PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Newcastle vs Leeds Result & Analysis

Date: 07/01/2026
Time: 20:15
Final 4-3
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
49%
26%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Referee: M Salisbury

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
48.5%
Avg Implied 58.9% · @ 1.61
Edge
-10.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 3.94
Edge
+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✗ Miss
25.0%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.56
Edge
+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D21W22D01L21W22D01L31W20WA·EVE29/11H·TOT02/12H·BUR06/12A·BAY10/12A·SUN14/12H·FUL17/12H·CHE20/12A·MAN26/12A·BUR30/12H·CRY04/01
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.101.881.001.311.23
vs Stronger (5)1.801.601.801.60--
vs Similar (23)1.521.041.800.801.311.23
vs Weaker (2)2.500.502.500.50--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L12L23L31W33D11D41W11D00D11DA·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.372.291.141.001.56
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.002.000.672.67
vs Similar (16)1.191.311.501.120.881.50
vs Weaker (9)2.330.893.500.751.401.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.4%
Under 1.5
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.78+0.7%
Under 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.99-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
7.1%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
Newcastle goals ↓
Leeds goals →
01234
07.1%5.7%3.9%1.5%0.4%
18.8%13%6.6%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.6%5.5%2.1%0.6%
34.7%5.3%3.1%1.2%0.3%
41.9%2.2%1.3%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Newcastle is 0.05 points better than Leeds in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Newcastle is 0.11 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.29).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Newcastle is 0.03 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.47).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Newcastle is 6.2 percentage points better than Leeds in terms of average possession (52% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 7.3 · Against 5.7 · Total 13.0

🚩 Corners

1908643112645563699911878147131010915181915H·CRYA·BURA·MANH·CHEH·FULA·SUNA·BAYH·BURH·TOTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

90131212362145222334339394530H·CRYA·BURA·MANH·CHEH·FULA·SUNA·BAYH·BURH·TOTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.4 · Against 9.8 · Total 17.2

⚠️ Fouls

270512395913147810101199115126417121427152020201710H·CRYA·BURA·MANH·CHEH·FULA·SUNA·BAYH·BURH·TOTA·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LeedsLeeds

For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0

🚩 Corners

1406438939535442183346101112143969610H·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

601211333111451121214062563H·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.4 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

3409981097510981414101311171816111018181615172823283421H·MANA·LIVA·SUNH·CRYA·BREH·LIVH·CHEA·MANH·ASTA·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.512.011.03.54.12.920.822.419.0
vs Stronger (10)13.114.211.32.93.52.021.923.219.7
vs Similar (35)11.111.410.84.04.43.420.922.319.2
vs Weaker (5)12.011.512.51.83.01.018.821.516.0
% over line63%64%62%44%59%26%48%60%33%
% under line37%36%38%56%41%74%52%40%67%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.88.62.93.22.621.421.621.2
vs Stronger (5)7.87.58.03.44.03.023.225.521.7
vs Similar (24)8.69.47.73.03.72.121.322.220.2
vs Weaker (21)10.210.89.62.82.43.121.119.922.1
% over line48%57%40%32%40%24%52%65%40%
% under line52%43%60%68%60%76%48%35%60%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Liverpool
10.1
Tottenham
10.0
West Ham
10.0
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Fulham
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Brentford
9.8
Everton
9.8
Aston Villa
9.5
Brighton
9.5
Burnley
9.4
Chelsea
9.3
Sunderland
9.3
Leeds
9.3
Arsenal
9.0
Wolves
9.0
Crystal Palace
9.0
Manchester City
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.6
Chelsea
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Manchester United
4.2
Brighton
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Tottenham
4.0
Aston Villa
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Newcastle
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.4
Arsenal
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Leeds
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.3
Bournemouth
24.0
Aston Villa
23.5
Brighton
22.8
Chelsea
22.8
Nottingham Forest
22.7
West Ham
22.5
Tottenham
22.2
Manchester United
21.9
Sunderland
21.7
Burnley
21.6
Everton
21.5
Arsenal
21.4
Leeds
21.3
Newcastle
21.1
Crystal Palace
20.5
Liverpool
20.5
Fulham
20.3
Manchester City
18.9
Brentford
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.7%
Under 9.5
45.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
46.0%
Under 3.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
36.1%
Under 21.5
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W00D20W01L00D11D20W01L21W00DA·EVE29/11H·TOT02/12H·BUR06/12A·BAY10/12A·SUN14/12H·FUL17/12H·CHE20/12A·MAN26/12A·BUR30/12H·CRY04/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.760.120.770.46
vs Stronger (5)0.400.200.400.20--
vs Similar (23)0.780.300.800.100.770.46
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W02L20W00D00D20W01L00D00DA·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.531.290.210.500.81
vs Stronger (5)0.400.801.000.000.001.33
vs Similar (16)0.750.440.880.250.620.62
vs Weaker (9)1.330.562.250.250.600.80
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D22D01L21W01L10W02L00D10W20WA·EVE29/11H·TOT02/12H·BUR06/12A·BAY10/12A·SUN14/12H·FUL17/12H·CHE20/12A·MAN26/12A·BUR30/12H·CRY04/01
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.831.120.880.540.77
vs Stronger (5)1.401.401.401.40--
vs Similar (23)0.740.741.000.700.540.77
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.50--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LeedsLeeds

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L02L21W11D33D11D21W10W00D11DA·NOT09/11H·AST23/11A·MAN29/11H·CHE03/12H·LIV06/12A·BRE14/12H·CRY20/12A·SUN28/12A·LIV01/01H·MAN04/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.831.000.930.500.75
vs Stronger (5)1.201.602.002.000.671.33
vs Similar (16)0.440.880.620.880.250.88
vs Weaker (9)1.000.331.250.500.800.20
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls88.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards85.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls78.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards72.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Newcastle's squad is €141m more valuable than Leeds's (€568m vs €427m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Newcastle's attack is €68m more valuable than Leeds's (€234m vs €166m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Newcastle's midfield is €26m more valuable than Leeds's (€124m vs €98m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Newcastle's defence is €46m more valuable than Leeds's (€210m vs €163m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
NEW wins
4
Draws
2
LEE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Leeds · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25ALeeds Vs NEW0-0
13/05/23ALeeds Vs NEW2-2
31/12/22HNEW Vs Leeds0-0
22/01/22ALeeds Vs NEW0-1
17/09/21HNEW Vs Leeds1-1
26/01/21HNEW Vs Leeds1-2
16/12/20ALeeds Vs NEW5-2

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/26HNEW Vs Crystal Palace2-0
30/12/25ABurnley Vs NEW1-3
26/12/25AManchester United Vs NEW1-0
20/12/25HNEW Vs Chelsea2-2
17/12/25HNEW Vs Fulham2-1
14/12/25ASunderland Vs NEW1-0
10/12/25ABayer Leverkusen Vs NEW2-2
06/12/25HNEW Vs Burnley2-1
02/12/25HNEW Vs Tottenham2-2
29/11/25AEverton Vs NEW1-4

LeedsLeeds

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/26HLEE Vs Manchester United1-1
01/01/26ALiverpool Vs LEE0-0
28/12/25ASunderland Vs LEE1-1
20/12/25HLEE Vs Crystal Palace4-1
14/12/25ABrentford Vs LEE1-1
06/12/25HLEE Vs Liverpool3-3
03/12/25HLEE Vs Chelsea3-1
29/11/25AManchester City Vs LEE3-2
23/11/25HLEE Vs Aston Villa1-2
09/11/25ANottingham Forest Vs LEE3-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.72
HomeDWWDW2.11
AwayWDLLW1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%67%35%
AVG goals2.983.192.74
Over 1.5 %82%93%70%
Over 2.5 %64%67%61%
Over 3.5 %36%30%43%
Scored1.762.111.35
Conceded1.221.071.39
BTTS56%59%52%
Clean Sheet32%37%26%
Corners11.5211.9611.00
Cards3.854.443.14
Leeds
Leeds
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDD1.76
HomeLWDWD2.08
AwayLLDDD1.44
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals2.863.202.52
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %52%64%40%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.802.321.28
Conceded1.060.881.24
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet36%40%32%
Corners9.179.788.60
Cards3.043.482.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches