The model favours a Nagykanizsai ULE victory, with a 46% chance of a home win, 27% for a draw and 27% for a Kozármisleny FC win. The expected total is 2.9 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 12.5% probability. Nagykanizsai ULE, playing at home against a similarly-strengthened opponent, averages 1.25 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Kozármisleny FC, on the road, averages 1.55 scored and 1.27 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.0%), Under 6.5 (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3%), Under 5.5 (92.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.4%), Home +2 handicap (88.2%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.2%) and Under 4.5 (83.4%). The recent form shows Nagykanizsai ULE struggling after four straight losses, while Kozármisleny FC has endured five defeats in a row, both ending in narrow defeats. These trends suggest a cautious, low-scoring contest where the home side’s slight edge may prove decisive.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nagykanizsai ULE win
46.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC win
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nagykanizsai ULE
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.33
1.17
1.67
1.83
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.44
1.25
2.00
1.80
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.47
1.43
0.93
1.12
1.94
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
2.38
1.00
0.67
0.20
3.40
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.14
1.55
1.00
1.55
1.27
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
Under 1.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.1%
Under 2.5
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.7%
Under 3.5
67.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.7%
2-2
5.8%
0-1
5.7%
Nagykanizsai ULE goals ↓
Kozarmisleny FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
5.7%
4.2%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.1%
13%
7.0%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.6%
9.4%
5.8%
2.4%
0.7%
3
4.2%
5.2%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.7%
2.1%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nagykanizsai ULE goals (down), columns = Kozarmisleny FC goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Soroksar
2.67
Ajka
2.20
Kecskeméti TE
2.17
Kazincbarcikai
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.80
Karcag SE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
1.67
Szentlőrinc SE
1.40
Fehérvár FC
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Diosgyori VTK
0.80
BVSC
0.80
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.50
Csakvar
0.50
Kozarmisleny FC
0.00
Nagykanizsai ULE is 0.50 points better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of average points per game (0.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Soroksar
2.83
Karcag SE
2.00
Kecskeméti TE
2.00
Tiszakecske FC
2.00
Gyirmot SE
1.83
Kazincbarcikai
1.67
Ajka
1.60
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.40
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Diosgyori VTK
1.00
Csakvar
1.00
Nagykanizsai ULE
0.83
Szeged 2011
0.80
BVSC
0.60
Kozarmisleny FC
0.50
Nagykanizsai ULE is 0.33 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.83 vs 0.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ajka
0.60
Soroksar
0.67
Kazincbarcikai
0.83
Kecskeméti TE
1.00
Szeged 2011
1.00
Mezokovesd-zsory
1.00
Tiszakecske FC
1.17
BVSC
1.20
Szentlőrinc SE
1.20
Karcag SE
1.33
Fehérvár FC
1.50
Nagykanizsai ULE
1.67
Gyirmot SE
2.00
Kozarmisleny FC
2.50
Diosgyori VTK
2.60
Csakvar
2.67
Nagykanizsai ULE is 0.83 goals better than Kozarmisleny FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nagykanizsai ULE or Draw
72.6%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Nagykanizsai ULE + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE or Kozarmisleny FC
73.5%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Nagykanizsai ULE + Kozarmisleny FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Kozarmisleny FC
53.9%
Avg Implied -
46%
27%
27%
covers Draw + Kozarmisleny FC
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5
Over
80.9%
Under
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5
Over
49.2%
Under
50.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 3.5
Over
8.6%
Under
91.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nagykanizsai ULE, so a minus line means Nagykanizsai ULE give that many goals of a start and Kozarmisleny FC receive them. At -1, Nagykanizsai ULE must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nagykanizsai ULE win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nagykanizsai ULE)
Nagykanizsai ULE -2
10.5%
Draw -2
14.3%
Kozarmisleny FC +2
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Nagykanizsai ULE)
Nagykanizsai ULE -1
24.8%
Draw -1
21.3%
Kozarmisleny FC +1
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Nagykanizsai ULE)
Nagykanizsai ULE +1
72.6%
Draw +1
15.6%
Kozarmisleny FC -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Nagykanizsai ULE)
Nagykanizsai ULE +2
88.2%
Draw +2
8.0%
Kozarmisleny FC -2
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nagykanizsai ULE
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.08
0.92
0.83
1.17
1.33
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (9)
1.00
1.00
0.75
1.50
1.20
0.60
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.57
0.64
0.36
0.38
0.75
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.41
0.73
0.45
0.45
0.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nagykanizsai ULE
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.42
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (9)
0.56
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.60
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Kozarmisleny FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kozarmisleny FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.90
0.79
0.57
0.75
1.19
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.38
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.80
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.73
0.82
0.55
1.09
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Nagykanizsai ULE) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nagykanizsai ULE over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kozarmisleny FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
91.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Hungary: NB II 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Hungary: NB II stats & trends →