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Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa Result & Analysis

Date: 04/04/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Vs
56%
26%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nea Salamis win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
17.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W20W21W20W10W21W42W00D21W22DH·PAE25/01A·DOX30/01H·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.731.640.862.000.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.860.901.400.902.270.91
vs Weaker (9)1.780.332.250.751.400.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-520W02L32W02L00D12L02L02L03L55DA·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.301.001.271.531.33
vs Stronger (26)1.271.351.001.211.581.50
vs Similar (4)1.251.001.002.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.7%
Under 1.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.0%
Under 2.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.5%
Under 3.5
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
47.4%
No
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-0
12.4%
2-0
11.3%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0 ✓
6.3%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.3%
Nea Salamis goals ↓
Ayia Napa goals →
01234
09.2%5.7%2.9%0.8%0.2%
112%13%4.8%1.4%0.3%
211%9.5%4.0%1.1%0.2%
36.3%5.3%2.2%0.6%0.1%
42.6%2.2%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nea Salamis goals (down), columns = Ayia Napa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Nea Salamis
2.62
Karmiotissa
1.93
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.83
PAEEK
1.59
Halkanoras
1.55
Doxa
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.41
Digenis Morphou
1.34
Spartakos Kitiou
1.34
APEA
1.34
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.28
ASIL Lysi
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
1.03
MEAP Nisou
1.00
AE Zakakiou
0.90
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.28
Nea Salamis is 1.21 points better than Ayia Napa in terms of average points per game (2.62 vs 1.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Omonia 29is Maiou
2.07
Nea Salamis
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.86
Halkanoras
1.62
Digenis Morphou
1.55
Spartakos Kitiou
1.45
PAEEK
1.45
Ayia Napa
1.45
APEA
1.31
Doxa
1.17
ASIL Lysi
1.10
AE Zakakiou
1.10
MEAP Nisou
1.07
Ethnikos Latsion
0.97
Iraklis Yerolakkou
0.93
Ahironas / Onisilos
0.62
Nea Salamis is 0.48 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals scored per game (1.93 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Nea Salamis
0.52
Karmiotissa
0.90
Iraklis Yerolakkou
1.03
PAEEK
1.07
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.14
Doxa
1.21
Spartakos Kitiou
1.24
Halkanoras
1.28
Digenis Morphou
1.31
APEA
1.31
Ayia Napa
1.48
Ethnikos Latsion
1.59
ASIL Lysi
1.72
MEAP Nisou
1.72
AE Zakakiou
1.79
Ahironas / Onisilos
2.34
Nea Salamis is 0.97 goals better than Ayia Napa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.52 vs 1.48).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W10W20W10W00D21W10W00D20W11DH·PAE25/01A·DOX30/01H·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.301.000.291.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.860.380.600.301.090.45
vs Weaker (9)1.330.112.000.250.800.00
Clean sheet %73% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D12L01L00D00D02L02L02L23LA·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.870.270.730.671.00
vs Stronger (26)0.460.920.290.790.671.08
vs Similar (4)0.500.500.000.000.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L10W10W00D32W00D01L11DH·PAE25/01A·DOX30/01H·OMO07/02A·AYI14/02H·KAR21/02A·ASI28/02A·MEA07/03A·PAE13/03H·DOX18/03A·OMO22/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.640.571.000.31
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.000.520.800.601.180.45
vs Weaker (9)0.440.220.250.500.600.00
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L20W01L00D12L00D00D01L32WA·MEA24/01H·KAR31/01A·ASI08/02H·NEA14/02A·PAE21/02H·DOX28/02H·OMO06/03H·MEA14/03A·KAR18/03H·ASI21/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.430.730.530.870.33
vs Stronger (26)0.810.420.710.430.920.42
vs Similar (4)0.750.501.002.000.670.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad Tomović0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
O2M (10)
€3m
DOX (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
Nea Salamis's squad is €5m more valuable than Ayia Napa's (€5m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's attack is €2m more valuable than Ayia Napa's (€2m vs €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
HAL (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's midfield is €2m more valuable than Ayia Napa's (€2m vs €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
O2M (6)
€2m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
DOX (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
HAL (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's defence is €2m more valuable than Ayia Napa's (€2m vs €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
NS wins
0
Draws
0
AN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nea Salamis vs Ayia Napa · H/A from NS
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26AAyia Napa Vs NS0-2
03/01/26AAyia Napa Vs NS0-2

Nea SalamisNea Salamis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/03/26AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs NS2-2
18/03/26HNS Vs Doxa2-1
13/03/26APAEEK Vs NS0-0
07/03/26AMEAP Nisou Vs NS2-4
28/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs NS1-2
21/02/26HNS Vs Karmiotissa1-0
14/02/26AAyia Napa Vs NS0-2
07/02/26HNS Vs Omonia 29is Maiou2-1
30/01/26ADoxa Vs NS0-2
25/01/26HNS Vs PAEEK4-1

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/26HAN Vs ASIL Lysi5-5
18/03/26AKarmiotissa Vs AN3-0
14/03/26HAN Vs MEAP Nisou0-2
06/03/26HAN Vs Omonia 29is Maiou0-2
28/02/26HAN Vs Doxa1-2
21/02/26APAEEK Vs AN0-0
14/02/26HAN Vs Nea Salamis0-2
08/02/26AASIL Lysi Vs AN2-3
31/01/26HAN Vs Karmiotissa0-2
24/01/26AMEAP Nisou Vs AN0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nea Salamis
Nea Salamis
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWD1.80
HomeWWWWW1.71
AwayWWWDD1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%50%54%
AVG goals2.462.502.42
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %44%54%35%
Over 3.5 %24%25%23%
Scored1.401.291.50
Conceded1.061.210.92
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet42%38%46%
Corners12.0012.00-
Cards6.006.00-
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLD1.36
HomeLLLLD1.20
AwayDWWDL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%32%44%
AVG goals2.602.322.88
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %46%32%60%
Over 3.5 %20%12%28%
Scored1.181.001.36
Conceded1.421.321.52
BTTS48%36%60%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Nea SalamisNea Salamis2976
83%
2.6
5615+41
2.4
69%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2221.90.5
-
2KarmiotissaKarmiotissa2956
55%
1.9
5426+28
2.8
72%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.90.9
-
3Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2953
48%
1.8
6033+27
3.2
79%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0022.11.1
-
4PAEEKPAEEK2946
41%
1.6
4231+11
2.5
72%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.1
-
5HalkanorasHalkanoras2945
45%
1.6
4737+10
2.9
72%
62%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
6DoxaDoxa2942
41%
1.4
3435-1
2.4
79%
41%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.2
-
7Ayia NapaAyia Napa2941
38%
1.4
4243-1
2.9
83%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
8Digenis MorphouDigenis Morphou2939
38%
1.3
4538+7
2.9
86%
55%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.3
-
9Spartakos KitiouSpartakos Kitiou2939
34%
1.3
4236+6
2.7
83%
45%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
10APEAAPEA2939
38%
1.3
3838+0
2.6
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
11Iraklis YerolakkouIraklis Yerolakkou2937
28%
1.3
2730-3
2.0
62%
31%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
12ASIL LysiASIL Lysi2931
28%
1.1
3250-18
2.8
69%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
13Ethnikos LatsionEthnikos Latsion2930
28%
1.0
2846-18
2.6
79%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
14MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2929
28%
1.0
3150-19
2.8
76%
48%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
15AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2926
21%
0.9
3252-20
2.9
79%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
16Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos298
3%
0.3
1868-50
3.0
83%
55%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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