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Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 17:30
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Vs
46%
24%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Neuchatel Xamax FC’s recent form, coming off a defeat, suggests a cautious start, yet their home scoring average of 1.87 goals per match against similar opposition and a modest 1.4 conceded indicates a solid attack. Rapperswil, after two straight defeats, has an away scoring average of 1.67 and concedes 1.42, a slightly tighter defence. The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.4 goals and a most likely total of 3 goals at 22 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.3 % chance. The model favours a home win, with probabilities of 45 % for Neuchatel Xamax FC, 24 % for a draw, and 31 % for Rapperswil. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.6 %), Under 6.5 (94.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (92.9 %), Home under 3.5 goals (87.6 %), Over 1.5 (86.7 %), Under 5.5 (86.6 %), Home +2 handicap (85.0 %), and Home over 0.5 goals (84.9 %).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neuchatel Xamax FC win
46.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil win
29.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L32W30W12L32W21W10W12L12L12LH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.631.801.471.071.80
vs Stronger (8)1.122.001.202.201.001.67
vs Similar (22)1.551.502.101.101.081.83
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W23L13L21W45L21W02L02L12L11DA·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08A·ÉTO28/08H·SC 01/09
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.871.602.001.601.73
vs Stronger (5)1.803.602.504.501.333.00
vs Similar (25)1.561.521.461.621.671.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.5%
Under 1.5
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.4%
Under 2.5
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.6%
Under 3.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.3%
No
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
2-1
9.0%
1-2
7.1%
2-2
6.8%
2-0
6.0%
3-1
5.7%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.3%
Neuchatel Xamax FC goals ↓
Rapperswil goals →
01234
04.2%4.0%3.7%1.9%0.7%
15.3%10%7.1%3.6%1.3%
26.0%9.0%6.8%3.4%1.3%
33.8%5.7%4.3%2.2%0.8%
41.8%2.7%2.1%1.0%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neuchatel Xamax FC goals (down), columns = Rapperswil goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.83 points better than Rapperswil in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.17 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.67 goals better than Rapperswil in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Neuchatel Xamax FC or Draw
70.3%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers Neuchatel Xamax FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC or Rapperswil
76.0%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers Neuchatel Xamax FC + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Rapperswil
53.7%
Avg Implied -
46%
24%
30%
covers Draw + Rapperswil
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5
Over
85.2%
Under
14.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5
Over
57.0%
Under
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5
Over
30.0%
Under
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 3.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5
Over
77.9%
Under
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5
Over
44.5%
Under
55.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5
Over
19.3%
Under
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 3.5
Over
6.7%
Under
93.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Neuchatel Xamax FC, so a minus line means Neuchatel Xamax FC give that many goals of a start and Rapperswil receive them. At -1, Neuchatel Xamax FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Neuchatel Xamax FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)
Neuchatel Xamax FC -2
12.2%
Draw -2
14.2%
Rapperswil +2
73.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)
Neuchatel Xamax FC -1
26.5%
Draw -1
19.9%
Rapperswil +1
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)
Neuchatel Xamax FC +1
70.3%
Draw +1
15.5%
Rapperswil -1
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)
Neuchatel Xamax FC +2
85.8%
Draw +2
8.9%
Rapperswil -2
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L20W01L31W11D10W02L00D11DH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.930.930.800.331.07
vs Stronger (8)0.250.750.401.000.000.33
vs Similar (22)0.771.001.200.700.421.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W20W00D11D23L10W01L01L11D00DA·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08A·ÉTO28/08H·SC 01/09
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.070.930.670.67
vs Stronger (5)1.201.202.002.500.670.33
vs Similar (25)0.800.720.920.690.670.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L30W10W11D01L10W00D10W12L01LH·FC 01/05A·RAP08/05H·ÉTO11/05A·STA15/05H·SC 24/07A·FC 31/07A·ÉTO07/08H·STA21/08A·FC 28/08H·YVE01/09
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.870.670.730.73
vs Stronger (8)0.881.250.801.201.001.33
vs Similar (22)0.770.500.900.400.670.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapperswil) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RapperswilRapperswil

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D03L13L10W22D11D01L01L01L11DA·BEL03/05H·NEU08/05A·YVE11/05H·STA15/05H·FC 24/07A·STA31/07A·STA07/08H·FC 21/08A·ÉTO28/08H·SC 01/09
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.731.070.531.070.931.07
vs Stronger (5)0.602.400.502.000.672.67
vs Similar (25)0.760.800.540.921.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapperswil over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.6%-------
Under 6.594.1%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals87.3%-------
Under 5.586.8%-------
Over 1.586.5%-------
Home +2 handicap85.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals85.2%-------
Away under 2.5 goals80.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.9%-------
Home or Away76.0%-------
Under 4.574.0%-------
Away +2 handicap73.5%-------
Home or Draw70.3%-------
Home +1 handicap70.3%-------
Home under 2.5 goals70.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil have a similar squad value (both €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Rapperswil have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
4
NXF wins
0
Draws
0
RAP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Neuchatel Xamax FC vs Rapperswil · H/A from NXF
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/26ARapperswil Vs NXF2-3
15/03/26HNXF Vs Rapperswil3-2
24/10/25HNXF Vs Rapperswil2-1
26/09/25ARapperswil Vs NXF1-3

Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HNXF Vs Yverdon Sport1-2
28/08/26AFC Aarau Vs NXF2-1
21/08/26HNXF Vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy1-2
07/08/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs NXF0-1
31/07/26AFC WIL 1900 Vs NXF1-2
24/07/26HNXF Vs SC Kriens3-2
15/05/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs NXF2-1
11/05/26HNXF Vs Étoile Carouge3-0
08/05/26ARapperswil Vs NXF2-3
01/05/26HNXF Vs FC Aarau1-3

RapperswilRapperswil

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/09/26HRAP Vs SC Kriens1-1
28/08/26AÉtoile Carouge Vs RAP2-1
21/08/26HRAP Vs FC Winterthur0-2
07/08/26AStade Lausanne-Ouchy Vs RAP2-0
31/07/26AStade Nyonnais Vs RAP1-2
24/07/26HRAP Vs FC WIL 19004-5
15/05/26HRAP Vs Stade Nyonnais2-1
11/05/26AYverdon Sport Vs RAP3-1
08/05/26HRAP Vs Neuchatel Xamax FC2-3
03/05/26ABellinzona Vs RAP2-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.26
HomeLWWLL1.40
AwayWLWWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals3.043.083.00
Over 1.5 %84%92%76%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %36%32%40%
Scored1.461.601.32
Conceded1.581.481.68
BTTS68%76%60%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Rapperswil
Rapperswil
Switzerland: Challenge League
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLLD1.14
HomeLWLLD1.24
AwayWLWLL1.05
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals3.213.193.24
Over 1.5 %83%76%90%
Over 2.5 %64%62%67%
Over 3.5 %29%29%29%
Scored1.431.331.52
Conceded1.791.861.71
BTTS64%57%71%
Clean Sheet19%24%14%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Stade Lausanne-OuchyStade Lausanne-Ouchy614
67%
2.3
113+8
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3121.80.5
-
2Yverdon SportYverdon Sport612
50%
2.0
106+4
2.7
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3121.71.0
-
3SC KriensSC Kriens610
50%
1.7
106+4
2.7
100%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0121.71.0
-
4FC WinterthurFC Winterthur69
33%
1.5
127+5
3.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2222.01.2
-
5Neuchatel Xamax FCNeuchatel Xamax FC69
50%
1.5
99+0
3.0
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.51.5
-
6Étoile CarougeÉtoile Carouge68
33%
1.3
66+0
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.0
-
7FC AarauFC Aarau68
33%
1.3
810-2
3.0
100%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.31.7
-
8FC WIL 1900FC WIL 190065
17%
0.8
916-7
4.2
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.52.7
-
9RapperswilRapperswil64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1221.32.2
-
10Stade NyonnaisStade Nyonnais62
0%
0.3
411-7
2.5
83%
67%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.71.8
-
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →

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