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Newcastle vs Liverpool Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2025
Time: 20:00
Final 2-3
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
38%
26%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Referee: S Hooper
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Newcastle and Liverpool is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win at 38%. The draw sits at 26% and the away side’s chance is 36%. The expected total goals is 3.1, yet the most likely total is 2, a 23% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.9% probability. Newcastle’s home form shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and none conceded against stronger opponents, while Liverpool’s away form averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.25 conceded against weaker teams. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 88.1%, Under 25.5 fouls at 86.9%, Over 1.5 at 82.8%, Under 23.5 fouls at 76.0%, and Over 3.5 cards at 74.5%. Newcastle’s recent run of two wins and Liverpool’s recent draw set the stage for a competitive match.

Results analysis

Newcastle finished 2-3 against Liverpool (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 38% home win, 26% draw and 36% away win. Picks that landed: Over 2.5 cards (88%), Over 1.5 (83%), Over 3.5 cards (74%). Missed: Under 25.5 fouls (87%), Under 23.5 fouls (76%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✗ Miss
37.7%
Avg Implied 32.5% · @ 2.92
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.65
Edge
-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Liverpool win✓ Hit
36.3%
Avg Implied 41.5% · @ 2.29
Edge
-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W41W50W14L30W11D20W01L01L00DA·LEI07/04H·MAN13/04H·CRY16/04A·AST19/04H·IPS26/04A·BRI04/05H·CHE11/05A·ARS18/05H·EVE25/05A·AST16/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.072.471.001.601.13
vs Stronger (6)1.001.332.000.000.801.60
vs Similar (19)2.111.052.421.171.570.86
vs Weaker (5)3.000.803.000.503.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W23L21W10W51W13L22D23L11D42WH·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04A·CHE04/05H·ARS11/05A·BRI19/05H·CRY25/05H·BOU15/08
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.971.172.441.001.431.36
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.911.362.601.201.331.50
vs Weaker (19)2.001.052.360.911.501.25
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.8%
Under 1.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.1%
@ 1.56-0.2%
Under 2.5
39.9%
@ 2.37+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.3%
No
36.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-2
6.5%
1-0
5.9%
0-1
5.8%
0-0
5.5%
2-0
5.5%
Newcastle goals ↓
Liverpool goals →
01234
05.5%5.8%5.3%2.7%1.0%
15.9%12%8.3%4.3%1.6%
25.5%8.5%6.5%3.3%1.3%
32.9%4.4%3.4%1.8%0.7%
41.1%1.7%1.3%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Liverpool goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Newcastle is 0.29 points worse than Liverpool in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Newcastle is 0.26 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals scored per game (1.39 vs 1.66).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Newcastle is 0.05 goals worse than Liverpool in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Newcastle is 7.1 percentage points worse than Liverpool in terms of average possession (52% vs 59%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 6.3 · Against 5.2 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1706312371028411127754722129151710513149914A·ASTH·EVEA·ARSH·CHEA·BRIH·IPSA·ASTH·CRYH·MANA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

701214334312133123223567344522A·ASTH·EVEA·ARSH·CHEA·BRIH·IPSA·ASTH·CRYH·MANA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

250111312999913101599129915799824211822251821241617A·ASTH·EVEA·ARSH·CHEA·BRIH·IPSA·ASTH·CRYH·MANA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LiverpoolLiverpool

For 7.5 · Against 2.9 · Total 10.4

🚩 Corners

160671133316382131103441151311649101413816H·BOUH·CRYA·BRIH·ARSA·CHEH·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.6 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

4012211222212123223213433234H·BOUH·CRYA·BRIH·ARSA·CHEH·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

250710710891310111016971115891071117171723212518231918H·BOUH·CRYA·BRIH·ARSA·CHEH·TOTA·LEIH·WESA·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.610.13.64.03.122.723.821.6
vs Stronger (9)11.010.711.33.45.81.623.828.019.7
vs Similar (32)10.812.39.53.83.93.822.622.522.7
vs Weaker (9)10.79.312.02.73.02.222.025.718.3
% over line62%74%52%48%60%36%62%74%52%
% under line38%26%48%52%40%64%38%26%48%
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.510.63.33.43.220.721.619.6
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)10.710.311.13.23.72.620.222.717.5
vs Weaker (31)10.510.610.33.43.23.520.920.920.9
% over line60%59%62%42%40%44%42%50%33%
% under line40%41%38%58%60%56%58%50%67%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.2
Bournemouth
11.1
Newcastle
11.0
Brentford
11.0
Liverpool
10.5
Aston Villa
10.4
Everton
10.4
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Fulham
10.3
Manchester City
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Leeds
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Wolves
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Sunderland
9.7
Arsenal
9.4
Burnley
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Nottingham Forest
4.6
Wolves
4.4
Aston Villa
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Liverpool
4.0
Tottenham
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Brentford
3.8
Burnley
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Manchester City
3.8
West Ham
3.7
Everton
3.5
Leeds
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.4
Bournemouth
24.3
Tottenham
23.6
Sunderland
23.1
Burnley
23.1
Brighton
23.0
Aston Villa
22.8
Leeds
22.6
Newcastle
22.5
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Manchester United
21.8
Everton
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.5
Nottingham Forest
21.3
Fulham
21.1
Arsenal
21.1
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.4%
Under 9.5
44.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.5%
Under 3.5
25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
39.0%
Under 21.5
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W11D40W11D10W01L10W00D00D00DA·LEI07/04H·MAN13/04H·CRY16/04A·AST19/04H·IPS26/04A·BRI04/05H·CHE11/05A·ARS18/05H·EVE25/05A·AST16/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.531.400.401.130.67
vs Stronger (6)0.500.671.000.000.400.80
vs Similar (19)1.370.421.500.421.140.43
vs Weaker (5)1.800.801.000.502.331.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L10W00D31W01L20W21W01L10WH·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04A·CHE04/05H·ARS11/05A·BRI19/05H·CRY25/05H·BOU15/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.571.060.310.710.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)1.000.731.200.400.831.00
vs Weaker (19)0.840.471.000.270.620.75
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W10W03L20W10W10W01L01L00DA·LEI07/04H·MAN13/04H·CRY16/04A·AST19/04H·IPS26/04A·BRI04/05H·CHE11/05A·ARS18/05H·EVE25/05A·AST16/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.531.070.600.470.47
vs Stronger (6)0.500.671.000.000.400.80
vs Similar (19)0.740.630.920.750.430.43
vs Weaker (5)1.200.002.000.000.670.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Liverpool) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LiverpoolLiverpool

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W11D10W20W12L02L02L10W32WH·EVE02/04A·FUL06/04H·WES13/04A·LEI20/04H·TOT27/04A·CHE04/05H·ARS11/05A·BRI19/05H·CRY25/05H·BOU15/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.601.380.690.710.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.910.641.400.800.500.50
vs Weaker (19)1.160.581.360.640.880.50
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Liverpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards88.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls86.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.582.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls76.0%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards74.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anthony Gordon29%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Harvey Barnes21%
William Osula21%
Nick Woltemade20%
Joelinton12%
Yoane Wissa11%
Jacob Murphy9%
Lewis Miley9%
Malick Thiaw8%
Sven Botman5%
Fabian Schär5%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Dan Burn5%
Sandro Tonali4%
Joe Willock3%
Lewis Hall2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Alex Murphy0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton38%
Dan Burn28%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Malick Thiaw17%
Kieran Trippier17%
Joe Willock16%
Yoane Wissa15%
Fabian Schär14%
Aaron Ramsdale14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Jacob Ramsey12%
Anthony Gordon9%
Lewis Hall9%
Nick Pope6%
Sven Botman5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Harvey Barnes4%
Anthony Elanga2%
Nick Woltemade2%
Emil Krafth0%
William Osula0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Guimarães15%
Lewis Miley12%
Dan Burn12%
Sandro Tonali12%
Kieran Trippier11%
Jacob Murphy11%
Anthony Gordon11%
Harvey Barnes11%
Nick Woltemade8%
Joe Willock8%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Joelinton5%
Lewis Hall4%
Valentino Livramento4%
Yoane Wissa4%
William Osula3%
Nick Pope3%
Sven Botman3%
Anthony Elanga2%
Fabian Schär0%
Emil Krafth0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Alex Murphy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anthony Gordon24%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Harvey Barnes14%
Jacob Murphy13%
Fabian Schär10%
Joelinton7%
Nick Woltemade6%
William Osula6%
Sandro Tonali4%
Yoane Wissa4%
Sven Botman3%
Joe Willock3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Nick Pope0%
Dan Burn0%
Jacob Ramsey0%
Aaron Ramsdale0%
Anthony Elanga0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Malick Thiaw0%
Lewis Hall0%
Alex Murphy0%
Lewis Miley0%
Liverpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mohamed Salah30%
Hugo Ekitiké30%
Dominik Szoboszlai25%
Alexander Isak18%
Cody Gakpo18%
Florian Wirtz15%
Virgil van Dijk13%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Andy Robertson9%
Federico Chiesa8%
Alexis Mac Allister7%
Rio Ngumoha7%
Curtis Jones6%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Ibrahima Konaté4%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Conor Bradley33%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Joe Gomez18%
Ibrahima Konaté18%
Alexis Mac Allister17%
Ryan Gravenberch16%
Virgil van Dijk11%
Federico Chiesa11%
Miloš Kerkez11%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones8%
Cody Gakpo6%
Hugo Ekitiké5%
Alisson3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Andy Robertson3%
Mohamed Salah2%
Florian Wirtz2%
Alexander Isak0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Rio Ngumoha0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Salah25%
Dominik Szoboszlai19%
Florian Wirtz12%
Ryan Gravenberch12%
Hugo Ekitiké11%
Cody Gakpo10%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Wataru Endo9%
Curtis Jones6%
Joe Gomez6%
Andy Robertson6%
Federico Chiesa6%
Conor Bradley5%
Alexander Isak5%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Jeremie Frimpong3%
Virgil van Dijk2%
Alisson0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mohamed Salah28%
Hugo Ekitiké23%
Dominik Szoboszlai21%
Cody Gakpo18%
Alexis Mac Allister9%
Alexander Isak9%
Florian Wirtz8%
Virgil van Dijk4%
Rio Ngumoha3%
Federico Chiesa3%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Ryan Gravenberch2%
Alisson0%
Joe Gomez0%
Andy Robertson0%
Curtis Jones0%
Ibrahima Konaté0%
Wataru Endo0%
Freddie Woodman0%
Giorgi Mamardashvili0%
Jeremie Frimpong0%
Conor Bradley0%
Trey Nyoni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Newcastle's squad is €412m less valuable than Liverpool's (€568m vs €980m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Newcastle's attack is €284m less valuable than Liverpool's (€234m vs €518m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Newcastle's midfield is €77m less valuable than Liverpool's (€124m vs €201m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Newcastle's defence is €51m less valuable than Liverpool's (€210m vs €260m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
NEW wins
1
Draws
6
LIV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Liverpool · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/25ALiverpool Vs NEW1-2
26/02/25ALiverpool Vs NEW2-0
04/12/24HNEW Vs Liverpool3-3
01/01/24ALiverpool Vs NEW4-2
27/08/23HNEW Vs Liverpool1-2
18/02/23HNEW Vs Liverpool0-2
31/08/22ALiverpool Vs NEW2-1
30/04/22HNEW Vs Liverpool0-1

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25AAston Villa Vs NEW0-0
25/05/25HNEW Vs Everton0-1
18/05/25AArsenal Vs NEW1-0
11/05/25HNEW Vs Chelsea2-0
04/05/25ABrighton Vs NEW1-1
26/04/25HNEW Vs Ipswich3-0
19/04/25AAston Villa Vs NEW4-1
16/04/25HNEW Vs Crystal Palace5-0
13/04/25HNEW Vs Manchester United4-1
07/04/25ALeicester Vs NEW0-3

LiverpoolLiverpool

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/25HLIV Vs Bournemouth4-2
25/05/25HLIV Vs Crystal Palace1-1
19/05/25ABrighton Vs LIV3-2
11/05/25HLIV Vs Arsenal2-2
04/05/25AChelsea Vs LIV3-1
27/04/25HLIV Vs Tottenham5-1
20/04/25ALeicester Vs LIV0-1
13/04/25HLIV Vs West Ham2-1
06/04/25AFulham Vs LIV3-2
02/04/25HLIV Vs Everton1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLD1.92
HomeWWWWL2.16
AwayWLDLD1.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%68%48%
AVG goals2.963.002.92
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %34%32%36%
Scored1.842.081.60
Conceded1.120.921.32
BTTS52%44%60%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners10.8011.5810.10
Cards4.455.263.71
Liverpool
Liverpool
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDW2.16
HomeWWDDW2.44
AwayWLWLL1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%76%56%
AVG goals3.263.243.28
Over 1.5 %82%92%72%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored2.182.401.96
Conceded1.080.841.32
BTTS58%60%56%
Clean Sheet36%36%36%
Corners10.5610.5010.62
Cards3.813.863.76

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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