Neman’s recent two-game winning streak fuels the model’s pick for a home win, with a 43% chance of triumph, a 28% chance of a draw and a 29% chance of Slavia Mozyr taking the points. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.5% probability. Neman, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.27 goals scored and 0.64 conceded, while Slavia Mozyr, on the road, averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.4%), Under 6.5 (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.0%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.2%), Under 5.5 (94.9%) and Home under 2.5 2H goals (94.6%). These picks reflect a strong expectation of a low-scoring, home-side-favoured match.
Results analysis
Neman’s three-game winning run carried into the match, and the model’s favourite, a home win, proved right as the final score was 1-0. The prediction of a 1-0 result was the most likely score, with a 13.5% probability, and the actual outcome matched it. The model’s choice of a home win had a 43% probability, and it was indeed correct. All of the model’s selections performed well: Under 7.5 hit with a 99.4% probability, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.5%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.2%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 97.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.0%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 96.5%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.1%, and Under 5.5 hit at 94.9%. The match confirmed the model’s overall assessment.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Neman win✓ Hit
43.1%
Avg Implied 49.3% · @ 1.85
Edge
-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.27
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.42
Dafabet
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Slavia Mozyr win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.03
Edge
+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
4.30
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.28
Pinnacle
4.16
Superbet
4.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Neman
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.20
1.43
0.64
1.06
1.69
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.00
1.23
1.27
0.64
0.73
1.82
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
1.14
1.50
0.50
1.80
1.40
Clean sheet %
27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Mozyr
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.13
1.60
0.80
1.73
1.47
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
2.33
0.00
2.00
2.00
2.50
vs Similar (27)
1.70
1.00
1.71
0.71
1.69
1.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.0%
@ 1.32+5.5%
Under 1.5
25.0%
@ 3.01-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.06
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.99
Marathonbet
2.99
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.8%
@ 2.06+3.2%
Under 2.5
51.2%
@ 1.72-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
Pinnacle
2.07
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
1xBet
1.75
Marathonbet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.67
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.9%
@ 3.47+0.6%
Under 3.5
73.1%
@ 1.24-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.65
1xBet
3.38
Marathonbet
3.38
Under
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
@ 1.89+5.0%
No
46.0%
@ 1.81-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
No
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
William Hil
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%@ 5.96+6.2%
1-0 ✓
9.4%@ 5.99+2.1%
2-1
9.0%@ 8.01+3.6%
0-0
8.5%@ 7.83+2.9%
2-0
7.8%@ 8.10+2.4%
0-1
7.1%@ 9.97+2.7%
1-2
7.1%@ 12.69+3.7%
2-2
5.2%@ 15.59+2.4%
Neman goals ↓
Slavia Mozyr goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
7.1%
4.8%
1.9%
0.5%
1
9.4%
14%
7.1%
2.7%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.0%
5.2%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.8%
4.4%
2.6%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.4%
1.6%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neman goals (down), columns = Slavia Mozyr goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.67
FC Vitebsk
2.57
ML Vitebsk
2.00
Neman
1.67
Dinamo Brest
1.67
Bate Borisov
1.60
Dinamo Minsk
1.50
FC Minsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
Belshina
1.00
Naftan
0.67
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.57
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.43
Neman is 0.27 points better than Slavia Mozyr in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Minsk
2.25
Dinamo Brest
2.00
FC Isloch Minsk R.
1.83
ML Vitebsk
1.50
Slavia Mozyr
1.40
FC Gomel
1.33
Baranovichi
1.29
FC Vitebsk
1.29
Naftan
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Bate Borisov
1.00
Neman
1.00
Belshina
0.83
FC Dnepr Mogilev
0.71
Arsenal (Belarus)
0.71
Torpedo Zhodino
0.67
Neman is 0.40 goals worse than Slavia Mozyr in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Vitebsk
0.14
ML Vitebsk
0.50
FC Gomel
0.50
FC Isloch Minsk R.
0.67
Neman
0.67
Dinamo Minsk
0.75
Bate Borisov
1.00
Dinamo Brest
1.17
FC Minsk
1.17
Slavia Mozyr
1.20
Belshina
1.33
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.43
Baranovichi
1.43
Torpedo Zhodino
1.67
Arsenal (Belarus)
2.43
Naftan
3.00
Neman is 0.53 goals better than Slavia Mozyr in terms of goals conceded per game (0.67 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
ML Vitebsk
63%
Dinamo Minsk
60%
Neman
58%
FC Gomel
55%
Torpedo Zhodino
54%
Dinamo Brest
52%
FC Dnepr Mogilev
50%
Slavia Mozyr
49%
Arsenal (Belarus)
48%
FC Minsk
48%
FC Isloch Minsk R.
47%
Bate Borisov
46%
FC Vitebsk
46%
Baranovichi
44%
Belshina
43%
Naftan
43%
Neman is 9.2 percentage points better than Slavia Mozyr in terms of average possession (58% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Neman
For 4.3 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Slavia Mozyr
For 6.2 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 13.2 · Total 24.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Neman
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
6.7
10.0
2.2
2.4
2.1
19.0
16.0
21.0
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (33)
9.6
9.0
10.0
2.4
3.1
1.8
22.3
25.0
21.0
vs Weaker (15)
6.0
2.0
10.0
2.2
1.5
3.0
14.0
7.0
21.0
% over line
57%
33%
75%
28%
33%
23%
40%
50%
33%
% under line
43%
67%
25%
72%
67%
77%
60%
50%
67%
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Mozyr
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
13.0
6.0
3.0
3.6
2.4
24.8
25.7
22.0
vs Stronger (6)
-
-
-
1.2
2.0
0.8
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
11.2
13.0
6.0
3.2
3.8
2.7
24.8
25.7
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
75%
100%
0%
42%
54%
31%
75%
67%
100%
% under line
25%
0%
100%
58%
46%
69%
25%
33%
0%
This opponent (Neman) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
FC Gomel
11.8
Slavia Mozyr
11.2
Bate Borisov
11.2
Baranovichi
11.2
ML Vitebsk
11.0
Dinamo Brest
11.0
Belshina
10.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
10.8
Torpedo Zhodino
10.7
Dinamo Minsk
10.6
Naftan
10.0
FC Vitebsk
9.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
9.7
Arsenal (Belarus)
9.0
FC Minsk
8.6
Neman
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Belshina
4.8
ML Vitebsk
4.0
Bate Borisov
3.6
Slavia Mozyr
3.4
Arsenal (Belarus)
3.3
Dinamo Minsk
3.2
FC Gomel
3.1
FC Vitebsk
3.1
Naftan
3.1
Neman
2.9
FC Minsk
2.9
FC Dnepr Mogilev
2.8
Dinamo Brest
2.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
2.8
Baranovichi
2.8
Torpedo Zhodino
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
ML Vitebsk
36.8
Torpedo Zhodino
30.0
FC Gomel
28.7
Dinamo Brest
28.5
Bate Borisov
28.2
Baranovichi
27.8
FC Isloch Minsk R.
27.5
Dinamo Minsk
26.1
Slavia Mozyr
24.8
FC Dnepr Mogilev
23.2
Belshina
23.0
Naftan
21.5
FC Vitebsk
20.2
Arsenal (Belarus)
19.7
Neman
19.0
FC Minsk
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
48.3%
@ 1.99+1.8%
Under 9.5
51.7%
@ 1.73-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.99
Marathonbet
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.72
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.9%
Under 3.5
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.1%
Under 21.5
29.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Neman or Draw✓ Hit
71.5%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.19
Edge
-6.2%
43%
28%
29%
covers Neman + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
SBO
1.16
Neman or Slavia Mozyr✓ Hit
71.7%
Avg Implied 72.4% · @ 1.28
Edge
-0.7%
43%
28%
29%
covers Neman + Slavia Mozyr
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
SBO
1.21
Draw or Slavia Mozyr✗ Miss
56.9%
Avg Implied 49.9% · @ 1.85
Edge
+6.9%
43%
28%
29%
covers Draw + Slavia Mozyr
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.83
SBO
1.81
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Neman over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.0%
@ 1.23+1.6%
Under
23.0%
@ 3.76-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Under
1xBet
4.10
Superbet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.34
Neman over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.2%
@ 2.01-3.3%
Under
56.8%
@ 1.75+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Pinnacle
2.01
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Marathonbet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Superbet
1.70
Neman over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.4%
@ 4.13-4.1%
Under
81.6%
@ 1.20+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.10
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Neman over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 8.60-4.4%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.02+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.5%
@ 1.55+8.7%
Under
31.5%
@ 2.30-8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.59
Superbet
1.55
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
Under
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Pinnacle
2.29
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.1%
@ 3.63+6.4%
Under
67.9%
@ 1.26-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.64
Marathonbet
3.64
Superbet
3.60
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Superbet
1.25
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 9.67+1.5%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.02-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.80
1xBet
9.70
Superbet
9.50
Under
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Slavia Mozyr over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Neman, so a minus line means Neman give that many goals of a start and Slavia Mozyr receive them. At -1, Neman must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Neman win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Neman)Actual: Slavia Mozyr
Neman -2
8.4%
@ 6.40-5.3%
Draw -2
13.3%
@ 5.25-3.5%
Slavia Mozyr +2
78.3%
@ 1.27+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.40
Draw
Marathonbet
5.25
Away
Marathonbet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Neman)Actual: Draw
Neman -1
21.7%
@ 3.14-6.3%
Draw -1
21.4%
@ 3.48-3.9%
Slavia Mozyr +1
56.9%
@ 1.89+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
3.14
Draw
Marathonbet
3.48
Away
Marathonbet
1.89
Handicap +1 (Neman)Actual: Neman
Neman +1
71.5%
@ 1.19-2.7%
Draw +1
16.6%
@ 5.60+0.8%
Slavia Mozyr -1
12.0%
@ 8.80+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw
Marathonbet
5.60
Away
Marathonbet
8.80
Handicap +2 (Neman)Actual: Neman
Neman +2
88.0%
Draw +2
8.2%
Slavia Mozyr -2
3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Neman
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.21
0.29
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.18
0.64
0.18
0.18
0.18
1.09
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.71
0.00
0.50
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Mozyr
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.53
0.73
0.13
0.73
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.48
0.79
0.14
0.69
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.1%
@ 1.41+3.7%
Under 0.5
30.9%
@ 2.67-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
William Hil
1.36
Under
William Hil
2.80
Pinnacle
2.70
Superbet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.59
1xBet
2.59
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.0%
@ 2.94+1.5%
Under 1.5
67.0%
@ 1.35-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
Superbet
2.95
Marathonbet
2.94
1xBet
2.94
William Hil
2.90
Under
William Hil
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.35
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.1%
@ 7.20-0.7%
Under 2.5
87.9%
@ 1.05+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
7.50
Superbet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Under
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neman over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
44.9%
@ 1.85-4.9%
Under
55.1%
@ 1.84+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.90
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Superbet
1.82
Neman over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
13.1%
@ 5.35-4.0%
Under
86.9%
@ 1.11+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.35
Under
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Neman over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 2.69+6.5%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.41-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.77
Superbet
2.70
1xBet
2.64
Marathonbet
2.64
Under
Pinnacle
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
Superbet
1.41
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.6%
@ 10.22+1.6%
Under
89.4%
@ 1.01-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.25
1xBet
10.20
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Neman
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
1.21
0.36
0.62
0.69
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.59
1.09
0.45
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.43
1.50
0.00
0.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Mozyr) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Mozyr
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.60
0.87
0.67
1.00
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.33
0.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.96
0.52
0.93
0.57
1.00
0.46
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Neman) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.26+3.2%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 3.42-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Superbet
3.40
William Hil
3.30
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
43.6%
@ 2.24+2.1%
Under 1.5
56.4%
@ 1.59-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.22
Under
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
William Hil
1.57
Superbet
1.56
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.9%
@ 4.85-0.1%
Under 2.5
81.1%
@ 1.14+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.00
William Hil
5.00
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Under
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neman over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
54.9%
@ 1.65-1.2%
Under
45.1%
@ 2.11+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.58
Under
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.12
Marathonbet
1.98
Neman over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.77-4.8%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.22+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Under
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Neman over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.9%
Under
95.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Mozyr over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.8%
@ 2.21+5.1%
Under
53.2%
@ 1.58-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.22
Marathonbet
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Under
1xBet
1.59
Marathonbet
1.58
Superbet
1.58
Slavia Mozyr over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.7%
@ 7.40+2.3%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.05-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Slavia Mozyr over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.9%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.4%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.02
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
-1.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.05
William Hil
1.07
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
-
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.4%
1.06
Superbet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
86.9%
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.3%
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
-
-
-
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
83.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
81.6%
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Superbet
1.14
William Hil
1.12
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
78.3%
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
77.0%
1.23
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.19
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.26
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
75.0%
1.32
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
-
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
74.8%
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
-
-
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.1%
1.24
Marathonbet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
-
-
-0.6%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.7%
1.28
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.28
SBO
1.21
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.5%
1.19
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
SBO
1.16
-6.2%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.5%
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
-
-
-2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (26)
€14m
DM (27)
€9m
DB (23)
€7m
TZ (31)
€5m
BB (26)
€4m
SM (25)
€4m
FG (23)
€4m
NEM (28)
€4m
FIM (23)
€4m
FM (25)
€3m
FDM (25)
€3m
FV (24)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
NAF (21)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
A( (17)
€2m
Neman and Slavia Mozyr have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (9)
€6m
DM (8)
€3m
DB (5)
€2m
FG (8)
€2m
FV (13)
€2m
TZ (10)
€2m
BB (8)
€1m
FDM (9)
€1m
NEM (9)
€1m
FM (9)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
A( (5)
€1m
NAF (4)
€0m
Neman and Slavia Mozyr have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (6)
€3m
DM (8)
€2m
NEM (9)
€2m
TZ (7)
€2m
BB (9)
€2m
DB (5)
€1m
SM (10)
€1m
FIM (8)
€1m
NAF (9)
€1m
FG (5)
€1m
FDM (6)
€1m
FM (5)
€1m
BAR (4)
€0m
A( (5)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
FV (3)
€0m
Neman and Slavia Mozyr have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MV (11)
€5m
DM (11)
€3m
DB (13)
€3m
TZ (14)
€2m
SM (10)
€2m
FIM (7)
€2m
FM (11)
€1m
FG (10)
€1m
BB (9)
€1m
FDM (10)
€1m
FV (8)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
NEM (10)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
A( (7)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Neman's defence is €1m less valuable than Slavia Mozyr's (€1m vs €2m).
Belarus: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Vitebsk
FC Isloch Minsk R.
Dinamo Brest
FC Minsk
Baranovichi
FC Gomel
ML Vitebsk
Bate Borisov
Dinamo Minsk
Belshina
FC Dnepr Mogilev
Torpedo Zhodino
Naftan
Arsenal (Belarus)