The match sits on a razor-thin edge, with the model favouring a home win. Newcastle’s recent five games (WWDLW) show a two-game winning streak, while Brighton, after a defeat, has a mixed run (LWWDL). The model assigns a 40% chance to a Newcastle victory, a 27% chance of a draw, and a 33% chance of a Brighton win. The expected total of 2.9 goals points to a fairly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% probability. Newcastle averages 2.0 goals scored and 0.36 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents, whereas Brighton averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.58 conceded on the road against similar opposition. Suggested selections include Under 5.5 cards at 93.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 85.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.9%, Over 1.5 goals at 80.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 77.8%, and Under 10.5 corners at 73.9%. The model’s pick remains a Newcastle win.
Results analysis
Newcastle’s 4-1 victory over Brighton proved far more decisive than the model had anticipated, with the actual total of five goals well beyond the expected 2.9. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 40% probability and the model’s call was correct. The match saw several of the model’s suggested picks hit: Under 11.5 corners (82.9% chance) and both Over 1.5 (80.3%) and Over 19.5 fouls (77.8%) were achieved, as was Under 10.5 corners (73.9%). However, the Under 5.5 cards (93.8%) and Under 4.5 cards (85.2%) selections missed. Newcastle’s win extends their two-game winning run, while Brighton returned to the field after a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Newcastle win✓ Hit
39.7%
Avg Implied 53.2% · @ 1.80
Edge
-13.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.06
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
33.5%
Avg Implied 23.2% · @ 4.13
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
0.83
1.80
0.67
1.93
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
2.00
0.73
2.00
0.36
2.00
1.09
vs Weaker (4)
3.00
0.75
2.50
1.00
3.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.47
2.13
1.27
1.93
1.67
vs Stronger (5)
2.40
2.00
2.50
2.00
2.33
2.00
vs Similar (25)
1.96
1.36
2.08
1.15
1.83
1.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.3%
@ 1.54-5.4%
Under 2.5
43.7%
@ 2.48+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
33.9%
Under 3.5
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.3%
No
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
8.0%
1-0
7.0%
0-0
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
0-1
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
Newcastle goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.4%
6.3%
5.2%
2.4%
0.8%
1
7.0%
13%
8.0%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.3%
8.8%
6.1%
2.9%
1.0%
3
3.2%
4.5%
3.1%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.2%
1.7%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Newcastle is 0.24 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.87 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Newcastle is 0.11 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Newcastle is 0.53 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (0.87 vs 1.39).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Newcastle is 8.3 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (52% vs 60%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Newcastle
For 7.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.2 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 6.9 · Against 3.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.7
11.0
3.7
3.4
3.9
21.0
21.8
20.2
vs Stronger (9)
11.9
12.4
11.2
4.3
3.8
5.0
20.4
20.2
20.8
vs Similar (32)
10.7
10.6
10.8
3.8
3.3
4.3
21.9
23.1
20.9
vs Weaker (9)
10.7
9.2
11.8
2.4
3.5
1.6
18.2
19.2
17.4
% over line
70%
65%
74%
48%
39%
56%
38%
43%
33%
% under line
30%
35%
26%
52%
61%
44%
62%
57%
67%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.9
9.6
3.9
4.2
3.6
21.9
22.4
21.3
vs Stronger (8)
10.5
10.7
10.4
4.1
4.7
3.8
24.1
22.7
25.0
vs Similar (41)
10.2
10.9
9.5
3.8
4.1
3.4
21.4
22.4
20.2
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
5.0
-
5.0
25.0
-
25.0
% over line
62%
68%
56%
52%
56%
48%
56%
68%
44%
% under line
38%
32%
44%
48%
44%
52%
44%
32%
56%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.8
Bournemouth
10.7
Manchester United
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Tottenham
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Southampton
10.4
Brighton
10.3
West Ham
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Wolves
9.9
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Liverpool
9.7
Leicester
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Crystal Palace
9.4
Manchester City
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.4
Tottenham
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Everton
4.1
Aston Villa
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Wolves
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Brighton
3.9
Arsenal
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Bournemouth
3.5
Manchester City
3.3
Leicester
3.2
Southampton
3.2
Brentford
3.0
Liverpool
2.9
West Ham
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Aston Villa
23.8
Leeds
23.5
Chelsea
23.5
Nottingham Forest
23.0
Fulham
22.2
Brighton
21.9
Tottenham
21.6
Wolves
21.4
Leicester
21.3
Arsenal
21.3
Newcastle
21.0
Southampton
20.9
Bournemouth
20.7
Everton
20.6
Manchester United
20.1
Brentford
19.6
Liverpool
19.3
Manchester City
19.0
West Ham
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.6%
Under 9.5
62.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.1%
Under 3.5
69.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.0%
Under 21.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.40
0.73
0.33
1.00
0.47
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
0.95
0.32
0.91
0.09
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.25
0.25
0.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.73
0.93
0.73
0.87
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.68
1.08
0.69
0.92
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.43
1.07
0.33
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.41
1.09
0.27
1.00
0.55
vs Weaker (4)
1.75
0.50
2.00
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.73
1.20
0.53
1.07
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
2.00
1.00
2.50
1.00
1.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.68
1.00
0.46
0.92
0.92
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson42%
Alexander Isak36%
Miguel Almirón29%
Joelinton16%
Chris Wood11%
Bruno Guimarães9%
Joe Willock9%
Jacob Murphy8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Dan Burn3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamaal Lascelles57%
Joelinton38%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Fabian Schär19%
Alexander Isak14%
Kieran Trippier13%
Dan Burn13%
Callum Wilson13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Nick Pope8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Sean Longstaff6%
Miguel Almirón6%
Matt Targett6%
Sven Botman6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Joe Willock3%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier18%
Callum Wilson16%
Allan Saint-Maximin16%
Bruno Guimarães16%
Joe Willock14%
Sean Longstaff12%
Miguel Almirón6%
Fabian Schär6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Alexander Isak5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Joelinton3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Wilson39%
Joelinton19%
Miguel Almirón15%
Fabian Schär14%
Alexander Isak14%
Ryan Fraser12%
Allan Saint-Maximin12%
Joe Willock6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Bruno Guimarães3%
Sean Longstaff3%
Dan Burn3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leandro Trossard31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Alexis Mac Allister26%
Kaoru Mitoma21%
Julio Enciso20%
Pascal Groß19%
Deniz Undav18%
Danny Welbeck16%
Solly March15%
Adam Lallana12%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Joël Veltman3%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Lewis Dunk3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Moisés Caicedo27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Alexis Mac Allister23%
Joël Veltman19%
Pascal Groß19%
Facundo Buonanotte15%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Lewis Dunk11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Deniz Undav9%
Robert Sánchez9%
Adam Webster7%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Leandro Trossard6%
Solly March6%
Levi Colwill6%
Evan Ferguson5%
Julio Enciso5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Adam Lallana0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Danny Welbeck0%
Kaoru Mitoma0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß22%
Solly March21%
Enock Mwepu17%
Kaoru Mitoma15%
Leandro Trossard12%
Levi Colwill12%
Pervis Estupiñán11%
Jeremy Sarmiento11%
Evan Ferguson11%
Danny Welbeck10%
Facundo Buonanotte8%
Billy Gilmour7%
Jason Steele7%
Adam Lallana6%
Alexis Mac Allister6%
Julio Enciso5%
Joël Veltman3%
Moisés Caicedo3%
Robert Sánchez0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Deniz Undav0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexis Mac Allister31%
Evan Ferguson26%
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck23%
Solly March18%
Leandro Trossard12%
Kaoru Mitoma12%
Deniz Undav9%
Pascal Groß5%
Adam Webster4%
Adam Lallana0%
Joël Veltman0%
Enock Mwepu0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Moisés Caicedo0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Levi Colwill0%
Jeremy Sarmiento0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €52m less valuable than Brighton's (€568m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €44m more valuable than Brighton's (€234m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €56m less valuable than Brighton's (€124m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €39m less valuable than Brighton's (€210m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Manchester United
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Tottenham
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Chelsea
Wolves
West Ham
Bournemouth
Nottingham Forest
Everton
Leicester
Leeds
Southampton