Newcastle’s recent win against West Brom suggests a resilient home side, yet the model still favours an away victory for Liverpool, giving the Reds a 46% chance, a draw 27%, and a home win 27%. The expected goal total sits at 2.8, with the most likely single scoreline 1-1 at 12.8%. Newcastle, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 0.5 conceded, while Liverpool, on the road against a weaker side, averages 2.0 scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 88.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 73.7%, and Under 11.5 corners at 73.1%. Each pick is presented with its exact probability, and the edge percentages are omitted as they are not provided. The match is expected to be high-scoring and competitive, with Liverpool’s attacking edge tipped to secure the win.
Results analysis
A dramatic 3-3 draw shocked the Pythia model, which had tipped an away win for Liverpool with a 46% probability. The pre-match favourite failed to deliver, leaving the model’s call wrong. Newcastle’s recent form, a win that extended their run, and Liverpool’s draw-heavy run set the stage for a tense encounter. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 88.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 78.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 78.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 73.7% and Under 11.5 corners at 73.1%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage and no other figures were repeated.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Newcastle win✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.63
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.0%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.76
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✗ Miss
45.6%
Avg Implied 48.1% · @ 1.99
Edge
-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.27
1.87
0.87
1.60
1.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
1.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (22)
1.68
1.41
1.78
1.22
1.62
1.54
vs Weaker (5)
2.40
0.40
2.50
0.25
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.93
2.13
0.67
2.07
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
2.21
1.00
2.29
0.86
2.14
1.14
vs Weaker (16)
2.00
0.88
2.00
0.50
2.00
1.25
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.1%
Under 1.5
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.1%
@ 1.63-5.5%
Under 2.5
46.9%
@ 2.31+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.3%
0-1
8.6%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
7.2%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
Newcastle goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
8.6%
7.8%
4.2%
1.7%
1
6.1%
13%
9.3%
5.0%
2.0%
2
4.4%
7.0%
5.6%
3.0%
1.2%
3
1.7%
2.8%
2.2%
1.2%
0.5%
4
0.5%
0.8%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Newcastle is 0.47 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 2.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Newcastle is 0.47 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 2.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Newcastle is 0.16 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.08).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Newcastle is 7.3 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (51% vs 58%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Newcastle
For 6.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Liverpool
For 5.7 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.5 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.4
11.0
4.4
4.2
4.5
23.0
23.8
22.3
vs Stronger (7)
10.7
12.0
9.0
6.1
6.2
6.0
24.0
23.8
24.3
vs Similar (35)
11.2
11.5
10.9
4.3
4.3
4.2
22.7
23.6
21.9
vs Weaker (8)
11.6
10.5
13.0
3.2
2.4
4.7
23.6
24.5
22.3
% over line
64%
70%
58%
58%
56%
60%
57%
57%
58%
% under line
36%
30%
42%
42%
44%
40%
43%
43%
42%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.8
10.1
4.2
4.3
4.1
22.0
22.3
21.7
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
8.9
9.5
8.1
4.7
4.8
4.6
22.5
23.4
21.2
vs Weaker (31)
11.5
11.8
11.2
3.9
3.9
3.8
21.7
21.4
22.0
% over line
60%
68%
52%
54%
58%
50%
52%
56%
48%
% under line
40%
32%
48%
46%
42%
50%
48%
44%
52%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Manchester United
11.7
Bournemouth
11.6
Southampton
11.5
Manchester City
11.2
Brentford
11.0
Newcastle
11.0
Everton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Wolves
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.3
Chelsea
10.3
Aston Villa
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Leicester
9.8
Brighton
9.7
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Chelsea
5.5
Aston Villa
5.4
Wolves
5.0
Southampton
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Brighton
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Newcastle
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Leicester
4.3
Liverpool
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Brentford
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
West Ham
4.1
Arsenal
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Ipswich
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
25.0
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.7
Bournemouth
23.6
Chelsea
23.5
Crystal Palace
23.2
Newcastle
23.2
Ipswich
23.0
Southampton
22.7
Brighton
22.6
Arsenal
22.1
Liverpool
21.8
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.6
Leicester
21.3
Fulham
20.8
West Ham
20.8
Brentford
20.4
Manchester United
20.2
Manchester City
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.4%
Under 9.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
73.7%
Under 3.5
26.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.3%
Under 21.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.93
0.47
0.60
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.50
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.55
0.89
0.56
0.69
0.54
vs Weaker (5)
1.00
0.40
1.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.40
0.87
0.27
0.93
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.36
0.71
0.14
1.43
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
0.75
0.44
1.00
0.38
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.70
0.93
0.40
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.50
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.91
0.86
0.89
0.67
0.92
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.00
1.25
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Liverpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.53
1.27
0.40
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
1.14
0.64
1.57
0.71
0.71
0.57
vs Weaker (16)
1.25
0.44
1.00
0.12
1.50
0.75
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
73.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
73.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah56%
Cody Gakpo31%
Jayden Danns25%
Luis Díaz24%
Diogo Jota22%
Harvey Elliott18%
Dominik Szoboszlai16%
Alexis Mac Allister14%
Federico Chiesa14%
Darwin Núñez13%
Virgil van Dijk10%
Trent Alexander-Arnold9%
Curtis Jones7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Konstantinos Tsimikas0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
James McConnell25%
Alexis Mac Allister22%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Darwin Núñez19%
Ibrahima Konaté19%
Virgil van Dijk14%
Ryan Gravenberch14%
Harvey Elliott14%
Conor Bradley14%
Dominik Szoboszlai12%
Jarell Quansah12%
Joe Gomez12%
Trent Alexander-Arnold11%
Andrew Robertson11%
Konstantinos Tsimikas10%
Cody Gakpo10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Luis Díaz6%
Diogo Jota5%
Curtis Jones4%
Wataru Endo3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jayden Danns0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah37%
Tyler Morton20%
Trey Nyoni20%
Dominik Szoboszlai14%
Conor Bradley14%
Trent Alexander-Arnold14%
Curtis Jones13%
Cody Gakpo12%
Harvey Elliott11%
Darwin Núñez11%
Alexis Mac Allister10%
Luis Díaz10%
Ryan Gravenberch8%
Diogo Jota8%
Federico Chiesa7%
Konstantinos Tsimikas7%
Ibrahima Konaté5%
Andrew Robertson4%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah52%
Cody Gakpo24%
Darwin Núñez21%
Luis Díaz18%
Diogo Jota16%
Harvey Elliott11%
Dominik Szoboszlai10%
Federico Chiesa7%
Curtis Jones4%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Alexis Mac Allister4%
Konstantinos Tsimikas3%
Ibrahima Konaté2%
Trent Alexander-Arnold2%
Alisson0%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andrew Robertson0%
Ryan Gravenberch0%
Wataru Endo0%
Jarell Quansah0%
Tyler Morton0%
Conor Bradley0%
James McConnell0%
Jayden Danns0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WOL (29)
€311m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €412m less valuable than Liverpool's (€568m vs €980m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WOL (10)
€86m
WHU (7)
€84m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €284m less valuable than Liverpool's (€234m vs €518m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
WOL (5)
€111m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €77m less valuable than Liverpool's (€124m vs €201m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€115m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €51m less valuable than Liverpool's (€210m vs €260m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Aston Villa
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
West Ham
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton