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Newcastle vs Manchester United Result & Analysis

Date: 02/12/2023
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
59%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: R Jones

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
59.3%
Avg Implied 48.2% · @ 2.00
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.76
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.68
Edge
-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W22D40W01L22D10W02L02L41W11DH·PAR04/10A·WES08/10H·CRY21/10H·BOR25/10A·WOL28/10H·ARS04/11A·BOR07/11A·BOU11/11H·CHE25/11A·PAR28/11
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.102.470.731.871.47
vs Stronger (6)1.171.171.501.250.501.00
vs Similar (20)2.251.153.110.561.551.64
vs Weaker (4)3.250.751.500.505.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L21W21W10W03L10W34L10W30W33DH·GAL03/10H·BRE07/10A·SHE21/10H·FC 24/10H·MAN29/10A·FUL04/11A·FC 08/11H·LUT11/11A·EVE26/11A·GAL29/11
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.371.601.131.471.60
vs Stronger (2)1.503.500.003.003.004.00
vs Similar (17)1.531.591.751.381.331.78
vs Weaker (11)1.550.641.670.501.400.80
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.7%
Under 1.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.6%
@ 1.73+0.2%
Under 2.5
44.4%
@ 2.15-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.2%
Under 3.5
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
54.0%
No
46.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-0 ✓
9.6%
3-0
6.7%
0-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
Newcastle goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
06.5%4.2%2.5%0.8%0.2%
19.6%11%4.9%1.6%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.5%0.4%
36.7%6.5%3.1%1.0%0.2%
43.3%3.1%1.5%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Newcastle and Manchester United are level in average points per game (both 1.58).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Newcastle is 0.74 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (2.24 vs 1.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Newcastle is 0.11 goals worse than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Newcastle is 1.7 percentage points better than Manchester United in terms of average possession (52% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.2 · Against 6.9 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

2002642564711781196824188611111115201469A·PARH·CHEA·BOUA·BORH·ARSA·WOLH·BORH·CRYA·WESH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

9036451215141112333349931652567A·PARH·CHEA·BOUA·BORH·ARSA·WOLH·BORH·CRYA·WESH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.2

⚠️ Fouls

32071413194105131491513815712181116921321418232823192925A·PARH·CHEA·BOUA·BORH·ARSA·WOLH·BORH·CRYA·WESH·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 5.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.8

🚩 Corners

190355611333497125945759381114613191491212A·GALA·EVEH·LUTA·FC A·FULH·MANH·FC A·SHEH·BREH·GAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

7042322125412135436323752457A·GALA·EVEH·LUTA·FC A·FULH·MANH·FC A·SHEH·BREH·GAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

330181581091189159948610121017131633182017241314222729A·GALA·EVEH·LUTA·FC A·FULH·MANH·FC A·SHEH·BREH·GAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.711.010.34.34.44.222.622.822.3
vs Stronger (9)10.312.08.25.84.67.222.722.622.8
vs Similar (34)10.610.410.74.34.63.923.323.922.7
vs Weaker (7)11.713.010.82.73.32.218.917.320.0
% over line64%68%60%58%60%56%52%56%48%
% under line36%32%40%42%40%44%48%44%52%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.511.911.13.84.03.620.320.520.2
vs Stronger (5)9.68.311.54.24.73.519.219.319.0
vs Similar (28)11.111.710.64.04.33.719.820.319.3
vs Weaker (17)12.713.312.03.43.23.521.621.122.2
% over line74%76%72%52%56%48%36%32%40%
% under line26%24%28%48%44%52%64%68%60%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.5
Bournemouth
11.1
Tottenham
10.9
West Ham
10.7
Newcastle
10.7
Everton
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Luton
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Burnley
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Brentford
9.9
Arsenal
9.9
Nottingham Forest
9.9
Aston Villa
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Manchester City
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Brighton
4.6
Tottenham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.4
Crystal Palace
4.3
Newcastle
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Burnley
4.2
Everton
4.1
Manchester City
4.0
Fulham
3.9
Luton
3.9
Manchester United
3.8
Arsenal
3.8
Brentford
3.5
Bournemouth
3.4
Liverpool
3.4
West Ham
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.3
Chelsea
23.9
Wolves
23.8
Aston Villa
23.7
Brighton
23.5
Tottenham
23.4
Luton
22.9
Newcastle
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.0
Fulham
21.9
Arsenal
21.2
Liverpool
21.1
Brentford
21.0
Everton
21.0
Manchester City
21.0
Burnley
20.8
Bournemouth
20.6
Manchester United
20.3
Sheffield United
20.3
West Ham
19.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
79.2%
Under 9.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
71.3%
Under 3.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
61.2%
Under 21.5
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L30W01L21W00D01L00D11D10WH·PAR04/10A·WES08/10H·CRY21/10H·BOR25/10A·WOL28/10H·ARS04/11A·BOR07/11A·BOU11/11H·CHE25/11A·PAR28/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.501.130.330.730.67
vs Stronger (6)0.670.330.750.250.500.50
vs Similar (20)0.950.551.560.330.450.73
vs Weaker (4)1.250.500.000.502.500.50
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L11D00D01L00D22D00D10W21WH·GAL03/10H·BRE07/10A·SHE21/10H·FC 24/10H·MAN29/10A·FUL04/11A·FC 08/11H·LUT11/11A·EVE26/11A·GAL29/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.670.530.800.60
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.820.650.620.751.000.56
vs Weaker (11)0.730.270.830.170.600.40
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W10W00D01L10W01L02L30W01LH·PAR04/10A·WES08/10H·CRY21/10H·BOR25/10A·WOL28/10H·ARS04/11A·BOR07/11A·BOU11/11H·CHE25/11A·PAR28/11
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.601.330.401.130.80
vs Stronger (6)0.500.830.751.000.000.50
vs Similar (20)1.300.601.560.221.090.91
vs Weaker (4)2.000.251.500.002.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L20W10W10W02L10W12L10W20W12LH·GAL03/10H·BRE07/10A·SHE21/10H·FC 24/10H·MAN29/10A·FUL04/11A·FC 08/11H·LUT11/11A·EVE26/11A·GAL29/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.930.600.671.00
vs Stronger (2)1.502.000.002.003.002.00
vs Similar (17)0.710.941.120.620.331.22
vs Weaker (11)0.820.360.830.330.800.40
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners87.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards86.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 9.5 corners79.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls76.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards71.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rasmus Højlund33%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Marcus Rashford19%
Scott McTominay16%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Alejandro Garnacho12%
Harry Maguire12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
Amad Diallo11%
Casemiro7%
Mason Mount6%
Anthony Martial6%
Diogo Dalot5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Christian Eriksen4%
Raphaël Varane4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luke Shaw50%
Lisandro Martínez33%
Sofyan Amrabat31%
Casemiro30%
Sergio Reguilón27%
Bruno Fernandes27%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka20%
Harry Maguire19%
Antony18%
Diogo Dalot14%
Hannibal Mejbri14%
Mason Mount12%
Willy Kambwala12%
Kobbie Mainoo12%
André Onana11%
Amad Diallo11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Victor Lindelöf9%
Scott McTominay8%
Jonny Evans8%
Raphaël Varane8%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Marcus Rashford5%
Christian Eriksen4%
Jadon Sancho0%
Anthony Martial0%
Facundo Pellistri0%
Omari Forson0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Omari Forson25%
Bruno Fernandes24%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka12%
Christian Eriksen12%
Amad Diallo11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Alejandro Garnacho10%
Lisandro Martínez8%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Casemiro7%
Diogo Dalot7%
Luke Shaw7%
Anthony Martial6%
Rasmus Højlund6%
Scott McTominay5%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Jonny Evans4%
Kobbie Mainoo4%
Antony3%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bruno Fernandes37%
Alejandro Garnacho26%
Casemiro11%
Amad Diallo11%
Rasmus Højlund11%
Scott McTominay11%
Marcus Rashford11%
Antony9%
Facundo Pellistri8%
Harry Maguire8%
Diogo Dalot2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Sofyan Amrabat0%
Christian Eriksen0%
André Onana0%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Raphaël Varane0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Anthony Martial0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Mason Mount0%
Hannibal Mejbri0%
Omari Forson0%
Kobbie Mainoo0%
Willy Kambwala0%
Ethan Wheatley0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Newcastle's squad is €362m less valuable than Manchester United's (€568m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Newcastle's attack is €198m less valuable than Manchester United's (€234m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Newcastle's midfield is €112m less valuable than Manchester United's (€124m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Newcastle's defence is €52m less valuable than Manchester United's (€210m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
NEW wins
2
Draws
3
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Manchester United · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
02/04/23HNEW Vs Manchester United2-0
16/10/22AManchester United Vs NEW0-0
27/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester United1-1
11/09/21AManchester United Vs NEW4-1
21/02/21AManchester United Vs NEW3-1
17/10/20HNEW Vs Manchester United1-4

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/11/23AParis Saint Germain Vs NEW1-1
25/11/23HNEW Vs Chelsea4-1
11/11/23ABournemouth Vs NEW2-0
07/11/23ABorussia Dortmund Vs NEW2-0
04/11/23HNEW Vs Arsenal1-0
28/10/23AWolves Vs NEW2-2
25/10/23HNEW Vs Borussia Dortmund0-1
21/10/23HNEW Vs Crystal Palace4-0
08/10/23AWest Ham Vs NEW2-2
04/10/23HNEW Vs Paris Saint Germain4-1

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/23AGalatasaray Vs MU3-3
26/11/23AEverton Vs MU0-3
11/11/23HMU Vs Luton1-0
08/11/23AFC Copenhagen Vs MU4-3
04/11/23AFulham Vs MU0-1
29/10/23HMU Vs Manchester City0-3
24/10/23HMU Vs FC Copenhagen1-0
21/10/23ASheffield United Vs MU1-2
07/10/23HMU Vs Brentford2-1
03/10/23HMU Vs Galatasaray2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWD1.84
HomeWWLWW2.20
AwayDDLLD1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%68%36%
AVG goals2.862.802.92
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.942.121.76
Conceded0.920.681.16
BTTS50%44%56%
Clean Sheet34%44%24%
Corners10.6811.0410.32
Cards4.324.444.20
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWD1.82
HomeLWWLW2.28
AwayWWLWD1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals2.922.763.08
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %58%64%52%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.601.841.36
Conceded1.320.921.72
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners11.5011.8811.12
Cards3.803.963.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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