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Newington Youth vs Queen's University Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Newington Youth are poised for a home victory, capitalizing on their recent form. The team has been on a 2-game winning run, with a notable 4-1 win over Annagh United. However, the match is expected to be a closely contested affair, with an average of 3.1 goals expected. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 11.9%.

Newington Youth have a strong home record, scoring an average of 2.4 goals and conceding just 0.7 per match, particularly against similar-strength opponents. In contrast, Queen's University have struggled to score away from home, averaging 1.08 goals, and have conceded 1.31 goals per match against similar-strength opponents.

The model's selection is the Home win, with a 42% chance of success. Alternatively, you can consider the model's selection of Over 1.5, which has an 82.4% probability of occurring. The model also suggests the Away win, with a 32% chance of success. Newington Youth has a 42% chance of winning, a 26% chance of drawing, and a 32% chance of losing.

Results analysis

The win extends Newington Youth's run, having come off a win and now boasting a strong recent form note. The final score of 2-1 confirmed the actual result of a home win, as predicted by the Pythia model. The model's selection, Home win, was correct, given its pre-match probability of 42%. The model's call was well-supported by the suggested picks, with Over 1.5 goals hitting at a probability of 82.4%. The model also correctly identified the most likely total goals as 2, with a probability of 23%. The most likely scores, 1-1, 2-1, and 1-2, were also consistent with the final outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Newington Youth win✓ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's University win✗ Miss
31.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-542W14L40W10W20W15L24L21W41W22DA·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04H·ANN08/08A·LOU11/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.702.411.471.922.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.861.762.001.581.672.00
vs Weaker (9)3.001.563.401.202.502.00
Clean sheet %27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 – goals for & against
80-802L10W81W32W02L40W00D10W11D21WH·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04A·ARM08/08H·H&W11/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.171.571.211.121.12
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.150.921.171.001.140.86
vs Weaker (17)1.471.351.881.381.111.33
Clean sheet %30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.4%
Under 1.5
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-1 ✓
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.4%
Newington Youth goals ↓
Queen's University goals →
01234
05.7%5.4%4.6%2.2%0.8%
16.6%12%7.7%3.6%1.3%
26.4%9.0%6.4%3.0%1.1%
33.5%5.0%3.5%1.7%0.6%
41.5%2.1%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Newington Youth goals (down), columns = Queen's University goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Newington Youth is 0.60 points better than Queen's University in terms of average points per game (2.60 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Newington Youth is 0.60 goals better than Queen's University in terms of goals scored per game (2.80 vs 2.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Newington Youth and Queen's University are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L30W00D00D12L11D11D21W21WA·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04H·ANN08/08A·LOU11/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.290.760.540.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.810.861.000.830.560.89
vs Weaker (9)1.330.782.000.600.501.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D30W11D00D00D00D10W01L21WH·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04A·ARM08/08H·H&W11/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.860.640.250.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.310.230.670.170.000.29
vs Weaker (17)0.710.821.001.000.440.67
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W02L10W10W20W03L13L10W20W01LA·WAR10/03H·LIM14/03H·BAL21/03H·ANN27/03A·QUE04/04H·LIM11/04H·H&W18/04H·LOU24/04H·ANN08/08A·LOU11/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.871.120.711.381.08
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.050.901.000.751.111.11
vs Weaker (9)1.670.781.400.602.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's University) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's University

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L10W51W21W02L40W00D00D10W00DH·LIM11/03A·INS14/03H·ARM21/03A·H&W28/03H·NEW04/04A·ANN11/04H·LOU18/04A·LIM24/04A·ARM08/08H·H&W11/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.710.570.880.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.850.690.500.831.140.57
vs Weaker (17)0.760.530.880.380.670.67
Clean sheet %57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Newington Youth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Newington Youth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newington Youth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's University over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
NY wins
1
Draws
0
QU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Newington Youth vs Queen's University · H/A from NY
DateH/AGameScore
04/04/26AQueen's University Vs NY0-2
28/02/26HNY Vs Queen's University2-0
26/12/25HNY Vs Queen's University2-0
09/08/25AQueen's University Vs NY0-0

Newington YouthNewington Youth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/26ALoughgall Vs NY2-2
08/08/26HNY Vs Annagh United4-1
24/04/26HNY Vs Loughgall2-1
18/04/26HNY Vs H&W Welders2-4
11/04/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-5
04/04/26AQueen's University Vs NY0-2
27/03/26HNY Vs Annagh United1-0
21/03/26HNY Vs Ballinamallard United4-0
14/03/26HNY Vs Limavady United1-4
10/03/26AWarrenpoint Town Vs NY2-4

QueenQueen's University

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
11/08/26HQU Vs H&W Welders2-1
08/08/26AArmagh City Vs QU1-1
24/04/26ALimavady United Vs QU0-1
18/04/26HQU Vs Loughgall0-0
11/04/26AAnnagh United Vs QU0-4
04/04/26HQU Vs Newington Youth0-2
28/03/26AH&W Welders Vs QU2-3
21/03/26HQU Vs Armagh City8-1
14/03/26AInstitute Vs QU0-1
11/03/26HQU Vs Limavady United0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Newington Youth
Newington Youth
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWD1.68
HomeWLLWW2.12
AwayWLWWD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%69%29%
AVG goals3.843.813.88
Over 1.5 %90%96%83%
Over 2.5 %78%77%79%
Over 3.5 %56%54%58%
Scored2.162.351.96
Conceded1.681.461.92
BTTS70%62%79%
Clean Sheet26%35%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Queen
Queen's University
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWDW1.52
HomeLWLDW1.52
AwayWWWWD1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%38%43%
AVG goals2.552.572.52
Over 1.5 %79%71%86%
Over 2.5 %40%48%33%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.361.431.29
Conceded1.191.141.24
BTTS40%43%38%
Clean Sheet31%33%29%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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