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Newington Youth vs Annagh United Result & Analysis

Date: 08/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 4-1
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Vs
39%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This Northern-Ireland: Championship match between Newington Youth and Annagh United is finely balanced, with Newington Youth coming off a win and Annagh United also having won their previous match. However, Annagh United's recent form has been inconsistent, with four consecutive losses following that win. Newington Youth's home scoring has averaged 1.33 goals per match, while conceding 3.17 goals against stronger opponents. Annagh United, on the other hand, has scored 1.43 goals per match away against weaker opponents, but conceded 1.29 goals.

The model predicts a home win, with a 39% chance of Newington Youth taking the three points. The model's selection is the Home win, with the draw at 27% and Annagh United's away win at 34%. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, and the most likely score is 1-1, occurring 12.3% of the time. The model also suggests Over 1.5 goals, which is its selection with a high probability of 81.1%.

Results analysis

The win extends Newington Youth's run to three consecutive victories, following their 4-1 triumph over Annagh United, who were coming off a defeat. The final scoreline saw the home side secure a convincing 4-1 victory, with the actual result matching the model's call of a home win. The model had correctly identified the favourite, Newington Youth, with a pre-match probability of 39%. The model's selection of a home win proved correct. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals hit, with an 81.1% probability, while the most likely score of 2-1, with a 24% probability, did not materialise.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newington Youth win✓ Hit
39.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Annagh United win✗ Miss
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L20W42W14L40W10W20W15L24L21WA·LOU24/02H·QUE28/02A·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.702.221.501.922.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.651.851.671.751.622.00
vs Weaker (10)3.001.403.331.002.502.00
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W10W11D01L11D04L02L04L23L21WH·ARD07/03A·WAR14/03H·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.271.651.291.081.23
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.671.501.881.751.251.00
vs Weaker (18)1.221.111.440.891.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
Under 2.5
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
6.1%
0-1
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
Newington Youth goals ↓
Annagh United goals →
01234
06.1%6.1%5.2%2.5%0.9%
16.7%12%8.1%3.9%1.4%
26.1%8.7%6.3%3.0%1.1%
33.1%4.5%3.2%1.6%0.6%
41.2%1.7%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newington Youth goals (down), columns = Annagh United goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Newington Youth is 0.60 points better than Annagh United in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Newington Youth is 0.40 goals better than Annagh United in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 2.40).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Newington Youth is 0.80 goals better than Annagh United in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D12L30W00D00D12L11D11DA·LOU24/02H·QUE28/02A·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.170.720.420.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.850.830.830.380.88
vs Weaker (10)1.300.701.830.500.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W10W00D01L00D01L03L21W10WH·ARD07/03A·WAR14/03H·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.430.940.350.540.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.920.421.000.250.750.75
vs Weaker (18)0.670.440.890.440.440.44
Clean sheet %63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W31W02L10W10W20W03L13L10WA·LOU24/02H·QUE28/02A·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.901.060.781.501.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.001.000.830.921.251.12
vs Weaker (10)1.700.701.500.502.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Annagh United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D01L01L10W04L01L01L02L11DH·ARD07/03A·WAR14/03H·DUN21/03A·NEW27/03H·LOU04/04H·QUE11/04H·LIM18/04A·H&W24/04H·CRU28/04A·CRU01/05← PremiershipChampionship →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.710.940.540.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.751.080.881.500.500.25
vs Weaker (18)0.560.670.560.440.560.89
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Annagh United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
NY wins
0
Draws
7
AU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newington Youth vs Annagh United · H/A from NY
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/26HNY Vs Annagh United1-0
24/01/26AAnnagh United Vs NY3-2
20/12/25HNY Vs Annagh United1-5
30/08/25AAnnagh United Vs NY2-1
18/01/25HNY Vs Annagh United0-3
08/11/24AAnnagh United Vs NY2-0
10/08/24HNY Vs Annagh United0-3
16/03/24AAnnagh United Vs NY2-0

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/26HNY Vs Loughgall2-1
18/04/26HNY Vs H&W Welders2-4
11/04/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-5
04/04/26AQueen's University Vs NY0-2
27/03/26HNY Vs Annagh United1-0
21/03/26HNY Vs Ballinamallard United4-0
14/03/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-4
10/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs NY2-4
28/02/26HNY Vs Queen's University2-0
24/02/26ALoughgall Vs NY2-1

Annagh UnitedAnnagh United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/05/26ACrusaders FC Vs AU1-2
28/04/26HAU Vs Crusaders FC2-3
24/04/26AH&W Welders Vs AU4-0
18/04/26HAU Vs Limavady United0-2
11/04/26HAU Vs Queen's University0-4
04/04/26HAU Vs Loughgall1-1
27/03/26ANewington Youth Vs AU1-0
21/03/26HAU Vs Dundela1-1
14/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs AU0-1
07/03/26HAU Vs Ards3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.62
HomeWWLLW2.08
AwayLWLWW1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%68%28%
AVG goals3.803.763.84
Over 1.5 %90%96%84%
Over 2.5 %76%76%76%
Over 3.5 %54%52%56%
Scored2.102.281.92
Conceded1.701.481.92
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners---
Cards---
Annagh United
Annagh United
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLW1.98
HomeDDLLL2.08
AwayDWLLW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%65%58%
AVG goals2.782.922.62
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %30%31%29%
Scored1.641.731.54
Conceded1.141.191.08
BTTS46%50%42%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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