This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.07
1.60
0.87
1.13
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.26
1.09
1.55
0.73
1.00
1.42
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.00
1.75
1.25
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.3%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.9%
Nea Salamis goals ↓
Apollon Limassol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
7.1%
5.8%
2.7%
0.9%
1
7.3%
13%
8.2%
3.8%
1.3%
2
6.1%
8.5%
5.9%
2.7%
1.0%
3
2.9%
4.0%
2.8%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.0%
1.4%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nea Salamis goals (down), columns = Apollon Limassol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Nea Salamis is 0.38 points worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 1.65).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Nea Salamis is 0.30 goals worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 1.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Nea Salamis is 0.57 goals worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 0.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Nea Salamis is 3.3 percentage points worse than Apollon Limassol in terms of average possession (52% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nea Salamis
For 3.6 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Apollon Limassol
For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 15.6 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (41)
8.7
8.8
8.7
3.6
3.8
3.4
27.6
28.6
26.8
vs Stronger (11)
9.6
9.2
10.0
3.8
4.6
3.2
26.4
28.2
24.5
vs Similar (26)
8.2
8.4
8.1
3.4
3.6
3.2
27.5
28.8
26.4
vs Weaker (4)
9.7
11.0
9.0
4.2
3.0
5.5
31.7
29.0
33.0
% over line
42%
40%
44%
59%
65%
52%
80%
86%
75%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
41%
35%
48%
20%
14%
25%
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (47)
8.9
9.2
8.7
3.9
3.9
3.9
26.0
26.4
25.6
vs Stronger (4)
10.5
8.0
13.0
1.8
2.0
1.5
17.5
20.0
15.0
vs Similar (34)
8.4
8.7
8.1
4.3
4.2
4.4
26.3
26.6
26.1
vs Weaker (9)
10.4
11.0
9.7
3.3
3.6
3.0
27.1
27.2
27.0
% over line
34%
35%
33%
53%
54%
52%
76%
81%
72%
% under line
66%
65%
67%
47%
46%
48%
24%
19%
28%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
17.0
Aris
9.4
Anorthosis
9.4
AEL
9.3
Karmiotissa
9.3
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Pafos
9.0
Ethnikos Achna
9.0
Apollon Limassol
8.9
Doxa
8.9
Omonia Nicosia
8.8
Nea Salamis
8.7
Apoel Nicosia
8.3
AE Zakakiou
6.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Pafos
5.5
Apollon Limassol
5.2
Apoel Nicosia
5.1
AE Zakakiou
5.0
Doxa
4.9
Aris
4.9
Nea Salamis
4.7
AEK Larnaca
4.7
Karmiotissa
4.7
Othellos
4.5
Anorthosis
4.5
AEL
4.2
Omonia Nicosia
4.1
Ethnikos Achna
0.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
AE Zakakiou
39.0
Apoel Nicosia
29.9
Doxa
28.4
AEK Larnaca
27.9
Nea Salamis
27.6
Anorthosis
27.4
AEL
27.0
Aris
26.1
Pafos
26.1
Apollon Limassol
26.0
Karmiotissa
25.9
Othellos
25.0
Ethnikos Achna
25.0
Omonia Nicosia
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.8%
Under 9.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.3%
Under 3.5
27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.9%
Under 21.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.83
0.73
0.73
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.43
0.33
1.33
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.75
0.91
0.64
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (3)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.80
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.48
0.55
0.27
0.42
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.57
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.73
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (20)
1.00
0.60
1.09
0.64
0.89
0.56
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Apollon Limassol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Apollon Limassol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.57
0.80
0.53
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.61
1.00
0.45
0.58
0.75
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.43
0.25
0.75
1.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Apollon Limassol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Apollon Limassol
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danilo Špoljarić33%
Ángelo Sagal33%
Pedro Marques25%
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Godswill Ekpolo40%
Danilo Špoljarić33%
Pedro Marques25%
Giorgos Malekkidis25%
Israel Coll25%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis25%
Tendayi Darikwa20%
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mathieu Valbuena0%
Pedro Marques0%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Giorgos Malekkidis0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Marques50%
Mathieu Valbuena25%
Giorgos Malekkidis25%
Chambos Kyriakou0%
Danilo Špoljarić0%
Tendayi Darikwa0%
Israel Coll0%
Ángelo Sagal0%
Mushaga Bakenga0%
Valentin Costache0%
Andrei Artean0%
Peter Leeuwenburgh0%
Mathieu Peybernes0%
Godswill Ekpolo0%
Eliel Peretz0%
Andreas Panagiotou Filiotis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Nea Salamis's squad is €11m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€5m vs €15m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's attack is €5m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€2m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis and Apollon Limassol have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Nea Salamis's defence is €5m less valuable than Apollon Limassol's (€2m vs €7m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Anorthosis
Ethnikos Achna
Karmiotissa
Doxa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou