This Belarus Premier League match between Naftan and Neman is finely balanced, with Naftan coming off a win against Arsenal and Neman recovering from a defeat to FC Vitebsk. The home side has averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.22 conceded at home against stronger opponents, while Neman has averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away against weaker opponents.
The model predicts a home win, with a 37% chance of Naftan taking the three points. The away win is a close second, with a 36% probability, and the draw has a 27% chance. The expected total goals is 2.8, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability.
In terms of scoring, Naftan has averaged 1.56 goals scored and 2.22 conceded at home, while Neman has averaged 1.12 goals scored and 1.5 conceded away. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with a 78.7% probability. The home win percentage is 37%, the draw percentage is 27%, and the away win percentage is 36%.
Results analysis
Naftan’s slump continued as the pre-match favourite, a home win, failed to materialise, with Neman snatching a 0-2 away victory. The model had tipped a 37 % chance of a home win, but the outcome was the opposite. The match saw the most likely score of 1-1 (13 %) and the expected total of 2.8 goals, yet only two goals were scored. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 (99.1 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.0 %), Under 6.5 (97.4 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.5 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.7 %), Away under 3.5 goals (94.6 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (94.5 %) and Home under 3.5 goals (94.3 %). Naftan’s recent form, after two straight defeats, ended in a loss, while Neman, on a two-game winning run, secured the win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Naftan win✗ Miss
36.8%
Avg Implied 13.9% · @ 6.59
Edge
+22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.29
William Hil
6.50
Dafabet
6.40
Pinnacle
6.38
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 22.2% · @ 4.12
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.30
1xBet
4.25
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
Pinnacle
4.15
Neman win✓ Hit
35.8%
Avg Implied 63.9% · @ 1.43
Edge
-28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.45
Dafabet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.44
William Hil
1.44
1xBet
1.44
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Naftan
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.97
1.87
1.73
0.60
2.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
2.67
1.00
2.67
0.33
2.67
vs Similar (18)
1.61
1.50
2.44
1.11
0.78
1.89
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.23
1.47
0.67
1.00
1.80
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.23
1.27
0.64
0.73
1.82
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.29
1.67
0.67
1.75
1.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
@ 1.22+3.5%
Under 1.5
21.3%
@ 3.68-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
3.74
Marathonbet
3.74
Superbet
3.55
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.9%
@ 1.78+1.2%
Under 2.5
46.1%
@ 1.99-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.80
SBO
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.78
Pinnacle
1.76
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
SBO
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
Superbet
1.92
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.6%
@ 2.87-0.3%
Under 3.5
68.4%
@ 1.35+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.00
Pinnacle
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Under
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.6%
@ 1.92+10.5%
No
41.4%
@ 1.78-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
William Hil
1.85
No
William Hil
1.83
1xBet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.76
Superbet
1.74
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%@ 7.50+7.1%
2-1
8.4%@ 20.53+6.3%
1-2
8.3%@ 7.26+2.2%
1-0
7.2%@ 16.91+4.6%
0-1
7.1%@ 5.99-0.3%
0-0
7.0%@ 10.67+2.9%
2-0
6.0%@ 43.53+5.0%
2-2
5.9%@ 18.18+3.5%
Naftan goals ↓
Neman goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
7.1%
5.8%
2.7%
1.0%
1
7.2%
13%
8.3%
3.9%
1.4%
2
6.0%
8.4%
5.9%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.9%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Naftan goals (down), columns = Neman goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Naftan is 1.00 points worse than Neman in terms of average points per game (0.67 vs 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Naftan is 0.17 goals better than Neman in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Naftan is 2.33 goals worse than Neman in terms of goals conceded per game (3.00 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Naftan is 15.2 percentage points worse than Neman in terms of average possession (43% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Naftan
For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.3 · Total 2.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Neman
For 3.5 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 9.0 · Total 18.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Naftan
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.0
14.0
8.0
2.7
2.5
3.0
22.0
19.0
25.0
vs Stronger (17)
-
-
-
2.4
2.0
2.9
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
11.0
14.0
8.0
2.9
2.8
3.0
22.0
19.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
100%
0%
30%
28%
32%
50%
0%
100%
% under line
50%
0%
100%
70%
72%
68%
50%
100%
0%
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
6.7
10.0
2.3
2.4
2.1
18.5
16.0
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (34)
9.6
9.0
10.0
2.4
3.1
1.8
22.3
25.0
21.0
vs Weaker (14)
2.0
2.0
-
2.4
1.5
3.5
7.0
7.0
-
% over line
50%
33%
67%
28%
33%
23%
50%
50%
50%
% under line
50%
67%
33%
72%
67%
77%
50%
50%
50%
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Baranovichi
11.7
Bate Borisov
11.3
Dinamo Brest
11.3
Torpedo Zhodino
11.0
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Naftan
11.0
Belshina
10.9
Dinamo Minsk
10.4
FC Vitebsk
10.3
Slavia Mozyr
10.0
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.0
FC Gomel
10.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.2
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
5.0
ML Vitebsk
3.7
Bate Borisov
3.6
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.4
Slavia Mozyr
3.3
Naftan
3.1
Dinamo Minsk
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Neman
3.0
FC Gomel
3.0
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.7
Dinamo Brest
2.7
Baranovichi
2.7
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
37.7
Torpedo Zhodino
32.0
Dinamo Brest
29.3
FC Gomel
29.0
Baranovichi
28.3
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.0
Bate Borisov
26.3
Dinamo Minsk
25.8
Belshina
24.0
Slavia Mozyr
23.7
FC Dnepr Mogilev
22.5
Naftan
22.0
Arsenal (Belarus)
20.6
FC Vitebsk
20.0
Neman
18.5
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
67.1%
Under 9.5
32.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.9%
Under 3.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.1%
Under 21.5
33.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Naftan or Draw✗ Miss
64.2%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.58
Edge
+28.3%
37%
27%
36%
covers Naftan + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.69
1xBet
2.69
Superbet
2.52
SBO
2.51
William Hil
2.50
Naftan or Neman✓ Hit
72.5%
Avg Implied 77.6% · @ 1.20
Edge
-5.0%
37%
27%
36%
covers Naftan + Neman
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
SBO
1.14
Draw or Neman✓ Hit
63.2%
Avg Implied 86.5% · @ 1.07
Edge
-23.3%
37%
27%
36%
covers Draw + Neman
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
SBO
1.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Naftan over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.1%
@ 1.73+22.5%
Under
23.9%
@ 2.00-22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.75
Superbet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.98
Naftan over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.8%
@ 4.83+22.6%
Under
58.2%
@ 1.15-22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Superbet
4.50
Under
Superbet
1.16
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
Naftan over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 10.52+8.4%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.04-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
14.00
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.01
Naftan over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.5%
@ 1.09-9.2%
Under
24.5%
@ 6.03+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.45
Superbet
5.60
Neman over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.0%
@ 1.57-18.4%
Under
59.0%
@ 2.31+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.32
1xBet
2.32
Superbet
2.22
Neman over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.8%
@ 2.77-16.8%
Under
83.2%
@ 1.41+16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.82
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.38
Neman over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.4%
@ 5.60-11.0%
Under
94.6%
@ 1.10+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.60
Under
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Naftan, so a minus line means Naftan give that many goals of a start and Neman receive them. At -1, Naftan must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Naftan win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Naftan)Actual: Neman
Naftan -2
6.6%
Draw -2
11.2%
Neman +2
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Naftan)Actual: Neman
Naftan -1
17.8%
@ 8.20+8.0%
Draw -1
19.0%
@ 4.60+1.6%
Neman +1
63.2%
@ 1.10-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
8.20
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap +1 (Naftan)Actual: Neman
Naftan +1
64.2%
@ 2.69+30.9%
Draw +1
18.7%
@ 3.56-6.6%
Neman -1
17.1%
@ 2.17-24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.69
Draw
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Marathonbet
2.17
Handicap +2 (Naftan)Actual: Draw
Naftan +2
82.9%
@ 1.57+25.7%
Draw +2
10.8%
@ 4.45-9.4%
Neman -2
6.3%
@ 3.98-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.57
Draw
Marathonbet
4.45
Away
Marathonbet
3.98
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Naftan
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.07
0.93
0.93
0.27
1.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
1.42
0.50
1.50
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.72
0.83
1.22
0.56
0.22
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.27
0.33
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.18
0.64
0.18
0.18
0.18
1.09
vs Weaker (7)
0.57
0.86
0.33
0.67
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.6%
@ 1.34+2.5%
Under 0.5
28.4%
@ 2.99-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.05
Pinnacle
3.04
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.9%
@ 2.59+2.2%
Under 1.5
62.1%
@ 1.44-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.62
Marathonbet
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Pinnacle
2.57
Superbet
2.55
Under
Superbet
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
William Hil
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.9%
@ 6.30+0.3%
Under 2.5
85.1%
@ 1.07-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Marathonbet
6.40
Superbet
5.90
Under
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Naftan over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
41.1%
@ 3.11+11.4%
Under
58.9%
@ 1.31-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
Naftan over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 9.02+1.6%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.07-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.25
1xBet
6.78
Under
1xBet
1.07
Naftan over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.0%
@ 1.59-5.2%
Under
47.0%
@ 2.22+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.60
Superbet
1.58
Pinnacle
1.56
Under
Pinnacle
2.32
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.10
Neman over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
14.4%
@ 3.95-8.9%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.20+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.00
1xBet
3.90
Under
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Neman over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Naftan
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.93
0.80
0.33
1.00
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
1.25
0.50
1.17
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.67
1.22
0.56
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Neman
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
1.20
0.33
0.67
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.59
1.09
0.45
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.43
1.33
0.00
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Naftan) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
78.3%
Under 0.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.9%
Under 1.5
57.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.7%
Under 2.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Naftan over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
16.2%
Under
83.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Naftan over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.7%
Under
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neman over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.6%
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+11.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.2%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
85.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-
+8.9%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.1%
1.07
Superbet
1.10
William Hil
1.10
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
84.2%
1.10
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
-
-
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
83.2%
1.41
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Superbet
1.38
-
-
+16.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
1.04
1xBet
1.07
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-
-8.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
1.22
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
75.5%
1.09
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
-9.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.5%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
SBO
1.14
-5.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.6%
1.34
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
William Hil
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Superbet
1.33
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Naftan's squad is €2m less valuable than Neman's (€2m vs €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Naftan and Neman have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Naftan and Neman have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Naftan and Neman have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Slavia Mozyr
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Arsenal (Belarus)