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Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Date: 23/02/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 4-3
Newcastle
Newcastle
Vs
56%
23%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Referee: J Gillett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newcastle win✓ Hit
55.8%
Avg Implied 50.3% · @ 1.91
Edge
+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 25.0% · @ 3.84
Edge
-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.89
Edge
-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W31W30W14L31W12L20W32W04LA·TOT04/01A·ARS07/01H·BRO12/01H·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.201.881.001.861.43
vs Stronger (6)1.501.331.751.001.002.00
vs Similar (17)1.651.351.501.381.781.33
vs Weaker (7)2.710.712.750.252.671.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-710W20W30W20W11D32W05L70W22D12LH·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.201.800.931.531.47
vs Stronger (6)0.831.831.502.000.501.75
vs Similar (22)1.861.051.830.831.901.30
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.000.002.002.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.6%
Under 1.5
15.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.2%
@ 1.59+2.9%
Under 2.5
36.8%
@ 2.42-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.0%
Under 3.5
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.0%
No
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.5%
Newcastle goals ↓
Nottingham Forest goals →
01234
04.8%3.7%2.8%1.1%0.3%
16.9%10%5.8%2.3%0.7%
28.1%9.8%5.9%2.4%0.7%
35.5%6.7%4.0%1.6%0.5%
42.8%3.4%2.1%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Nottingham Forest goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Newcastle is 0.03 points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average points per game (1.74 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Newcastle is 0.26 goals better than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals scored per game (1.79 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Newcastle is 0.03 goals worse than Nottingham Forest in terms of goals conceded per game (1.24 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Newcastle is 10.2 percentage points better than Nottingham Forest in terms of average possession (51% vs 41%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NewcastleNewcastle

For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

1904747837642109329612521111111361951537A·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·ASTA·IPSH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

8014411624111222331817252426A·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·ASTA·IPSH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 12.0 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

26013510155107181013151181315107971618251525232621251623A·MANH·FULA·SOUH·BOUH·WOLA·TOTA·MANH·ASTA·IPSH·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

For 3.7 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1404846932893545275943121012109899147A·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.8

🟨 Cards

7013324212114334310454335671A·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 11.4 · Total 20.9

⚠️ Fouls

2508138131294187108101013121314912621212122171823252318A·FULH·BRIA·BOUH·SOUH·LIVA·WOLA·EVEH·TOTA·BREH·AST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.911.210.73.73.83.623.024.621.5
vs Stronger (7)10.410.710.03.65.80.724.628.019.5
vs Similar (32)11.312.410.74.24.14.322.824.121.9
vs Weaker (11)9.69.211.02.52.52.322.824.019.0
% over line62%70%55%52%56%48%62%75%50%
% under line38%30%45%48%44%52%38%25%50%
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.610.94.23.74.821.921.322.4
vs Stronger (9)11.011.410.54.62.67.018.417.819.2
vs Similar (38)10.610.410.94.44.24.622.522.322.8
vs Weaker (3)13.0-13.01.00.01.527.0-27.0
% over line62%62%61%64%62%67%55%46%65%
% under line38%38%39%36%38%33%45%54%35%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Bournemouth
11.7
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.2
Everton
10.9
Newcastle
10.8
Southampton
10.8
Ipswich
10.6
Manchester City
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.4
Aston Villa
10.2
Brighton
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Leicester
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Wolves
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Southampton
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Liverpool
4.2
Tottenham
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Manchester United
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.0
Bournemouth
23.8
Tottenham
23.7
Wolves
23.5
Southampton
23.2
Brighton
22.9
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.8
Chelsea
22.6
Ipswich
22.6
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.8
West Ham
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Liverpool
21.1
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.4
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
77.1%
Under 9.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
55.7%
Under 3.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
54.2%
Under 21.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W11D10W12L21W10W10W22D03LA·TOT04/01A·ARS07/01H·BRO12/01H·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.670.940.381.071.00
vs Stronger (6)0.670.670.750.250.501.50
vs Similar (17)1.060.651.000.501.110.78
vs Weaker (7)1.140.711.000.251.331.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W20W10W10W30W01L30W21W11DH·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.430.930.200.800.67
vs Stronger (6)0.330.671.000.500.000.75
vs Similar (22)0.950.360.920.171.000.60
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.000.002.001.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W20W02L10W02L10W10W01LA·TOT04/01A·ARS07/01H·BRO12/01H·WOL15/01H·BOU18/01A·SOU25/01H·FUL01/02H·ARS05/02A·BIR08/02A·MAN15/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.530.940.620.790.43
vs Stronger (6)0.830.671.000.750.500.50
vs Similar (17)0.590.710.500.880.670.56
vs Weaker (7)1.570.001.750.001.330.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Nottingham Forest) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W10W10W01L02L04L40W01L01LH·TOT26/12A·EVE29/12A·WOL06/01H·LUT11/01H·LIV14/01H·SOU19/01A·BOU25/01H·BRI01/02A·EXE11/02A·FUL15/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.770.870.730.730.80
vs Stronger (6)0.501.170.501.500.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.910.680.920.670.900.70
vs Weaker (2)0.500.501.000.000.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nottingham Forest over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 8.5 corners85.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners77.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls76.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls70.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak52%
Anthony Gordon21%
Harvey Barnes20%
Jacob Murphy17%
Fabian Schär14%
Sandro Tonali11%
Joelinton11%
Bruno Guimarães11%
William Osula11%
Lewis Miley11%
Joe Willock5%
Callum Wilson5%
Dan Burn4%
Kieran Trippier0%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton32%
Fabian Schär29%
Dan Burn26%
Bruno Guimarães21%
Lloyd Kelly14%
Sandro Tonali13%
Sean Longstaff12%
Nick Pope12%
Joe Willock12%
Lewis Hall12%
Emil Krafth11%
Sven Botman10%
Jacob Murphy10%
Anthony Gordon10%
Valentino Livramento7%
William Osula5%
Callum Wilson5%
Kieran Trippier3%
Alexander Isak2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Harvey Barnes0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Matt Targett0%
Lewis Miley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Murphy29%
Matt Targett20%
Bruno Guimarães15%
Alexander Isak14%
Anthony Gordon14%
Lewis Hall12%
Harvey Barnes10%
Kieran Trippier10%
Joelinton8%
Lloyd Kelly7%
Sandro Tonali7%
William Osula5%
Joe Willock5%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär2%
Valentino Livramento2%
Dan Burn2%
Miguel Almirón0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Nick Pope0%
Sven Botman0%
Lewis Miley0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak33%
Harvey Barnes15%
Anthony Gordon12%
William Osula11%
Jacob Murphy10%
Joelinton8%
Joe Willock7%
Miguel Almirón7%
Bruno Guimarães6%
Fabian Schär5%
Lewis Hall3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Emil Krafth0%
Callum Wilson0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Sean Longstaff0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Miley0%
Nottingham Forest
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Wood42%
Morgan Gibbs-White18%
Callum Hudson-Odoi14%
Ramón Sosa13%
Nikola Milenković12%
Anthony Elanga12%
Jota Silva11%
Ryan Yates10%
Taiwo Awoniyi6%
Ola Aina5%
Murillo5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Neco Williams3%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Nicolás Domínguez0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Morgan Gibbs-White32%
Ryan Yates31%
Nicolás Domínguez28%
Elliot Anderson26%
Ibrahim Sangaré24%
Neco Williams23%
Morato21%
Jota Silva16%
Álex Moreno16%
Murillo15%
Harry Toffolo14%
Ola Aina14%
Willy Boly11%
Nikola Milenković10%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Matz Sels10%
Ramón Sosa9%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Chris Wood2%
Anthony Elanga2%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Danilo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Anthony Elanga23%
Morgan Gibbs-White21%
Elliot Anderson14%
Ibrahim Sangaré12%
James Ward-Prowse10%
Neco Williams8%
Chris Wood8%
Callum Hudson-Odoi6%
Jota Silva5%
Álex Moreno5%
Nikola Milenković5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Ola Aina3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ryan Yates3%
Matz Sels0%
Taiwo Awoniyi0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Wood25%
Morgan Gibbs-White24%
Elliot Anderson7%
Anthony Elanga7%
Ryan Yates5%
Neco Williams5%
Ramón Sosa4%
Taiwo Awoniyi3%
Callum Hudson-Odoi3%
Jota Silva3%
Nicolás Domínguez3%
Ola Aina0%
Nikola Milenković0%
Matz Sels0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Carlos Miguel0%
Harry Toffolo0%
Willy Boly0%
Ibrahim Sangaré0%
Álex Moreno0%
Morato0%
Danilo0%
Murillo0%
Eric da Silva Moreira0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Newcastle's squad is €17m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€568m vs €551m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Newcastle's attack is €29m less valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€234m vs €263m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Newcastle's midfield is €72m more valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€124m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Newcastle's defence is €26m less valuable than Nottingham Forest's (€210m vs €236m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
4
NEW wins
1
Draws
1
NFO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newcastle vs Nottingham Forest · H/A from NEW
DateH/AGameScore
10/11/24ANottingham Forest Vs NEW1-3
28/08/24ANottingham Forest Vs NEW1-1
10/02/24ANottingham Forest Vs NEW2-3
26/12/23HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
17/03/23ANottingham Forest Vs NEW1-2
06/08/22HNEW Vs Nottingham Forest2-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AManchester City Vs NEW4-0
08/02/25ABirmingham Vs NEW2-3
05/02/25HNEW Vs Arsenal2-0
01/02/25HNEW Vs Fulham1-2
25/01/25ASouthampton Vs NEW1-3
18/01/25HNEW Vs Bournemouth1-4
15/01/25HNEW Vs Wolves3-0
12/01/25HNEW Vs Bromley3-1
07/01/25AArsenal Vs NEW0-2
04/01/25ATottenham Vs NEW1-2

Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25AFulham Vs NFO2-1
11/02/25AExeter Vs NFO2-2
01/02/25HNFO Vs Brighton7-0
25/01/25ABournemouth Vs NFO5-0
19/01/25HNFO Vs Southampton3-2
14/01/25HNFO Vs Liverpool1-1
11/01/25HNFO Vs Luton2-0
06/01/25AWolves Vs NFO0-3
29/12/24AEverton Vs NFO0-2
26/12/24HNFO Vs Tottenham1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.88
HomeWWLLW2.04
AwayWWWWL1.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%52%
AVG goals3.423.323.52
Over 1.5 %88%84%92%
Over 2.5 %64%60%68%
Over 3.5 %48%40%56%
Scored2.062.201.92
Conceded1.361.121.60
BTTS62%52%72%
Clean Sheet30%40%20%
Corners10.9011.1510.68
Cards4.434.804.09
Nottingham Forest
Nottingham Forest
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDL1.48
HomeWWDWW1.50
AwayWWLDL1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%42%42%
AVG goals2.982.853.12
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %54%46%62%
Over 3.5 %36%31%42%
Scored1.561.621.50
Conceded1.421.231.62
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners10.7410.5810.91
Cards4.474.004.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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