Newcastle’s recent 2-game winning streak and a 2-0 win over Tottenham hint at a strong home performance, yet the model still favours an away win. The probabilities are 37% for a Newcastle victory, 23% for a draw and 39% for Tottenham triumph, making the latter the most likely result. With an expected total of 3.7 goals, the average is 3, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 9.3%. Newcastle averages 2.09 goals scored and 1.18 conceded at home against similar opposition, while Tottenham averages 1.89 scored and 1.44 conceded on the road to comparable teams. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 89.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 79.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 75.1%, Under 5.5 cards at 75.0%, Under 25.5 fouls at 72.1% (miss), BTTS Yes at 71.8% (miss) and Over 2.5 at 71.4% (edge 0). All figures are expressed as percentages and each selection is listed with its probability.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Tottenham, failed to deliver as the model had predicted an away win with a 39% chance. Newcastle, riding a two-game winning streak, turned the tables with a decisive 4-0 victory, extending their recent run. The model’s selection for an away win was therefore wrong. The model’s other picks all came into play: Over 1.5 goals hit at 89.2%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 79.2%, Over 8.5 corners hit at 75.8%, Over 19.5 fouls hit at 75.1%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 75.0%, and Over 2.5 hit at 71.4%. The Under 25.5 fouls missed at 72.1%, and BTTS Yes missed at 71.8%. The final score of 4-0 confirmed the home win.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Newcastle win✓ Hit
37.4%
Avg Implied 36.5% · @ 2.64
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.3%
Avg Implied 24.2% · @ 3.97
Edge
-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tottenham win✗ Miss
39.3%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.45
Edge
-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Newcastle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
1.73
2.31
1.31
1.29
2.21
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
2.17
2.33
1.33
1.33
3.00
vs Similar (20)
1.75
1.60
2.09
1.18
1.33
2.11
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.75
3.50
2.00
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
1.43
2.12
1.31
2.07
1.57
vs Stronger (2)
2.50
2.50
-
-
2.50
2.50
vs Similar (22)
2.09
1.36
2.23
1.31
1.89
1.44
vs Weaker (6)
2.00
1.33
1.67
1.33
2.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
89.2%
Under 1.5
10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.35+0.5%
Under 2.5
28.6%
@ 3.29-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.5%
Under 3.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
71.8%
No
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.7%
2-2
7.2%
1-3
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-2
4.4%
Newcastle goals ↓
Tottenham goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.3%
3.8%
4.3%
2.7%
1.3%
1
3.7%
9.3%
7.9%
4.9%
2.3%
2
4.1%
7.7%
7.2%
4.5%
2.1%
3
2.5%
4.7%
4.4%
2.7%
1.3%
4
1.1%
2.1%
2.0%
1.3%
0.6%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newcastle goals (down), columns = Tottenham goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Newcastle is 0.16 points worse than Tottenham in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Newcastle is 0.29 goals better than Tottenham in terms of goals scored per game (2.24 vs 1.95).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Newcastle is 0.03 goals worse than Tottenham in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Newcastle is 9.6 percentage points worse than Tottenham in terms of average possession (52% vs 62%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Newcastle
For 4.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 13.1 · Total 22.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Tottenham
For 6.9 · Against 5.0 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Newcastle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
10.6
10.0
4.2
4.4
4.0
23.0
23.0
23.1
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
12.6
7.5
5.2
4.6
6.0
23.6
23.2
24.0
vs Similar (34)
10.1
9.9
10.2
4.1
4.6
3.6
23.4
23.7
23.2
vs Weaker (7)
11.4
11.0
12.0
3.3
3.0
3.7
20.4
19.8
21.3
% over line
56%
64%
48%
52%
56%
48%
56%
52%
60%
% under line
44%
36%
52%
48%
44%
52%
44%
48%
40%
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.6
11.3
11.8
4.9
5.0
4.7
24.5
24.9
24.0
vs Stronger (3)
14.3
10.0
16.5
7.0
6.0
7.5
30.7
33.0
29.5
vs Similar (38)
11.3
11.1
11.4
4.6
4.8
4.3
23.7
24.4
22.8
vs Weaker (9)
11.9
13.3
11.2
5.3
6.3
4.8
25.8
26.0
25.7
% over line
72%
69%
75%
70%
73%
67%
76%
77%
75%
% under line
28%
31%
25%
30%
27%
33%
24%
23%
25%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.6
Bournemouth
11.7
Tottenham
11.6
Liverpool
11.1
Everton
10.8
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.5
Fulham
10.4
Brentford
10.3
Newcastle
10.3
Wolves
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Chelsea
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Burnley
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.0
Aston Villa
10.0
West Ham
9.9
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.2
Chelsea
5.1
Aston Villa
5.1
Tottenham
4.9
Wolves
4.8
Sheffield United
4.4
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Burnley
4.2
Newcastle
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Bournemouth
3.9
Brentford
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.7
Luton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.9
Wolves
23.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Chelsea
23.5
Luton
23.5
Brighton
23.4
Newcastle
23.0
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Bournemouth
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Burnley
21.7
Fulham
21.6
Everton
21.5
Brentford
21.4
Sheffield United
20.2
West Ham
20.1
Manchester United
20.0
Manchester City
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
64.7%
Under 9.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
60.8%
Under 3.5
39.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
59.6%
Under 21.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Newcastle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.63
1.06
0.50
0.57
0.79
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.50
1.33
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.60
0.82
0.45
0.56
0.78
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
1.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.69
0.50
0.79
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.59
0.85
0.46
0.67
0.78
vs Weaker (6)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Newcastle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.10
1.25
0.81
0.71
1.43
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.67
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (20)
1.05
1.00
1.27
0.73
0.78
1.33
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tottenham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Tottenham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
0.80
1.44
0.81
1.29
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
1.00
-
-
1.50
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.32
0.77
1.38
0.85
1.22
0.67
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.83
1.67
0.67
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tottenham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
79.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
75.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
BTTS Yes
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
71.4%
1.35
-
-
-
-
-
+0.5%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexander Isak49%
Callum Wilson33%
Anthony Gordon27%
Harvey Barnes18%
Sean Longstaff15%
Bruno Guimarães14%
Joelinton12%
Jacob Murphy12%
Sven Botman11%
Miguel Almirón10%
Fabian Schär10%
Joe Willock9%
Sandro Tonali9%
Dan Burn8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Hall5%
Lewis Miley5%
Jamaal Lascelles5%
Valentino Livramento3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Joe White0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joelinton33%
Anthony Gordon29%
Joe White25%
Bruno Guimarães23%
Matt Targett20%
Jamaal Lascelles19%
Sandro Tonali18%
Sean Longstaff18%
Fabian Schär17%
Lewis Hall16%
Nick Pope15%
Kieran Trippier15%
Elliot Anderson13%
Callum Wilson12%
Emil Krafth12%
Sven Botman11%
Dan Burn11%
Harvey Barnes9%
Miguel Almirón8%
Matt Ritchie8%
Lewis Miley5%
Martin Dúbravka4%
Jacob Murphy4%
Valentino Livramento3%
Alexander Isak3%
Joe Willock0%
Paul Dummett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier26%
Jacob Murphy25%
Anthony Gordon22%
Lewis Miley20%
Bruno Guimarães19%
Harvey Barnes14%
Sven Botman11%
Elliot Anderson9%
Alexander Isak6%
Dan Burn5%
Sean Longstaff5%
Joelinton4%
Callum Wilson4%
Miguel Almirón3%
Fabian Schär2%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alexander Isak34%
Callum Wilson21%
Anthony Gordon17%
Miguel Almirón13%
Joelinton12%
Elliot Anderson9%
Lewis Miley5%
Harvey Barnes5%
Jacob Murphy4%
Sean Longstaff2%
Fabian Schär2%
Kieran Trippier0%
Joe Willock0%
Emil Krafth0%
Bruno Guimarães0%
Martin Dúbravka0%
Paul Dummett0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sandro Tonali0%
Sven Botman0%
Joe White0%
Valentino Livramento0%
Lewis Hall0%
Tottenham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heung-min Son40%
Richarlison32%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Brennan Johnson16%
Timo Werner15%
Cristian Romero15%
James Maddison14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Micky van de Ven11%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Pedro Porro9%
Destiny Udogie7%
Ben Davies6%
Emerson Royal5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Manor Solomon0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Perišić40%
Jamie Donley33%
Yves Bissouma32%
Rodrigo Bentancur30%
Pape Matar Sarr26%
Destiny Udogie21%
Cristian Romero21%
Manor Solomon20%
Dejan Kulusevski19%
Micky van de Ven19%
Emerson Royal18%
James Maddison18%
Oliver Skipp14%
Alejo Véliz12%
Ben Davies12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg11%
Radu Drăguşin11%
Richarlison11%
Brennan Johnson9%
Giovani Lo Celso9%
Pedro Porro9%
Timo Werner8%
Guglielmo Vicario5%
Heung-min Son3%
Eric Dier0%
Bryan Gil0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brennan Johnson28%
James Maddison25%
Timo Werner23%
Heung-min Son23%
Ivan Perišić20%
Manor Solomon20%
Pedro Porro20%
Richarlison14%
Destiny Udogie11%
Pape Matar Sarr9%
Dejan Kulusevski8%
Giovani Lo Celso5%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Ben Davies0%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Emerson Royal0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Yves Bissouma0%
Cristian Romero0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Timo Werner31%
Heung-min Son23%
Richarlison21%
Manor Solomon20%
Brennan Johnson12%
Dejan Kulusevski11%
James Maddison11%
Pedro Porro9%
Ben Davies6%
Rodrigo Bentancur4%
Yves Bissouma4%
Cristian Romero3%
Pape Matar Sarr3%
Eric Dier0%
Oliver Skipp0%
Ivan Perišić0%
Emerson Royal0%
Giovani Lo Celso0%
Bryan Gil0%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg0%
Guglielmo Vicario0%
Micky van de Ven0%
Radu Drăguşin0%
Dane Scarlett0%
Destiny Udogie0%
Jamie Donley0%
Alejo Véliz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Newcastle's squad is €353m less valuable than Tottenham's (€568m vs €920m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Newcastle's attack is €16m less valuable than Tottenham's (€234m vs €250m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Newcastle's midfield is €158m less valuable than Tottenham's (€124m vs €282m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Newcastle's defence is €178m less valuable than Tottenham's (€210m vs €388m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Aston Villa
Chelsea
Manchester United
West Ham
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United