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Newcastle vs Manchester United Result & Analysis

Date: 13/04/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 4-1
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
46%
27%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Referee: C Kavanagh

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
45.9%
Avg Implied 59.5% · @ 1.61
Edge
-13.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 22.3% · @ 4.29
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Manchester United win✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied 18.2% · @ 5.26
Edge
+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W32W04L43W02L11D10W21W21W30WH·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03A·LIV16/03H·BRE02/04A·LEI07/04
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.232.201.201.931.27
vs Stronger (7)1.431.432.001.001.001.75
vs Similar (17)1.941.351.891.562.001.12
vs Weaker (6)3.170.673.330.333.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D32W11D11D11D41W30W01L00D22DA·EVE22/02H·IPS26/02H·FUL02/03A·REA06/03H·ARS09/03H·REA13/03A·LEI16/03A·NOT01/04H·MAN06/04A·LYO10/04
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.431.731.531.401.33
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Similar (18)1.391.891.602.001.121.75
vs Weaker (10)2.000.802.500.751.670.83
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.62-4.2%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 2.32+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.1%
No
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.8%
Newcastle goals ↓
Manchester United goals →
01234
06.8%5.8%4.3%1.8%0.5%
18.2%13%7.0%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.4%5.8%2.4%0.7%
34.2%5.1%3.2%1.3%0.4%
41.7%2.1%1.3%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Manchester United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Newcastle is 0.63 points better than Manchester United in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Newcastle is 0.63 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.16).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Newcastle is 0.18 goals better than Manchester United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Newcastle is 3.0 percentage points worse than Manchester United in terms of average possession (51% vs 54%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 4.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1402124543247647478376421497613111111136A·LEIH·BREA·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

80211111414411622211518172A·LEIH·BREA·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

250981212157111211131351015510718101317242223241825152523A·LEIH·BREA·WESA·LIVH·NOTA·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Manchester UnitedManchester United

For 5.6 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

1608553103466429265697510138131010118111615A·LYOH·MANA·NOTA·LEIH·REAH·ARSA·REAH·IPSA·EVEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

10041323122811154142155421012953A·LYOH·MANA·NOTA·LEIH·REAH·ARSA·REAH·IPSA·EVEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 10.6 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

250141013912566613811131191691291324221712191924252122A·LYOH·MANA·NOTA·LEIH·REAH·ARSA·REAH·IPSA·EVEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.211.610.83.53.83.222.924.321.6
vs Stronger (8)9.810.78.53.15.80.525.028.020.5
vs Similar (32)11.612.710.83.93.74.122.823.522.3
vs Weaker (10)10.49.212.02.42.52.221.624.018.3
% over line65%74%57%46%52%40%68%79%57%
% under line35%26%43%54%48%60%32%21%43%
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.810.53.73.93.421.021.520.5
vs Stronger (2)9.08.010.03.55.02.020.522.019.0
vs Similar (32)10.79.911.64.14.83.421.622.620.5
vs Weaker (16)9.09.88.42.82.13.719.518.020.6
% over line55%55%55%56%58%54%55%59%50%
% under line45%45%45%44%42%46%45%41%50%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.2
Bournemouth
11.4
Brentford
11.0
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.9
Ipswich
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Liverpool
10.4
Southampton
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Manchester United
10.3
Crystal Palace
10.2
Brighton
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Wolves
9.8
Leicester
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Chelsea
9.7
Arsenal
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Wolves
4.5
Aston Villa
4.5
Newcastle
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Southampton
4.1
Arsenal
4.1
Tottenham
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Leicester
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.8
Ipswich
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Manchester City
3.6
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Tottenham
24.1
Wolves
23.9
Southampton
23.4
Aston Villa
23.4
Brighton
23.1
Newcastle
22.8
Ipswich
22.7
Crystal Palace
22.4
Chelsea
22.3
West Ham
22.1
Everton
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Leicester
21.5
Arsenal
21.3
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.7
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
62.8%
Under 9.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.2%
Under 3.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
46.5%
Under 21.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D03L41W01L11D00D10W10W30WH·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03A·LIV16/03H·BRE02/04A·LEI07/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.270.601.270.401.270.80
vs Stronger (7)0.710.571.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (17)1.350.591.440.561.250.62
vs Weaker (6)1.670.671.000.332.331.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L22D01L00D10W11D10W01L00D11DA·EVE22/02H·IPS26/02H·FUL02/03A·REA06/03H·ARS09/03H·REA13/03A·LEI16/03A·NOT01/04H·MAN06/04A·LYO10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.670.870.130.47
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (18)0.500.780.801.000.120.50
vs Weaker (10)0.300.500.500.750.170.33
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W01L02L01L00D10W11D11D00DH·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02H·NOT23/02A·LIV26/02H·BRI02/03A·WES10/03A·LIV16/03H·BRE02/04A·LEI07/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.930.800.670.47
vs Stronger (7)0.710.861.001.000.500.75
vs Similar (17)0.590.760.441.000.750.50
vs Weaker (6)1.500.002.330.000.670.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Manchester United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W11D01L30W20W00D00D11DA·EVE22/02H·IPS26/02H·FUL02/03A·REA06/03H·ARS09/03H·REA13/03A·LEI16/03A·NOT01/04H·MAN06/04A·LYO10/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.771.070.671.270.87
vs Stronger (2)1.000.000.000.002.000.00
vs Similar (18)0.891.110.801.001.001.25
vs Weaker (10)1.700.302.000.001.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manchester United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls82.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.579.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners74.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Manchester United
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno Fernandes27%
Marcus Rashford22%
Amad Diallo19%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Rasmus Højlund15%
Joshua Zirkzee12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Harry Maguire10%
Casemiro10%
Jonny Evans8%
Mason Mount8%
Antony7%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Diogo Dalot6%
Kobbie Mainoo6%
Matthijs de Ligt5%
Manuel Ugarte4%
Leny Yoro3%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Manuel Ugarte33%
Lisandro Martínez29%
Harry Maguire26%
Tyrell Malacia25%
Leny Yoro21%
Patrick Dorgu20%
Casemiro20%
Kobbie Mainoo19%
Mason Mount19%
Marcus Rashford17%
Jonny Evans17%
Ayden Heaven17%
Bruno Fernandes14%
Amad Diallo14%
Diogo Dalot13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Matthijs de Ligt12%
Christian Eriksen11%
Noussair Mazraoui11%
Altay Bayındır10%
Alejandro Garnacho9%
Luke Shaw8%
Toby Collyer8%
Joshua Zirkzee6%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
André Onana2%
Antony0%
Harry Amass0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bruno Fernandes25%
Amad Diallo17%
Alejandro Garnacho16%
Marcus Rashford13%
Christian Eriksen11%
Manuel Ugarte11%
Diogo Dalot10%
Lisandro Martínez6%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Rasmus Højlund4%
Noussair Mazraoui4%
Leny Yoro3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Harry Maguire3%
Casemiro2%
André Onana0%
Matthijs de Ligt0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Antony0%
Jonny Evans0%
Mason Mount0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Toby Collyer0%
Patrick Dorgu0%
Chido Obi-Martin0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho32%
Bruno Fernandes29%
Casemiro15%
Antony14%
Marcus Rashford13%
Chido Obi-Martin12%
Amad Diallo12%
Rasmus Højlund12%
Harry Maguire8%
Patrick Dorgu5%
Joshua Zirkzee4%
Diogo Dalot4%
Mason Mount4%
Christian Eriksen3%
Kobbie Mainoo3%
Matthijs de Ligt2%
André Onana0%
Noussair Mazraoui0%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Luke Shaw0%
Lisandro Martínez0%
Jonny Evans0%
Tyrell Malacia0%
Altay Bayındır0%
Manuel Ugarte0%
Toby Collyer0%
Leny Yoro0%
Ayden Heaven0%
Harry Amass0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €362m less valuable than Manchester United's (€568m vs €929m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €198m less valuable than Manchester United's (€234m vs €432m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €112m less valuable than Manchester United's (€124m vs €236m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €52m less valuable than Manchester United's (€210m vs €261m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
NEW wins
2
Draws
3
MU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Manchester United · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/24AManchester United Vs NEW0-2
15/05/24AManchester United Vs NEW3-2
02/12/23HNEW Vs Manchester United1-0
02/04/23HNEW Vs Manchester United2-0
16/10/22AManchester United Vs NEW0-0
27/12/21HNEW Vs Manchester United1-1
11/09/21AManchester United Vs NEW4-1
21/02/21AManchester United Vs NEW3-1

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/04/25ALeicester Vs NEW0-3
02/04/25HNEW Vs Brentford2-1
16/03/25ALiverpool Vs NEW1-2
10/03/25AWest Ham Vs NEW0-1
02/03/25HNEW Vs Brighton1-1
26/02/25ALiverpool Vs NEW2-0
23/02/25HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest4-3
15/02/25AManchester City Vs NEW4-0
08/02/25ABirmingham Vs NEW2-3
05/02/25HNEW Vs Arsenal2-0

Manchester UnitedManchester United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/04/25ALyon Vs MU2-2
06/04/25HMU Vs Manchester City0-0
01/04/25ANottingham Forest Vs MU1-0
16/03/25ALeicester Vs MU0-3
13/03/25HMU Vs Real Sociedad4-1
09/03/25HMU Vs Arsenal1-1
06/03/25AReal Sociedad Vs MU1-1
02/03/25HMU Vs Fulham1-1
26/02/25HMU Vs Ipswich3-2
22/02/25AEverton Vs MU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.98
HomeLWWDW2.12
AwayLLWWW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%64%56%
AVG goals3.163.203.12
Over 1.5 %86%84%88%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %38%36%40%
Scored1.962.121.80
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS58%56%60%
Clean Sheet32%36%28%
Corners11.1811.6310.76
Cards4.384.953.86
Manchester United
Manchester United
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 6 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.56
HomeWDDWD1.81
AwayDDWLD1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%54%29%
AVG goals2.983.352.58
Over 1.5 %86%92%79%
Over 2.5 %56%65%46%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.681.961.38
Conceded1.301.381.21
BTTS56%58%54%
Clean Sheet26%23%29%
Corners10.149.7710.50
Cards4.164.593.73

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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