07
FC Minsk over/under 2.5
Over
20.7%
@ 2.96-10.7%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.35+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.88
Under
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
FC Minsk over/under 3.5
Over
7.4%
@ 5.88-8.3%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.09+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.10
Marathonbet
5.65
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Naftan, so a minus line means Naftan give that many goals of a start and FC Minsk receive them. At -1, Naftan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Naftan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Naftan)
Naftan -2
5.8%
Draw -2
10.1%
FC Minsk +2
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Naftan)
Naftan -1
15.9%
@ 7.10+4.6%
Draw -1
17.6%
@ 4.70+0.5%
FC Minsk +1
66.5%
@ 1.12-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap +1 (Naftan)
Naftan +1
60.1%
@ 2.19+19.0%
Draw +1
19.5%
@ 3.84-3.9%
FC Minsk -1
20.4%
@ 2.53-15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.19
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Away
Marathonbet
2.53
Handicap +2 (Naftan)
Naftan +2
79.6%
@ 1.42+16.5%
Draw +2
12.3%
@ 5.10-5.3%
FC Minsk -2
8.2%
@ 4.65-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.42
Draw
Marathonbet
5.10
Away
Marathonbet
4.65

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NaftanNaftan

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L02L00D11D20W04L02L02L04LA·SLA01/11H·FC 08/11A·BAT23/11H·ARS29/11A·FC 31/07H·ARS07/08A·FC 15/08H·NEM22/08A·FC 28/08A·DIN02/09
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.200.861.070.251.31
vs Stronger (12)0.421.580.501.670.331.50
vs Similar (18)0.610.941.120.620.201.20
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC MinskFC Minsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L00D00D01L20W10W10W01L10WA·TOR02/11H·NEM08/11A·SLA23/11H·BAT30/11A·FC 10/07A·ARS01/08A·FC 09/08A·NEM15/08H·FC 21/08A·BAT30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.750.920.780.56
vs Stronger (8)0.621.000.751.500.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.820.590.750.620.860.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
75.6%
@ 1.32+5.7%
Under 0.5
24.4%
@ 3.07-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Under
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.15
Marathonbet
2.85
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.5%
@ 2.39+0.8%
Under 1.5
60.5%
@ 1.51-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.47
Superbet
2.40
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.55
Superbet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.3%
@ 5.42-2.6%
Under 2.5
85.7%
@ 1.10+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.85
Superbet
5.40
1xBet
5.00
Under
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Naftan over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.0%
@ 2.54+8.8%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.45-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.45
Under
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.40
Naftan over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.9%
@ 11.25-89.1%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.2%
@ 1.61-5.2%
Under
47.8%
@ 2.17+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.63
1xBet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.15
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
17.1%
@ 4.03-5.8%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.20+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.25
1xBet
3.80
Under
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.9%
Under
94.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NaftanNaftan

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W03L20W22D10W02L00D00D11DA·SLA01/11H·FC 08/11A·BAT23/11H·ARS29/11A·FC 31/07H·ARS07/08A·FC 15/08H·NEM22/08A·FC 28/08A·DIN02/09
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.930.640.381.00
vs Stronger (12)0.331.170.500.830.171.50
vs Similar (18)0.830.611.250.500.500.70
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC MinskFC Minsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L32W20W20W01L00D02L00D02LA·TOR02/11H·NEM08/11A·SLA23/11H·BAT30/11A·FC 10/07A·ARS01/08A·FC 09/08A·NEM15/08H·FC 21/08A·BAT30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.770.670.750.830.78
vs Stronger (8)0.501.500.501.500.501.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.500.750.380.930.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.2%
@ 1.17-1.5%
Under 0.5
22.8%
@ 4.32+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
Under
Marathonbet
4.60
Superbet
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.0%
@ 1.86-3.0%
Under 1.5
53.0%
@ 1.86+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
25.9%
@ 3.72+1.1%
Under 2.5
74.1%
@ 1.23-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.85
Superbet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.50
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Naftan over/under 0.5 2H
Over
48.4%
@ 2.07+3.9%
Under
51.6%
@ 1.67-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.64
Naftan over/under 1.5 2H
Over
19.9%
@ 7.40+7.5%
Under
80.1%
@ 1.05-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
Naftan over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Minsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
57.6%
@ 1.45-6.2%
Under
42.4%
@ 2.56+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
1xBet
1.42
Under
1xBet
2.65
Superbet
2.47
FC Minsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
24.5%
@ 2.80-8.3%
Under
75.5%
@ 1.37+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.80
Under
Marathonbet
1.37
FC Minsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.5%
Under
92.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%-------
Under 6.596.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards95.8%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals92.6%1.09
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
---+8.3%
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.5%-------
Under 5.591.8%1.02
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
---+3.0%
Under 4.5 cards89.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.1%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals85.7%1.10
1xBet
1.12
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.07
--+2.6%
Away +2 handicap84.1%-------
Home under 2.5 goals82.9%1.03
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.01
---6.8%
Away under 1.5 HT goals82.9%1.20
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
---+5.8%
Under 4.581.9%1.15
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
--+1.9%
Over 1.580.9%1.19
Superbet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
--+3.7%
Over 8.5 corners80.1%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals80.1%1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-----7.5%
Home +2 handicap79.6%1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
----+16.5%
Away under 2.5 goals79.3%1.35
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.32
--+10.7%
Away over 0.5 goals79.0%1.10
Superbet
1.12
1xBet
1.09
----4.7%
Over 19.5 fouls77.4%-------
Over 0.5 2H goals77.2%1.17
Superbet
1.19
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
---1.5%
Under 3.5 cards75.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.7%1.46
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.46
Superbet
1.44
--+12.5%
Over 0.5 HT goals75.6%1.32
Marathonbet
1.37
1xBet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
--+5.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals75.5%1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
----+8.3%
Under 2.5 2H goals74.1%1.23
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
---1.1%
Home or Away73.4%1.26
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
---0.7%
Over 9.5 corners70.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Naftan's squad is €2m less valuable than FC Minsk's (€2m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Naftan and FC Minsk have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Naftan and FC Minsk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Naftan and FC Minsk have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
NAF wins
2
Draws
3
FM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Naftan vs FC Minsk · H/A from NAF
DateH/AGameScore
02/08/25HNAF Vs FC Minsk0-3
13/03/25AFC Minsk Vs NAF1-2
31/08/24HNAF Vs FC Minsk0-2
20/04/24AFC Minsk Vs NAF1-1
25/08/23AFC Minsk Vs NAF1-0
14/04/23HNAF Vs FC Minsk0-0

NaftanNaftan

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/09/26ADinamo Minsk Vs NAF5-1
28/08/26AFC Vitebsk Vs NAF2-0
22/08/26HNAF Vs Neman0-2
15/08/26AFC Gomel Vs NAF6-0
07/08/26HNAF Vs Arsenal (Belarus)3-0
31/07/26AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs NAF3-3
29/11/25HNAF Vs Arsenal (Belarus)2-0
23/11/25ABate Borisov Vs NAF5-0
08/11/25HNAF Vs FC Slutsk1-2
01/11/25ASlavia Mozyr Vs NAF2-0

FC MinskFC Minsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ABate Borisov Vs FM2-1
21/08/26HFM Vs FC Vitebsk0-1
15/08/26ANeman Vs FM2-1
09/08/26AFC Gomel Vs FM0-1
01/08/26AArsenal (Belarus) Vs FM1-2
10/07/26AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs FM1-2
30/11/25HFM Vs Bate Borisov2-0
23/11/25ASlavia Mozyr Vs FM2-3
08/11/25HFM Vs Neman1-4
02/11/25ATorpedo Zhodino Vs FM0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Naftan
Naftan
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLL0.96
HomeLLWWL1.12
AwayLDLLL0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%28%24%
AVG goals3.003.202.80
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %56%68%44%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.141.480.80
Conceded1.861.722.00
BTTS36%44%28%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.2012.009.00
Cards2.862.573.19
FC Minsk
FC Minsk
Belarus: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.60
HomeWDLWL1.59
AwayWWWLL1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%45%46%
AVG goals2.963.182.79
Over 1.5 %82%77%86%
Over 2.5 %62%68%57%
Over 3.5 %34%45%25%
Scored1.481.641.36
Conceded1.481.551.43
BTTS64%68%61%
Clean Sheet24%18%29%
Corners9.6715.008.60
Cards2.762.902.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC VitebskFC Vitebsk718
86%
2.6
91+8
1.4
29%
14%
0%
9.8
50%
2.8
0%
20.2
25%
3
2011.30.1
46%
2FC Isloch Minsk R.FC Isloch Minsk R.616
83%
2.7
114+7
2.5
67%
33%
17%
11.6
80%
3.2
20%
26.2
75%
4
1121.80.7
47%
3Dinamo BrestDinamo Brest610
50%
1.7
127+5
3.2
83%
67%
50%
11.0
100%
3.4
40%
27.8
100%
7
2132.01.2
52%
4NemanNeman610
50%
1.7
64+2
1.7
50%
17%
0%
9.4
60%
3.0
20%
27.7
67%
4
1211.00.7
58%
5FC MinskFC Minsk69
50%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
67%
0%
11.2
60%
1.8
0%
19.4
20%
3
1111.21.2
48%
6BaranovichiBaranovichi79
29%
1.3
910-1
2.7
71%
29%
29%
11.8
80%
2.8
25%
28.2
100%
2
1011.31.4
44%
7FC GomelFC Gomel68
33%
1.3
83+5
1.8
33%
17%
17%
11.8
75%
3.2
50%
28.7
100%
4
2111.30.5
55%
8ML VitebskML Vitebsk48
50%
2.0
62+4
2.0
75%
25%
25%
13.2
100%
3.8
75%
27.8
75%
14
6351.50.5
63%
9Bate BorisovBate Borisov58
40%
1.6
55+0
2.0
60%
40%
20%
11.8
100%
3.7
33%
25.3
67%
4
1211.01.0
46%
10Slavia MozyrSlavia Mozyr57
40%
1.4
76+1
2.6
60%
60%
40%
10.2
50%
4.2
75%
26.5
75%
4
1121.41.2
49%
11Dinamo MinskDinamo Minsk46
50%
1.5
93+6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
12.2
100%
3.0
33%
27.8
75%
9
3232.20.8
60%
12BelshinaBelshina66
17%
1.0
58-3
2.2
83%
17%
17%
11.4
80%
2.6
40%
21.8
60%
2
1010.81.3
43%
13FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev74
0%
0.6
510-5
2.1
57%
43%
14%
10.5
83%
2.7
17%
22.5
50%
3
1110.71.4
50%
14Torpedo ZhodinoTorpedo Zhodino64
17%
0.7
410-6
2.3
50%
33%
33%
10.2
75%
3.2
75%
30.5
100%
5
2220.71.7
54%
15NaftanNaftan64
17%
0.7
718-11
4.2
100%
67%
50%
10.2
60%
1.8
0%
21.4
20%
2
0111.23.0
43%
16Arsenal (Belarus)Arsenal (Belarus)73
14%
0.4
517-12
3.1
86%
71%
29%
8.1
14%
1.6
14%
20.2
33%
2
1010.72.4
48%
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →

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