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Newington Youth vs H&W Welders Result & Analysis

Date: 18/04/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-4
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Vs
36%
25%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Top picks for this game11 Squad value12 Games History13 Overall Statistics14 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Newington Youth a 36% win probability against H&W Welders in the Northern-Ireland: Championship on 2026-04-18, with 25% for the draw and 40% for H&W Welders. The model estimates around 3.4 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (22%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (10.6%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (86%).

Results analysis

Newington Youth finished 2-4 against H&W Welders (Away win). Pythia had modelled a 36% home win, 25% draw and 40% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (86%).

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Newington Youth win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders win✓ Hit
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-540W21W12L20W42W14L40W10W20W15LH·WAR14/02A·ARM21/02A·LOU24/02H·QUE28/02A·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.131.602.251.382.001.86
vs Stronger (3)1.332.671.002.502.003.00
vs Similar (15)1.671.601.781.671.501.50
vs Weaker (12)2.921.333.600.402.432.00
Clean sheet %33% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W32W14L12L31W11D14L23L00D02LH·NEW31/01A·ARD14/02H·INS21/02A·ANN28/02H·DUN10/03A·BAL14/03H·LIM21/03H·QUE28/03A·LIM03/04A·LOU11/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.231.332.471.402.001.27
vs Stronger (20)1.951.601.801.802.101.40
vs Similar (3)1.001.331.501.000.002.00
vs Weaker (7)3.570.575.330.332.250.75
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
86.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
66.0%
Under 2.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
44.2%
Under 3.5
55.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.7%
No
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
7.0%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.9%
0-1
4.9%
1-0
4.5%
Newington Youth goals ↓
H&W Welders goals →
01234
04.3%4.9%5.1%3.0%1.3%
14.5%11%8.4%4.9%2.2%
24.5%7.9%7.0%4.1%1.8%
32.5%4.4%3.8%2.2%1.0%
41.0%1.8%1.6%0.9%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newington Youth goals (down), columns = H&W Welders goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Newington Youth is 0.16 points worse than H&W Welders in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 1.74).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Newington Youth is 0.26 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals scored per game (2.03 vs 2.29).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Newington Youth is 0.37 goals worse than H&W Welders in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.26).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L00D11D12L30W00D00D12LH·WAR14/02A·ARM21/02A·LOU24/02H·QUE28/02A·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.801.190.690.500.93
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (15)0.670.530.890.670.330.33
vs Weaker (12)1.250.922.000.400.711.29
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (H&W Welders) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W21W11D11D20W01L03L11D00D01LH·NEW31/01A·ARD14/02H·INS21/02A·ANN28/02H·DUN10/03A·BAL14/03H·LIM21/03H·QUE28/03A·LIM03/04A·LOU11/04
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.801.470.730.870.87
vs Stronger (20)1.100.951.100.901.101.00
vs Similar (3)1.000.671.500.500.001.00
vs Weaker (7)1.430.432.670.330.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
H&W Welders over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 10. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.586.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 11. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (25)
€0m
LOU (33)
€0m
HW (38)
€0m
AC (62)
€0m
WT (32)
€0m
BU (38)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (0)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 12. Games History

Head-to-head

Newington Youth vs H&W Welders · H/A from NY
DateH/AGameScore
31/01/26AH&W Welders Vs NY2-1
01/11/25HNY Vs H&W Welders2-1
23/08/25AH&W Welders Vs NY3-2
22/03/25HNY Vs H&W Welders2-0
14/12/24AH&W Welders Vs NY1-0
12/10/24HNY Vs H&W Welders1-4
27/01/24AH&W Welders Vs NY3-1
22/12/23AH&W Welders Vs NY2-2

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-5
04/04/26AQueen's University Vs NY0-2
27/03/26HNY Vs Annagh United1-0
21/03/26HNY Vs Ballinamallard United4-0
14/03/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-4
10/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs NY2-4
28/02/26HNY Vs Queen's University2-0
24/02/26ALoughgall Vs NY2-1
21/02/26AArmagh City Vs NY1-2
14/02/26HNY Vs Warrenpoint Town4-0

H&W WeldersH&W Welders

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26ALoughgall Vs HW2-0
03/04/26ALimavady United Vs HW0-0
28/03/26HHW Vs Queen's University2-3
21/03/26HHW Vs Limavady United1-4
14/03/26ABallinamallard United Vs HW1-1
10/03/26HHW Vs Dundela3-1
28/02/26AAnnagh United Vs HW2-1
21/02/26HHW Vs Institute1-4
14/02/26AArds Vs HW2-3
31/01/26HHW Vs Newington Youth2-1

📊 13. Overall Statistics

Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 7 Wins / 0 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWL1.62
HomeWLWWL2.04
AwayLWLWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%67%31%
AVG goals3.743.753.73
Over 1.5 %88%96%81%
Over 2.5 %74%75%73%
Over 3.5 %54%54%54%
Scored2.082.291.88
Conceded1.661.461.85
BTTS68%58%77%
Clean Sheet28%38%19%
Corners---
Cards---
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL1.66
HomeWLWLL1.67
AwayWLDDL1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%50%46%
AVG goals3.383.623.15
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %70%75%65%
Over 3.5 %38%42%35%
Scored2.102.291.92
Conceded1.281.331.23
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet28%25%31%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 14. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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