Newcastle are tipped to win this Premier League clash, a prediction that aligns with their 50% home win probability, a 29% chance of a draw and a 22% chance of an Aston Villa victory. The model expects a modest 2.4 goals on average, with a 27% probability that the total will be exactly two. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 13.5% chance that both sides will find the net. Newcastle’s home form shows they average 1.78 goals scored and only 0.44 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Villa’s away numbers are 0.89 scored and 1.33 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 5.5 cards at 86.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 79.5%, Under 3.5 at 77.3% (miss), Over 8.5 corners at 75.8% (miss), Under 4.5 cards at 73.6% and Over 1.5 at 70.9%. Newcastle’s recent five games (WWDLW) show a two-game winning run, and Villa’s last five (LLWWW) followed two defeats, hinting at a strong finish.
Results analysis
Newcastle continued a two-game winning streak, beating Aston Villa 4-0. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win, with a 50% probability, and it proved correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Under 5.5 cards hit at 86.5%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 79.5%, Under 3.5 missed at 77.3%, Over 8.5 corners missed at 75.8%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 73.6%, and Over 1.5 hit at 70.9%. The match confirmed the home win prediction and delivered a decisive victory for Newcastle, while several of the model’s ancillary selections fell short.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Newcastle win✓ Hit
49.6%
Avg Implied 54.3% · @ 1.77
Edge
-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.83
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied 20.6% · @ 4.67
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.97
1.71
0.64
1.25
1.25
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
2.20
1.67
1.33
0.50
3.50
vs Similar (20)
1.45
0.75
1.78
0.44
1.18
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
0.60
1.50
0.50
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.27
1.33
1.20
1.07
1.33
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
1.75
0.50
1.00
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (16)
1.06
1.56
1.29
1.86
0.89
1.33
vs Weaker (10)
1.50
0.60
1.67
0.50
1.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.7%
@ 1.88-7.2%
Under 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.95+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
10.1%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.0%
Newcastle goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
6.9%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
12%
13%
5.7%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10.0%
9.2%
4.2%
1.3%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.6%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.7%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Newcastle is 0.26 points better than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Newcastle is 0.45 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.34).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Newcastle is 0.34 goals better than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Newcastle is 3.1 percentage points better than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (52% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Newcastle
For 7.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 12.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 10.4 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 4.9 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.7
10.0
4.1
3.8
4.4
20.6
21.4
19.7
vs Stronger (8)
10.9
11.2
10.5
3.8
4.0
3.5
18.0
19.2
16.8
vs Similar (31)
9.9
10.1
9.7
4.4
3.8
5.0
21.0
22.3
19.7
vs Weaker (11)
9.1
7.2
10.7
3.5
3.6
3.5
21.1
20.2
21.8
% over line
56%
48%
64%
62%
56%
68%
36%
40%
32%
% under line
44%
52%
36%
38%
44%
32%
64%
60%
68%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.0
11.3
4.2
3.5
4.9
24.3
22.6
25.9
vs Stronger (6)
11.5
10.3
12.7
3.5
2.7
4.3
21.2
20.0
22.3
vs Similar (28)
9.8
8.8
10.5
4.4
3.8
4.9
24.8
22.8
26.4
vs Weaker (16)
11.9
11.4
12.4
4.1
3.3
5.0
24.6
23.2
26.3
% over line
58%
44%
72%
62%
52%
72%
68%
52%
84%
% under line
42%
56%
28%
38%
48%
28%
32%
48%
16%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Southampton
11.1
Brighton
10.6
Aston Villa
10.6
Everton
10.6
Leicester
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Liverpool
10.4
Fulham
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Bournemouth
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Manchester United
10.1
Tottenham
10.0
Newcastle
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Wolves
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.4
Leeds
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Newcastle
4.1
Bournemouth
3.9
Brighton
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Crystal Palace
3.8
Chelsea
3.7
Arsenal
3.6
Southampton
3.4
Manchester United
3.4
Leicester
3.1
Liverpool
3.0
Brentford
3.0
Manchester City
2.9
West Ham
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
24.3
Nottingham Forest
23.5
Leeds
23.0
Chelsea
22.1
Bournemouth
21.3
Tottenham
20.7
Newcastle
20.6
Fulham
20.5
Leicester
20.4
Southampton
20.4
Everton
20.3
Brighton
20.2
Arsenal
20.1
Brentford
19.6
Wolves
19.6
Manchester United
19.3
Liverpool
17.9
Manchester City
17.1
West Ham
16.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.7%
Under 9.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
50.5%
Under 21.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.33
0.79
0.29
0.88
0.38
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
0.15
0.89
0.11
0.91
0.18
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.50
0.80
0.47
0.53
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.62
1.00
0.71
0.44
0.56
vs Weaker (10)
0.80
0.30
0.83
0.17
0.75
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.63
0.93
0.36
0.38
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
1.00
0.67
0.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.60
0.89
0.33
0.27
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.25
0.50
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (16)
0.38
0.94
0.29
1.14
0.44
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
0.70
0.30
0.83
0.33
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson42%
Alexander Isak36%
Miguel Almirón29%
Joelinton16%
Chris Wood11%
Bruno Guimarães9%
Joe Willock9%
Jacob Murphy8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Dan Burn3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamaal Lascelles57%
Joelinton38%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Fabian Schär19%
Alexander Isak14%
Kieran Trippier13%
Dan Burn13%
Callum Wilson13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Nick Pope8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Sean Longstaff6%
Miguel Almirón6%
Matt Targett6%
Sven Botman6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Joe Willock3%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier18%
Callum Wilson16%
Allan Saint-Maximin16%
Bruno Guimarães16%
Joe Willock14%
Sean Longstaff12%
Miguel Almirón6%
Fabian Schär6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Alexander Isak5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Joelinton3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Wilson39%
Joelinton19%
Miguel Almirón15%
Fabian Schär14%
Alexander Isak14%
Ryan Fraser12%
Allan Saint-Maximin12%
Joe Willock6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Bruno Guimarães3%
Sean Longstaff3%
Dan Burn3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €32m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€568m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €14m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€234m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €36m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€124m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €53m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€210m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Liverpool
Brighton
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton