Neuchatel Xamax FC have struggled at home, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against stronger opposition, while Yverdon Sport, on the road, have been prolific, netting 2.55 and conceding only 1.18 against weaker teams. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 56% chance, matching the 22% draw and 22% home win probabilities. The expected total is 3.5 goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 9.7%. The prediction diverges most sharply from the market on the away win, reflecting Yverdon’s recent unbeaten run of five matches and their stronger offensive form. Suggested picks include Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98%, Under 7.5 at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.6%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.6%, Under 6.5 at 93.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 92.7%, and Away +2 handicap at 90.4%. Each selection carries its own probability and, where noted, an edge percentage.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved accurate as Yverdon Sport secured a 1-2 away win, extending their unbeaten run. The pre-match favourite, Away win, carried a 56% probability and the model’s call was correct. The final score of 1-2 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. Every suggested pick hit: Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.9%, Under 7.5 at 97.4%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.4%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.5%, Under 6.5 at 93.6%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 91.8%, and Away +2 handicap at 90.4%. The model’s selections performed consistently, delivering a clean sweep of hits.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Neuchatel Xamax FC win✗ Miss
22.1%
Avg Implied 35.5% · @ 2.58
Edge
-13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
2.67
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.64
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Draw✗ Miss
22.3%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.45
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.60
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
Dafabet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Yverdon Sport win✓ Hit
55.6%
Avg Implied 38.0% · @ 2.40
Edge
+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.55
BetVictor
2.45
Bet365
2.45
Dafabet
2.44
Betano
2.42
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.63
1.86
1.43
1.06
1.81
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.00
1.25
2.25
1.00
1.67
vs Similar (23)
1.52
1.52
2.10
1.10
1.08
1.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.43
1.75
1.50
2.36
1.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
1.29
1.86
1.00
1.75
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (23)
2.26
1.30
2.00
1.42
2.55
1.18
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
@ 1.16+7.4%
Under 1.5
12.9%
@ 4.57-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
5.20
Pinnacle
4.92
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
@ 1.57+8.3%
Under 2.5
32.5%
@ 2.27-8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.62
Bet365
1.60
BetVictor
1.58
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.40
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.9%
@ 2.37+6.6%
Under 3.5
54.1%
@ 1.53-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.49
Betfair
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Superbet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.39
Under
SBO
1.66
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.54
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
65.7%
@ 1.48+3.2%
No
34.3%
@ 2.46-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Bet365
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
1xBet
1.47
No
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.47
BetVictor
2.45
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%@ 6.61+2.9%
1-2 ✓
9.5%@ 8.67+4.3%
0-2
7.2%@ 13.22+3.8%
1-3
6.8%@ 15.56+4.0%
2-2
6.3%@ 10.37+2.0%
2-1
5.8%@ 9.13+0.9%
0-1
5.8%@ 10.30+1.4%
0-3
5.2%@ 23.66+3.3%
Neuchatel Xamax FC goals ↓
Yverdon Sport goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
5.8%
7.2%
5.2%
2.8%
1
3.2%
9.7%
9.5%
6.8%
3.7%
2
2.7%
5.8%
6.3%
4.5%
2.4%
3
1.2%
2.6%
2.8%
2.0%
1.1%
4
0.4%
0.8%
0.9%
0.7%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neuchatel Xamax FC goals (down), columns = Yverdon Sport goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
2.33
Yverdon Sport
2.00
SC Kriens
1.67
FC Winterthur
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Étoile Carouge
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
FC WIL 1900
0.83
Rapperswil
0.67
Stade Nyonnais
0.33
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.50 points worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Winterthur
2.00
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
1.83
SC Kriens
1.67
Yverdon Sport
1.67
FC WIL 1900
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
Rapperswil
1.33
FC Aarau
1.33
Étoile Carouge
1.00
Stade Nyonnais
0.67
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.17 goals worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
0.50
SC Kriens
1.00
Yverdon Sport
1.00
Étoile Carouge
1.00
FC Winterthur
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC
1.50
FC Aarau
1.67
Stade Nyonnais
1.83
Rapperswil
2.17
FC WIL 1900
2.67
Neuchatel Xamax FC is 0.50 goals worse than Yverdon Sport in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Neuchatel Xamax FC or Draw✗ Miss
44.4%
Avg Implied 62.0% · @ 1.49
Edge
-17.6%
22%
22%
56%
covers Neuchatel Xamax FC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.55
Betfair
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
William Hil
1.50
Neuchatel Xamax FC or Yverdon Sport✓ Hit
77.7%
Avg Implied 73.7% · @ 1.25
Edge
+4.0%
22%
22%
56%
covers Neuchatel Xamax FC + Yverdon Sport
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
Draw or Yverdon Sport✓ Hit
77.9%
Avg Implied 64.3% · @ 1.44
Edge
+13.6%
22%
22%
56%
covers Draw + Yverdon Sport
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.3%
@ 1.21-3.2%
Under
26.7%
@ 3.94+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
Under
Pinnacle
4.26
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.94
Betano
3.80
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.1%
@ 2.05-7.2%
Under
61.9%
@ 1.70+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betfair
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Bet365
1.73
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.8%
@ 4.29-6.8%
Under
85.2%
@ 1.18+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
Superbet
4.35
Pinnacle
4.34
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 8.25-6.8%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.05+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
9.50
Bet365
8.50
Betano
8.00
1xBet
7.00
Under
1xBet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
88.4%
@ 1.19+10.7%
Under
11.6%
@ 4.16-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.15
1xBet
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
63.5%
@ 1.96+16.2%
Under
36.5%
@ 1.76-16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.05
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Pinnacle
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.75
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
36.6%
@ 4.01+13.5%
Under
63.4%
@ 1.20-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.17
1xBet
4.00
Betano
3.95
Marathonbet
3.94
Under
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Yverdon Sport over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 7.55+4.8%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.07-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.50
Betfair
8.50
Betano
7.90
1xBet
5.30
Under
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Neuchatel Xamax FC, so a minus line means Neuchatel Xamax FC give that many goals of a start and Yverdon Sport receive them. At -1, Neuchatel Xamax FC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Neuchatel Xamax FC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Neuchatel Xamax FC -2
3.2%
@ 10.15-5.7%
Draw -2
6.4%
@ 7.30-6.0%
Yverdon Sport +2
90.4%
@ 1.15+11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
9.30
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
7.10
Away
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Handicap -1 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)Actual: Yverdon Sport
Neuchatel Xamax FC -1
9.6%
@ 4.92-8.5%
Draw -1
12.5%
@ 4.49-7.3%
Yverdon Sport +1
77.9%
@ 1.43+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
Draw
Bet365
4.75
Marathonbet
4.40
10Bet
4.33
Away
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
Handicap +1 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)Actual: Draw
Neuchatel Xamax FC +1
44.4%
@ 1.51-14.8%
Draw +1
21.0%
@ 4.34+0.5%
Yverdon Sport -1
34.6%
@ 4.38+14.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Marathonbet
1.46
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Handicap +2 (Neuchatel Xamax FC)Actual: Neuchatel Xamax FC
Neuchatel Xamax FC +2
65.4%
@ 1.15-12.1%
Draw +2
17.0%
@ 6.88+4.0%
Yverdon Sport -2
17.7%
@ 9.33+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Marathonbet
6.65
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.50
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.90
0.93
0.79
0.31
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.25
1.00
0.00
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.96
1.20
0.70
0.38
1.15
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
0.75
0.62
1.00
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.86
0.86
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.65
0.75
0.67
1.00
0.64
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.0%
@ 1.27+2.0%
Under 0.5
25.0%
@ 3.42-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.80
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
42.0%
@ 2.25+0.8%
Under 1.5
58.0%
@ 1.58-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.36
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.27
1xBet
2.27
Betfair
2.25
Under
SBO
1.74
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.57
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.1%
@ 5.11-0.9%
Under 2.5
82.9%
@ 1.13+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.10
William Hil
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
44.2%
@ 1.89-4.9%
Under
55.8%
@ 1.82+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.92
Betano
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Superbet
1.80
Betano
1.80
Marathonbet
1.78
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.2%
@ 5.72-4.0%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.10+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.50
Marathonbet
5.55
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 10.00-7.2%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
53.3%
@ 1.83+2.7%
Under
46.7%
@ 1.87-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.87
Pinnacle
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
19.5%
@ 5.08+1.4%
Under
80.5%
@ 1.12-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
@ 10.00-5.2%
Under
96.0%
@ 1.02+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.64
0.75
0.81
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.29
1.00
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.57
0.90
0.40
0.69
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Yverdon Sport) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Yverdon Sport
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.73
1.00
0.88
1.36
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.43
1.00
0.25
1.25
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (23)
1.39
0.65
1.25
0.75
1.55
0.55
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Neuchatel Xamax FC) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.15+0.3%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 4.63-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.55
Marathonbet
4.55
Superbet
4.55
Betano
4.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.9%
@ 1.78-2.2%
Under 1.5
50.1%
@ 1.93+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.98
10Bet
1.95
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.8%
@ 3.33-3.8%
Under 2.5
76.2%
@ 1.27+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Betano
3.15
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.63-4.1%
Under
47.4%
@ 2.14+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.65
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Under
Betano
2.18
1xBet
2.14
Superbet
2.10
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.3%
@ 3.88-8.4%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.21+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Betano
3.70
Under
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Neuchatel Xamax FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.6%
@ 9.00-6.7%
Under
96.4%
@ 1.03+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.00
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Yverdon Sport over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
60.9%
@ 1.57+2.0%
Under
39.1%
@ 2.25-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.59
Superbet
1.58
Betano
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.20
Yverdon Sport over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
25.2%
@ 3.68+0.2%
Under
74.8%
@ 1.23-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.80
Marathonbet
3.74
Betano
3.50
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
Yverdon Sport over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 8.90-2.2%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.2%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.4%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
96.4%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.5%
1.05
1xBet
1.06
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.04
-
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
91.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
90.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
88.4%
1.19
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.8%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.1%
1.16
Betano
1.19
Pinnacle
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
86.0%
1.06
Pinnacle
1.10
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.05
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.2%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
+6.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
84.7%
1.21
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-
-
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.13
Betano
1.15
William Hil
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
BetVictor
1.13
+0.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
82.8%
1.07
1xBet
1.12
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Betfair
1.05
-
-4.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
80.5%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Marathonbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Draw or Away
77.9%
1.44
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
10Bet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
+13.6%
✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap
77.9%
1.43
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.40
-
-
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
77.7%
1.25
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
Betfair
1.25
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.27
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
75.0%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Superbet
1.27
+2.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
-
-
-0.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.3%
1.21
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
10Bet
1.20
-3.2%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
73.0%
1.20
Pinnacle
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.20
-4.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Yverdon Sport · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi33%
Boris Céspedes25%
Antonio Marchesano24%
Marley Aké21%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Mitchy Ntelo15%
Moussa Baradji15%
Hugo Komano11%
Varol Tasar11%
William Le Pogam7%
Mauro Rodrigues4%
Fode Sylla4%
Mateusz Łęgowski3%
Christian Marques3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Anthony Sauthier0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cristiano Piccini60%
Dimitrije Kamenović50%
Boris Céspedes42%
Mohamed Tijani33%
Moussa Baradji26%
Mateusz Łęgowski24%
Cristian Núñez20%
Vegard Kongsro20%
Christian Marques19%
Dion Kacuri19%
Anthony Sauthier18%
Ronaldo Tavares17%
Varol Tasar17%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Jason Gnakpa15%
Hugo Komano14%
Fode Sylla14%
William Le Pogam14%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Niklas Gunnarsson9%
Paul Bernardoni8%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Haithem Loucif0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Franco González0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antonio Marchesano18%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves17%
Franco González14%
Moussa Baradji11%
Marley Aké9%
Mauro Rodrigues7%
Mateusz Łęgowski7%
Dion Kacuri6%
Anthony Sauthier6%
Varol Tasar6%
Boris Céspedes4%
Fode Sylla4%
Christian Marques3%
Cristiano Piccini0%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
William Le Pogam0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi0%
Hugo Komano0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kevin Carlos Omoruyi67%
Cristiano Piccini20%
Varol Tasar17%
Antonio Marchesano12%
Marley Aké12%
Moussa Baradji11%
Hugo Komano6%
Fode Sylla4%
Anthony Sauthier3%
Haithem Loucif0%
Cristian Núñez0%
Paul Bernardoni0%
Niklas Gunnarsson0%
Ronaldo Tavares0%
Dimitrije Kamenović0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
William Le Pogam0%
Boris Céspedes0%
Vegard Kongsro0%
Magnus Grødem0%
Mohamed Tijani0%
Christian Marques0%
Ricardo Azevedo Alves0%
Mitchy Ntelo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Mateusz Łęgowski0%
Jesse Hautier0%
Gonçalo Esteves0%
Djibril Diop0%
Dion Kacuri0%
Franco González0%
Jason Gnakpa0%
Ahmedin Avdic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (25)
€6m
SL (24)
€6m
FA (23)
€6m
YS (22)
€5m
NXF (26)
€5m
FW1 (26)
€5m
RAP (24)
€4m
ÉC (23)
€4m
SN (21)
€3m
SK (16)
€3m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SL (9)
€3m
YS (10)
€3m
FW (9)
€2m
NXF (10)
€2m
FA (6)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
FW1 (9)
€1m
ÉC (6)
€1m
RAP (8)
€1m
SK (5)
€0m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FW (7)
€2m
FW1 (7)
€2m
RAP (6)
€2m
SL (5)
€1m
NXF (5)
€1m
ÉC (5)
€1m
FA (4)
€1m
SK (3)
€1m
YS (3)
€1m
SN (3)
€0m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FA (13)
€3m
SL (10)
€2m
FW (9)
€2m
YS (9)
€2m
NXF (11)
€2m
ÉC (12)
€2m
SK (8)
€2m
RAP (10)
€2m
FW1 (10)
€2m
SN (9)
€1m
Neuchatel Xamax FC and Yverdon Sport have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Switzerland: Challenge League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Switzerland: Challenge League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
SC Kriens
FC Winterthur
Étoile Carouge
FC Aarau
FC WIL 1900
Rapperswil
Stade Nyonnais