Nea Salamis return from a 3-game winning streak to face AEK Larnaca, who are on a 3-game winning run and have been scoring 1.33 goals per game away while conceding only 0.67 against weaker opponents. The model’s most likely outcome is an AEK Larnaca win, with a 44% chance, followed by a 31% draw and a 25% home win. The average goal tally is 2.2, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% probability. The model sees a very high probability of under 7.5 goals (99.8%) and under 6.5 goals (99.2%) with a 6% edge, as well as several other low-goal selections: Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Under 5.5 (97.4% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (96.0%) and Away under 3.5 goals (95.7% with an 8% edge). The model’s edge lies in the expectation that AEK Larnaca’s strong away form will limit Nea Salamis’s scoring while still securing a win.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nea Salamis win
24.1%
Avg Implied 17.2% · @ 5.33
Edge
+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
5.70
Pinnacle
5.60
1xBet
5.57
Bet365
5.50
Betano
5.50
Draw
30.7%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.77
Edge
+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.90
Betfair
3.90
Pinnacle
3.89
1xBet
3.88
Marathonbet
3.86
AEK Larnaca win
45.2%
Avg Implied 58.6% · @ 1.56
Edge
-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Dafabet
1.58
William Hil
1.57
1xBet
1.57
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nea Salamis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.60
1.93
0.43
2.00
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
2.00
0.75
1.67
0.33
2.27
1.09
vs Weaker (10)
1.90
0.30
2.40
0.60
1.40
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.87
1.81
0.69
1.36
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.05
1.56
0.78
1.50
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.56
2.33
0.50
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
66.3%
@ 1.26-6.6%
Under 1.5
33.7%
@ 3.41+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
38.2%
@ 1.88-11.8%
Under 2.5
61.8%
@ 1.89+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
Under
SBO
1.90
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
1.90
Betfair
1.90
Marathonbet
1.88
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.4%
@ 3.10-11.3%
Under 3.5
81.6%
@ 1.31+11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.10
Betano
3.05
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.04
Under
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Both teams to score
Yes
44.7%
@ 1.90-4.1%
No
55.3%
@ 1.81+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
No
Betano
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Superbet
1.82
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.79
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%@ 6.87+7.7%
0-1
13.1%@ 6.01+5.7%
0-0
12.2%@ 10.13+7.8%
0-2
9.5%@ 6.74+2.9%
1-2
8.5%@ 7.45+2.6%
1-0
8.5%@ 12.86+5.0%
2-1
5.8%@ 16.19+3.0%
2-0
4.4%@ 29.53+2.9%
Nea Salamis goals ↓
AEK Larnaca goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
13%
9.5%
4.2%
1.4%
1
8.5%
14%
8.5%
3.8%
1.2%
2
4.4%
5.8%
3.8%
1.7%
0.6%
3
1.3%
1.7%
1.1%
0.5%
0.2%
4
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nea Salamis goals (down), columns = AEK Larnaca goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.42
AEK Larnaca
1.92
Apollon Limassol
1.86
Pafos
1.72
Apoel Nicosia
1.44
Aris
1.42
Anorthosis
1.36
AEL
1.33
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Nea Salamis
1.21
Krasava Ypsonas
1.21
Olympiakos
1.21
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Karmiotissa
1.00
Nea Salamis is 0.70 points worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of average points per game (1.21 vs 1.92).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Omonia Nicosia
2.44
Pafos
1.83
AEK Larnaca
1.72
Aris
1.69
Apoel Nicosia
1.47
Apollon Limassol
1.44
AEL
1.24
Nea Salamis
1.14
Krasava Ypsonas
1.09
Anorthosis
1.06
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.03
Olympiakos
0.97
Omonia Aradippou
0.94
Karmiotissa
0.94
Nea Salamis is 0.58 goals worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.72).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Omonia Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.92
Pafos
1.06
Apollon Limassol
1.14
Anorthosis
1.21
Aris
1.25
Apoel Nicosia
1.25
Omonia Aradippou
1.27
Krasava Ypsonas
1.33
Olympiakos
1.33
AEL
1.39
Nea Salamis
1.52
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.68
Karmiotissa
1.85
Nea Salamis is 0.60 goals worse than AEK Larnaca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 0.92).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
55%
Olympiakos
54%
Apoel Nicosia
54%
Apollon Limassol
53%
Aris
52%
Omonia Nicosia
51%
Anorthosis
50%
AEK Larnaca
49%
AEL
49%
Krasava Ypsonas
47%
Omonia Aradippou
43%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nea Salamis
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
AEK Larnaca
For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 14.0 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
30.5
30.5
-
vs Stronger (5)
12.0
12.0
-
0.8
1.3
0.0
26.0
26.0
-
vs Similar (35)
12.0
12.0
-
0.2
0.5
0.0
35.0
35.0
-
vs Weaker (10)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
100%
100%
-
4%
8%
0%
100%
100%
-
% under line
0%
0%
-
96%
92%
100%
0%
0%
-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
8.5
10.2
2.4
2.2
2.5
24.2
23.1
25.3
vs Stronger (4)
9.5
9.5
9.5
4.8
7.0
2.5
24.8
24.5
25.0
vs Similar (31)
9.3
7.4
10.3
2.8
1.9
3.6
24.6
23.4
25.3
vs Weaker (15)
9.7
9.7
-
0.9
1.8
0.0
21.7
21.7
-
% over line
48%
40%
55%
34%
32%
36%
62%
60%
64%
% under line
52%
60%
45%
66%
68%
64%
38%
40%
36%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
10.6
Nea Salamis
10.2
Omonia Nicosia
10.0
Krasava Ypsonas
9.9
Apoel Nicosia
9.8
Aris
9.7
Pafos
9.6
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Apollon Limassol
9.2
Anorthosis
8.7
Olympiakos
8.2
Omonia Aradippou
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aris
5.7
Anorthosis
5.3
Omonia 29is Maiou
5.3
Omonia Aradippou
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AEK Larnaca
5.1
Pafos
4.9
Apollon Limassol
4.9
AEL
4.8
Nea Salamis
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.6
Omonia Nicosia
4.6
Olympiakos
4.4
Krasava Ypsonas
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Anorthosis
29.5
Omonia Aradippou
28.9
Olympiakos
27.8
AEL
27.6
Apoel Nicosia
27.2
Karmiotissa
27.0
Aris
26.2
Pafos
26.1
AEK Larnaca
26.0
Omonia 29is Maiou
25.1
Nea Salamis
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
24.9
Krasava Ypsonas
24.3
Apollon Limassol
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.7%
Under 9.5
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
71.5%
Under 3.5
28.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
81.5%
Under 21.5
18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nea Salamis or Draw
54.8%
Avg Implied 40.7% · @ 2.29
Edge
+14.1%
24%
31%
45%
covers Nea Salamis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
William Hil
2.30
Nea Salamis or AEK Larnaca
69.3%
Avg Implied 76.0% · @ 1.23
Edge
-6.7%
24%
31%
45%
covers Nea Salamis + AEK Larnaca
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw or AEK Larnaca
75.9%
Avg Implied 83.3% · @ 1.12
Edge
-7.4%
24%
31%
45%
covers Draw + AEK Larnaca
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5
Over
59.3%
@ 1.63+2.4%
Under
40.7%
@ 2.15-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Superbet
1.62
Under
Betfair
2.25
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.11
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5
Over
22.7%
@ 4.02-0.4%
Under
77.3%
@ 1.21+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.35
Bet365
4.33
Superbet
4.00
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.80
Under
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5
Over
6.3%
@ 10.33-2.8%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.00
Betfair
10.00
1xBet
10.00
Bet365
10.00
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Nea Salamis over/under 3.5
Over
1.3%
@ 26.00-98.7%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
35.00
Bet365
17.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5
Over
73.3%
@ 1.14-8.6%
Under
26.7%
@ 5.14+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.30
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Betano
4.90
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5
Over
38.1%
@ 1.70-16.6%
Under
61.9%
@ 2.05+16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.71
Pinnacle
1.69
Under
Betfair
2.10
Pinnacle
2.07
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.05
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5
Over
14.8%
@ 3.19-14.3%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.31+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Betano
3.20
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
AEK Larnaca over/under 3.5
Over
4.5%
@ 6.54-9.7%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.08+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Superbet
6.60
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nea Salamis, so a minus line means Nea Salamis give that many goals of a start and AEK Larnaca receive them. At -1, Nea Salamis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nea Salamis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nea Salamis)
Nea Salamis -2
2.2%
@ 33.50-0.6%
Draw -2
6.4%
@ 16.00+0.5%
AEK Larnaca +2
91.4%
@ 1.02+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
34.00
Superbet
33.00
Draw
Bet365
17.00
Superbet
15.00
Away
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Handicap -1 (Nea Salamis)
Nea Salamis -1
8.6%
@ 11.50+1.0%
Draw -1
15.5%
@ 5.98+0.9%
AEK Larnaca +1
75.9%
@ 1.13-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Marathonbet
4.35
Away
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap +1 (Nea Salamis)
Nea Salamis +1
54.8%
@ 2.31+16.1%
Draw +1
23.5%
@ 3.46-2.5%
AEK Larnaca -1
21.7%
@ 2.54-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.38
Marathonbet
2.31
Betfair
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Draw
Bet365
3.60
Superbet
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Marathonbet
3.40
Away
Betfair
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Bet365
2.50
Marathonbet
2.48
Handicap +2 (Nea Salamis)
Nea Salamis +2
78.3%
@ 1.46+16.6%
Draw +2
13.8%
@ 4.52-6.1%
AEK Larnaca -2
7.9%
@ 4.90-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
Draw
Marathonbet
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Away
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.80
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.23
1.36
0.14
1.00
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.05
0.30
1.00
0.11
1.09
0.45
vs Weaker (10)
1.40
0.10
2.00
0.20
0.80
0.00
Clean sheet %
77% (+46pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.94
0.38
0.50
0.21
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.37
0.89
0.44
0.50
0.30
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.11
1.17
0.17
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.3%
@ 1.36+2.1%
Under 0.5
29.7%
@ 2.92-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Superbet
2.95
Pinnacle
2.90
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.3%
@ 2.71+0.2%
Under 1.5
65.7%
@ 1.41-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.82
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.69
Under
Superbet
1.43
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.5%
@ 6.20-1.5%
Under 2.5
86.5%
@ 1.09+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
William Hil
6.50
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.20
Betfair
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HT
Over
33.5%
@ 2.87+1.3%
Under
66.5%
@ 1.37-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Betano
2.87
Superbet
2.85
Under
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HT
Over
8.7%
@ 10.69-0.0%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.02+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Marathonbet
11.50
1xBet
10.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.2%
@ 50.00-98.8%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
50.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.1%
@ 1.67+0.8%
Under
43.9%
@ 2.07-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Pinnacle
1.65
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.62
Under
Pinnacle
2.11
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
1.98
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.3%
@ 4.34-5.0%
Under
83.7%
@ 1.18+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Betano
4.35
Superbet
4.10
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.6%
@ 10.88-4.0%
Under
95.4%
@ 1.02+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
0.57
0.29
1.00
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.95
0.45
0.67
0.22
1.18
0.64
vs Weaker (10)
0.50
0.20
0.40
0.40
0.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Larnaca
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
0.88
0.31
0.86
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (19)
0.84
0.68
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.44
1.17
0.33
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
@ 1.23+1.4%
Under 0.5
23.1%
@ 3.82-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.20
Under
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 2.09+1.2%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.68-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.15
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.09
Marathonbet
2.09
Superbet
2.07
Under
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
17.6%
@ 4.35-3.8%
Under 2.5
82.4%
@ 1.19+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.75
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Betano
4.15
1xBet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.7%
@ 2.37+3.6%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.52-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.43
1xBet
2.40
Superbet
2.35
Betano
2.30
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.51
Marathonbet
1.48
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.0%
@ 8.28-1.2%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.04+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.40
1xBet
8.70
Superbet
8.00
Betano
7.00
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
@ 22.25-2.5%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
32.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
AEK Larnaca over/under 0.5 2H
Over
62.5%
@ 1.47-0.8%
Under
37.5%
@ 2.53+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.47
AEK Larnaca over/under 1.5 2H
Over
30.0%
@ 3.16+0.6%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.31-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.10
1xBet
3.10
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
AEK Larnaca over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.1%
@ 7.87-4.7%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.05+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Superbet
8.20
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.2%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+5.1%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.5%
Under 5.5
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.7%
Away under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Betfair
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+9.7%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.4%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.0%
Home under 2.5 goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
+2.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
-
+4.7%
Under 4.5
92.5%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
+8.6%
Away +2 handicap
91.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
-
-
+0.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
91.3%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+0.0%
Over 19.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+1.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+1.5%
Over 2.5 cards
86.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
85.2%
1.31
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
+14.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
83.7%
1.18
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.19
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.14
-
+5.0%
Under 2.5 2H goals
82.4%
1.19
Betano
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
William Hil
1.17
+3.8%
Under 3.5
81.6%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+11.3%
Over 21.5 fouls
81.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.3%
1.46
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.45
Marathonbet
1.43
-
-
+16.6%
Home under 1.5 goals
77.3%
1.21
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Superbet
1.21
Bet365
1.20
+0.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.20
+1.4%
Draw or Away
75.9%
1.12
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
-7.4%
Away +1 handicap
75.9%
1.13
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
-1.8%
Away over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
1xBet
1.12
-8.6%
Under 11.5 corners
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.3%
1.36
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.37
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+2.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
70.0%
1.31
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.30
-
-0.6%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
AEK Larnaca · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Karol Angielski50%
Marcus Rohdén27%
Riad Bajić21%
Enric Saborit17%
Robert Mudražija12%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Jorge Miramón12%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mathías González40%
Enric Saborit33%
Petros Ioannou25%
Valentin Roberge23%
Pere Pons22%
Hrvoje Miličević21%
Godswill Ekpolo20%
Giorgos Naoum20%
Jorge Miramón19%
Marcus Rohdén18%
Ángel García18%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Álex Cardero17%
Enzo Cabrera12%
Gus Ledes11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Riad Bajić5%
Đorđe Ivanović5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marcus Rohdén27%
Jeremie Gnali17%
Jairo Izquierdo14%
Gus Ledes11%
Ángel García9%
Charalampos Kyriakou8%
Godswill Ekpolo7%
Jorge Miramón6%
Hrvoje Miličević5%
Robert Mudražija0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Riad Bajić0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Karol Angielski0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Đorđe Ivanović0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Waldo Rubio Marín0%
Pere Pons0%
Enric Saborit0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Giorgos Naoum0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Karol Angielski25%
Riad Bajić16%
Đorđe Ivanović11%
Hrvoje Miličević11%
Waldo Rubio Marín10%
Giorgos Naoum10%
Marcus Rohdén9%
Enric Saborit8%
Robert Mudražija0%
Charalampos Kyriakou0%
Valentin Roberge0%
Enzo Cabrera0%
Petros Ioannou0%
Antreas Paraskevas0%
Ángel García0%
Zlatan Alomerović0%
Jairo Izquierdo0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Gus Ledes0%
Pere Pons0%
Jorge Miramón0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Yahav Gurfinkel0%
Jeremie Gnali0%
Youssef Amyn0%
Álex Cardero0%
Mathías González0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
OA (18)
€5m
OLY (14)
€4m
KY (20)
€4m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
Nea Salamis's squad is €11m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€5m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
KY (8)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
OLY (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
Nea Salamis's attack is €5m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
OA (4)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
OLY (2)
€0m
Nea Salamis and AEK Larnaca have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
OA (9)
€2m
OLY (8)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
Nea Salamis's defence is €5m less valuable than AEK Larnaca's (€2m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Pafos
Omonia 29is Maiou
AEL
Olympiakos
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Omonia Aradippou
Omonia Nicosia
Apoel Nicosia
Anorthosis
Karmiotissa
Krasava Ypsonas