This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.70
0.56
1.56
1.07
1.86
vs Stronger (30)
0.80
1.70
0.56
1.56
1.07
1.86
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.9%
Under 1.5
17.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.3%
No
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 â
10.4%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.6%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
Nea Salamis goals ↓
Doxa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.2%
2.0%
0.6%
0.1%
1
8.6%
10.0%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
10%
9.9%
4.7%
1.5%
0.4%
3
7.5%
7.2%
3.4%
1.1%
0.3%
4
4.1%
3.9%
1.9%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nea Salamis goals (down), columns = Doxa goals (across).
ðŠ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
ð Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Larnaca
2.03
Apoel Nicosia
2.03
Omonia Nicosia
1.92
Aris
1.81
Pafos
1.72
Apollon Limassol
1.65
Anorthosis
1.47
AEL
1.35
Nea Salamis
1.27
Ethnikos Achna
1.25
Karmiotissa
1.00
Doxa
0.88
Othellos
0.82
AE Zakakiou
0.45
Nea Salamis is 0.40 points better than Doxa in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 0.88).
âïļ Attack
Goals scored / game
Apoel Nicosia
1.75
Aris
1.75
Ethnikos Achna
1.75
Omonia Nicosia
1.72
Pafos
1.67
Apollon Limassol
1.60
AEK Larnaca
1.58
AEL
1.52
Karmiotissa
1.45
Nea Salamis
1.30
Anorthosis
1.28
Othellos
1.20
AE Zakakiou
1.00
Doxa
0.85
Nea Salamis is 0.45 goals better than Doxa in terms of goals scored per game (1.30 vs 0.85).
ðĄïļ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Apoel Nicosia
0.67
AEK Larnaca
0.86
Pafos
0.92
Aris
0.94
Apollon Limassol
0.95
Omonia Nicosia
1.03
Anorthosis
1.17
Nea Salamis
1.52
AEL
1.70
Doxa
1.93
Karmiotissa
1.93
Othellos
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.98
AE Zakakiou
2.50
Nea Salamis is 0.40 goals better than Doxa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.52 vs 1.93).
âąïļ Possession
Avg possession %
Pafos
56%
Aris
56%
Apollon Limassol
55%
Anorthosis
54%
Karmiotissa
53%
AEK Larnaca
52%
Nea Salamis
52%
Apoel Nicosia
51%
AEL
49%
AE Zakakiou
48%
Othellos
44%
Omonia Nicosia
44%
Ethnikos Achna
42%
Doxa
40%
Nea Salamis is 12.4 percentage points better than Doxa in terms of average possession (52% vs 40%).
ðē 4. Props Analysis
Nea Salamis
For 4.0 · Against 7.8 · Total 11.8
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.2
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Doxa
For 2.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.6
ðĐ Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.6
ðĻ Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 14.6 · Total 27.5
â ïļ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nea Salamis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.5
9.4
4.1
4.0
4.1
26.9
27.5
26.4
vs Stronger (14)
9.9
9.2
10.3
4.4
4.6
4.2
25.1
28.2
23.3
vs Similar (32)
9.2
9.4
9.0
3.9
4.0
3.8
27.1
27.2
27.1
vs Weaker (4)
9.7
11.0
9.0
4.2
3.0
5.5
31.7
29.0
33.0
% over line
50%
47%
52%
64%
67%
62%
77%
78%
76%
% under line
50%
53%
48%
36%
33%
38%
23%
22%
24%
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.7
9.0
8.4
4.1
4.4
3.8
28.2
28.6
27.6
vs Stronger (50)
8.7
9.0
8.4
4.1
4.4
3.8
28.2
28.6
27.6
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
39%
45%
32%
60%
65%
54%
90%
86%
95%
% under line
61%
55%
68%
40%
35%
46%
10%
14%
5%
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
ðĐ Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Othellos
12.0
Karmiotissa
9.7
Anorthosis
9.6
Nea Salamis
9.4
Aris
9.4
Apollon Limassol
9.3
AEL
9.2
AEK Larnaca
9.2
Omonia Nicosia
9.1
Pafos
9.0
Doxa
8.7
Apoel Nicosia
8.6
AE Zakakiou
8.5
Ethnikos Achna
8.1
ðĻ Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ethnikos Achna
5.9
Pafos
5.4
Apoel Nicosia
5.4
AE Zakakiou
5.2
Othellos
5.1
Nea Salamis
5.1
Apollon Limassol
5.0
Doxa
5.0
Aris
4.9
AEK Larnaca
4.8
AEL
4.7
Anorthosis
4.7
Omonia Nicosia
4.5
Karmiotissa
4.5
â ïļ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Apoel Nicosia
29.5
Doxa
28.2
Anorthosis
28.1
AEL
27.8
AEK Larnaca
27.1
Othellos
27.0
Ethnikos Achna
27.0
AE Zakakiou
26.9
Nea Salamis
26.9
Pafos
26.2
Karmiotissa
26.0
Aris
25.9
Apollon Limassol
25.8
Omonia Nicosia
23.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.3%
Under 9.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.5%
Under 3.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.3%
Under 21.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ð 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
ðĨ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
âïļ 7. Handicap
âąïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.77
0.93
0.50
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
-
-
0.29
1.14
vs Similar (21)
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.54
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.70
0.25
0.69
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (30)
0.37
0.70
0.25
0.69
0.50
0.71
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
âąïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nea Salamis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
1.07
0.64
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.00
-
-
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (21)
1.05
0.67
1.08
0.62
1.00
0.75
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Doxa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Doxa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.00
0.31
0.88
0.57
1.14
vs Stronger (30)
0.43
1.00
0.31
0.88
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Nea Salamis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nea Salamis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nea Salamis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Doxa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
ðĨ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 2.5 cards
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
Over 1.5
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 3.5 cards
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
â Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
ð― 13. Player market rates
Nea Salamis · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Frangos33%
Alexandros Michael25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Konstantinos Sergiou67%
Serge Leuko67%
Danny Bejarano40%
Carlitos33%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Fiorin Durmishaj0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Miguelito0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Yassine Bahassa20%
Victor Fernandez20%
Apostolos Vellios0%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fiorin Durmishaj25%
Apostolos Vellios20%
Alexandros Michael0%
Konstantinos Sergiou0%
Andreas Frangos0%
Nikolaos Melissas0%
Danny Bejarano0%
Nenad TomoviÄ0%
Serge Leuko0%
Yassine Bahassa0%
Miguelito0%
Carlitos0%
Victor Fernandez0%
Doxa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nikola TrujiÄ50%
Ernest Asante40%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nikola TrujiÄ75%
Mesca33%
Bryan Alceus25%
Marios Antoniadis20%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski20%
Ernest Asante20%
Simranjit Thandi20%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Guessouma Fofana33%
Marios Antoniadis20%
Dimitar Velkovski20%
Mesca0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Nikola TrujiÄ0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nikola TrujiÄ50%
Marios Antoniadis0%
Mesca0%
Dimitar Velkovski0%
Charis Kyriakou0%
DuÅĄko TrajÄevski0%
Guessouma Fofana0%
Adil Nabi0%
Konstantinos Provydakis0%
Ernest Asante0%
Bryan Alceus0%
Simranjit Thandi0%
Omar Hani0%
Vangelis Kyriakou0%
Nicolai Skoglund0%
Aleksa Puric0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
ð° 14. Squad value
ð° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (23)
€28m
AL (30)
€16m
AL (24)
€15m
AN (30)
€15m
ON (23)
€15m
ARI (26)
€11m
AEL (21)
€9m
ANO (25)
€7m
NS (15)
€5m
KAR (12)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Nea Salamis's squad is €5m more valuable than Doxa's (€5m vs €0m).
âïļ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€14m
AN (12)
€8m
ON (9)
€7m
AL (10)
€7m
AL (9)
€7m
AEL (9)
€4m
ARI (8)
€3m
ANO (9)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
KAR (3)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's attack is €2m more valuable than Doxa's (€2m vs €0m).
ð§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (5)
€8m
ON (4)
€3m
ARI (5)
€3m
AN (4)
€3m
AL (4)
€2m
AL (6)
€2m
AEL (5)
€2m
NS (4)
€2m
ANO (6)
€1m
KAR (3)
€1m
EA (0)
€0m
DOX (0)
€0m
Nea Salamis's midfield is €2m more valuable than Doxa's (€2m vs €0m).
ðĄïļ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAF (9)
€7m
AL (14)
€7m
AL (11)
€7m
ARI (13)
€5m
AN (14)
€5m
ON (10)
€5m
ANO (10)
€3m
AEL (7)
€3m
KAR (6)
€2m
NS (7)
€2m
EA (1)
€0m
DOX (1)
€0m
Nea Salamis's defence is €2m more valuable than Doxa's (€2m vs €0m).
Cyprus: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Apoel Nicosia
AEK Larnaca
Omonia Nicosia
Apollon Limassol
Aris
Pafos
AEL
Anorthosis
Ethnikos Achna
Karmiotissa
Othellos
AE Zakakiou