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Newcastle vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 05/03/2022
Time: 15:00
Final 2-1
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
44%
30%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: M Atkinson
Match preview & prediction

Newcastle are the clear favourites, with a 44% chance of triumph, a 30% chance of a draw and a 25% chance of a Brighton win. The model predicts a 2-goal encounter, most likely ending 1-1 with a 14.2% probability. Newcastle’s home form shows 1.56 goals scored and 1.78 conceded against similar opposition, while Brighton averages 1.09 scored and 1.27 conceded on the road. The suggested picks are: Under 25.5 fouls 94.2%, Under 23.5 fouls 87.4%, Under 3.5 79.8%, Over 2.5 cards 79.1% (miss), Under 21.5 fouls 76.2%, Under 5.5 cards 75.2%, Under 11.5 corners 72.3%. Newcastle’s recent run of five matches (WWDLW) and a 2-0 win over Tottenham, combined with Brighton’s 2-game winning streak and a 4-0 victory over Tromsø, set the stage for a competitive Premier League clash.

Results analysis

Newcastle extended their two-game winning run with a 2-1 victory over Brighton, keeping the home side’s recent form story alive. The model had picked a home win with a 44% probability, and it proved correct as the final score matched the actual result. The predicted most likely score of 1-1 fell short, but the 2-1 outcome still reflected the model’s overall forecast. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 94.2%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 87.4%, Under 3.5 hit at 79.8%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 79.1%, Under 21.5 fouls hit at 76.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.2%, and Under 11.5 corners hit at 72.3%. The model’s predictions largely came through.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
44.3%
Avg Implied 36.1% · @ 2.66
Edge
+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.11
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 32.9% · @ 2.92
Edge
-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L13L04L11D11D10W31W10W11D20WA·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02H·AST13/02A·WES19/02A·BRE26/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.771.381.881.141.64
vs Stronger (5)0.803.001.003.330.502.50
vs Similar (17)1.351.471.561.781.121.12
vs Weaker (8)1.381.621.251.001.502.25
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W11D32W11D11D11D20W02L03L02LH·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01H·CHE18/01A·LEI23/01A·WAT12/02A·MAN15/02H·BUR19/02H·AST26/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.230.931.271.071.20
vs Stronger (5)1.202.001.332.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)0.911.230.731.181.091.27
vs Weaker (3)1.330.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.4%
Under 1.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.6%
@ 2.33-0.3%
Under 2.5
59.4%
@ 1.61+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.2%
Under 3.5
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.0%
No
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
12.1%
0-0
11.2%
2-0
9.0%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
0-2
4.6%
Newcastle goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
011%8.3%4.6%1.5%0.4%
112%14%6.2%2.0%0.5%
29.0%8.7%4.2%1.3%0.3%
34.0%3.9%1.9%0.6%0.1%
41.4%1.3%0.6%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Newcastle is 0.05 points worse than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Newcastle is 0.05 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.16 vs 1.11).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Newcastle is 0.47 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.16).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Newcastle is 14.8 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (40% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

130667336627646243611641210981310691110A·BREA·WESH·ASTH·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

70143334232432331231325675656345A·BREA·WESH·ASTH·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 9.4 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

370797322151313991313118964916916103726182619151325A·BREA·WESH·ASTH·EVEA·LEEH·WATH·MANH·MANA·LIVA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 5.6 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

180724421054545795881069981299129131815H·ASTH·BURA·MANA·WATA·LEIH·CHEH·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

904514232311221114139555132254H·ASTH·BURA·MANA·WATA·LEIH·CHEH·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.4 · Total 19.6

⚠️ Fouls

28017111212108916868511712571481028241825141318172118H·ASTH·BURA·MANA·WATA·LEIH·CHEH·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.89.210.43.84.03.720.621.320.0
vs Stronger (9)10.211.29.43.44.03.017.619.216.2
vs Similar (28)10.09.310.84.24.44.020.922.119.6
vs Weaker (13)9.28.010.53.43.13.722.220.923.8
% over line52%44%60%60%68%52%40%44%36%
% under line48%56%40%40%32%48%60%56%64%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.211.03.43.63.219.520.119.0
vs Stronger (8)10.810.810.83.04.21.816.617.016.2
vs Similar (38)10.610.211.13.43.43.320.020.919.0
vs Weaker (4)10.29.010.74.24.04.321.017.022.3
% over line58%56%60%40%36%44%30%44%16%
% under line42%44%40%60%64%56%70%56%84%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.0
Aston Villa
11.0
Liverpool
10.8
Leicester
10.7
Brighton
10.6
Chelsea
10.5
Leeds
10.5
Southampton
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Everton
10.3
Watford
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Norwich
10.1
Manchester United
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Newcastle
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Brentford
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Leeds
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Newcastle
3.8
Tottenham
3.7
Everton
3.6
Wolves
3.5
Manchester United
3.5
Watford
3.4
Brighton
3.4
Chelsea
3.4
Southampton
3.3
Arsenal
3.1
Norwich
3.1
Brentford
3.1
Crystal Palace
3.1
Leicester
2.9
Manchester City
2.9
West Ham
2.9
Liverpool
2.8
Burnley
2.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.7
Watford
23.7
Brentford
23.5
Crystal Palace
22.9
Leeds
22.8
Tottenham
22.8
Norwich
22.6
Southampton
21.8
Leicester
21.5
Chelsea
21.4
Manchester United
20.9
Newcastle
20.6
Wolves
20.3
Everton
20.0
Brighton
19.5
Burnley
19.3
Arsenal
19.2
Liverpool
18.8
Manchester City
18.4
West Ham
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.6%
Under 3.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
23.8%
Under 21.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L12L02L10W00D00D11D10W11D20WA·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02H·AST13/02A·WES19/02A·BRE26/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.810.810.640.57
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.671.670.501.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.711.110.890.500.50
vs Weaker (8)0.620.250.250.001.000.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L20W00D01L00D10W00D02L01LH·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01H·CHE18/01A·LEI23/01A·WAT12/02A·MAN15/02H·BUR19/02H·AST26/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.570.400.670.330.47
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.001.330.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.320.500.360.550.270.45
vs Weaker (3)1.000.002.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L02L01L11D10W20W00D00D00DA·LEI12/12A·LIV16/12H·MAN19/12H·MAN27/12H·WAT15/01A·LEE22/01H·EVE08/02H·AST13/02A·WES19/02A·BRE26/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.531.070.561.060.501.07
vs Stronger (5)0.201.600.331.670.001.50
vs Similar (17)0.530.760.440.890.620.62
vs Weaker (8)0.751.381.001.000.501.75
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W12L11D10W11D10W02L01L01LH·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01H·CHE18/01A·LEI23/01A·WAT12/02A·MAN15/02H·BUR19/02H·AST26/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.530.600.730.73
vs Stronger (5)1.000.801.330.670.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.590.730.360.640.820.82
vs Weaker (3)0.330.000.000.000.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls94.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls87.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.579.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners72.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Brighton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper67%
Olivier Boscagli33%
Mats Wieffer33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pascal Groß33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Luka Vušković33%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €52m less valuable than Brighton's (€568m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €44m more valuable than Brighton's (€234m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Newcastle's midfield is €56m less valuable than Brighton's (€124m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Newcastle's defence is €39m less valuable than Brighton's (€210m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
NEW wins
1
Draws
2
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Brighton · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
06/11/21ABrighton Vs NEW1-1
20/03/21ABrighton Vs NEW3-0
20/09/20HNEW Vs Brighton0-3

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22ABrentford Vs NEW0-2
19/02/22AWest Ham Vs NEW1-1
13/02/22HNEW Vs Aston Villa1-0
08/02/22HNEW Vs Everton3-1
22/01/22ALeeds Vs NEW0-1
15/01/22HNEW Vs Watford1-1
27/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester United1-1
19/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester City0-4
16/12/21ALiverpool Vs NEW3-1
12/12/21ALeicester Vs NEW4-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/02/22HBHA Vs Aston Villa0-2
19/02/22HBHA Vs Burnley0-3
15/02/22AManchester United Vs BHA2-0
12/02/22AWatford Vs BHA0-2
23/01/22ALeicester Vs BHA1-1
18/01/22HBHA Vs Chelsea1-1
14/01/22HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-1
02/01/22AEverton Vs BHA2-3
29/12/21AChelsea Vs BHA1-1
26/12/21HBHA Vs Brentford2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWDW1.04
HomeLDDWW1.12
AwayLLWDW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%24%24%
AVG goals2.843.162.52
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %30%40%20%
Scored1.141.400.88
Conceded1.701.761.64
BTTS58%72%44%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.849.2410.44
Cards3.843.963.72
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.24
HomeWDDLL1.24
AwayDWDWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.062.082.04
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %30%32%28%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored0.981.000.96
Conceded1.081.081.08
BTTS46%40%52%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.6210.2411.00
Cards3.383.563.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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