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Newcastle vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 13/02/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
28%
27%
45%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Match preview & prediction

Aston Villa’s recent five-game surge, highlighted by a 0-1 win over Arsenal, gives the model a clear edge for an away victory. The predicted outcome is an away win with a 45% chance, followed by a 28% home win and a 27% draw. The match is expected to see 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total of two goals (25% probability). The single score that the model deems most probable is 1-1, carrying a 12.6% chance.

Newcastle, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.78 goals scored and 2.0 conceded. Aston Villa, on the road, averages 1.12 goals scored and 1.62 conceded against comparable teams. The model’s suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 81%, Over 19.5 fouls at 78.4%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.5%, Over 1.5 goals at 79.2% (missed), and Under 5.5 cards at 72.7% (missed).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Aston Villa, did not come through, as Newcastle secured a 1-0 home win. Newcastle’s recent form, a 2-game winning streak, set the stage for the upset. The model had picked an away win with a 45% probability, but the call was wrong. The model’s selections were mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 81%, Over 1.5 missed at 79.2%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 78.4%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 75.5%, and Under 5.5 cards missed at 72.7%. The final score of 1-0 confirmed the home victory, leaving the model’s favourite on the wrong side of the result.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.78
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
45.4%
Avg Implied 37.0% · @ 2.60
Edge
+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L11D10W04L13L04L11D11D10W31WA·ARS27/11H·NOR30/11H·BUR04/12A·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.871.502.001.141.71
vs Stronger (6)0.832.671.003.330.672.00
vs Similar (16)1.501.691.782.001.141.29
vs Weaker (8)1.381.621.251.001.502.25
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W12L21W01L20W13L12L22D10W33DA·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12A·LIV11/12A·NOR14/12H·CHE26/12A·BRE02/01H·MAN15/01A·EVE22/01H·LEE09/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.601.621.691.211.50
vs Stronger (3)1.002.331.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (17)1.411.761.671.891.121.62
vs Weaker (10)1.601.101.801.201.401.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.84+2.6%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.00-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.2%
No
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.1%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
0-0
6.8%
1-0 ✓
5.9%
2-2
5.8%
Newcastle goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
06.8%8.1%7.6%4.1%1.7%
15.9%13%9.3%5.1%2.1%
24.3%7.1%5.8%3.1%1.3%
31.8%2.9%2.4%1.3%0.5%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Newcastle is 0.11 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Newcastle is 0.21 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Newcastle is 0.21 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Newcastle is 6.5 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (40% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.4 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

130627646243611641032544813106911101378H·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEIH·BURH·NORA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

6023243233123132111315656345214H·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEIH·BURH·NORA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

2601313991313118964916911981112626182619151325201918H·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEIH·BURH·NORA·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 4.3 · Against 7.6 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

17061129367325107311364113717119107171491510H·LEEA·EVEH·MANA·BREH·CHEA·NORA·LIVH·LEIH·MANA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

802335122231132111335834443206H·LEEA·EVEH·MANA·BREH·CHEA·NORA·LIVH·LEIH·MANA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 13.8 · Total 23.3

⚠️ Fouls

33011916148131117811912613825812101220302128192119332022H·LEEA·EVEH·MANA·BREH·CHEA·NORA·LIVH·LEIH·MANA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.210.43.73.93.620.720.820.7
vs Stronger (9)10.211.29.43.44.03.017.619.216.2
vs Similar (27)10.19.410.84.04.13.821.021.120.9
vs Weaker (14)9.07.910.53.53.43.722.120.923.8
% over line52%46%58%60%69%50%42%42%42%
% under line48%54%42%40%31%50%58%58%58%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.611.23.83.64.024.925.124.7
vs Stronger (5)13.212.314.53.42.74.521.821.023.0
vs Similar (28)10.59.711.44.54.64.425.625.825.4
vs Weaker (17)10.811.410.22.92.43.324.725.524.0
% over line60%56%64%56%44%68%70%64%76%
% under line40%44%36%44%56%32%30%36%24%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.1
Leeds
11.1
Aston Villa
10.9
Liverpool
10.9
Brighton
10.8
Leicester
10.6
Chelsea
10.6
Everton
10.5
Watford
10.5
Southampton
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Manchester United
10.2
Arsenal
10.1
Norwich
10.0
Newcastle
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Brentford
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.8
Leeds
3.8
Newcastle
3.7
Tottenham
3.7
Everton
3.6
Wolves
3.6
Watford
3.5
Southampton
3.4
Manchester United
3.4
Chelsea
3.4
Norwich
3.3
Brighton
3.2
Arsenal
3.2
Crystal Palace
3.1
Brentford
3.1
Manchester City
2.9
Leicester
2.9
Liverpool
2.9
West Ham
2.7
Burnley
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.9
Watford
24.2
Brentford
23.9
Tottenham
23.1
Norwich
23.0
Crystal Palace
23.0
Leeds
22.5
Southampton
22.0
Leicester
21.6
Chelsea
21.4
Wolves
21.0
Manchester United
20.9
Newcastle
20.7
Everton
20.0
Burnley
19.5
Brighton
19.4
Arsenal
19.4
Liverpool
18.8
Manchester City
18.5
West Ham
17.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
47.4%
Under 9.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.3%
Under 3.5
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.9%
Under 21.5
36.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D10W01L12L02L10W00D00D11DA·ARS27/11H·NOR30/11H·BUR04/12A·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.880.810.430.64
vs Stronger (6)0.501.330.671.670.331.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.751.220.890.140.57
vs Weaker (8)0.620.250.250.001.000.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L11D00D10W11D11D01L10W32WA·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12A·LIV11/12A·NOR14/12H·CHE26/12A·BRE02/01H·MAN15/01A·EVE22/01H·LEE09/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.750.810.640.79
vs Stronger (3)0.332.000.502.000.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.880.711.000.780.750.62
vs Weaker (10)0.500.600.400.400.600.80
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D00D03L01L02L01L11D10W20WA·ARS27/11H·NOR30/11H·BUR04/12A·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.671.130.621.190.711.07
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.331.670.331.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.940.561.111.000.71
vs Weaker (8)0.751.381.001.000.501.75
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W10W01L10W02L01L21W00D01LA·CRY27/11H·MAN01/12H·LEI05/12A·LIV11/12A·NOR14/12H·CHE26/12A·BRE02/01H·MAN15/01A·EVE22/01H·LEE09/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.880.880.570.71
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.500.001.001.00
vs Similar (17)0.531.060.671.110.381.00
vs Weaker (10)1.100.501.400.800.800.20
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls78.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards72.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Elanga67%
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jacob Ramsey67%
Jacob Murphy33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Sven Botman33%
Lewis Miley33%
Sean Steur33%
Joe Willock0%
Amar Dedić0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amar Dedić67%
Yoane Wissa33%
Malick Thiaw33%
Joe Willock0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joe Willock33%
Harvey Barnes33%
Yoane Wissa33%
Amar Dedić0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Lewis Miley0%
Sean Steur0%
Aston Villa · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €32m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€568m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €14m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€234m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Newcastle's midfield is €36m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€124m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Newcastle's defence is €53m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€210m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
NEW wins
1
Draws
2
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Aston Villa · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/21AAston Villa Vs NEW2-0
12/03/21HNEW Vs Aston Villa1-1
23/01/21AAston Villa Vs NEW2-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/02/22HNEW Vs Everton3-1
22/01/22ALeeds Vs NEW0-1
15/01/22HNEW Vs Watford1-1
27/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester United1-1
19/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester City0-4
16/12/21ALiverpool Vs NEW3-1
12/12/21ALeicester Vs NEW4-0
04/12/21HNEW Vs Burnley1-0
30/11/21HNEW Vs Norwich1-1
27/11/21AArsenal Vs NEW2-0

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/02/22HAVL Vs Leeds3-3
22/01/22AEverton Vs AVL0-1
15/01/22HAVL Vs Manchester United2-2
02/01/22ABrentford Vs AVL2-1
26/12/21HAVL Vs Chelsea1-3
14/12/21ANorwich Vs AVL0-2
11/12/21ALiverpool Vs AVL1-0
05/12/21HAVL Vs Leicester2-1
01/12/21HAVL Vs Manchester City1-2
27/11/21ACrystal Palace Vs AVL1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWW0.98
HomeWLDDW1.12
AwayDLLLW0.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%23%21%
AVG goals2.983.192.75
Over 1.5 %88%88%88%
Over 2.5 %50%58%42%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.161.420.88
Conceded1.821.771.88
BTTS62%77%46%
Clean Sheet14%12%17%
Corners9.809.2310.42
Cards3.743.883.58
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWD1.28
HomeLWLDD1.36
AwayWLWLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%36%36%
AVG goals2.662.882.44
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %26%36%16%
Scored1.301.481.12
Conceded1.361.401.32
BTTS56%60%52%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners10.8810.5611.20
Cards3.823.644.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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