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Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi Result & Analysis

Date: 25/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Vs
70%
20%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U
10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Nea Salamis a 70% win probability against ASIL Lysi in the Cyprus: 2. Division on 2026-04-25, with 20% for the draw and 10% for ASIL Lysi. The model estimates around 2.8 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (25%) and 2-0 the most likely scoreline (13.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (78%).

Results analysis

Nea Salamis finished 4-1 against ASIL Lysi (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 70% home win, 20% draw and 10% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (78%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nea Salamis win✓ Hit
69.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi win✗ Miss
10.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W10W21W42W00D21W22D30W01LH·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03H·AYI04/04A·KAR19/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.601.790.641.880.56
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)2.000.931.501.002.330.89
vs Weaker (15)1.670.272.000.381.290.14
Clean sheet %60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L05L00D12L13L01L01L55D26L21WH·AYI08/02A·KAR13/02A·MEA21/02H·NEA28/02H·PAE08/03A·DOX13/03H·OMO18/03A·AYI21/03H·KAR04/04H·MEA17/04
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.571.191.311.141.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)1.001.001.000.621.001.43
vs Weaker (15)1.332.131.382.001.292.29
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.2%
Under 1.5
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
Under 2.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.2%
No
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.4%
1-0
11.7%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
9.5%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
6.8%
3-1
6.6%
4-0
5.0%
Nea Salamis goals ↓
ASIL Lysi goals →
01234
06.8%3.3%1.5%0.3%0.1%
112%9.7%3.1%0.7%0.1%
213%9.4%3.3%0.8%0.1%
39.5%6.6%2.3%0.5%0.1%
45.0%3.5%1.2%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nea Salamis goals (down), columns = ASIL Lysi goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Nea Salamis is 1.55 points better than ASIL Lysi in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 1.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Nea Salamis is 0.83 goals better than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.10).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Nea Salamis is 1.21 goals better than ASIL Lysi in terms of goals conceded per game (0.52 vs 1.72).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W10W00D21W10W00D20W11D20W00DH·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03H·AYI04/04A·KAR19/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.271.140.290.880.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.930.470.830.501.000.44
vs Weaker (15)1.070.071.380.120.710.00
Clean sheet %77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (ASIL Lysi) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W01L00D12L03L00D00D32W02L11DH·AYI08/02A·KAR13/02A·MEA21/02H·NEA28/02H·PAE08/03A·DOX13/03H·OMO18/03A·AYI21/03H·KAR04/04H·MEA17/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.380.690.860.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.600.400.380.380.860.43
vs Weaker (15)0.600.870.381.000.860.71
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ASIL Lysi over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (26)
€4m
O2M (28)
€2m
KAR (27)
€2m
PAE (34)
€0m
DOX (32)
€0m
AN (40)
€0m
HAL (36)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (0)
€0m
NS (0)
€0m
O2M (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 12. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
NS wins
0
Draws
0
AL wins

Head-to-head

Nea Salamis vs ASIL Lysi · H/A from NS
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs NS1-2
01/11/25AASIL Lysi Vs NS0-1

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/26AKarmiotissa Vs NS1-0
04/04/26HNS Vs Ayia Napa3-0
22/03/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs NS2-2
18/03/26HNS Vs Doxa2-1
13/03/26APAEEK Vs NS0-0
07/03/26AMEAP Nisou Vs NS2-4
28/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs NS1-2
21/02/26HNS Vs Karmiotissa1-0
14/02/26AAyia Napa Vs NS0-2
07/02/26HNS Vs Omonia 29is Maiou2-1

ASIL LysiASIL Lysi

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/04/26HAL Vs MEAP Nisou2-1
04/04/26HAL Vs Karmiotissa2-6
21/03/26AAyia Napa Vs AL5-5
18/03/26HAL Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-1
13/03/26ADoxa Vs AL1-0
08/03/26HAL Vs PAEEK1-3
28/02/26HAL Vs Nea Salamis1-2
21/02/26AMEAP Nisou Vs AL0-0
13/02/26AKarmiotissa Vs AL5-0
08/02/26HAL Vs Ayia Napa2-3

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDWL1.84
HomeWWWWW1.83
AwayWWDDL1.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%54%54%
AVG goals2.442.582.31
Over 1.5 %72%71%73%
Over 2.5 %44%58%31%
Over 3.5 %22%25%19%
Scored1.421.421.42
Conceded1.021.170.88
BTTS40%46%35%
Clean Sheet44%42%46%
Corners12.0012.00-
Cards6.006.00-
ASIL Lysi
ASIL Lysi
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLW1.26
HomeLLLLW1.50
AwayLLDLD1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%46%25%
AVG goals2.782.652.92
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %26%23%29%
Scored1.221.381.04
Conceded1.561.271.88
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet20%31%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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