Newcastle’s attacking rhythm, averaging 2.14 goals per game at home, and Brighton’s 1.18 away, set the stage for a high-scoring encounter, with an expected total of 3.3 goals. The model’s pick is a home win, backed by a 51% probability, while draws and away wins sit at 24% and 25% respectively. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with an 10.8% chance, distinct from the 3-goal total probability of 22%. Newcastle’s home form against similar-strength opponents shows a solid 1.57 goals conceded, whereas Brighton’s away defence concedes 1.64, suggesting both sides could find the net. The suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 88.6%, Over 8.5 corners at 87.6%, Over 9.5 corners at 80.0%, Over 10.5 corners at 70.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 75.3%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.9%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.3%, and Over 1.5 at 84.7%. Newcastle’s recent 2-game winning streak and Brighton’s return from a loss add narrative weight, but the numbers point to a Newcastle victory.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite Newcastle failed to convert its 51% edge, with Brighton clinching a 0-1 away victory. The model had called a home win, but the result was the opposite, so the model’s pick was wrong. The final score of 0-1 matched the actual result, confirming Brighton’s win. The model’s other selections fared mixed: Over 2.5 cards hit at 88.6%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 87.6%, Over 1.5 missed at 84.7%, Over 9.5 corners hit at 80.0%, Over 3.5 cards hit at 75.3%, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 73.9%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 73.3%, and Over 10.5 corners hit at 70.5%. Newcastle’s recent form shows a two-game winning run, while Brighton come off a defeat.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Newcastle win✗ Miss
51.2%
Avg Implied 55.6% · @ 1.73
Edge
-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.08
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.60
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.63
2.29
1.43
1.69
1.81
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
3.00
1.50
2.00
1.50
4.00
vs Similar (19)
1.95
1.58
2.14
1.57
1.83
1.58
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
1.00
2.80
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.50
1.44
1.25
1.07
1.79
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
2.50
0.00
3.50
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (24)
1.33
1.29
1.46
1.00
1.18
1.64
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
2.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
63.3%
@ 1.51+0.1%
Under 2.5
36.7%
@ 2.59-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.7%
No
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
1-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
Newcastle goals ↓
Brighton goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
4.1%
3.3%
1.5%
0.5%
1
6.5%
11%
6.5%
2.8%
0.9%
2
7.3%
9.5%
6.3%
2.8%
0.9%
3
4.7%
6.2%
4.1%
1.8%
0.6%
4
2.3%
3.0%
2.0%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Newcastle is 0.13 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.61).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Newcastle is 0.05 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.74).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Newcastle is 0.32 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.55).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Newcastle is 2.0 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (51% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Newcastle
For 5.8 · Against 6.4 · Total 12.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 15.0 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brighton
For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
11.2
10.2
4.6
4.7
4.5
23.2
23.5
22.9
vs Stronger (7)
10.6
11.8
9.0
6.0
6.0
6.0
22.7
21.5
24.3
vs Similar (34)
10.6
11.2
10.1
4.6
5.1
4.3
23.3
23.8
22.9
vs Weaker (9)
11.1
10.5
11.8
3.2
2.4
4.2
23.1
24.5
21.8
% over line
54%
61%
48%
62%
62%
62%
60%
61%
60%
% under line
46%
39%
52%
38%
38%
38%
40%
39%
40%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
4.8
4.6
5.0
22.7
23.6
21.8
vs Stronger (7)
9.9
10.7
9.2
4.4
2.7
5.8
22.4
24.0
21.2
vs Similar (41)
9.3
9.5
9.2
5.0
5.1
4.9
22.6
23.5
21.6
vs Weaker (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
0.0
4.0
27.0
-
27.0
% over line
58%
58%
58%
68%
65%
71%
60%
75%
46%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
32%
35%
29%
40%
25%
54%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Manchester United
12.4
Bournemouth
11.7
Southampton
11.4
Everton
11.1
Liverpool
11.1
Brentford
10.8
Manchester City
10.6
Newcastle
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Fulham
10.5
Chelsea
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.1
Aston Villa
9.8
Leicester
9.7
West Ham
9.5
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.3
Aston Villa
5.2
Brighton
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Newcastle
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.5
Bournemouth
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.2
West Ham
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Fulham
3.8
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.6
Wolves
24.0
Crystal Palace
23.5
Aston Villa
23.4
Bournemouth
23.3
Newcastle
23.3
Ipswich
23.2
Chelsea
23.0
Brighton
22.7
Southampton
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Liverpool
22.0
Everton
21.6
Leicester
21.6
Arsenal
21.6
Fulham
21.4
West Ham
21.0
Brentford
20.7
Manchester United
19.9
Manchester City
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
80.0%
Under 9.5
20.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.5%
Under 21.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.67
1.14
0.64
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.58
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.58
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.71
1.40
0.60
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.69
0.56
0.57
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.71
0.62
0.77
0.38
0.64
0.91
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.97
1.14
0.79
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (19)
0.95
1.00
1.14
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brighton
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.75
0.69
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
0.00
1.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.62
0.67
0.69
0.62
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
3.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €52m less valuable than Brighton's (€568m vs €620m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €44m more valuable than Brighton's (€234m vs €190m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €56m less valuable than Brighton's (€124m vs €180m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €39m less valuable than Brighton's (€210m vs €249m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton