Nestos Chrisoupolis enter the cup tie unbeaten in five games, but the model still rates an away win the most likely outcome, with a 78% probability for AEK Athens FC, 17% for a draw and 6% for a home victory. The 2.9 expected total goals and the 2-goal average from the most likely total of 2 (24%) suggest a modestly open match. AEK’s away form against weaker opponents shows they average 2.38 goals scored and only 1.0 conceded, a stark contrast to Nestos’s home scoring and conceding figures that the model has not detailed but are implied weaker. The single most likely scoreline is 0-2 for AEK, with a 15.6% probability. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls (99.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (99.8%), Over 21.5 fouls (99.4%), Under 7.5 (99.1%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.7%), Away +2 handicap (98.6%) and Home under 2.5 goals (98.3%). These selections reflect the model’s view that AEK’s offensive strength and Nestos’s defensive frailties will shape a low-scoring, AEK-dominated encounter.
Results analysis
The Cup clash saw AEK Athens FC secure a 0-2away win, extending their unbeaten run in the last five matches. The model’s favourite, an away win with a 77% probability, proved correct. The most likely scoreline was 0-2, a 24% chance, and the final result matched that prediction. The model’s selections performed strongly: Home under 3.5 goals hit at 99.8%, Under 7.5 goals at 99.1%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.0%, Away +2 handicap at 98.6%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.4%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and every pick’s outcome was noted. The outcome confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Nestos Chrisoupolis win✗ Miss
6.0%
Avg Implied 5.1% · @ 17.98
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
23.00
10Bet
22.00
Betfair
21.00
Betano
20.00
William Hil
19.00
Draw✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied 11.8% · @ 7.78
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
8.83
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
8.60
Bet365
8.50
Dafabet
8.20
AEK Athens FC win✓ Hit
77.4%
Avg Implied 83.1% · @ 1.11
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.15
Dafabet
1.15
Betano
1.14
SBO
1.12
Bet365
1.12
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.90
1.20
0.60
0.87
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
1.03
0.93
1.21
0.64
0.87
1.20
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
0.70
2.31
0.69
1.57
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.67
0.50
2.57
0.71
0.40
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
2.17
0.83
2.11
0.67
2.22
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
@ 1.17-1.1%
Under 1.5
21.3%
@ 4.61+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Under
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.35
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.56-4.4%
Under 2.5
45.4%
@ 2.25+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Under
Superbet
2.32
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Betfair
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
@ 2.42-6.0%
Under 3.5
67.7%
@ 1.50+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
10Bet
2.45
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
Under
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.7%
@ 2.95+6.4%
No
62.3%
@ 1.35-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.00
William Hil
3.00
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
No
Superbet
1.44
Betano
1.36
Betfair
1.36
1xBet
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2 ✓
15.6%@ 4.78+6.4%
0-1
12.6%@ 6.07+5.4%
0-3
12.1%@ 5.36+4.0%
1-2
8.2%@ 10.83+4.2%
1-1
7.7%@ 14.68+4.8%
0-4
7.1%@ 7.61+1.4%
1-3
6.4%@ 12.26+2.9%
0-0
6.4%@ 13.51+3.2%
Nestos Chrisoupolis goals ↓
AEK Athens FC goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
13%
16%
12%
7.1%
1
2.3%
7.7%
8.2%
6.4%
3.7%
2
0.8%
1.9%
2.2%
1.7%
1.0%
3
0.1%
0.3%
0.4%
0.3%
0.2%
4
0.0%
0.0%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nestos Chrisoupolis goals (down), columns = AEK Athens FC goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis is 2.40 points worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis is 1.20 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals scored per game (0.00 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis is 0.60 goals worse than AEK Athens FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Nestos Chrisoupolis
For 2.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 18.0 · Total 34.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AEK Athens FC
For 5.3 · Against 2.6 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (30)
5.0
-
5.0
0.1
0.0
0.3
34.0
-
34.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
5.0
-
5.0
0.1
0.0
0.3
34.0
-
34.0
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
-
% over line
0%
-
0%
3%
0%
7%
100%
-
100%
% under line
100%
-
100%
97%
100%
93%
0%
-
0%
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.0
9.2
4.8
4.4
5.2
29.6
30.0
29.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
8.4
7.8
9.0
5.4
5.1
5.6
28.7
30.6
27.0
vs Weaker (33)
8.8
8.2
9.3
4.5
4.0
5.1
30.1
29.6
30.6
% over line
36%
32%
39%
76%
68%
84%
96%
95%
96%
% under line
64%
68%
61%
24%
32%
16%
4%
5%
4%
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.6
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
15.4%
@ 1.97-31.5%
Under 9.5
84.6%
@ 1.74+31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.74
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.1%
@ 1.57+9.5%
Under 3.5
31.9%
@ 2.23-9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Superbet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.25
Superbet
2.20
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.4%
Under 21.5
0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Nestos Chrisoupolis or Draw✗ Miss
22.6%
Avg Implied 16.4% · @ 5.82
Edge
+6.1%
6%
17%
77%
covers Nestos Chrisoupolis + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
6.50
Betano
6.30
1xBet
5.95
Marathonbet
5.95
William Hil
5.80
Nestos Chrisoupolis or AEK Athens FC✓ Hit
83.4%
Avg Implied 89.7% · @ 1.07
Edge
-6.3%
6%
17%
77%
covers Nestos Chrisoupolis + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Draw or AEK Athens FC✓ Hit
94.0%
Avg Implied 93.9% · @ 1.02
Edge
+0.2%
6%
17%
77%
covers Draw + AEK Athens FC
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.01
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
41.0%
@ 2.84+8.3%
Under
59.0%
@ 1.38-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.20
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
2.88
Betano
2.82
10Bet
2.80
Under
Superbet
1.51
Betano
1.40
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
BetVictor
1.36
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
9.9%
@ 9.13-0.3%
Under
90.1%
@ 1.03+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.00
Bet365
10.00
BetVictor
9.00
Betano
9.00
Superbet
8.00
Under
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
@ 26.00-98.3%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
31.00
Bet365
21.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
@ 90.00-99.8%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
90.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
90.4%
@ 1.04+0.1%
Under
9.6%
@ 9.56-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Under
1xBet
12.50
Superbet
9.00
Bet365
8.50
Betano
8.25
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
67.8%
@ 1.27-5.4%
Under
32.2%
@ 3.48+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.28
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
BetVictor
1.25
Under
BetVictor
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Betano
3.45
Superbet
3.40
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
41.4%
@ 1.84-8.8%
Under
58.6%
@ 1.86+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.93
Superbet
1.85
Betano
1.83
BetVictor
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.87
BetVictor
1.87
Pinnacle
1.85
AEK Athens FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
20.9%
@ 3.02-9.9%
Under
79.1%
@ 1.34+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Superbet
3.15
1xBet
3.05
10Bet
3.00
Under
Marathonbet
1.44
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Nestos Chrisoupolis, so a minus line means Nestos Chrisoupolis give that many goals of a start and AEK Athens FC receive them. At -1, Nestos Chrisoupolis must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Nestos Chrisoupolis win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Nestos Chrisoupolis)Actual: AEK Athens FC
Nestos Chrisoupolis -2
0.2%
Draw -2
1.2%
AEK Athens FC +2
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Nestos Chrisoupolis)Actual: AEK Athens FC
Nestos Chrisoupolis -1
1.4%
@ 51.00-0.5%
Draw -1
4.6%
@ 19.00-0.4%
AEK Athens FC +1
94.0%
@ 1.02+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
51.00
Draw
Bet365
19.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap +1 (Nestos Chrisoupolis)Actual: AEK Athens FC
Nestos Chrisoupolis +1
22.6%
@ 5.50+6.2%
Draw +1
22.7%
@ 4.14+1.0%
AEK Athens FC -1
54.8%
@ 1.45-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Superbet
5.00
Draw
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Away
Superbet
1.48
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Handicap +2 (Nestos Chrisoupolis)Actual: Draw
Nestos Chrisoupolis +2
45.2%
@ 2.59+10.8%
Draw +2
23.0%
@ 3.67-1.3%
AEK Athens FC -2
31.7%
@ 2.17-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Marathonbet
2.59
Superbet
2.45
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Away
Superbet
2.25
Bet365
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Marathonbet
2.10
10Bet
2.10
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.23
0.47
0.07
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.45
0.24
0.50
0.07
0.40
0.40
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.37
0.88
0.38
0.64
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.17
0.71
0.29
0.20
0.00
vs Weaker (18)
0.94
0.50
1.00
0.44
0.89
0.56
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
69.1%
@ 1.26-4.3%
Under 0.5
30.9%
@ 3.48+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.60
Superbet
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
33.2%
@ 2.21-8.7%
Under 1.5
66.8%
@ 1.59+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
William Hil
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Pinnacle
2.25
Under
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
BetVictor
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.8%
@ 5.02-4.7%
Under 2.5
86.2%
@ 1.14+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
1xBet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Betano
5.00
Under
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
29.0%
@ 4.96+10.3%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.14-10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
Superbet
4.35
Under
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 24.00-94.8%
Under
94.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
24.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 100.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
100.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
57.2%
@ 1.35-11.5%
Under
42.8%
@ 2.96+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Under
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.85
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 2.60-14.5%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.44+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.60
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.52
Under
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 6.12-8.9%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.09+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.67
0.73
0.53
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (29)
0.59
0.69
0.71
0.57
0.47
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (AEK Athens FC) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AEK Athens FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.33
1.44
0.31
0.93
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.17
0.33
1.86
0.43
0.20
0.20
vs Weaker (18)
1.22
0.33
1.11
0.22
1.33
0.44
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Nestos Chrisoupolis) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.3%
@ 1.17-3.5%
Under 0.5
23.7%
@ 4.62+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.80
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.70
10Bet
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.86-1.2%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.84+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Under
Betano
2.00
Superbet
1.95
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.76
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.1%
@ 3.52-7.4%
Under 2.5
80.9%
@ 1.27+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.00
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Superbet
3.35
Betano
3.35
Under
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
40.2%
@ 4.14+17.7%
Under
59.8%
@ 1.20-17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.10
Superbet
3.55
Under
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.21
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 17.92+3.8%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.01-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
16.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Nestos Chrisoupolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 75.00-98.4%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
75.00
Under
No market prices yet.
AEK Athens FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
63.4%
@ 1.23-12.4%
Under
36.6%
@ 3.84+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.23
Superbet
1.23
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Under
1xBet
3.90
Betano
3.90
10Bet
3.85
Superbet
3.70
AEK Athens FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
28.4%
@ 2.05-16.9%
Under
71.6%
@ 1.70+16.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Betano
2.00
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
AEK Athens FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.1%
@ 4.26-14.7%
Under
92.9%
@ 1.19+14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.45
10Bet
4.33
1xBet
4.30
Betano
3.95
Under
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
94.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
William Hil
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+0.2%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
94.0%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
93.8%
1.09
Betano
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
92.9%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
+14.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
92.9%
1.07
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
-
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
90.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
-3.8%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
90.4%
1.04
Bet365
1.05
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals
90.1%
1.03
Superbet
1.05
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.2%
1.14
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.14
BetVictor
1.13
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
1.26
Betano
1.26
-
-
-
-
+10.1%
-
Under 4.5
83.7%
1.19
Betano
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
83.4%
1.07
Betano
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.05
-6.3%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.9%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.22
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
79.1%
1.34
Marathonbet
1.44
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+9.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
1.44
10Bet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Betano
1.42
+14.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.7%
1.17
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-1.1%
✓ Hit
Away win
77.4%
1.11
Superbet
1.15
Dafabet
1.15
Betano
1.14
SBO
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.3%
1.17
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.15
-3.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
71.6%
1.70
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.65
-
+16.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 0.5 HT goals
71.0%
1.14
Superbet
1.17
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.11
-
-10.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AEK Athens FC
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Barnabás Varga67%
Luka Jović33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Răzvan Marin33%
Aboubakary Koita33%
Stavros Pilios33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Zini33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lovro Majer33%
Răzvan Marin33%
Lazaros Rota33%
Filipe Relvas33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Luka Jović0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Zini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Răzvan Marin67%
Luka Jović33%
Petros Mantalos0%
Lovro Majer0%
Thomas Strakosha0%
Barnabás Varga0%
Aboubakary Koita0%
Harold Moukoudi0%
Stavros Pilios0%
Kaan Kairinen0%
Lazaros Rota0%
Oleksandr Zubkov0%
Filipe Relvas0%
Zini0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Nestos Chrisoupolis's squad is €81m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€3m vs €85m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Nestos Chrisoupolis's attack is €42m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€1m vs €44m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Nestos Chrisoupolis's midfield is €15m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€1m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Nestos Chrisoupolis's defence is €24m less valuable than AEK Athens FC's (€1m vs €26m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
NC wins
0
Draws
0
AAF wins
Head-to-head
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs AEK Athens FC · H/A from NC
Date
H/A
Game
Score
No games.
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
19/08/26
H
NC Vs Apollon Pontou
1-0
26/04/26
A
Kavala Vs NC
2-2
22/04/26
H
NC Vs PAS Giannina
1-0
18/04/26
A
PAOK II Vs NC
1-1
08/04/26
A
Makedonikos Neapolis Vs NC
0-2
05/04/26
H
NC Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra
3-0
14/03/26
H
NC Vs Kavala
2-1
08/03/26
A
PAS Giannina Vs NC
0-0
28/02/26
H
NC Vs PAOK II
1-0
22/02/26
H
NC Vs Makedonikos Neapolis
5-1
AEK Athens FC
Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
Date
H/A
Game
Score
30/08/26
A
Kifisia Vs AAF
1-1
26/08/26
H
AAF Vs Levski Sofia
4-0
22/08/26
H
AAF Vs Iraklis 1908
4-0
18/08/26
A
Levski Sofia Vs AAF
0-0
17/05/26
H
AAF Vs Olympiakos Piraeus
1-1
13/05/26
A
PAOK Vs AAF
1-1
10/05/26
H
AAF Vs Panathinaikos
2-1
03/05/26
A
Panathinaikos Vs AAF
0-0
19/04/26
H
AAF Vs PAOK
3-0
16/04/26
H
AAF Vs Rayo Vallecano
3-1
📊 16. Overall Statistics
Nestos Chrisoupolis
Greece: Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
WDWDW
1.43
Home
WWWWW
1.87
Away
DDWDD
1.00
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
40%
60%
20%
AVG goals
1.93
1.80
2.07
Over 1.5 %
53%
40%
67%
Over 2.5 %
30%
27%
33%
Over 3.5 %
13%
7%
20%
Scored
1.03
1.20
0.87
Conceded
0.90
0.60
1.20
BTTS
33%
20%
47%
Clean Sheet
40%
53%
27%
Corners
5.00
-
5.00
Cards
4.00
-
4.00
AEK Athens FC
Greece: Cup
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Draws / 0 Losses
Form
Results
PPG
Overall
DDWWD
2.16
Home
WWDWW
2.40
Away
LDDDD
1.92
Stats
Overall
Home
Away
Win %
64%
76%
52%
AVG goals
2.58
2.84
2.32
Over 1.5 %
70%
80%
60%
Over 2.5 %
48%
56%
40%
Over 3.5 %
32%
32%
32%
Scored
1.84
2.20
1.48
Conceded
0.74
0.64
0.84
BTTS
40%
40%
40%
Clean Sheet
50%
48%
52%
Corners
8.62
8.05
9.17
Cards
5.45
4.95
5.95
🏆 17. League Table
Nestos Chrisoupolis plays in Greece - Super League 2
Greece: Super League 2 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Panserraikos
Ellas Syros
Panionios
Anagennisi Karditsas
Niki Volos
Zakynthos
PAOK II
Marko
Apollon Pontou
Kallithea
Asteras Tripolis II
Olympiakos Piraeus II
Larisa
Pyrgos 1968
Panthrakikos
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Volos NFC
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Kalamata
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos