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Newcastle vs Arsenal Prediction & Stats

Date: 21/11/2026
Time: 15:00
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
33%
27%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Newcastle’s recent form shows a 2-game winning streak, yet their home average of one goal scored and two conceded against stronger opposition hints at defensive frailty. Arsenal, on the other hand, have gone unbeaten in five outings, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded on the road against weaker sides, suggesting they may exploit Newcastle’s backline. The model favours an Arsenal victory, with a 39% chance, a draw at 26%, and a Newcastle win at 35%. The expected total of 3.1 goals points to a moderately high-scoring affair, yet the most likely total is two goals, a 23% probability. The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, with a 12% chance. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.8%), Under 6.5 (96.5%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.1%), Under 5.5 (91.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (89.6%), Away +2 handicap (88.7%), Home under 2.5 goals (86.7%), and Away over 0.5 goals (83.0%). Each selection carries its own probability, reflecting the fine balance of this Premier League encounter.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L12L01L31W11D31W02L22D32W20WA·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04A·ARS25/04H·BRI02/05A·NOT10/05H·WES17/05A·FUL24/05H·LIV23/08H·WES26/08A·TOT29/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.771.801.801.471.73
vs Stronger (10)1.002.601.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (16)1.691.381.891.671.431.00
vs Weaker (4)3.001.253.002.003.000.50
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D30W10W10W10W21W11D30W10WH·NEW25/04A·ATL29/04H·FUL02/05H·ATL05/05A·WES10/05H·BUR18/05A·CRY24/05A·PAR30/05H·COV21/08A·AST31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.700.671.800.471.600.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.890.780.800.601.001.00
vs Weaker (21)2.050.622.300.401.820.82
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.8%
Under 1.5
20.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.6%
Under 2.5
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
59.7%
No
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.9%
0-1
7.2%
0-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
Newcastle goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
06.6%7.2%6.5%3.3%1.3%
16.3%13%8.8%4.5%1.7%
25.1%7.9%6.1%3.1%1.2%
32.3%3.6%2.8%1.4%0.5%
40.8%1.2%0.9%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Newcastle is 0.95 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Newcastle is 0.47 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Newcastle is 0.74 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 0.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Newcastle is 4.1 percentage points worse than Arsenal in terms of average possession (52% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

16079622666911221027234216881210312956A·TOTH·WESH·LIVA·FULH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·BOUA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

802133532213233222433684426463A·TOTH·WESH·LIVA·FULH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·BOUA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 13.6 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

310915131216156138111116101210131112121724253119192722232329A·TOTH·WESH·LIVA·FULH·WESA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·BOUA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 4.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 8.0

🚩 Corners

140428231143333452341672610147677779A·ASTH·COVA·PARA·CRYH·BURA·WESH·ATLH·FULA·ATLH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

70131142113431211224261473114A·ASTH·COVA·PARA·CRYH·BURA·WESH·ATLH·FULA·ATLH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.7

⚠️ Fouls

2806171013171112971612141013712117131023232821232623191823A·ASTH·COVA·PARA·CRYH·BURA·WESH·ATLH·FULA·ATLH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.110.53.74.23.122.022.621.3
vs Stronger (10)10.411.010.04.45.23.823.526.021.8
vs Similar (34)10.911.110.53.84.33.121.722.221.0
vs Weaker (6)12.011.512.52.02.31.720.219.521.0
% over line63%73%53%54%62%46%54%59%47%
% under line37%27%47%46%38%54%46%41%53%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.59.72.31.82.822.022.022.1
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (18)10.39.511.22.32.02.722.522.322.7
vs Weaker (32)9.29.58.92.31.72.821.821.821.8
% over line50%50%50%32%25%38%62%69%56%
% under line50%50%50%68%75%62%38%31%44%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.5%
Under 9.5
44.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.5%
Under 3.5
38.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
55.4%
Under 21.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Newcastle or Draw
50.1%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Newcastle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle or Arsenal
74.3%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Newcastle + Arsenal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arsenal
75.6%
Avg Implied -
33%
27%
40%
covers Draw + Arsenal
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Newcastle over/under 0.5
Over
69.1%
Under
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5
Over
32.8%
Under
67.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5
Over
11.5%
Under
88.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5
Over
82.8%
Under
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 3.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Newcastle, so a minus line means Newcastle give that many goals of a start and Arsenal receive them. At -1, Newcastle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Newcastle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Newcastle)
Newcastle -2
3.2%
Draw -2
7.0%
Arsenal +2
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Newcastle)
Newcastle -1
10.1%
Draw -1
14.3%
Arsenal +1
75.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Newcastle)
Newcastle +1
50.1%
Draw +1
21.9%
Arsenal -1
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Newcastle)
Newcastle +2
72.0%
Draw +2
15.6%
Arsenal -2
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L20W00D20W01L10W11D00DA·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04A·ARS25/04H·BRI02/05A·NOT10/05H·WES17/05A·FUL24/05H·LIV23/08H·WES26/08A·TOT29/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.771.000.600.870.93
vs Stronger (10)0.701.300.500.250.832.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.561.110.780.430.29
vs Weaker (4)2.000.251.500.502.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W30W10W00D10W10W10W20W00DH·NEW25/04A·ATL29/04H·FUL02/05H·ATL05/05A·WES10/05H·BUR18/05A·CRY24/05A·PAR30/05H·COV21/08A·AST31/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.201.270.200.670.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.220.400.200.750.25
vs Weaker (21)1.140.191.700.200.640.18
Clean sheet %80% (+54pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D11D11D11D01L12L21W20WA·CRY12/04H·BOU18/04A·ARS25/04H·BRI02/05A·NOT10/05H·WES17/05A·FUL24/05H·LIV23/08H·WES26/08A·TOT29/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.000.801.200.600.80
vs Stronger (10)0.301.300.501.750.171.00
vs Similar (16)0.880.810.780.891.000.71
vs Weaker (4)1.001.001.501.500.500.50
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D01L00D00D10W00D11D01L10W10WH·NEW25/04A·ATL29/04H·FUL02/05H·ATL05/05A·WES10/05H·BUR18/05A·CRY24/05A·PAR30/05H·COV21/08A·AST31/08
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.470.530.270.930.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.330.560.400.400.250.75
vs Weaker (21)0.900.430.600.201.180.64
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.9%-------
Under 6.597.0%-------
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%-------
Under 5.592.3%-------
Away +2 handicap89.9%-------
Away under 3.5 goals89.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals88.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals82.8%-------
Under 4.582.7%-------
Over 1.579.8%-------
Over 2.5 cards79.7%-------
Under 25.5 fouls75.7%-------
Draw or Away75.6%-------
Away +1 handicap75.6%-------
Under 5.5 cards74.4%-------
Home or Away74.3%-------
Away under 2.5 goals74.2%-------
Home +2 handicap72.0%-------
Over 19.5 fouls71.6%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Elanga67%
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacob Ramsey67%
Jacob Murphy33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Sven Botman33%
Lewis Miley33%
Sean Steur33%
Joe Willock0%
Amar Dedić0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amar Dedić67%
Yoane Wissa33%
Malick Thiaw33%
Joe Willock0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Arsenal · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Viktor Gyökeres30%
Kai Havertz26%
Bukayo Saka22%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Gabriel Martinelli17%
Leandro Trossard16%
Mikel Merino15%
Noni Madueke14%
Eberechi Eze14%
Martín Zubimendi9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Magalhães8%
Max Dowman8%
Declan Rice7%
Jurriën Timber7%
Ben White3%
Martin Ødegaard3%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Piero Hincapié3%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kepa Arrizabalaga36%
Riccardo Calafiori19%
Martín Zubimendi14%
Cristhian Mosquera14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Myles Lewis-Skelly14%
Declan Rice13%
Mikel Merino12%
Gabriel Jesus11%
Viktor Gyökeres11%
Ben White10%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Kai Havertz9%
Piero Hincapié8%
Bukayo Saka6%
Leandro Trossard6%
William Saliba6%
Eberechi Eze4%
Noni Madueke2%
David Raya2%
Martin Ødegaard0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kai Havertz22%
Leandro Trossard20%
Martin Ødegaard19%
Declan Rice15%
Bukayo Saka14%
Jurriën Timber14%
Gabriel Martinelli13%
Myles Lewis-Skelly11%
Gabriel Magalhães10%
Christian Nørgaard10%
Mikel Merino9%
Eberechi Eze8%
Ben White7%
Viktor Gyökeres6%
Riccardo Calafiori6%
Piero Hincapié5%
Noni Madueke5%
Gabriel Jesus4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
William Saliba2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Max Dowman0%
Marli Salmon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Viktor Gyökeres24%
Bukayo Saka18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Eberechi Eze16%
Max Dowman15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Mikel Merino12%
Noni Madueke10%
Kai Havertz9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Gabriel Martinelli8%
Martin Ødegaard6%
Jurriën Timber5%
Declan Rice4%
Martín Zubimendi4%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Piero Hincapié0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Cristhian Mosquera0%
Marli Salmon0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Newcastle's squad is €839m less valuable than Arsenal's (€568m vs €1406m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Newcastle's attack is €374m less valuable than Arsenal's (€234m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Newcastle's midfield is €166m less valuable than Arsenal's (€124m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Newcastle's defence is €299m less valuable than Arsenal's (€210m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
NEW wins
0
Draws
4
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Arsenal · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26AArsenal Vs NEW1-0
28/09/25HNEW Vs Arsenal1-2
18/05/25AArsenal Vs NEW1-0
05/02/25HNEW Vs Arsenal2-0
07/01/25AArsenal Vs NEW0-2
02/11/24HNEW Vs Arsenal1-0
24/02/24AArsenal Vs NEW4-1
04/11/23HNEW Vs Arsenal1-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26ATottenham Vs NEW0-2
26/08/26HNEW Vs West Brom3-2
23/08/26HNEW Vs Liverpool2-2
24/05/26AFulham Vs NEW2-0
17/05/26HNEW Vs West Ham3-1
10/05/26ANottingham Forest Vs NEW1-1
02/05/26HNEW Vs Brighton3-1
25/04/26AArsenal Vs NEW1-0
18/04/26HNEW Vs Bournemouth1-2
12/04/26ACrystal Palace Vs NEW2-1

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26AAston Villa Vs ARS0-1
21/08/26HARS Vs Coventry3-0
30/05/26AParis Saint Germain Vs ARS1-1
24/05/26ACrystal Palace Vs ARS1-2
18/05/26HARS Vs Burnley1-0
10/05/26AWest Ham Vs ARS0-1
05/05/26HARS Vs Atletico Madrid1-0
02/05/26HARS Vs Fulham3-0
29/04/26AAtletico Madrid Vs ARS1-1
25/04/26HARS Vs Newcastle1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWW1.50
HomeLWWDW1.85
AwayLLDLW1.09
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%30%
AVG goals3.363.483.22
Over 1.5 %90%100%78%
Over 2.5 %70%78%61%
Over 3.5 %44%44%43%
Scored1.762.001.48
Conceded1.601.481.74
BTTS72%74%70%
Clean Sheet16%19%13%
Corners11.0811.1910.96
Cards4.304.703.83
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDWW2.20
HomeWWWWW2.38
AwayDWWDW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%75%58%
AVG goals2.702.622.77
Over 1.5 %76%75%77%
Over 2.5 %56%54%58%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.901.961.85
Conceded0.800.670.92
BTTS54%42%65%
Clean Sheet44%54%35%
Corners9.008.839.15
Cards3.522.964.04

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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