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Neftchi Baku vs Zira Result & Analysis

Date: 26/08/2022
Time: 16:30
Final 2-1
Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
vs
Zira
Zira
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neftchi Baku win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zira win
-
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L30W21W10W01L52W12LA·ARI21/07H·ARI28/07H·RAP04/08A·ŞAM07/08A·RAP11/08H·KAP14/08A·SAB20/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.711.143.331.000.501.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)1.201.202.500.500.331.67
vs Weaker (2)3.001.005.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZiraZira

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D21W13L00DH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.400.332.001.000.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Weaker (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Neftchi Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Qarabag
2.50
Sabah FA
2.25
Neftchi Baku
1.89
Qabala
1.39
Zira
1.39
Turan
1.08
Sumqayıt
0.86
Kapaz
0.86
Səbail
0.81
Şamaxı FK
0.69
Neftchi Baku is 0.50 points better than Zira in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Qarabag
2.53
Sabah FA
2.08
Neftchi Baku
1.75
Qabala
1.31
Zira
1.25
Turan
1.00
Kapaz
0.94
Səbail
0.89
Sumqayıt
0.72
Şamaxı FK
0.72
Neftchi Baku is 0.50 goals better than Zira in terms of goals scored per game (1.75 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sabah FA
0.67
Qarabag
0.69
Neftchi Baku
1.06
Zira
1.28
Qabala
1.31
Turan
1.36
Şamaxı FK
1.44
Səbail
1.72
Kapaz
1.72
Sumqayıt
1.94
Neftchi Baku is 0.22 goals better than Zira in terms of goals conceded per game (1.06 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W10W00D00D30W10WA·ARI21/07H·ARI28/07H·RAP04/08A·ŞAM07/08A·RAP11/08H·KAP14/08A·SAB20/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.860.001.670.000.250.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.600.001.000.000.330.00
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %100% (+69pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZiraZira

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D12L00DH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.000.331.330.500.50
vs Stronger (2)0.001.000.002.000.000.00
vs Similar (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Neftchi Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neftchi Baku over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi Baku over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi Baku over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W11D10W01L22D02LA·ARI21/07H·ARI28/07H·RAP04/08A·ŞAM07/08A·RAP11/08H·KAP14/08A·SAB20/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.141.671.000.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.601.201.500.500.001.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Zira) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ZiraZira

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-101L00D10W01L00DH·MAC21/07A·MAC28/07A·KAP05/08H·SAB12/08H·SUM21/08
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.200.400.000.670.500.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Weaker (2)0.500.000.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Neftchi Baku) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neftchi Baku over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi Baku over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neftchi Baku over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zira over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 11.5 corners73.3%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (25)
€25m
SF (24)
€17m
NB (23)
€13m
ZIR (23)
€12m
TUR (23)
€10m
SUM (22)
€9m
KAP (24)
€5m
QAB (18)
€5m
ŞF (15)
€4m
SƏB (4)
€1m
Neftchi Baku and Zira have a similar squad value (both €13m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (9)
€8m
ZIR (10)
€6m
SF (7)
€5m
NB (7)
€4m
SUM (7)
€4m
TUR (7)
€3m
QAB (5)
€1m
ŞF (6)
€1m
KAP (8)
€1m
SƏB (0)
€0m
Neftchi Baku's attack is €2m less valuable than Zira's (€4m vs €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SF (7)
€5m
QAR (3)
€3m
NB (6)
€3m
SUM (4)
€2m
TUR (4)
€2m
KAP (6)
€2m
ŞF (3)
€1m
ZIR (3)
€1m
QAB (3)
€1m
SƏB (1)
€0m
Neftchi Baku's midfield is €2m more valuable than Zira's (€3m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
QAR (13)
€14m
SF (10)
€7m
NB (10)
€6m
ZIR (10)
€6m
TUR (12)
€5m
SUM (11)
€4m
QAB (10)
€3m
KAP (10)
€3m
ŞF (6)
€2m
SƏB (3)
€1m
Neftchi Baku and Zira have a similar defence value (both €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NB wins
0
Draws
0
ZIR wins

Head-to-head

Neftchi Baku vs Zira · H/A from NB
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/22ASabah FA Vs NB2-1
14/08/22HNB Vs Kapaz5-2
11/08/22ARapid Vienna Vs NB1-0
07/08/22AŞamaxı FK Vs NB0-1
04/08/22HNB Vs Rapid Vienna2-1
28/07/22HNB Vs Aris3-0
21/07/22AAris Vs NB2-0

ZiraZira

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/22HZIR Vs Sumqayıt0-0
12/08/22HZIR Vs Sabah FA1-3
05/08/22AKapaz Vs ZIR1-2
28/07/22AMaccabi Tel Aviv Vs ZIR0-0
21/07/22HZIR Vs Maccabi Tel Aviv0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLWL1.71
HomeWWW3.00
AwayLWLL0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%100%25%
AVG goals2.864.331.75
Over 1.5 %71%100%50%
Over 2.5 %57%100%25%
Over 3.5 %14%33%0%
Scored1.713.330.50
Conceded1.141.001.25
BTTS43%67%25%
Clean Sheet29%33%25%
Corners11.508.0015.00
Cards5.505.505.50
Zira
Zira
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWLD1.00
HomeLLD0.33
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%50%
AVG goals2.002.331.50
Over 1.5 %60%67%50%
Over 2.5 %60%67%50%
Over 3.5 %20%33%0%
Scored0.600.331.00
Conceded1.402.000.50
BTTS40%33%50%
Clean Sheet40%33%50%
Corners12.0013.0011.00
Cards5.005.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1QarabagQarabag3690
78%
2.5
9125+66
3.2
81%
67%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
25
83142.50.7
-
2Sabah FASabah FA3681
69%
2.2
7524+51
2.8
78%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
17
5572.10.7
-
3Neftchi BakuNeftchi Baku3668
56%
1.9
6338+25
2.8
81%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
4361.81.1
-
4QabalaQabala3650
36%
1.4
4747+0
2.6
81%
56%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1131.31.3
-
5ZiraZira3650
36%
1.4
4546-1
2.5
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
12
6161.21.3
-
6TuranTuran3639
28%
1.1
3649-13
2.4
69%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.01.4
-
7KapazKapaz3631
17%
0.9
3462-28
2.7
78%
47%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1230.91.7
-
8SumqayıtSumqayıt3631
22%
0.9
2670-44
2.7
69%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
4240.71.9
-
9SəbailSəbail3629
19%
0.8
3262-30
2.6
75%
56%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
10Şamaxı FKŞamaxı FK3625
11%
0.7
2652-26
2.2
61%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.71.4
-
Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Azerbaijan: Premyer Liqa stats & trends →

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