The model favours a NEC Nijmegen win, with a 47% chance, followed by a 28% draw and a 24% chance for Excelsior. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely total of 2 goals at 27%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. NEC, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 1.0 goal scored and 1.5 conceded, while Excelsior, away against a stronger opponent, averages 0.6 scored and 3.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 91.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.1%, Under 4.5 cards at 81.9%, Under 3.5 fouls at 74.4% (hit), Over 1.5 fouls at 73.8% (hit), and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.7%. Both teams have recently finished on a win, with NEC’s last match a 3-1 victory over PEC Zwolle and Excelsior’s last a 2-1 win over Sparta Rotterdam.
Results analysis
The upset came early as NEC Nijmegen, the pre-match favourite, failed to secure the win, ending the game in a 1-1 draw. The model had predicted a home win with a 47% probability, but that call was wrong. The match finished 1-1, a result that matched the model’s most likely score of 1-1, which carried a 13.4% chance. The model’s other selections performed well: “Under 3.5” hit with a 74.4% probability, and “Over 1.5” also hit at 73.8%. Both teams came off recent victories, with NEC’s last win over PEC Zwolle and Excelsior’s win against Sparta Rotterdam, yet neither side could break the deadlock.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NEC Nijmegen win✗ Miss
47.4%
Avg Implied 63.1% · @ 1.50
Edge
-15.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.1%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.51
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied 15.9% · @ 5.94
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.33
0.67
1.40
1.33
1.27
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
2.00
0.80
2.20
1.33
1.67
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.77
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (9)
1.44
1.56
1.00
1.50
1.80
1.60
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
2.27
1.50
1.86
1.12
2.62
vs Stronger (11)
1.18
3.00
1.67
2.50
0.60
3.60
vs Similar (19)
1.37
1.84
1.38
1.38
1.36
2.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
10% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.3%
@ 1.53-14.1%
Under 2.5
52.7%
@ 2.43+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.6%
Under 3.5
74.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.7%
No
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.3%
2-0
9.0%
0-0
8.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.9%
6.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
1
11%
13%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
2
9.0%
9.3%
4.8%
1.7%
0.4%
3
4.6%
4.7%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.8%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NEC Nijmegen goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Feyenoord
2.41
PSV Eindhoven
2.21
Ajax
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.97
Twente
1.95
Almere City FC
1.83
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Willem II
1.50
NAC Breda
1.50
Heerenveen
1.28
VVV Venlo
1.25
Waalwijk
1.21
Vitesse
1.18
GO Ahead Eagles
1.18
NEC Nijmegen
1.15
Fortuna Sittard
1.06
FC Volendam
1.06
Excelsior
0.94
Emmen
0.89
Cambuur
0.56
Groningen
0.51
MVV
0.00
NEC Nijmegen is 0.21 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.15 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.62
Ajax
2.54
Feyenoord
2.38
Willem II
2.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.00
Twente
1.95
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
NAC Breda
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.50
Waalwijk
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.35
Almere City FC
1.33
Vitesse
1.32
Heerenveen
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.24
FC Volendam
1.24
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
FC Eindhoven
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Groningen
0.94
Excelsior
0.94
Cambuur
0.76
MVV
0.50
NEC Nijmegen is 0.29 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.94).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Twente
0.76
Almere City FC
0.83
Feyenoord
0.88
FC Eindhoven
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.08
Ajax
1.14
PSV Eindhoven
1.18
NAC Breda
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.32
Utrecht
1.44
Vitesse
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.50
Heerenveen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.65
Fortuna Sittard
1.82
Emmen
1.84
Waalwijk
1.88
Willem II
2.00
Cambuur
2.03
Excelsior
2.09
FC Volendam
2.09
Groningen
2.23
MVV
2.50
NEC Nijmegen is 0.76 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 2.09).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
For 4.7 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Excelsior
For 5.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 9.9 · Total 19.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
10.7
9.3
2.3
2.2
2.5
22.0
23.1
20.9
vs Stronger (12)
10.9
12.0
9.8
1.1
1.1
1.0
18.2
20.8
15.8
vs Similar (24)
10.3
10.0
10.6
2.6
2.0
3.2
22.1
22.2
22.0
vs Weaker (14)
8.8
10.8
6.8
2.9
3.6
2.3
24.9
26.4
23.4
% over line
50%
65%
35%
32%
28%
36%
53%
59%
47%
% under line
50%
35%
65%
68%
72%
64%
47%
41%
53%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
12.0
12.4
11.7
2.3
2.0
2.6
20.5
19.1
21.9
vs Stronger (15)
12.5
12.7
12.3
2.2
2.0
2.4
18.1
15.8
20.3
vs Similar (35)
11.9
12.3
11.5
2.3
1.9
2.7
21.4
20.4
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
79%
81%
76%
30%
20%
40%
40%
33%
48%
% under line
21%
19%
24%
70%
80%
60%
60%
67%
52%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Almere City FC
11.2
Cambuur
10.6
MVV
10.6
Heerenveen
10.3
Utrecht
10.2
NAC Breda
10.2
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
FC Eindhoven
10.0
VVV Venlo
9.9
Ajax
9.8
PSV Eindhoven
9.8
Feyenoord
9.8
Waalwijk
9.6
Emmen
9.6
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
Willem II
9.3
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Vitesse
9.1
AZ Alkmaar
9.1
GO Ahead Eagles
9.1
Groningen
8.8
Twente
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Eindhoven
5.3
Twente
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
MVV
3.5
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
Almere City FC
3.4
Emmen
3.3
NAC Breda
3.3
Cambuur
3.2
Feyenoord
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Groningen
3.1
PSV Eindhoven
3.1
Willem II
3.1
VVV Venlo
3.0
AZ Alkmaar
3.0
Excelsior
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
2.9
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Sparta Rotterdam
2.7
Ajax
2.7
Waalwijk
2.7
Heerenveen
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC Eindhoven
23.9
Vitesse
23.1
VVV Venlo
22.9
Almere City FC
22.8
Twente
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Groningen
22.3
NAC Breda
22.2
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
Utrecht
21.4
Excelsior
21.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.2
Waalwijk
20.6
Cambuur
20.6
Feyenoord
20.0
Ajax
19.7
MVV
19.4
PSV Eindhoven
19.3
AZ Alkmaar
19.1
Sparta Rotterdam
19.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Willem II
18.1
Heerenveen
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.2%
Under 9.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
45.3%
Under 21.5
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
0.62
0.80
0.60
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.23
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.43
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.67
0.50
0.75
1.00
0.60
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.50
0.79
0.56
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.27
0.67
1.00
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.74
0.38
0.62
0.64
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.87
0.27
1.00
0.47
0.73
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.38
0.00
1.60
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.15
0.54
0.33
0.67
0.00
0.43
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.89
0.50
0.75
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.33
1.00
1.07
0.56
1.56
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.73
1.00
1.50
0.20
2.00
vs Similar (19)
0.84
1.11
1.00
0.75
0.73
1.36
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
91.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NEC Nijmegen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Landry Dimata27%
Magnus Mattsson16%
Oussama Tannane16%
Pedro Marques14%
Iván Márquez10%
Elayis Tavsan9%
Ibrahim Cissoko8%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Anthony Musaba7%
Souffian El Karouani6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Philippe Sandler5%
Lasse Schøne3%
Dirk Proper3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Joris Kramer0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oussama Tannane28%
Ilias Bronkhorst25%
Souffian El Karouani24%
Calvin Verdonk24%
Andri Fannar Baldursson18%
Iván Márquez16%
Philippe Sandler14%
Lasse Schøne12%
Dirk Proper9%
Bart van Rooij9%
Pedro Marques7%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Elayis Tavsan6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Joris Kramer5%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Landry Dimata3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oussama Tannane36%
Pedro Marques10%
Philippe Sandler10%
Joris Kramer10%
Magnus Mattsson8%
Landry Dimata7%
Mikkel Duelund7%
Elayis Tavsan6%
Calvin Verdonk6%
Jordy Bruijn5%
Iván Márquez3%
Lasse Schøne3%
Dirk Proper3%
Souffian El Karouani3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Oussama Tannane36%
Landry Dimata20%
Elayis Tavsan12%
Iván Márquez6%
Magnus Mattsson4%
Ibrahim Cissoko4%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Lasse Schøne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Pedro Marques0%
Mikkel Duelund0%
Joris Kramer0%
Calvin Verdonk0%
Terry Sanniez0%
Bart van Rooij0%
Jordy Bruijn0%
Anthony Musaba0%
Ilias Bronkhorst0%
Andri Fannar Baldursson0%
Souffian El Karouani0%
Dirk Proper0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kik Pierie14%
Lazaros Lamprou14%
Kenzo Goudmijn12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Marouan Azarkan11%
Redouan El Yaakoubi9%
Julian Baas9%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Siebe Horemans9%
Serano Seymor5%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yassin Ayoub20%
Jacky Donkor17%
Joshua Eijgenraam15%
Couhaib Driouech15%
Marouan Azarkan15%
Adrian Fein14%
Mike van Duinen14%
Nathan Markelo14%
Redouan El Yaakoubi12%
Julian Baas12%
Siebe Horemans12%
Nikolas Agrafiotis12%
Arthur Zagre11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Peer Koopmeiners5%
Serano Seymor5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Lazaros Lamprou4%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marouan Azarkan26%
Julian Baas15%
Kik Pierie14%
Couhaib Driouech9%
Lazaros Lamprou7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Reda Kharchouch3%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On3%
Siebe Horemans3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Couhaib Driouech12%
Lazaros Lamprou11%
Reda Kharchouch10%
Noah Naujoks10%
Mike van Duinen7%
Kenzo Goudmijn6%
Arthur Zagre0%
Adrian Fein0%
Kik Pierie0%
Yassin Ayoub0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Maxime Awoudja0%
Jacky Donkor0%
Nathan Tjoe-A-On0%
Marouan Azarkan0%
Nathan Markelo0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Julian Baas0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Serano Seymor0%
Raphaël Eyongo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
NEC Nijmegen's squad is €37m more valuable than Excelsior's (€54m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's attack is €15m more valuable than Excelsior's (€22m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
NEC Nijmegen's midfield is €3m more valuable than Excelsior's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's defence is €19m more valuable than Excelsior's (€26m vs €6m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Ajax
AZ Alkmaar
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Heerenveen
Waalwijk
Vitesse
GO Ahead Eagles
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
Emmen
Cambuur
Groningen
Almere City FC
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
MVV